2014/15 NBA Thread

[mlb]

Yup they are -850 for the series (which makes Cavs/GSW finals about -160) and -162 to win it all. Did well getting about -110 on both.

I'd be nothing short of shocked if everything didn't go according to plan in the remaining 3 series. They still have to play the games though.

sorry maybe missed this, but off for a few days - whats your "plan" for remaining games?

i still hold my 28/1 on cleveland and trying to figure out what to do with it.

[amrit]

What book did you find Cavs vs GSW finals match-up at -110, I couldn't find that. I do have a chunk of money of GSW to win the west at -170, and added more at -110 when they down 2-1 to Memphis, as well as -110 to win the title. My eggs are all in the GSW basket, need them to pull this out.

[t-wizzle]

Great win on Rockets bro. I lean Warriors tonight.

[Seto]

sorry maybe missed this, but off for a few days - whats your "plan" for remaining games?

i still hold my 28/1 on cleveland and trying to figure out what to do with it.

To win it all I assume and not just the East?

Tough position. I really can't see them winning more than 1 game, mayyyybe 2 against Golden State. That said I can't see them losing to Atlanta either. If you have 100 on the 28/1 I'd put 1500 on the Dubs to win it all or something but it's a tough position to be in.

My plan is just to hope I'm right. I bet my tickets before game 7 of the Clippers/Rockets series and I doubt I'll have a change of heart at any point even if 1 series gets off to a rough start.

[Seto]

What book did you find Cavs vs GSW finals match-up at -110, I couldn't find that. I do have a chunk of money of GSW to win the west at -170, and added more at -110 when they down 2-1 to Memphis, as well as -110 to win the title. My eggs are all in the GSW basket, need them to pull this out.

It was available at -110 at 5Dimes then quickly shot up to -160 that day (think it was Saturday). That said most books had Warriors to win the West around -300 and Cavs series around -225 so you could parlay both of those and get something around -110.

[Seto]

Great win on Rockets bro. I lean Warriors tonight.

Not my smartest bet ever but I'll take every win I can get. It's been an up and down season for me where many things haven't made sense so I guess that series kinda fits the bill. Just hoping to end it strong here. I've never gotten the championship winner wrong since I've started following the league and this year I'm determined not to do anything stupid like last year when I parlayed Spurs to win it all with Djokovic to win the French

Yeah we have a classic situation of momentum vs fatigue. I'm not sure what to make of it. I don't think Houston matches up well here so I'd say Golden State probably ends up covering.

[Seto]

I wanted to take Warriors-2.5 games but it's -145 was hoping for +100 to +120 or so...

[mlb]

To win it all I assume and not just the East?

Tough position. I really can't see them winning more than 1 game, mayyyybe 2 against Golden State. That said I can't see them losing to Atlanta either. If you have 100 on the 28/1 I'd put 1500 on the Dubs to win it all or something but it's a tough position to be in.

My plan is just to hope I'm right. I bet my tickets before game 7 of the Clippers/Rockets series and I doubt I'll have a change of heart at any point even if 1 series gets off to a rough start.

Yeah to win it all.

I have 200 on 28/1 so pays 5600.

What would the Warriors be against the Cavs in the finals. -170ish?

[Seto]

Yeah to win it all.

I have 200 on 28/1 so pays 5600.

What would the Warriors be against the Cavs in the finals. -170ish?

5Dimes actually already has a line out for potential finals matchups. As of now Warriors -235/Cavs +195.

[Seto]

Warriors to win 4-0 +400 (sportingbet) (risking 2.26x to win 9.03x)
Warriors to win 4-1 +180 (5dimes) (risking 4.03x to win 7.26x)

(essentially a 5 unit play on Warriors-2.5 games at -126 so I did ok to get much better than -145).

Cavs series-1.5 games -106 (+100 paddy power/-110 5dimes) (risking 5.32x to win 5x)
Cavs to win 4-0 +730 (+800 william hill/+700 paddy power/+700 bet365) (risking 1x to win 7.3x)

Might be my final bets of the season along with my 2 bigger futures. Might not. We'll see.

[amrit]

I will honestly be surprised if Cavs win in 5 or less. You may be right, but I don't think ATL is as bad as most people think. They have had a lot of open looks not fall for them, which can turn around at any point. I think this series goes 6 games.

[Seto]

I will honestly be surprised if Cavs win in 5 or less. You may be right, but I don't think ATL is as bad as most people think. They have had a lot of open looks not fall for them, which can turn around at any point. I think this series goes 6 games.

Most people I see actually have this being sensibly close, ie Cavs in 6 or so. I've also seen a decent amount of people predicting a Hawks series win. Not that many people predicting as quick a series as I am.

Houston fought hard yesterday but came up short. They probably get blown out in game 2.

[killersweet]

Seto, what do you think about tonight's game?

[Seto]

Seto, what do you think about tonight's game?

I'll like the Cavs in basically every game tbh. Thinking that sweep really has a great shot. Certainly very comforted in my opinion based on what I saw yesterday bar the last few minutes of the game with these stupid LeBron iso bricks.

[Seto]

Sorta considering taking Golden State tonight but I could just ride out the fact that I need them to win the game...

Maybe I'll just take alt spreads on them.

[t-wizzle]

I lean Golden State as well.

[Seto]

Looks like Houston really found some resilience in the Clippers series. A couple weeks ago this would have been a 30 point blowout, no question about it.

Warriors can't think this is done. Houston might be a play in game 3. Not sure though.

[NBA Maniac]

I would loved to see Clippers v Warriors.

[Seto]

I would loved to see Clippers v Warriors.

This has been a good series so far through 2 games. Nothing to complain about imo. You have to hand it to Houston for the way they're competing. I'm not sure the Clippers would be doing better at all.

[KRIT]

This has been a good series so far through 2 games. Nothing to complain about imo. You have to hand it to Houston for the way they're competing. I'm not sure the Clippers would be doing better at all.

Anytime Houston gives effort you have to give them credit. Put a gold star next to their name. I took GS on alt spreads in both games 1 and 2 thinking Houston would lay down in at least one of them. Proved me wrong, I guess they do have some pride and heart.

[Seto]

Anytime Houston gives effort you have to give them credit. Put a gold star next to their name. I took GS on alt spreads in both games 1 and 2 thinking Houston would lay down in at least one of them. Proved me wrong, I guess they do have some pride and heart.

I can't decide if they're dangerous yet. I guess it wouldn't be that crazy to think they can win both at home. I'm leaning towards taking them in some capacity in game 3.

[KRIT]

I can't decide if they're dangerous yet. I guess it wouldn't be that crazy to think they can win both at home. I'm leaning towards taking them in some capacity in game 3.

Houston is a hard team to get a read on. I could easily see them winning both games 3 and 4, but also could see them losing both. GS just really has no answer for Dwight.

[Seto]

Houston is a hard team to get a read on. I could easily see them winning both games 3 and 4, but also could see them losing both. GS just really has no answer for Dwight.

Howard will get his but I don't really see him as the problem here. I mean you don't need a designated Dwight stopper, because he isn't a real post up threat, and if he happens to be on that day you just foul him.

If the Rockets' gameplan is to post him up against smaller defenders I'm thrilled if I'm GS.

The main problem is Harden. He is playing unbelievable ball right now.

[Seto]

Cavs better not screw this sweep up. This is a joke matchup. Knew who these guys were all along.

[Seto]

Rockets+1 -110 (paddy power) (risking 3.3x to win 3x)

Real tough decision to make on this game, but I ended up taking the Rockets cause I couldn't ignore the fact that I liked them. I'm still rooting for Golden State tbh, even though an "ideal" situation would be the Rockets winning game 3 and Golden State winning games 4 and 5.

Of course the absolute best thing would be Golden State somehow winning by 1. Even though in that case I'd regret that I missed out on +1.5 for a few seconds.

[Seto]

Today: 0-1, -3.3x
Total: 205-321-11, +69.41x

This sometimes happens where a team has a chance to steal one on the road, miss it, then get obliterated back home. I don't regret the play much though. Kinda happy I only put 3 units on it.

All my futures sitting pretty now. It was already the case when I bet them but moreso than ever I'd be utterly shocked if everything didn't go according to plan.

[Seto]

Rockets+5 -109 (5dimes) (risking 1.09x to win 1x)
Rockets ml +175 (5dimes) (risking 0.5x to win 0.88x)

Hate that I'm taking these fukks for the second game in a row after I liked GS to win the series easily but I don't think this is a sweep. If it wins game 5 will be an easy game, probably a 30 point blowout.

[amrit]

Nice call on the futures Seto. I was with you with GSW finishing in 5, but thought ATL would at least push to 6. Hopefully we're both right with GSW winning the finals (preferably in 5).

[Seto]

Yesterday: 2-1, -0.38x
Total: 207-322-11, +69.03x

(4-0 future lost).

Just need Cavs and Dubs to close it out today and tomorrow. Should be easy but we'll see.

[Seto]

Nice call on the futures Seto. I was with you with GSW finishing in 5, but thought ATL would at least push to 6. Hopefully we're both right with GSW winning the finals (preferably in 5).

Yeah I was fukking scared with Curry yesterday. Let's hope the finals go according to plan.

[Seto]

Cavs-20.5 +500 (william hill) (risking 0.25x to win 1.25x)
Cavs-20.5 +1400 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.09x to win 1.25x)

Same thing as Raps/Wiz game 4. When a team drops both at home and has a chance to win game 3 but doesn't I've found game 4 is typically a blowout. We'll see.

[Conqueror]

You're lucky Seto. The maximum line I'm getting for the 1H is Cavs -7.5 (+160) at Heritagesports.

[Seto]

Fukking close on that +1400 bet

The only good thing is I wanted to check back and add some later as limits are typically reset higher closer to the game and forgot. So if it had cashed I would regretted not thinking of putting those extra 15 bucks or so to win another couple hundred. But I still would have preferred to win obviously

[Seto]

Today: 3-1, +13.46x
Total: 210-323-11, +82.49x

What an easy series lol. Sweep could've been ruined by game 3, thankfully they pulled it out, would've been a fukking travesty to lose a +730 bet on a team falling asleep in the 4th like that.

Happy to win a bit of money on the game. In reality I should've pounded the -7 though. I sometimes get caught up in trying to avoid betting the game itself when I have a bet on the series which is dumb. Always gotta try to get better I guess.

Need Golden State to close it out tomorrow. Probably another blowout.

[mlb]

unreal run man - keep it going.