Being Roag Part 2 - $200 to $10,000 in 6 months

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 10:41 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

What % do you see on the under?

SBR and Sportsinsights both show currently 39% on the under

sweetjones55 · 06-25-10, 11:15 AM

Edit: my mistake

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

You're mistaken, be very careful with this play if you thought only 39% of the public was on the under. On SBR, the number on top is the number on the UNDER which shows 61%

SJ, the bottom number is the % on the under. Rotation number 604 is the under, 39% are on 604. It's the same on SBR and Sportsinsights.

sweetjones55 · 06-25-10, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

SJ, the bottom number is the % on the under. Rotation number 604 is the under, 39% are on 604. It's the same on SBR and Sportsinsights.

You're right, I saw 75% on the bottom in that low Seattle 144 total and thought for sure that the public would be on that OVER.

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

You're right, I saw 75% on the bottom in that low Seattle 144 total and thought for sure that the public would be on that OVER.

Right, and keep in mind that the %'s we are seeing on SBR and Sportsinsights are calculated with about 150 bets so far so the sample size is completely unreliable.

dume walker · 06-25-10, 11:46 AM

Thanks for the picks and the insights. GL to both you and SJ tonight.

OmgUrMom · 06-25-10, 02:07 PM

Gl Roag, tough goal to accompoish here but gl

Wilforth · 06-25-10, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Play #39:

WNBA

Tulsa Shock ML +140 (5Dimes)

$50 to win $70

Best play of the day by a mile! GL.

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 03:30 PM

Play #40:

WNBA

Phoenix/Connecticut 1H over 89 (5Dimes)

$55 to win $50

Donkwin47 · 06-25-10, 04:09 PM

Damn, I got some bad numbers.. Tulsa up to +155 (I got +140) and my teaser is +8 and +9, which My fault though.. Public POUNDING NY.. Shoulda known to wait.

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by Donkwin47

Damn, I got some bad numbers.. Tulsa up to +155 (I got +140) and my teaser is +8 and +9, which My fault though.. Public POUNDING NY.. Shoulda known to wait.

It's hard to wait in WNBA, because if RAS is on the same side of a play you will generally get a worse line than you wanted if you haven't made your play before they release theirs.

I cap a game at a certain number, I don't care what direction the line moves in after I've bet it. I've either made the right call or not.

ragiche · 06-25-10, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Play #39:

WNBA

Tulsa Shock ML +140 (5Dimes)

$50 to win $70

Same play here too.But i played the spread just in case.We don't know which shock team will play tonight.Good Luck to us. By the way i like your teaser

.

aunty jack · 06-25-10, 06:35 PM

good luck today, roag.

i've cherry-picked a couple of your selections, so let's see how the ladies roll.

cheers.

MUHerd37 · 06-25-10, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Play #40: WNBA Phoenix/Connecticut 1H over 89 (5Dimes) $55 to win $50

We have already lost that one badly

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by MUHerd37

We have already lost that one badly

I haven't lost anything yet; these teams can put up a 50+ point quarter.

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 07:12 PM

OK now it's dead! 2H play coming up.

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 07:28 PM

Play #41

Sun/Mercury 2H over 94.5 (5Dimes)

$110 to win $100

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 08:02 PM

Play #42:

Tulsa 2H -2.5

$220 to win $200

Donkwin47 · 06-25-10, 08:08 PM

Wow, risking the whole starting project balance. Biggest play I've seen from you, and for once, I'm actually around at halftime! I'm with you, bud! BOL!!!

RoagBettor · 06-25-10, 08:10 PM

It's time to start "Going Roag". This straight betting and money management is killing me!

Bull_Shark · 06-25-10, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

It's time to start "Going Roag". This straight betting and money management is killing me!

Fight that urge Roag, keep chipping away at it

imo, you should flat stake you plays, either 110 / 100 or 55/50.

sterkarm · 06-25-10, 08:37 PM

Gotta regroup for tomorrow. Not time to go roag yet. Going roag wont fix the current situation it will only make things worse. Keep doing what you been doing and you will achieve your goal. After all its 10,000 in 6 MONTHS not in 6 WEEKS.

sterkarm · 06-25-10, 09:12 PM

Edit this:

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Play #42:

Tulsa 2H -2.5

$220 to win $200

To make:

Play #42:

"Going Roag"

Tulsa 2H -2.5

$220 to win $200

and get it out of your system lol

sterkarm · 06-25-10, 09:14 PM

Wow f'ckin bitches screwed the under also.

stefan084 · 06-25-10, 09:19 PM

yeah NY driving to the basket w/ 16 point lead and less than 2 minutes left. Then Tulsa fouls as if they will overcome 16 point deficit under 2 minutes. they have coaches right? The WNBA.....expect WTF?

alias69 · 06-25-10, 11:54 PM

bad luk mate

Donkwin47 · 06-26-10, 02:13 AM

Originally posted by Donkwin47

Wow, risking the whole starting project balance. Biggest play I've seen from you, and for once, I'm actually around at halftime! I'm with you, bud! BOL!!!

Figures the one I'm around for is the biggest loss of the journey.. Can't make this stuff up. Not to mention the game getting pushd over on top of that with like 10 points in the last 42 seconds.. Why foul like that in almost a 20 point game? Just a joke..

Money management may be boring, but it's very important. Roag knows that, though. Gotta start over and do it again. Hopefully things work out this go-around.

RoagBettor · 06-26-10, 06:57 AM

Tulsa will be faded the rest of the season, they have no ability to play defense even if they tried.

The under 167.5 was going to be a winner. How do you foul up 18 with 20-something seconds left? Then how do you turn the ball over with 15 seconds left when all you have to do is run out the clock? And then Tulsa hits a 3 to kill it.

The good news is the project account is still alive. Last time we had to reload an extra $75 which went to $45 then went to $4,000.

I'm in a bit of a slump here, it happens every time I get the account to a certain level. The gambling gods are like that, they can be real pricks sometimes!

RoagBettor · 06-26-10, 07:16 AM

Play #43:

World Cup

Uruguay Team Total over 1.5 +133 (5Dimes)

$100 to win $133

Donkwin47 · 06-26-10, 09:12 AM

Damn.. Missed this one by minutes, and in that small amount of time, Uruguay scores. Good call. Almost an hour and a half just to score at plus money.

RoagBettor · 06-26-10, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by Donkwin47

Damn.. Missed this one by minutes, and in that small amount of time, Uruguay scores. Good call. Almost an hour and a half just to score at plus money.

I wouldn't be surprised if this lost now. I call it "The Curse of the Early Goal". It's burned me many times.

RoagBettor · 06-26-10, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Play #43:

World Cup

Uruguay Team Total over 1.5 +133 (5Dimes)

$100 to win $133

Goalllllllllllllllllllllllll!

RoagBettor · 06-26-10, 12:45 PM

Play #44:

World Cup

USA v. Ghana 1H Draw -101 (5Dimes)

$101 to win $100

Donkwin47 · 06-26-10, 01:24 PM

Missed the winner (obv), but just got in the 1st half draw bet. I'd apologize for the loss in advance, but won't be a downer. We got this. The historic comeback run continues now!

sterkarm · 06-26-10, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by Donkwin47

Missed the winner (obv), but just got in the 1st half draw bet. I'd apologize for the loss in advance, but won't be a downer. We got this. The historic comeback run continues now!

Dude you werent kidding about being a jinx. I gotta wait to see what youre on before i put in my bets. The one you missed cashes and the one you barely made loses. LOL