JerseyShop101 NBA Plays (S/F System)

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  • AceofSP2107
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-28-09
    • 717

    #106
    WTF are killing us this week
    Comment
    • AceofSP2107
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-28-09
      • 717

      #107
      yo jerz can you post some plays 2marrow ...and hopefully go 16-2 lol
      Comment
      • JerseyShop101
        Restricted User
        • 09-04-08
        • 2704

        #108
        5-1, and the WTF play is the one that lost
        Comment
        • JerseyShop101
          Restricted User
          • 09-04-08
          • 2704

          #109
          5-1 on Saturday, the only loss was the WTF play



          Updated Stats Thru 22 Days:
          ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
          NBA 90-61 (60%) +22.90 / 59-39 (60%) +16.10
          Favs 37-25 (60%) +9.50 / 18-13 (58%) +3.70
          Dogs 53-36 (60%) +13.40/ 41-26 (61%) +12.40
          Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 11-7 (61%) +3.30


          Comment
          • Lint Pockets
            SBR MVP
            • 01-19-10
            • 1211

            #110
            i took a risky bet doing a parlay on Phoenix +6.5 and New Orleans +11 cause i bought 3 points for each, hopefully it hits.
            sbr
            Comment
            • JerseyShop101
              Restricted User
              • 09-04-08
              • 2704

              #111
              Good luck today, Lint and everyone!
              Comment
              • JerseyShop101
                Restricted User
                • 09-04-08
                • 2704

                #112
                DAY 23
                Sunday, 2/28

                PLAYS IN BLUE, WTF PLAYS in RED

                Team/Power Rating/Line Difference

                PHO SUNS 99
                SA SPURS -4 101 2

                DEN NUGGETS 100
                LA LAKERS -6 105 1

                MIL BUCKS 100
                ATL HAWKS -8.5 100 8.5

                WAS WIZARDS 92
                NJ NETS +1.5 90 1.5

                MIA HEAT 98
                ORL MAGIC -12.5 104 4.5

                TOR RAPTORS +8 94 1
                OKC THUNDER 103

                LA CLIPPERS +3.5 88 0.5
                SAC KINGS 92

                NO HORNETS 96
                DAL MAVERICKS -8 103 1

                Updated Stats Thru 22 Days:
                ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                NBA 90-61 (60%) +22.90 / 59-39 (60%) +16.10
                Favs 37-25 (60%) +9.50 / 18-13 (58%) +3.70
                Dogs 53-36 (60%) +13.40/ 41-26 (61%) +12.40
                Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 11-7 (61%) +3.30


                Comment
                • QUEST001
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 04-01-09
                  • 779

                  #113
                  Nice JOB. Takin Lakers N spurs....GL...
                  Comment
                  • JerseyShop101
                    Restricted User
                    • 09-04-08
                    • 2704

                    #114
                    Originally posted by JerseyShop101

                    I am going to have to revisit using Statfox for CBB totals. Just for fun in our SBR Points contest I chose 16 CBB totals using Statfox, so far its 12-2 with 2 pending, good enough for 1st place out of 179 peeps.

                    Leaderboard
                    View All

                    Rank Name Record Win Percent Units Streak Action Pending
                    1 JerseyShop101 12-2-0 85.71 % +29.40 W 7 148.0 2 pending
                    2 texashighroller 10-2-0 83.33 % +19.60 W 1 47.0 4 pending
                    3 LUCKYCHUCK 10-4-2 71.43 % +16.80 L 1 27.5 -
                    4 Augie 8-1-0 88.89 % +15.80 W 4 78.0 7 pending
                    5 Crnjak 7-2-0 77.78 % +15.60 L 1 97.0 7 pending
                    6 in2thethickofit 10-5-1 66.67 % +13.50 W 4 53.5 -
                    7 SirChevron 10-5-1 66.67 % +13.50 W 1 48.5 -
                    8 WeinketoWarrick 10-5-0 66.67 % +13.50 W 1 46.5 1 pending
                    9 Vince Lombardi 8-2-0 80.00 % +13.40 W 1 56.5 3 pending
                    10 xxx 4-0-0 100.00 % +12.00 W 4 43.5 12 pending

                    The last 2 are:

                    Maryland vs Virginia Tech Over 145 (-110) NCAAB [BookMaker]
                    02/27/10 04:00 PM ET

                    Oregon State vs Southern California Over 106 (-110) NCAAB [BookMaker]
                    02/27/10 07:30 PM ET
                    I finished the Over/Unders with a 13-3 record yesterday. So far today its looking good as the first 2 have won. Here's all the the Over/under Plays I am tracking. Hopefully I can maintain 1st Place and win those SBR points, lol.



                    Comment
                    • AceofSP2107
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-28-09
                      • 717

                      #115
                      jerz hope you can keep up those college totals can you please tomarrow thow up a link
                      Comment
                      • JerseyShop101
                        Restricted User
                        • 09-04-08
                        • 2704

                        #116
                        Originally posted by AceofSP2107
                        jerz hope you can keep up those college totals can you please tomarrow thow up a link
                        Won the first 6, then lost the last 4 in CBB, it went 6-4 today. For the last 2 days its 19-7. I post it over at sportsforumpicks but I'll post it here also. Wasn't a good day for the system in NBA, finishing 1-5. Will post the balances in a few.

                        Comment
                        • JerseyShop101
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-04-08
                          • 2704

                          #117
                          1-5 on Sunday



                          Updated Stats Thru 23 Days:
                          ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                          NBA 91-66 (58%) +18.40 / 60-41 (59%) +14.90
                          Favs 38-27 (58%) +8.30 / 19-15 (56%) +2.50
                          Dogs 53-39 (58%) +10.10/ 41-26 (61%) +12.40
                          Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 11-7 (61%) +3.30

                          Sunday was the worst system day we ever have had.

                          Comment
                          • AceofSP2107
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-28-09
                            • 717

                            #118
                            nice job lets get them
                            Comment
                            • TenBagger
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 02-23-10
                              • 34

                              #119
                              Does anyone know what the differences are between the statfox and sagarin algorithms? Has anyone backtested them to see which one has a better record ATS in various sports?
                              Comment
                              • JerseyShop101
                                Restricted User
                                • 09-04-08
                                • 2704

                                #120
                                Originally posted by TenBagger
                                Does anyone know what the differences are between the statfox and sagarin algorithms? Has anyone backtested them to see which one has a better record ATS in various sports?
                                I really don't know, sry. Maybe someone else could chime in.

                                Welcome to SBR!

                                Comment
                                • JerseyShop101
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 09-04-08
                                  • 2704

                                  #121
                                  I Know its the wrong thread here, but I won the SBR contest with CBB totals and it did ok again yesterday.

                                  Just for fun with the CBB totals:
                                  28Feb 13-3
                                  01Mar 6-4
                                  Total 19-7 73%


                                  Team / PR / Total Diff Minus 4 / PLAY
                                  GEORGETOWN 82 168 Ov by 27.5 ov136½
                                  WEST VIRGINIA 86

                                  OKLAHOMA 74 159 Ov by 10 ov145
                                  TEXAS 85

                                  FRESNO STATE 67 149 Ov by 17.5 ov127½
                                  UTAH STATE 82

                                  GEORGIA SOUTHER 62
                                  NC GREENSBORO 63 125 Un by 18.5 un147½

                                  N. CAROLINA A&T 59
                                  MORGAN STATE 69 128 Un by 15.5 un147½

                                  Comment
                                  • JerseyShop101
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-04-08
                                    • 2704

                                    #122
                                    DAY 24
                                    Monday, 3/1

                                    PLAYS IN BLUE, WTF PLAYS in RED

                                    Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
                                    ***DAL MAVERICKS +3 100 4
                                    CHA BOBCATS 99

                                    ORL MAGIC 102
                                    PHI 76ERS +4 96 2

                                    NY KNICKS +11 91 3
                                    CLE CAVALIERS 105

                                    SA SPURS 98
                                    ***NO HORNETS +3 99 4

                                    ATL HAWKS +1 97 1
                                    CHI BULLS 99

                                    POR TRAILBLAZERS -1.5 98 1.5
                                    MEM GRIZZLIES 98

                                    TOR RAPTORS 93
                                    HOU ROCKETS -6 97 2

                                    DEN NUGGETS 100
                                    PHO SUNS -2.5 102 0.5

                                    UTAH 101
                                    LA CLIPPERS +6.5 91 3.5



                                    Updated Stats Thru 23 Days:
                                    ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                    NBA 91-66 (58%) +18.40 / 60-41 (59%) +14.90
                                    Favs 38-27 (58%) +8.30 / 19-15 (56%) +2.50
                                    Dogs 53-39 (58%) +10.10/ 41-26 (61%) +12.40
                                    Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 11-7 (61%) +3.30
                                    Comment
                                    • azn624
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-29-09
                                      • 2771

                                      #123
                                      I'm still with ya JS, the bad days should decrease and more winning days will come
                                      Comment
                                      • JerseyShop101
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 09-04-08
                                        • 2704

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by AceofSP2107
                                        nice job lets get them
                                        Thanks for the Points!

                                        Comment
                                        • JerseyShop101
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-04-08
                                          • 2704

                                          #125
                                          6-3 on Monday



                                          Updated Stats Thru 24 Days:
                                          ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                          NBA 97-69 (58%) +21.10 / 63-44 (59%) +14.60
                                          Favs 41-27 (60%) +11.30 / 20-15 (57%) +3.50
                                          Dogs 56-42 (57%) +9.80/ 43-29 (60%) +11.10
                                          Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 12-8 (60%) +3.20


                                          Comment
                                          • AceofSP2107
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-28-09
                                            • 717

                                            #126
                                            coll and nba tonight !!
                                            Comment
                                            • JerseyShop101
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 09-04-08
                                              • 2704

                                              #127
                                              DAY 25
                                              Tuesday, 3/2

                                              PLAYS IN BLUE, WTF PLAYS in RED

                                              Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
                                              BOS CELTICS -5 94 5
                                              DET PISTONS 94

                                              GS WARRIORS 92
                                              MIA HEAT -10 100 2

                                              SAC KINGS +10 89 1
                                              OKC THUNDER 104

                                              IND PACERS 95
                                              LA LAKERS -11.5 105 1.5

                                              Comment
                                              • AceofSP2107
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-28-09
                                                • 717

                                                #128
                                                no coll today ?
                                                Comment
                                                • JerseyShop101
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 09-04-08
                                                  • 2704

                                                  #129
                                                  Didn't have time today for CBB.

                                                  NBA 2-1-1, I hope you got Boston at -4.5.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • greva
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 03-01-10
                                                    • 487

                                                    #130
                                                    good job jersey
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JerseyShop101
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 09-04-08
                                                      • 2704

                                                      #131
                                                      2-1-1 on Tuesday

                                                      Click image for larger version

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                                                      Updated Stats Thru 25 Days:
                                                      ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                                      NBA 99-70 (59%) +22.00 / 63-45 (58%) +13.50
                                                      Favs 42-28 (60%) +11.20 / 20-16 (56%) +2.40
                                                      Dogs 57-42 (58%) +10.80/ 43-29 (60%) +11.10
                                                      Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 12-8 (60%) +3.20

                                                      Comment
                                                      • SpreadSniper
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-17-09
                                                        • 6125

                                                        #132
                                                        WTF - I like that... bol today
                                                        Comment
                                                        • AceofSP2107
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-28-09
                                                          • 717

                                                          #133
                                                          wtf are terrible past week
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SpreadSniper
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-17-09
                                                            • 6125

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by AceofSP2107
                                                            wtf are terrible past week
                                                            i just meant the "term" wtf.. I was thinking what the fukk obviously, then when I read what it really meant... Wrong Team Favored.... wtf, its funny
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JerseyShop101
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 09-04-08
                                                              • 2704

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by AceofSP2107
                                                              no coll today ?
                                                              My CBB Play of the Day:

                                                              TEMPLE/SAINT LOUIS OVER 112

                                                              I feel this game is a good 5-6 points below what the total should be. But even if the line was 122, I would still like the over in this game! Both teams have only been below 112 twice each in their last 10 games, 16 of their last 20 combined have been Over 112 (80%).

                                                              Last5 Game Averages:
                                                              TEMPLE: 68-54 (122)
                                                              SAINT LOUIS: 67-62 (129)

                                                              TAKE THE OVER AND DONT SWEAT THE LAST 5 MINUTES OF THE GAME!

                                                              Comment
                                                              • AceofSP2107
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-28-09
                                                                • 717

                                                                #136
                                                                nice jerz i like this 1 or 3 play in coll would be nice thansk
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JerseyShop101
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 09-04-08
                                                                  • 2704

                                                                  #137
                                                                  DAY 26
                                                                  Wednesday, 3/3

                                                                  PLAYS IN BLUE, WTF PLAYS in RED

                                                                  Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
                                                                  GS WARRIORS 92
                                                                  ORL MAGIC -15.5 106 1.5

                                                                  PHI 76ERS +8.5 92 1.5
                                                                  ATL HAWKS 102

                                                                  CLE CAVALIERS 103
                                                                  NJ NETS +10 90 3

                                                                  CHA BOBCATS 96
                                                                  BOS CELTICS -4.5 97 3.5

                                                                  DET PISTONS 91
                                                                  NY KNICKS -4.5 93 1.5

                                                                  WAS WIZARDS +10 92 1
                                                                  MIL BUCKS 103

                                                                  MEM GRIZZLIES +2 94 2
                                                                  NO HORNETS 98

                                                                  MIN TIMBERWOLVES 90
                                                                  DAL MAVERICKS -14 103 1

                                                                  SAC KINGS +7.5 90 1.5
                                                                  HOU ROCKETS 99

                                                                  OKC THUNDER 100
                                                                  DEN NUGGETS -6.5 102 4.5

                                                                  IND PACERS 94
                                                                  POR TRAIL BLAZERS -9 102 1

                                                                  PHO SUNS 100
                                                                  LA CLIPPERS +4 92 4

                                                                  Looking forward to tonight!



                                                                  Updated Stats Thru 25 Days:
                                                                  ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                                                  NBA 99-70 (59%) +22.00 / 63-45 (58%) +13.50
                                                                  Favs 42-28 (60%) +11.20 / 20-16 (56%) +2.40
                                                                  Dogs 57-42 (58%) +10.80/ 43-29 (60%) +11.10
                                                                  Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 12-8 (60%) +3.20
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • QUEST001
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 04-01-09
                                                                    • 779

                                                                    #138
                                                                    We have lots of opposites today Jersey..with U on clips and memphis and magic...GL one of us isn't going to do well...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JerseyShop101
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 09-04-08
                                                                      • 2704

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by AceofSP2107
                                                                      nice jerz i like this 1 or 3 play in coll would be nice thansk
                                                                      Here's my 5 CBB Totals for tonight:

                                                                      739 Wake Forest/Florida St Over 136
                                                                      749 Temple/Saint Louis Over 112
                                                                      767 Virginia/Boston College Over 129
                                                                      769 Oklahoma State/Texas A&M Over 136
                                                                      777 Iowa/Wisconsin Over 117.5

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • PacmanJr_00
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 09-10-09
                                                                        • 221

                                                                        #140
                                                                        lookin good
                                                                        Comment
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