Originally posted by suicidekings
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1-4 (-9.68u)Comment -
5/17
LAL 1Q -2 (-106) x2.5Comment -
GL tonight.
I'm on Lakers first Qtr also.Comment -
Thanks. Probably going to play this game quarter by quarter, I think.Originally posted by HoulihansTXComment -
LIVE: LAL -5 (+109) x5Originally posted by suicidekingsComment -
LAL 2Q ML (+115) x1Comment -
Live lines have major middling opportunities.
222
lakers -8
Cant get much easier than that.Comment -
Live betting is amazing, hands down. The middles are often too tempting to pass up. My favourite though, is definitely evading the huge MLs through live lines. I'm always confused by people that don't see the value in it, but then place huge value on line shopping for a difference of pennies...Originally posted by HoulihansTXComment -
Its a complete joke I know, but many people go by old school vegas philosophies that are out dated.
Live lines have, or will change peoples outlook on the value of lines.Comment -
I've been betting live in soccer also, it's pretty damn good if you have a feel for the sport/teams. I don't think books have the same advantage pre-game than they do live.Comment -
PHX/LAL 2H O106 (-105) x2.5
LAL 3Q -1 (+105) x1
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Took the Suns TT 53 OVComment -
You think the books have the advantage live? I totally disagree. Live betting effectively requires some work ahead of time and a very good understanding of what line you want and how much it's worth to you. Pre-game, the books can set the line wherever they want, but during the game they're forced to post lines that are reflective of the current score/tempo, even when they don't always align with their predictions of the final score.Originally posted by JOHON8Comment -
Lakers 3Q at home is almost as strong a trend as the Lakers 1Q
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Originally posted by suicidekings
I agree live betting favors the instinctual knowledgeable educated sports fan/historian.Comment -
Originally posted by lakerboy
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IMO, the math/stats guys have the most to gain from live betting, as they have the most flexibility to re-evaluate lines on the fly and operate in what's typically a ~90 second window to bet.Originally posted by lakerboyComment -
5/17: 4-1 (+10.5u)Originally posted by suicidekings
Playoffs: 93-105-4 (+74.64u)Comment -
Orlando Magic (series) (-110) x12
While I'm not completely ruling out the Celtics winning the series, I still really think the Magic will take it. This seems like the ideal time to buy the Magic series price at only -110. The likelihood of Boston taking a stranglehold on the series tomorrow is very low in my opinion, and the chances of Orlando performing so far below their talent level again in this series is even less likely...Comment -
ORL 1Q -2.5 (-105)x5x3Comment -
Quick question for you SK......I am new to betting 1Q and 1H lines. My pick today is Orlando to come out hot and get an early lead on Boston, however I was surprised the line was so high at -2.5 (-120) on my two sites. I was thinking the 1Q or 1H lines would be exactly 1/4 or 1/2 of the overall line, respectively (e.g. Full game line is -4, so 1Q line is -1 and 1H line is -2).
Is it normal for a line like Orlando -2.5 in the 1Q, which is equivalent to Orlando -10 for the game, despite the fact the line is only -7 or -7.5? Should we infer that Vegas agrees with Orlando's 1Q advantage based on the fact they inflated that line to -2.5?Comment -
Reduced as shown. Adding:Originally posted by suicidekings
ORL -7 (-103) x7Comment -
1Q lines are typically about 30% of the game line, and the 1H lines are about 60% of the game line. 2.5 is right where it would typically sit on a game spread of 7.5. Below is the table I created as a quick reference for myself this season. Hope it helps.Originally posted by SparJMU
1Q 1H GM
pk pk pk
pk pk 0.5
pk 0.5 1
0.5 1 1.5
0.5 1 2
1 1.5 2.5
1 1.5 3
1 2 3.5
1.5 2.5 4
1.5 3 4.5
1.5 3 5
2 3.5 5.5
2 3.5 6
2 3.5 6.5
2 4 7
2.5 4.5 7.5
2.5 4.5 8
3 5 8.5
3 5.5 9
3 5.5 9.5
3 6 10
3 6 10.5
3.5 6.5 11
3.5 6.5 11.5
4 7 12
4 7 12.5
4 7.5 13
4 7.5 13.5
4 8 14
4.5 8.5 14.5
4.5 8.5 15Comment -
Gonna arb this out right now.Originally posted by suicidekings
Suns (LAL series) (+472) x1.95
Result guarantees 7.2u profit (out of a possible 9.1u) from the series regardless of outcome. Easy money.Comment -
your a master of middling opportunities.Originally posted by suicidekingsCause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
ORL 2Q -2.5 (-110) x2Originally posted by suicidekingsComment -
And a Tony Allen runner in traffic dooms the 1Q line by 1 bucket. Sucks.Comment -
2H O98.5 (-108) x5Comment -
Well, the Magic got me good...Originally posted by suicidekings
5/18: 0-4 (-17.96u)
Playoffs: 93-109-4 (+56.68u)Comment -
5/22 Masochist Picks
Magic +3.5 (-105) x2
Magic ML (+155) x2Comment -
LIVE: ORL ML (+394) x1 (3 min left in 1Q)Originally posted by suicidekings
LIVE: ORL ML (+512) x0.5 (end of 1Q)
ML equivalent: ORL ML (+274) x3.5Comment -
5/23
phx 1q -0.5 (-110) x1.5Comment -
LIVE: LAL ML (-108) x4Comment -
Suicide- LA has taken 1 free throw half almost over. Suns shooting terrible and still tie game...Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
Neither team is actually playing great. Are the Suns pick&rolls going to continue penetrating like they have been? Can the zone D shut down the Lakers for another 24 minutes?Originally posted by Goat Milk
I admit I don't like how the Lakers finished the 1H, but we'll see how the 2H starts.Comment
