5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Wednesday, 2-7, -4.40u
(IND, NY. CHA, ORL, PHI, ATL, MEM, LAC, POR) YTD 250-461, +35.79u
(since the ASB: 41-96, -29.92u)
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Wednesday, 4-5, -1.25u YTD 372-327 (.532) +28.65u
(since the ASB: 64-70 (.478) -9.50u)
Eight teams with a power rating of 60 or better. That’s something new this year, as far as I can remember.
POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 77
2 CLE 67
3 DAL 65
4 MIA 65
5 UTH 65
6 CHI 62
7 PHX 61
8 DET 60
9 GS 54
10 HOU 53
11 TOR 52
12 PHI 52
13 MIL 51
14 POR 49
15 ORL 47
16 DEN 47
17 WAS 47
18 NJ 46
19 BOS 46
20 NY 46
21 LAC 45
22 SAC 44
23 ATL 44
24 SEA 44
25 NOK 41
26 CHA 38
27 MIN 36
28 LAX 36
29 MEM 35
30 IND 31
EDGAR LINES FOR 03.15.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)
NJ 2.8/132 over MIA
MIL 2.1/123 over SAN
DEN 5.6/197 over LAX
STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)
MIA +157, NJ -112
SAN +147, MIL -104
LAX +239, DEN -164
At this point there does not seem to be a significant drop-off in performance at the higher %-OFF levels. So in the interest of simplicity I’m not going to run the chart of “20%-OFF” markers any more.
5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Thursday, 1-0, +2.90u
(MIL) YTD 251-461, +38.69u
(since the ASB: 42-96, -27.02u)
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Thursday, 1-0, +1.00u YTD 373-327 (.533) +29.65u
(since the ASB: 65-70 (.481) -8.50u)