SK: NBA Playoffs 2010

[suicidekings]

I'm not a big props player during the regular season, but last year they were a huge part of my playoff wagering. I'll place most of my action closer to game time, but here's what I've played so far.

Saturday, 4/17

CLE 1Q -3.5 (-110) x1
CLE 1H -5.5 (-112) x1
Chauncey Billups: O18.5 pts (-117) x1
Joe Johnson: O21.5 pts (-116) x0.5
Shaq O'Neal: O8.5 pts (-117) x0.5
Shaq O'Neal: O5.5 rebs (-114) x0.5

Sunday 4/18

Steve Nash: O10.5 ast (-118) x0.5
Amare Stoudemire: O23.5 pts (-116) x0.5

_____________________________________

Leans: Heat +4/ML, Jazz +5/ML, Spurs +4.5/ML, MIL/ATL U186.5

[trap]

G/L on the plays, your SPURS
lean is my POD!

[HoulihansTX]

5Dimes is slacking not providing 1stQ bets.

Gl in the PLayoffs SK.

[suicidekings]

5Dimes is slacking not providing 1stQ bets.

Gl in the PLayoffs SK.

And to you as well. Will you be making a Fadernation thread for the NBA playoffs?

[shoebox]

in the playoffs SK

[fsugolf]

gl this year in the playoff's SK

[suicidekings]

in the playoffs SK

gl this year in the playoff's SK

Thanks guys. I think this is going to be a great year.

[suicidekings]

Added Live (8:58 in 2Q, 40-26 Cavs)

CHI +19 (-108) x0.5

I expect the pace to slow and the Bulls to shoot better. Cavs still win easy, but I like the Bulls cover.

[HoulihansTX]

Added Live (8:58 in 2Q, 40-26 Cavs) CHI +19 (-108) x0.5 I expect the pace to slow and the Bulls to shoot better. Cavs still win easy, but I like the Bulls cover.

I think we might be able to get +24 in the 3rd quarter.

[suicidekings]

I think we might be able to get +24 in the 3rd quarter.

Maybe. For the moment though, my 1Q has hit, the 1H is well on its way, and Shaq is close to covering the props, so I'm willing to reinvest a half unit on the +19 in case Rose & co. finishes the 2Q strong and then re-evaluate it at half time and in the 3Q.

[suicidekings]

CHI/CLE 2H U95 (-110) x0.5

[lakerboy]

SK good luck with your playoff plays.

[suicidekings]

SK good luck with your playoff plays.

Thank you sir. Good Luck to you as well.

[suicidekings]

MIL/ATL U187 (-112) x1

[suicidekings]

Cavs-Bulls Game 1

CLE 1Q -3.5 (-110) x1
CLE 1H -5.5 (-112) x1
Shaq O'Neal: O8.5 pts (-117) x0.5
Shaq O'Neal: O5.5 rebs (-114) x0.5
LIVE: CHI +19 (-108) x0.5
CHI/CLE 2H U95 (-110) x0.5

5-1 (+2.93u)

[suicidekings]

MIA/BOS 1H O93 (-107) x0.5
MIA 1H ML (+144) x0.5

[suicidekings]

Prop: Dwayne Wade O28.5 (+112) x0.5
Prop: Ray Allen O16.5 (+118) x0.5
MIA/BOS O182.5 (-112) x0.5

[suicidekings]

Bucks-Hawks Game 1

MIL/ATL U187 (-112) x1
Prop: Joe Johnson O21.5 pts (-116) x0.5

1-1 (-0.62u)

[suicidekings]

Added at 2:30 of 3Q

LIVE: BOS ML (+124) x2

[suicidekings]

MIA-BOS Game 1

MIA/BOS 1H O93 (-107) x0.5
MIA 1H ML (+144) x0.5
Prop: Dwayne Wade O28.5 (+112) x0.5
Prop: Ray Allen O16.5 (+118) x0.5
MIA/BOS O182.5 (-112) x0.5
LIVE: BOS ML (+124) x2

2-3 (+1.11u)

[suicidekings]

4/17: (+3.42u)

[suicidekings]

4/18 Booked Plays

ORL 1Q -3 (-114) x1
ORL 1H -5.5 (-113) x1
OKC +8 (-115) x1
Prop: Steve Nash O10.5 ast (-118) x0.5
Prop: Amare Stoudemire O23.5 pts (-116) x0.5

[suicidekings]

SAN 1Q +1 (+100) x1
Prop: Tim Duncan O9.5 Rebounds (-118) x1
Prop: Pau Gasol O18.5 (-105) x0.5

[samus82]

I like Gasol O 18.5 a lot.

[suicidekings]

LAL 2H -1.5 (-106) x1

[samus82]

Gasol on 19. Good pick mate

[suicidekings]

Bobcats +13 (-101) x2
Bobcats ML (+875) x0.5

[suicidekings]

I really like San Antonio to win the series in 6 or 7 games.

SAN 4-1 win (+1241): 0.3u to win 3.72u = Net win of 0.17u
SAN 4-2 win (+463): 2u to win 9.24u = Net win of 7.4u
SAN 4-3 win (+629): 1.55u to win 9.7u = Net win of 7.4u
Any other outcome: Net loss of 3.85u

A total of 3.85u wagered to basically break even on a 4-1 SAN series win. A net profit of 7.4u on either a 4-3 or a 4-2 Spurs series win, giving equivalent odds of (+192) on what I think are the most likely outcomes instead of the (+148) that is currently available for the SAN series price.

[suicidekings]

Added at end of 3Q

LIVE: SAN +6.5 (-101) x1

[blanda]

Blazers to get blown out tonight...

[suicidekings]

5:29 left in the 4Q, 89-84 Dallas

LIVE: SAN ML (+622) x0.25

[suicidekings]

POR 1H +5.5 (-115) x1
POR 1H ML (+227) x0.5

[suicidekings]

4/18 Booked Plays

ORL 1Q -3 (-114) x1
ORL 1H -5.5 (-113) x1
Bobcats +13 (-101) x2
Bobcats ML (+875) x0.5

OKC +8 (-115) x1
LAL 2H -1.5 (-106) x1
Prop: Pau Gasol O18.5 (-105) x0.5

SAN 1Q +1 (+100) x1
LIVE: SAN +6.5 (-101) x1
Prop: Tim Duncan O9.5 Rebounds (-118) x1

POR 1H +5.5 (-115) x1
POR 1H ML (+227) x0.5
LIVE: PHX ML (-150) x2
Prop: Steve Nash O10.5 ast (-118) x0.5
Prop: Amare Stoudemire O23.5 pts (-116) x0.5
LIVE: PHX +5 (+101) x1

CHR-ORL: 3-1-0 (+3.5u)
OKC-LAL: 1-1-1 (-0.53u)
SAN-DAL: 1-2-0 (-1.18u)
POR-PHX: 2-3-1 (-2.03u)

4/18: 7-7-1 (-0.24u)


PHX really teased me at the end there...

[darkenergy]

POR 1H +5.5 (-115) x1
POR 1H ML (+227) x0.5

No sh*t........
Great call SK

[suicidekings]

No sh*t........
Great call SK

Thanks DE. The PHX 1Q & 1H lines were getting a TON of action, but not reacting as they should. Now all I need is a live PHX -2.5 or better...