2014/15 NBA Thread

BadLuckSanta · 05-08-15, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Wanted to take a Bulls win 4-1 prop but the odds are not great. +1000 just doesn't cut it here.

They're -120 tonight, if they win probably -105 in game 4 and if they win again probably +225 in game 5. That comes to about +1050, I would've wanted the actual odds I was getting to be much better than that to bet it.

No doubt in my mind they win both at home, then you'd expect the Cavs to stay alive in game 5 but they'll probably be done at that point. I would've taken +1300.

so why not just slam both games at home with 100x

t-wizzle · 05-08-15, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by BadLuckSanta

so why not just slam both games at home with 100x

You being a wise guy here?

Seto · 05-08-15, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

You being a wise guy here?

I have no previous history with this guy but almost every time I've seen him post a pick he's lost, particularly betting on the Cavs. So if he takes them I may have to up my bet from 8x to 100x?

t-wizzle · 05-08-15, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by Seto

I have no previous history with this guy but almost every time I've seen him post a pick he's lost, particularly betting on the Cavs. So if he takes them I may have to up my bet from 8x to 100x?

I find it very curious that he would come into your thread and do that. Maybe he thinks you work for SBR as well.

NBA Maniac · 05-08-15, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by Seto

I have no previous history with this guy but almost every time I've seen him post a pick he's lost, particularly betting on the Cavs. So if he takes them I may have to up my bet from 8x to 100x?

There is also 1 guy with nick Harnes & Barnes, or something like that, he is a very good guy to fade too lol

BadLuckSanta · 05-08-15, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by Seto

I have no previous history with this guy but almost every time I've seen him post a pick he's lost, particularly betting on the Cavs. So if he takes them I may have to up my bet from 8x to 100x?

settle down Seto
I have almost never bet on the cavs, and if I have I probably did not post it
and I did not come here to berate you
I just know you're a bulls fan and was wondering if you were going to be super bias about this game or if you had any other insight others on this forum dont.

it's a coin flip and tough for anyone to say "I have no doubt the bulls win both games at home"

Seto · 05-08-15, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by BadLuckSanta

settle down Seto
I have almost never bet on the cavs, and if I have I probably did not post it
and I did not come here to berate you
I just know you're a bulls fan and was wondering if you were going to be super bias about this game or if you had any other insight others on this forum dont.

it's a coin flip and tough for anyone to say "I have no doubt the bulls win both games at home"

Do I really have to dig up the threads? I swear, the delusion of SBR posters....

I am not even close to being a Bulls fan. I just think they are better than Cleveland and have all year so it might give off that impression. Was I also a Heat fan all year 3 years ago when I said they'd beat OKC handily winning all 3 games at home and this whole board was so high on OKC? Was I a Spurs fan last year when I said they'd hammer Miami in the finals before the conference finals even started?

Seto · 05-08-15, 04:26 PM

To clarify also I am not a LeBron James hater. Hell, I even bought his fukking jersey as a souvenir when I went to see the finals in Miami 3 years ago. That's not to say I'm a fan either, but at the very least I respect his talent (and appreciate all the money I've made over his Heat years fading or backing his team - they were like a lucky charm

) even if I think he also has a bit of the loser gene that comes to the surface every now and then.

I just find his fans and nuthuggers very annoying and full of excuses. Every time he loses either he tanked the game, or it's his teammates' fault... Guy can do no wrong. Oh and when he wants to win nobody can stop him, he's just too bored to care all the time. Guy could average 60 a game and go 98-0 in a season if you listen to some people

Seto · 05-08-15, 06:33 PM

Derrick Rose over 19.5 points -110 (ladbrokes) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
Derrick Rose over 29.5 points +700 (ladbrokes) (risking 0.5x to win 3.5x)

Whole talk is about how he sucks on 1 day's rest. I think he comes up big tonight. 20 isn't that big of an ask and the odds on 30 certainly seem worth it to me.

Seto · 05-08-15, 06:38 PM

Hope 5Dimes hurry up bringing out the Rockets/Clippers props

NBA Maniac · 05-08-15, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Derrick Rose over 19.5 points -110 (ladbrokes) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
Derrick Rose over 29.5 points +700 (ladbrokes) (risking 0.5x to win 3.5x)

Whole talk is about how he sucks on 1 day's rest. I think he comes up big tonight. 20 isn't that big of an ask and the odds on 30 certainly seem worth it to me.

The places i'm using atm don't have those props, too bad, because i was looking at it because of resting days controversy.
Lets not forget coach was also complaining because of he not going to the Ft line.

freeeze · 05-08-15, 07:03 PM

Agree on the Rose prop. He'll be huge for the Bulls tonight.

Howard over 19.5 might be worth a look in the later game.

freeeze · 05-08-15, 08:17 PM

This Dellavedova fukk has turned into Patty Mills all of a sudden.

Seto · 05-08-15, 09:17 PM

Rockets/Clippers largest lead under 15.5 -108 (risking 3.23x to win 3x)

Got 1.5x at +100 and 1.5x at -115.

Awesome game going on right now. Hope Chicago can bring it home.

NBA Maniac · 05-08-15, 09:40 PM

I never won a bet when the games goes to the OT.
If i have the dog he doesn't cover, if i have the favorite he loses SU or doesn't cover

NBA Maniac · 05-08-15, 09:40 PM

UAU ahahahahah
D. Roseeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

freeeze · 05-08-15, 09:43 PM

Yessssssss. Feels so good to be on the right end on one of those games.

Seto · 05-08-15, 09:43 PM

Unbelievable how he was also missing exactly 3 points to go to 30. Just one of those games where everything goes right. Even stuff that seemed originally like they were gonna cost you (the JR Smith 3).

Seto · 05-08-15, 09:49 PM

Some thoughts on the game: every time the Bulls got the lead and looked like they were ready to make a push to extend it, some role player on Cleveland like a Dellevadova or a James Jones or a Shumpert made a big 3. I feel like James' struggles from the field were mostly due to unbelievably good defense and Cleveland didn't play that bad here and did very well to hang around. The only thing that really went wrong for them is Irving. Did he really get injured at the start of the game? Dude looked like a total mess other than his jumper.

I feel confident going into game 4 after seeing this. Everyone will jump on the fact that the game was close despite James and Irving shooting poorly. I really think you have to take into account that their role players won't play as well. My guess would be the Bulls' bench will be the story of game 4. Unless James has 40 and Irving has 25-30 I don't see how Cleveland wins game 4. Can it happen? Sure, but I'm not banking on it and if it does I'll just deal with it.

James also played the full 48 or something close to that I think fwiw. Butler probably did too but he's younger and he's used to it with Thibs lol.

Seto · 05-08-15, 09:55 PM

Oh and I was comparing this series to OKC/LAC last year - pretty much spot on so far. Road team wins game 1, home team responds with a blowout in game 2, exceptional back-and-forth game in game 3. Of course the team that won game 3 changes here but still a fairly good comparison.

Seto · 05-08-15, 09:58 PM

Opened at pk and Cavs now a short fave in game 4. Was to be expected. I haven't decided yet if I'm riding out the future or taking Chicago again but I definitely think they win this game.

oldscho0led · 05-08-15, 10:39 PM

will Gasol play though?

bryant81 · 05-08-15, 11:59 PM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

will Gasol play though?

I hope not. Their best lineup includes Mirotic and Gibson up front and Thibs won't go to it if Gasol is healthy.

Seto · 05-09-15, 01:22 AM

Gasol has been pretty bad to me in the playoffs. I know he's had lots of double doubles but he's looked extremely slow on both ends. Probably played too many minutes in the regular season.

I'm not sure if I'd go so far as to say I'd rather he doesn't play but they certainly looked better without him out there today.

Seto · 05-09-15, 01:25 AM

Today: 3-1, +9.77x
Total: 200-311-11, +63.29x

Shame about that last prop, no regrets though I felt pretty good about it. 23-0 run did me in. Houston is probably cooked. Their series bet was a bad play.

That said I thought the Clippers were cooked after game 3 in San Antonio and they came back in game 4 so what the fuk do I know. I say it all the time but I swear I can never ever figure those fukks out.

Seto · 05-09-15, 01:28 AM

Looks like I wasn't able to get the best number on Memphis. That's a shame cause I think it might be decided around that. Probably a very close game.

Probably leaving Hawks/Wizards alone at this point. Maybe a small play on Washington, I'll decide late.

bryant81 · 05-09-15, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Gasol has been pretty bad to me in the playoffs. I know he's had lots of double doubles but he's looked extremely slow on both ends. Probably played too many minutes in the regular season.

I'm not sure if I'd go so far as to say I'd rather he doesn't play but they certainly looked better without him out there today.

Ideally, I would like Pau to be 100% as long as Thibs finishes with Mirotic + Gibson (and plays them more throughout the game). However, I just feel that if Pau is healthy, that won't happen (Thibs is very stubborn). And if it takes a Pau injury for the Bulls to put out there best lineup, then that is what is best for them.

NBA Maniac · 05-09-15, 02:37 PM

Seto, T. Allen didn't get the memo, they were the 2nd team on defense ahahahah (Utah was the 1st team on defense, penetrating amazing)
Let's not forget Warriors were 1st team on atack.
Lets see what happens on game 3.

RavensFan2k3 · 05-09-15, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

Seto, T. Allen didn't get the memo, they were the 2nd team on defense ahahahah (Utah was the 1st team on defense, penetrating amazing)
Let's not forget Warriors were 1st team on atack.
Lets see what happens on game 3.

Pretty sure he was refering to himself being on the 1st team all NBA defense team

NBA Maniac · 05-09-15, 03:26 PM

t-wizzle/Seto, what you think about J. Teague condition ?
He tweaked is ankle on 1st qrt, on game 1, and for me doesn't look the same player...

Seto · 05-09-15, 04:05 PM

Wizards+4.5 -108 (5dimes) (risking 2.16x to win 2x)

Seto · 05-09-15, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Pretty sure he was refering to himself being on the 1st team all NBA defense team

Seto · 05-09-15, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

t-wizzle/Seto, what you think about J. Teague condition ?
He tweaked is ankle on 1st qrt, on game 1, and for me doesn't look the same player...

I don't know, I haven't noticed anything. I've never thought he was anything special so it's not like I'd notice if he was playing badly or anything.

Seto · 05-09-15, 07:00 PM

NO/GS episode 2. At least I didn't have to sweat OT this time. Fukking bullshit.

I wanted to bet largest lead under on the second game but props are already off the board for some reason at 5D (thought they would wait at least til 8pm)? Or maybe they never came out?

Seto · 05-09-15, 07:05 PM

Stephen Curry over 26.5 -120 (ladbrokes) (risking 1.2x to win 1x)

I have no idea if this is a good number or not since nobody else has props still out but I wanted to get a unit on this. I think Memphis is more intent on taking the other guys away. He should make some of those shots he missed in game 2. Also he scores a lot on the road this postseason, think he had 38 and 36 in New Orleans or something like that.