JerseyShop101 NBA Plays (S/F System)

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  • JerseyShop101
    Restricted User
    • 09-04-08
    • 2704

    #1
    JerseyShop101 NBA Plays (S/F System)
    I've been tracking this across the way with poster STLfan. Basically its taking the Statfox power ratings and comparing it to the spread.

    Its been doing very well for the 6 days I've been tracking it.

    Here's the stats:

    Thru 6 Days:
    ---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
    NBA 26-15 63% / 16-9 64%
    Favs 12-7 63% / 6-5 55%
    Dogs 14-8 64% / 10-4 71%

    Wrong team favored category is 3-0, with all 3 dogs winning outright!
  • JerseyShop101
    Restricted User
    • 09-04-08
    • 2704

    #2
    DAY7
    Monday's games, EDGE in
    BOLD:

    Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
    New Orleans Hornets 97
    Orlando Magic -9.5 103 3.5

    San Antonio Spurs +3.5 98 3.5
    Los Angeles Lakers 105

    Dallas Mavericks -4.5 95 3.5
    Golden State Warriors 94

    Thru 6 Days:
    ---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
    NBA 26-15 63% / 16-9 64%
    Favs 12-7 63% / 6-5 55%
    Dogs 14-8 64% / 10-4 71%


    Lets cash tonight!

    Comment
    • JerseyShop101
      Restricted User
      • 09-04-08
      • 2704

      #3
      Went 1-2 on Monday.

      Updated stats:
      Thru 7 Days:
      ---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
      NBA 27-17 61% / 17-11 61%
      Favs 13-8 62% / 7-6 54%
      Dogs 14-9 61% / 10-5 67%




      Comment
      • JerseyShop101
        Restricted User
        • 09-04-08
        • 2704

        #4
        DAY 8
        Tuesdays games, Picks in BLUE


        Team/Power Rating/Line-Off Difference
        New Jersey Nets +16 84 7
        Cleveland Cavaliers 107

        Washington Wizards 90
        Charlotte Bobcats -8.5 98 0.5

        Minnesota Timberwolves 92
        Philadelphia 76ers -7 98 1

        Chicago Bulls 95
        Indiana Pacers -2 96 1

        Houston Rockets 96
        Miami Heat -5 100 1

        Sacramento Kings +5.5 91 0.5
        New York Knicks 97

        Atlanta Hawks -1 97 1
        Memphis Grizzlies 97

        Detroit Pistons +8 86 8
        Milwaukee Bucks 102

        Dallas Mavericks +7 96 1
        Denver Nuggets 104

        Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 101 0.5
        Portland Trail Blazers 100

        Utah 104
        Los Angeles Clippers +5 92 7

        Comment
        • JerseyShop101
          Restricted User
          • 09-04-08
          • 2704

          #5
          DAY 8 Results:
          7-4

          Tuesdays games, Picks in BLUE

          Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
          New Jersey Nets +16 84 7 WINNER
          Cleveland Cavaliers 107

          Washington Wizards 90
          Charlotte Bobcats -8.5 98 0.5 LOST

          Minnesota Timberwolves 92
          Philadelphia 76ers -7 98 1 WINNER

          Chicago Bulls 95
          Indiana Pacers -2 96 1 LOST

          Houston Rockets 96
          Miami Heat -5 100 1 WINNER

          Sacramento Kings +5.5 91 0.5 WINNER
          New York Knicks 97

          Atlanta Hawks -1 97 1 WINNER
          Memphis Grizzlies 97

          Detroit Pistons +8 86 8 WINNER
          Milwaukee Bucks 102

          Dallas Mavericks +7 96 1 LOST
          Denver Nuggets 104

          Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 101 0.5 WINNER
          Portland Trail Blazers 100

          Utah 104
          Los Angeles Clippers +5 92 7 LOST


          Another good NBA day! 7-4

          Thru 8 Days:
          ---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
          NBA 34-21 62% / 19-12 61%
          Favs 17-10 63% / 7-6 54%
          Dogs 17-11 61% / 12-6 67%




          Comment
          • JerseyShop101
            Restricted User
            • 09-04-08
            • 2704

            #6
            DAY 9:
            2/10 Wednesday games, Picks in BLUE

            Team/Power Rating/Line Difference

            Miami Heat 99
            Atlanta Hawks -7 101 5

            Philadelphia 76ers 96
            Toronto Raptors -6 97 5

            Milwaukee Bucks 97
            New Jersey Nets +5 88 4

            ***Sacramento Kings +4.5 92 5.5
            Detroit Pistons 91

            Orlando Magic -4.5 100 3.5
            Chicago Bulls 99

            Boston Celtics 96
            ***New Orleans Hornets +4.5 100 8.5

            Charlotte Bobcats 97
            Minnesota Timberwolves +2 94 1

            Los Angeles Lakers 102
            Utah Jazz -5 107 0

            Portland Trail Blazers 96
            Phoenix Suns -9 102 3

            Los Angeles Clippers 89
            ***Golden State Warriors +1.5 93 5.5


            ***Wrong team favored games

            Comment
            • JerseyShop101
              Restricted User
              • 09-04-08
              • 2704

              #7
              DAY 9 Results:

              6-3


              2/10 Wednesday games, Picks in BLUE
              Team/Power Rating/Line Difference

              Miami Heat 99
              Atlanta Hawks -7 101 5 LOST

              Philadelphia 76ers 96
              Toronto Raptors -6 97 5 WINNER

              Milwaukee Bucks 97
              New Jersey Nets +5 88 4 LOST

              ***Sacramento Kings +4.5 92 5.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 103-97
              Detroit Pistons 91

              Orlando Magic -4.5 100 3.5 WINNER
              Chicago Bulls 99

              Boston Celtics 96
              ***New Orleans Hornets +4.5 100 8.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 93-85

              Charlotte Bobcats 97
              Minnesota Timberwolves +2 94 1 WINNER

              Los Angeles Lakers 102
              Utah -5 107 0

              Portland Trail Blazers 96
              Phoenix Suns -9 102 3 LOST

              Los Angeles Clippers 89
              ***Golden State Warriors +1.5 93 5.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 132-102

              ***Wrong team favored games



              Just cruising along, and hope it continues! 6-3 on Wednesday night! In the 9 days of doing this, we have had only 1 truly bad day of picking more losers than winners (we went 1-2 on 8Feb) and 2 days of losing juice!

              Thru 9 Days:
              ---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
              NBA 40-24 63% / 24-15 62%
              Favs 19-12 61% / 9-8 53%
              Dogs 21-12 64% / 15-7 68%

              Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)



              Comment
              • JerseyShop101
                Restricted User
                • 09-04-08
                • 2704

                #8
                DAY 10

                2/11 Thursday games, Picks in BLUE
                Team/Power Rating/Line Difference


                Orlando 102
                Cleveland -6 106 2

                San Antonio +5.5 98 2.5
                Denver 106

                Lets make some money!

                Comment
                • christyh7
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-30-09
                  • 274

                  #9
                  interesting stuff thanks!!
                  Comment
                  • JerseyShop101
                    Restricted User
                    • 09-04-08
                    • 2704

                    #10
                    Originally posted by christyh7
                    interesting stuff thanks!!
                    1 down, 1 to go!

                    Comment
                    • JerseyShop101
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-04-08
                      • 2704

                      #11
                      And the Wins continue! 2-0 night!

                      Thru 10 Days:
                      ---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
                      NBA 42-24 64% / 26-15 63%
                      Favs 20-12 63% / 10-8 56%
                      Dogs 22-12 65% / 16-7 69%

                      Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)



                      Next NBA games are Tuesday, 16 Feb.

                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        jersey what up.....havnt seen you in the college section in a minute....glad to see your doing good over here
                        Comment
                        • JerseyShop101
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-04-08
                          • 2704

                          #13
                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                          jersey what up.....havnt seen you in the college section in a minute....glad to see your doing good over here
                          Hi 2dabank!

                          Got caught up doing this basically Anti-Statfox System, and thankfully its working, at least for now

                          Wish we didn't have the break right now.

                          I hope all has been going good for you.

                          Comment
                          • azn624
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-29-09
                            • 2771

                            #14
                            Just saw this and see you've been doing good so far, gl the rest of the season jersey
                            Comment
                            • JerseyShop101
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-04-08
                              • 2704

                              #15
                              This is an Anti-Statfox system, with the exception of taking the dog when the dog has a higher Statfox rating (which I call our WTF- Wrong Team Favored plays). We look for differences in the spread of 2 or more. The whole basis is to question "Why does Pinnacle/Bookmaker have a line OFF by 2 or more points than what Statfox has? More times than not, the Bookmakers are correct and Statfox is wrong. These can be used as a foundation to your plays.

                              DAY 11
                              Tuesday, 2/16
                              PLAYS IN BLUE and RED

                              Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
                              New Jersey Nets +11 84 5
                              Charlotte Bobcats 100

                              ***Miami Heat +2 101 5
                              Philadelphia 76ers 98

                              Minnesota Timberwolves 91
                              Detroit Pistons -5.5 91 5.5

                              Dallas Mavericks +4.5 94 6.5
                              Oklahoma City Thunder 105

                              Phoenix Suns PK 98 2
                              Memphis Grizzlies 96

                              New York Knicks 93
                              Chicago Bulls -6.5 97 3.5

                              Utah 102
                              Houston Rockets +3 97 2

                              Los Angeles Clippers +7 87 6
                              Portland Trail Blazers 100

                              Boston Celtics -5.5 96 4.5
                              Sacramento Kings 95

                              Golden State Warriors 92
                              Los Angeles Lakers -13 107 2

                              ***Wrong team favored play


                              Phoenix was almost a WTF play but the line moved against it (MEM opened up at -1, but now its a pick).


                              Thru 10 Days:
                              ---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
                              NBA 42-24 64% / 26-15 63%
                              Favs 20-12 63% / 10-8 56%
                              Dogs 22-12 65% / 16-7 69%
                              Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)


                              Good luck tonight!

                              Comment
                              • christyh7
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 11-30-09
                                • 274

                                #16
                                Thanks for your picks!
                                Comment
                                • JerseyShop101
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 09-04-08
                                  • 2704

                                  #17
                                  Miami kicking azz! WTF dog plays going for 7-0 straight up!

                                  Woohoo!
                                  Comment
                                  • JerseyShop101
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-04-08
                                    • 2704

                                    #18
                                    6-4 on Tuesday night.

                                    Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays now at unreal 7-0. Phoenix could of been considered a WTF play when they were +1 in overnight, morning and afternoon, but the line had moved to a pick.


                                    Updated Stats Thru 11 Days:
                                    ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                    NBA 48-28 63% / 32-19 63%
                                    Favs 22-13 63% / 12-9 57%
                                    Dogs 26-15 63% / 20-10 67%
                                    Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 7-0 100% (All 7 won outright)

                                    (4 Feb) Portland +2 against San Antonio (Port won 96-93)
                                    (5 Feb) Milwaukee +2 against New York (Milw won 114-107)
                                    (7 Feb) Orlando +2.5 against Boston (Orl won 96-89)
                                    (10Feb) Sacramento +4.5 against Detroit (Sac won 103-97)
                                    (10Feb) New Orleans +4.5 against Boston (NO won 93-85)
                                    (10Feb) Golden State +1.5 against LA Clippers (GS won 132-102)
                                    (16Feb) Miami Heat +2 against Philadelphia (Miami won 105-78)



                                    Comment
                                    • yomillionaire
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-01-08
                                      • 919

                                      #19
                                      Not bad last night Jersey, tailed you on 3 games all winners Gl today bro.
                                      Comment
                                      • JerseyShop101
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 09-04-08
                                        • 2704

                                        #20
                                        Thank yo!

                                        Hoping it continues, especially with our 7-0 record on the line for the WTF "Wrong Team Favored" plays.
                                        It could of been 8-0 but Phoenix moved from +1 to a pick.
                                        Comment
                                        • JerseyShop101
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-04-08
                                          • 2704

                                          #21
                                          DAY 12
                                          Wednesday 2/17
                                          PLAYS IN BLUE and RED

                                          Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
                                          Memphis Grizzlies 92
                                          Toronto Raptors -7 98 1

                                          Minnesota Timberwolves 89
                                          Washington Wizards -5 94 0

                                          San Antonio Spurs -5 100 0
                                          Indiana Pacers 95

                                          Detroit Pistons +11 90 4
                                          Orlando Magic 105

                                          ***Chicago Bulls +2.5 96 4.5
                                          New York Knicks 94

                                          Miami Heat 103
                                          New Jersey Nets +7 89 7

                                          Houston Rockets +5.5 94 1.5
                                          Milwaukee Bucks 101

                                          Utah Jazz -4 102 2
                                          New Orleans Hornets 100

                                          ***Phoenix Suns +4 99 6
                                          Dallas Mavericks 97

                                          Sacramento Kings 92
                                          Golden State Warriors -4.5 95 1.5

                                          Atlanta Hawks 96
                                          Los Angeles Clippers +6 89 1

                                          Updated Stats Thru 11 Days:
                                          ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                          NBA 48-28 63% / 32-19 63%
                                          Favs 22-13 63% / 12-9 57%
                                          Dogs 26-15 63% / 20-10 67%
                                          ***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 7-0 100% (All 7 won outright)


                                          Good luck tonight!

                                          Comment
                                          • AceofSP2107
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-28-09
                                            • 717

                                            #22
                                            Good luck shop hoping to see you MLB
                                            Comment
                                            • AceofSP2107
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 07-28-09
                                              • 717

                                              #23
                                              5-4 not bad still a plus
                                              Comment
                                              • JerseyShop101
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 09-04-08
                                                • 2704

                                                #24
                                                Thanks AceofSp!

                                                Comment
                                                • AceofSP2107
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-28-09
                                                  • 717

                                                  #25
                                                  Any plays tonight ?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JerseyShop101
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 09-04-08
                                                    • 2704

                                                    #26
                                                    5-4 on Wednesday night.

                                                    Updated Stats Thru 12 Days:
                                                    ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                                    NBA 53-32 62% / 35-21 63%
                                                    Favs 24-14 63% / 13-9 59%
                                                    Dogs 29-18 62% / 22-12 65%
                                                    ***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)


                                                    Comment
                                                    • JerseyShop101
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 09-04-08
                                                      • 2704

                                                      #27
                                                      Thursday games:

                                                      Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
                                                      Denver 101
                                                      Cleveland -6.5 106 1.5

                                                      Boston +3 96 8
                                                      LA Lakers 107
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JerseyShop101
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 09-04-08
                                                        • 2704

                                                        #28
                                                        1-1 on Thursday night.

                                                        Boston was the win, which was the Dog and also was the only Diff Off 2&Up play. (The two categories which have a better win %)

                                                        Updated Stats Thru 13 Days:
                                                        ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                                        NBA 54-33 62% / 36-21 63%
                                                        Favs 24-15 62% / 13-9 59%
                                                        Dogs 30-18 63% / 23-12 66%
                                                        ***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)




                                                        Comment
                                                        • AceofSP2107
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-28-09
                                                          • 717

                                                          #29
                                                          Jerz i need you help got crushed in cbsk now im sticking with nba i hope this crushes so i can win some money back
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JerseyShop101
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-04-08
                                                            • 2704

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by AceofSP2107
                                                            Jerz i need you help got crushed in cbsk now im sticking with nba i hope this crushes so i can win some money back
                                                            We've all been there, thats for sure. CBB got me this year also. I hope you can make a nice bounce back through this weekend.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • PacmanJr_00
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 09-10-09
                                                              • 221

                                                              #31
                                                              appreciate your work
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JerseyShop101
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 09-04-08
                                                                • 2704

                                                                #32
                                                                Thanks Pac and everyone!

                                                                DAY 14
                                                                Friday 2/19:

                                                                PLAYS IN BLUE and RED

                                                                Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
                                                                DEN NUGGETS 102
                                                                WAS WIZARDS +6 94 2

                                                                CLE CAVALIERS -4.5 102 0.5
                                                                CHA BOBCATS 98

                                                                SA SPURS 100
                                                                PHI 76`ERS +3 96 1

                                                                MIL BUCKS 95
                                                                DET PISTONS +1 92 2

                                                                DAL MAVERICKS +7 95 4
                                                                ORL MAGIC 106

                                                                IND PACERS +4.5 92 3.5
                                                                NO HORNETS 100

                                                                CHI BULLS 96
                                                                MIN T`WOLVES +1 92 3

                                                                TOR RAPTORS 94
                                                                NJ NETS +2.5 90 1.5

                                                                ***MIA HEAT +6.5 102 12.5
                                                                MEM GRIZZLIES 96

                                                                ATL HAWKS 97
                                                                PHO SUNS -4 101 0

                                                                UTAH -5 102 0
                                                                GS WARRIORS 97

                                                                BOS CELTICS +3 97 1
                                                                POR TRAIL BLAZERS 101

                                                                Be careful with Miami tonight (even though its a wrong team favored situation) because Wade is out and this is also the biggest amount of pts we have seen for this situation.

                                                                Good luck tonight!


                                                                Updated Stats Thru 13 Days:
                                                                ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                                                NBA 54-33 62% / 36-21 63%
                                                                Favs 24-15 62% / 13-9 59%
                                                                Dogs 30-18 63% / 23-12 66%
                                                                ***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JerseyShop101
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 09-04-08
                                                                  • 2704

                                                                  #33
                                                                  5-5 for Friday, but WTF play winning continues!

                                                                  Updated Stats Thru 14 Days:
                                                                  ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                                                  NBA 59-38 61% / 39-24 62%
                                                                  Favs 24-16 60% / 13-9 59%
                                                                  Dogs 35-22 61% / 26-15 63%
                                                                  ***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 9-1 90% (The 9 wins have all won outright)
                                                                  (4 Feb) Portland +2 against San Antonio (Port won outright 96-93)
                                                                  (5 Feb) Milwaukee +2 against New York (Milw won outright 114-107)
                                                                  (7 Feb) Orlando +2.5 against Boston (Orl won outright 96-89)
                                                                  (10Feb) Sacramento +4.5 against Detroit (Sac won outright 103-97)
                                                                  (10Feb) New Orleans +4.5 against Boston (NO won outright 93-85)
                                                                  (10Feb) Golden State +1.5 against LA Clippers (GS won outright 132-102)
                                                                  (16Feb) Miami Heat +2 against Philadelphia (Miami won outright 105-78)
                                                                  (17Feb) Chicago +2.5 against New York (Chicago won outright 115-109)
                                                                  (17Feb) Phoenix +4 against Dallas (Phoenix LOST 97-107)
                                                                  (19Feb) Miami +6.5 against Memphis (Miami won outright 87-84)




                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JerseyShop101
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-04-08
                                                                    • 2704

                                                                    #34
                                                                    DAY 15
                                                                    Saturday, 2/19

                                                                    PLAYS IN BLUE and RED

                                                                    Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
                                                                    WAS WIZARDS 93
                                                                    TOR RAPTORS -6.5 98 1.5

                                                                    OKL THUNDER 102
                                                                    NY KNICKS +5 94 3

                                                                    PHI 76`ERS +4.5 94 0.5
                                                                    CHI BULLS 99

                                                                    ***MIA HEAT +10.5 103 13.5
                                                                    DAL MAVERICKS 100

                                                                    IND PACERS +7.5 92 0.5
                                                                    HOU ROCKETS 100

                                                                    CHA BOBCATS 97
                                                                    MIL BUCKS -3 98 2

                                                                    SAC KINGS 90
                                                                    LA CLIPPERS +1 88 1

                                                                    WTF Play Miami +10.5!!!
                                                                    The +480 Moneyline is almost too much too resist, well almost, lol.
                                                                    Much safer with the points and lot less stress.



                                                                    Updated Stats Thru 14 Days:
                                                                    ---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
                                                                    NBA 59-38 61% / 39-24 62%
                                                                    Favs 24-16 60% / 13-9 59%
                                                                    Dogs 35-22 61% / 26-15 63%

                                                                    ***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 9-1 90% (The 9 wins have all won outright)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • krazey47409
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-04-09
                                                                      • 2431

                                                                      #35
                                                                      i never seen this before but whatever your doing keep doing it
                                                                      Comment
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