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  • jgbgsox
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-16-09
    • 5774

    #526
    right now atl/brk is 2-2 i can get atl to win series 4-2 at +100 which i think they win the next 2 i am really thinking about making this a 10 unit play if they win tonight i could hedge next game in brk and get brk at plus money or wait for a live play only way i wouldn't profit on this is if they loose at home tonight which i don't think they will don't know why im even debating this
    Comment
    • jihadvillager
      SBR MVP
      • 11-25-11
      • 2134

      #527
      like you said what could go wrong is if they lose at home tonight. probably wont happen but brooklyn played them close before and anyone can win in the NBA- you're risking 10 units for a potential smaller profit/break even on a hedge
      Comment
      • jgbgsox
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-16-09
        • 5774

        #528
        Originally posted by jihadvillager
        like you said what could go wrong is if they lose at home tonight. probably wont happen but brooklyn played them close before and anyone can win in the NBA- you're risking 10 units for a potential smaller profit/break even on a hedge
        atl in game 6 will probally be a 4 to 5 point favorite ml probally will be 190-210 so 5 units will get u 10 so u still make 5 units as long as they win tonight or u could wait for a live play depending how game is going to make 5 units tonight u would have to bet 22 units im going to give it a shot good luck if u tail
        Comment
        • jgbgsox
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-16-09
          • 5774

          #529
          atl to win series +100 10 units
          Comment
          • dvb02
            SBR MVP
            • 06-30-09
            • 2941

            #530
            Originally posted by jgbgsox
            atl to win series +100 10 units
            My book has Atlanta to win the series at -700 ?????
            Comment
            • dvb02
              SBR MVP
              • 06-30-09
              • 2941

              #531
              Originally posted by dvb02
              My book has Atlanta to win the series at -700 ?????
              My other book has it at -750
              Comment
              • jihadvillager
                SBR MVP
                • 11-25-11
                • 2134

                #532
                I think he means Exact Series Outcome - Atlanta Wins 4-2 (my book doesnt have this anymore but i'm sure a lot of places do)
                Comment
                • jgbgsox
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-16-09
                  • 5774

                  #533
                  yes to win series 4-2 played it at 5 dimes
                  Comment
                  • dvb02
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-30-09
                    • 2941

                    #534
                    OK, thanks for the clarification! Good luck today/tonight gentlemen!
                    Comment
                    • Goat Milk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 25850

                      #535
                      not a good spread unless the Hawks blow out the Nets tonight. If they win by a slim margin, the line in game 6 in Brooklyn parlayed with today's ml would probably give you a better payout than +100.
                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                      Comment
                      • jgbgsox
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-16-09
                        • 5774

                        #536
                        Originally posted by Goat Milk
                        not a good spread unless the Hawks blow out the Nets tonight. If they win by a slim margin, the line in game 6 in Brooklyn parlayed with today's ml would probably give you a better payout than +100.
                        lots of ifs i still like my chances here but thank u for heads up
                        Comment
                        • spargament
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-22-09
                          • 1739

                          #537
                          Yeah....uh, why not parlay games 5 and 6 and take the spread tonight also, less risk, close to identical reward.
                          Comment
                          • jihadvillager
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-25-11
                            • 2134

                            #538
                            moneyline parlay Hawks G5 G6 pays out much less than +100; so he wouldn't be able to profit as much with his hedge strategy if he were to do it that way.

                            Example: Parlay Moneyline ATL G5 today -465 with G6 -200; 122 pays 100.35 so its roughly -122; hence Sox's method of taking Win in 6 +100 is better than the moneyline parlay
                            Comment
                            • jgbgsox
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-16-09
                              • 5774

                              #539
                              well got the one we needed
                              Comment
                              • jihadvillager
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-25-11
                                • 2134

                                #540
                                Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                port +205 to win series 5 units to win 10.25 think this will be a 7 game series and can always hedge in game 7 L -5.00
                                Thread Total 131-103 +61.70 units
                                Comment
                                • jgbgsox
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-16-09
                                  • 5774

                                  #541
                                  see nets +160 for game 6 right now might be a live play in but not sure if ill be able to post cause of work
                                  Comment
                                  • jgbgsox
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-16-09
                                    • 5774

                                    #542
                                    wash/rangers under 5 -125
                                    cal +170

                                    Calgary to win series +210 2 units
                                    Comment
                                    • jgbgsox
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-16-09
                                      • 5774

                                      #543
                                      bulls -165 2 units
                                      Comment
                                      • spargament
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-22-09
                                        • 1739

                                        #544
                                        Originally posted by jihadvillager
                                        moneyline parlay Hawks G5 G6 pays out much less than +100; so he wouldn't be able to profit as much with his hedge strategy if he were to do it that way.

                                        Example: Parlay Moneyline ATL G5 today -465 with G6 -200; 122 pays 100.35 so its roughly -122; hence Sox's method of taking Win in 6 +100 is better than the moneyline parlay
                                        AND the spread separately would have been better than EV+..
                                        Comment
                                        • jihadvillager
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-25-11
                                          • 2134

                                          #545
                                          Originally posted by spargament
                                          AND the spread separately would have been better than EV+..
                                          yes, but the hawks could have not covered the spread
                                          Comment
                                          • spargament
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-22-09
                                            • 1739

                                            #546
                                            Originally posted by jihadvillager
                                            yes, but the hawks could have not covered the spread
                                            Totally true but it would have created more room for error for Game 6.
                                            Comment
                                            • Vreston
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-12-09
                                              • 1428

                                              #547
                                              Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                              bulls -165 2 units
                                              I want to take the Bulls too. My team so I'm too partial. I'm still thinking about it. If it wasn't for Giannis Antetokounmpo I would jump on it. I really like that kid. He's taken the Bucks to another level and he's only 20! Either way, I hope you hit it!
                                              Comment
                                              • jgbgsox
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-16-09
                                                • 5774

                                                #548
                                                Originally posted by Vreston
                                                I want to take the Bulls too. My team so I'm too partial. I'm still thinking about it. If it wasn't for Giannis Antetokounmpo I would jump on it. I really like that kid. He's taken the Bucks to another level and he's only 20! Either way, I hope you hit it!
                                                scared money don't make money lol good luck
                                                Comment
                                                • jgbgsox
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-16-09
                                                  • 5774

                                                  #549
                                                  would like to bet some nfl draft but not going to be able to enjoy it so f**k it 2nd shift blowssssssss
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vreston
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-12-09
                                                    • 1428

                                                    #550
                                                    Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                                    scared money don't make money lol good luck
                                                    That is a truth! I'm taking the Bulls -3.5!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jihadvillager
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-25-11
                                                      • 2134

                                                      #551
                                                      Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                                      wash/rangers under 5 -125 W +1.00
                                                      cal +170 L -1.00
                                                      bulls -165 2 units W +2.00
                                                      NHL Playoff YTD 16-10 +22.04 units
                                                      Thread Total 133-104 +63.70 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jgbgsox
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-16-09
                                                        • 5774

                                                        #552
                                                        have atl +100 for 10 units to win 4-2 going to hedge a little with hawks to win series 4-3+ 222 for 4.5 units so if they win tonight still make 5.5 units they lose tonight and win game 7 ill basically break even only way I get screwed is if they loose series then ill drop 13.5 but don't see them loosing series but shit happens still worth a shot in my opinion
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jihadvillager
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-25-11
                                                          • 2134

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                                          have atl +100 for 10 units to win 4-2 going to hedge a little with hawks to win series 4-3+ 222 for 4.5 units so if they win tonight still make 5.5 units they lose tonight and win game 7 ill basically break even only way I get screwed is if they loose series then ill drop 13.5 but don't see them loosing series but shit happens still worth a shot in my opinion
                                                          Atlanta Wins 4-2 Exact Outcome +100 (Hedged) W +5.50

                                                          Thread Total 134-104 +69.20 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jgbgsox
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-16-09
                                                            • 5774

                                                            #554
                                                            Kentucky derby I played mubtaahiz
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jihadvillager
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-25-11
                                                              • 2134

                                                              #555
                                                              Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                                              Kentucky derby I played mubtaahiz
                                                              1 unit? or non official play? also what odds did you get?. I see Mubtaahij +1200 to win KY derby
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jgbgsox
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-16-09
                                                                • 5774

                                                                #556
                                                                right now I see +1800 at my book but going to take a ride to casino to play it non official play probally just throw down 75 dollars 25 to win 25 to place 25 to show
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jgbgsox
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-16-09
                                                                  • 5774

                                                                  #557
                                                                  under wash 2.5 -180 3 units

                                                                  rangers +120 to win series 2 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jihadvillager
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-25-11
                                                                    • 2134

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                                                    right now I see +1800 at my book but going to take a ride to casino to play it non official play probally just throw down 75 dollars 25 to win 25 to place 25 to show
                                                                    haha. thank you sox. I guess iw on't play it since the odds are so short on my line and non official. Thanks for sharing though!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jgbgsox
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-16-09
                                                                      • 5774

                                                                      #559
                                                                      hope we can start the day off with a win need a good defensive effort by ny in 3rd
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jgbgsox
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-16-09
                                                                        • 5774

                                                                        #560
                                                                        got it but had to sweat it
                                                                        Comment
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