Questioning this play, do you see value at Heat -6.5? Do you really think the Heat line should be closer to -8/-9 against Boston right now?
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#223
Originally posted by sweetjones55
No not really actually. Boston has been pretty damn good lately in the 1Q. We'll see though.
i thought that was your own autobet...heat q1 all year
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#224
Originally posted by Dexter
i thought that was your own autobet...heat q1 all year
I am waiting for them to gel a little more before I do so and every situation is different so it's not always an autobet for me.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#225
Originally posted by sweetjones55
Questioning this play, do you see value at Heat -6.5? Do you really think the Heat line should be closer to -8/-9 against Boston right now?
i like the game as a revenge angle to the opening night loss, and playing the heat off a su loss to utah.
i actually thought the line would be 4-5....not thrilled with the 6.5 but maybe its a case of the books wanting us to take boston. i was waiting for the line to come down, but i noticed a few books just bumped this up to 7 so i didnt want to wait.
Comment
MrSink
SBR Hall of Famer
12-30-08
8087
#226
like bulls also tonight
good luck with that autobet
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#227
Originally posted by Dexter
i like the game as a revenge angle to the opening night loss, and playing the heat off a su loss to utah.
i actually thought the line would be 4-5....not thrilled with the 6.5 but maybe its a case of the books wanting us to take boston. i was waiting for the line to come down, but i noticed a few books just bumped this up to 7 so i didnt want to wait.
I get the revenge angle and thinking the heat will come out fired up off the utah loss. But if you thought the Heat should be favored by 4.5 then why would you ever take them at 6.5? I don't think the books made this line so high to get people on Boston. I think the books made the line trying to get even action on both sides and it's pretty close to that.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#228
Originally posted by sweetjones55
I get the revenge angle and thinking the heat will come out fired up off the utah loss. But if you thought the Heat should be favored by 4.5 then why would you ever take them at 6.5? I don't think the books made this line so high to get people on Boston. I think the books made the line trying to get even action on both sides and it's pretty close to that.
well, this is a debate that can go on and on. do books create lines to get even action, or do they sometimes want you to play a certain side cause they have "sharp" feelings on the outcome? i vote more for A, but do think sometimes they make a certain line to get more action one way.
why did i still play it? cause i never let the books scare me off a game. i waited to see if the line would drop, and it doesnt look like it will.
Comment
Mitch Buchannon
SBR Hustler
08-31-10
51
#229
Originally posted by Dexter
(10x) bulls -5.5 (A1)
1-1 +5 units ship it
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#230
shocker....autobet wins - other game loses.....at least the heat lost....and it least im weighting the system plays properly this year.
Comment
kobefanatic
SBR Hall of Famer
01-19-10
9013
#231
nice hit on your A1
Comment
MrSink
SBR Hall of Famer
12-30-08
8087
#232
Im really suprised by your autobets system this year! Really cool idea and in my opinion so far profitable.
What is your record this year in autobets?
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#233
Originally posted by MrSink
Im really suprised by your autobets system this year! Really cool idea and in my opinion so far profitable.
What is your record this year in autobets?
3-1......i update records every monday.
next A1 is playing the bobcats sat over utah.
A2 on the Suns 11/15 fading the nuggets.
and i think i will fade the celtics who lost su to cle last game after they beat mia - memphis on 11/13 will be played
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#234
Fri 11/12:
(2x) magic -14
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#235
Dexter why not play Magic 1H? They are so much better in the 1H at home than they are for the full game and that isn't just this year. This has been the case for years.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#236
Originally posted by sweetjones55
Dexter why not play Magic 1H? They are so much better in the 1H at home than they are for the full game and that isn't just this year. This has been the case for years.
my locals dont offer these types of bets.
go check out the magic the last 3 years off a su loss - around 60% ats...
good call on the celtics last night (if you did take them)
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#237
(1x) under wizards 189
Comment
Wilforth
Restricted User
05-10-08
16309
#238
Originally posted by sweetjones55
Dexter why not play Magic 1H? They are so much better in the 1H at home than they are for the full game and that isn't just this year. This has been the case for years.
Same way I feel.
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#239
Originally posted by Dexter
my locals dont offer these types of bets.
go check out the magic the last 3 years off a su loss - around 60% ats...
good call on the celtics last night (if you did take them)
I never said I liked them. I was just wondering why it was you were taking Heat despite getting a much higher than expected line. I couldn't decide on the game, I thought matchup wise the Heat could not beat Celtics by more than 7. But then the line was 6.5 up to 7 then +7 +100 for Celtics before tip. I was confused on the game.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#240
Originally posted by Wilforth
Same way I feel.
Originally posted by sweetjones55
I never said I liked them. I was just wondering why it was you were taking Heat despite getting a much higher than expected line. I couldn't decide on the game, I thought matchup wise the Heat could not beat Celtics by more than 7. But then the line was 6.5 up to 7 then +7 +100 for Celtics before tip. I was confused on the game.
oh man...any time multiple people question my play im traditionally doomed....
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#241
Originally posted by Dexter
oh man...any time multiple people question my play im traditionally doomed....
Don't get me wrong, I like the Magic and your pick for the full game also.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#242
(1x) sixers +9.5
Comment
mlb
SBR Posting Legend
12-04-09
10509
#243
good hit on your auto man
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#244
(1x) blazers +2.5
(1x) under blazers 194
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#245
sitting home tonight and felt like gambling on the tv game....final score coming: