Keel's NBA Parlay System

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  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363
    #176
    January 8

    Parlay 59-A: Blazers -8.5 with Raptors OVER 200 (1.10 to win 2.86)
      Comment
      • keel44
        SBR MVP
        • 08-01-09
        • 3363
        #177
        January 8

        Parlay 59-A: Blazers -8.5 with Raptors OVER 200 (1.10 to win 2.86)

        If I waited on the OVER, I could of got it at 197.5. That would have won. Blazers are pending of course.
          Comment
          • keel44
            SBR MVP
            • 08-01-09
            • 3363
            #178
            January 9

            Parlay 60-A: Pelicans UNDER 196.5 with Pacers UNDER 197.5 (1.14 to win 2.96)
            Parlay 61-A: Warriors -11.5 with Bucks UNDER 204.5 (1.14 to win 2.85)

            * bought half a point on the Warriors
              Comment
              • keel44
                SBR MVP
                • 08-01-09
                • 3363
                #179
                January 9

                Parlay 60-A: Pelicans UNDER 196.5 with Pacers UNDER 197.5 (1.14 to win 2.96)
                Parlay 61-A: Warriors -11.5 with Bucks UNDER 204.5 (1.14 to win 2.85)

                Parlay 60 was someone else's picks. I am never doing that again.
                  Comment
                  • keel44
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-01-09
                    • 3363
                    #180
                    January 10

                    Parlay 61-B: Pistons -5.5 with Bucks UNDER 195.5 (2.85 to win 7.41)

                    Bucks 9 consecutive unders
                    Pistons won ATS and SU 7 out of their last 8

                    These are kinds of plays I should've been making all along--win or lose. When your looking for streaks of wins, I need to follow trends.
                      Comment
                      • keel44
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-09
                        • 3363
                        #181
                        January 10

                        Parlay 61-B: Pistons -5.5 with Bucks UNDER 195.5 (2.85 to win 7.41)

                        A total BS ending in that Detroit game plus I could have gotten a -5 and bought it down to -4.5. It is really sickening.
                          Comment
                          • keel44
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-01-09
                            • 3363
                            #182
                            January 11

                            Parlay 62-A: Hawks -3.5 with ? (1.17 to 2.92)

                            * bought a half a point on the Hawks

                            I am putting this down now as a straight bet. Should I win, it will be pressed into another straight bet which is essentially a 2 team parlay. This will pay +250 because I bought the half point.
                              Comment
                              • keel44
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-09
                                • 3363
                                #183
                                January 11

                                Parlay 62-A: Hawks -3.5 with ? (1.17 to win 2.92)

                                I will press another straight bet tomorrow.
                                  Comment
                                  • keel44
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-01-09
                                    • 3363
                                    #184
                                    January 12

                                    Parlay 62-B: Pistons +6 with Hawks -3.5 (1.17 to win 2.92)

                                    Hawks already won for me.
                                      Comment
                                      • keel44
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-01-09
                                        • 3363
                                        #185
                                        January 12

                                        Parlay 62-A: Pistons +6 with Hawks -3.5 (1.17 to win 2.92)

                                        Nicely done


                                        This is parlay A not B as stated above.
                                          Comment
                                          • keel44
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-01-09
                                            • 3363
                                            #186
                                            January 13

                                            Parlay 62-B: Hawks -10.5 with 76ers UNDER 195.5 (2.92 to win 7.30)

                                            * bought a half a point on the Hawks
                                              Comment
                                              • keel44
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-01-09
                                                • 3363
                                                #187
                                                I have been getting my bets in early when I think the line could move against me.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • keel44
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                    • 3363
                                                    #188
                                                    January 13

                                                    Parlay 62-B: Hawks -10.5 with 76ers UNDER 195.5 (2.92 to win 7.30)

                                                    Feelin' good

                                                    7-3 last 10 picks straight up with one of those losses being that sorry ending in the Detroit/Brooklyn game. The other 2 losses were someone else's plays I decided to copy.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • keel44
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                        • 3363
                                                        #189
                                                        January 14

                                                        Parlay 62-C: Hawks -6.5 with Grizzles -6.5 (10.22 to win 26.57)

                                                        Hawks are on fire and Nets have been sucking. I think the lines will move. I am getting this all important bet in now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fitguy67
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-13-11
                                                            • 5082
                                                            #190


                                                            well played, keel!

                                                            u've come thru everytime before the gunpowder runs dry...

                                                            when a C inevitably pops..it makes all the preceding suffering worth it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • keel44
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                • 3363
                                                                #191
                                                                Thank you Fitguy. Long time-no read from ya. It was nice of you to keep checking in.


                                                                January 14

                                                                Parlay 62-C: Hawks -6.5 with Grizzles -6.5 (10.22 to win 26.57)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • keel44
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                    • 3363
                                                                    #192
                                                                    It has been a long time, 2 and half months. I went from being -24.87 units down to +10.76 units. I wasn't even down half my total bankroll of 50. 1 unit = 2% of total bank. I was very steady throughout this process, but I never quite got hot enough to seal the deal until now.

                                                                    I really had to lean on my money management strategy, but with patience I am truly convinced that this strategy is golden. I had it work for the 3 major sports NBA, MLB, and the NFL. I was far from great in all of these sports, but at some point in the season, I got hot enough to pull through with a surge of profits.

                                                                    Here are some numbers for this NBA run:

                                                                    Parlay bets 28-61 (31.46%)
                                                                    A bets: 22-40
                                                                    B bets: 5-17
                                                                    C bets: 1-4

                                                                    Average units risked: 1.39
                                                                    Average odds per play +257

                                                                    All plays were posted in this thread and on my spreadsheet: http://keel44.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/
                                                                    My money management plan started July 23 with the MLB: +55.55 units ! (overall)
                                                                    ...... not bad for a very average handicapper

                                                                    * 1 unit = 2% of total bankroll
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • keel44
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                        • 3363
                                                                        #193
                                                                        O.K. I will start again going for a 10 unit profit. Hopefully it won't take 2.5 months for completion, but if it does---oh well.


                                                                        January 15

                                                                        Parlay 01-A: Rockets -1.5 with Lakers UNDER 204 (0.32 to win 0.83)
                                                                          Comment
                                                                          • keel44
                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                            • 3363
                                                                            #194
                                                                            January 15

                                                                            Parlay 01-A: Rockets -1.5 with Lakers UNDER 204 (0.32 to win 0.83)
                                                                              Comment
                                                                              • keel44
                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                                • 3363
                                                                                #195
                                                                                January 16

                                                                                Parlay 02-A: Wizards -10.5 with Magic OVER 198 (0.34 to win 0.88)
                                                                                Parlay 03-A: Warriors -2 with Clippers UNDER 207.5 (0.34 to win 0.88)
                                                                                Parlay 04-A: Hawks -1 with Pistons -1.5 (0.34 to win 0.88)
                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                  • keel44
                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                                    • 3363
                                                                                    #196
                                                                                    January 16

                                                                                    Parlay 02-A: Wizards -10.5 with Magic OVER 198 (0.34 to win 0.88)
                                                                                    Parlay 03-A: Warriors -2 with Clippers UNDER 207.5 (0.34 to win 0.88)
                                                                                    Parlay 04-A: Hawks -1 with Pistons -1.5 (0.34 to win 0.88)
                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                      • keel44
                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                                        • 3363
                                                                                        #197
                                                                                        January 17

                                                                                        Parlay 04-B: Hawks -2.5 with 76ers UNDER 194.5 (0.88 to win 2.29)
                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                          • keel44
                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                                            • 3363
                                                                                            #198
                                                                                            January 17

                                                                                            Parlay 04-B: Hawks -2.5 with 76ers UNDER 194.5 (0.88 to win 2.29)

                                                                                            lost the under by 2 measly points....so frustrating
                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                              • keel44
                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                                                • 3363
                                                                                                #199
                                                                                                January 18

                                                                                                no plays
                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                  • keel44
                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                                                    • 3363
                                                                                                    #200
                                                                                                    January 19

                                                                                                    Parlay 05-A: Bucks UNDER 200 with 76ers UNDER 192.5 (0.36 to win 0.94)
                                                                                                    Parlay 06-A: Rockets -9.5 with Cavs -3.5 (0.36 to win 0.90)

                                                                                                    * bought a half a point on the Rockets
                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                      • keel44
                                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                                                        • 3363
                                                                                                        #201
                                                                                                        I wanted to go with the Pelicans and Hornets, but injuries concern me. I hope they don't win, now.
                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                          • keel44
                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                                                            • 3363
                                                                                                            #202
                                                                                                            January 19

                                                                                                            Parlay 05-A: Bucks UNDER 200 with 76ers UNDER 192.5 (0.36 to win 0.94)
                                                                                                            Parlay 06-A: Rockets -9.5 with Cavs -3.5 (0.36 to win 0.90)

                                                                                                            A nice sweep
                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                              • keel44
                                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                • 3363
                                                                                                                #203
                                                                                                                January 20

                                                                                                                Parlay 07-A: Spurs -7.5 with Heat UNDER 199.5 (0.36 to win 0.90)

                                                                                                                * bought a half a point on the Spurs


                                                                                                                My heart ain't in this play, but because I won both my plays yesterday and the current trends point to this being a winner, I will go ahead and give it a shot.
                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                  • mackanlasse
                                                                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                                                                    • 12-13-14
                                                                                                                    • 39
                                                                                                                    #204
                                                                                                                    nice
                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                      • keel44
                                                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                        • 3363
                                                                                                                        #205
                                                                                                                        January 20

                                                                                                                        Parlay 07-A: Spurs -7.5 with Heat UNDER 199.5 (0.36 to win 0.90)

                                                                                                                        *11-10 since January 2nd on my parlays (+255) each parlay
                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                          • keel44
                                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                            • 3363
                                                                                                                            #206
                                                                                                                            January 21

                                                                                                                            Parlay 05-B: Grizzlies -5.5 with Suns -6.5 (0.94 to win 2.35)
                                                                                                                            Parlay 08-A: Cavs -10.5 with Hawks -11.5 (0.36 to win 0.94)

                                                                                                                            * bought a half a point on the Grizzlies
                                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                                              • keel44
                                                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                                • 3363
                                                                                                                                #207
                                                                                                                                January 21

                                                                                                                                Parlay 05-B: Grizzlies -5.5 with Suns -6.5 (0.94 to win 2.35)
                                                                                                                                Parlay 08-A: Cavs -10.5 with Hawks -11.5 (0.36 to win 0.94)

                                                                                                                                Suns blew a 25 point lead

                                                                                                                                No harm no foul tonight, though
                                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                                  • keel44
                                                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                                    • 3363
                                                                                                                                    #208
                                                                                                                                    January 22

                                                                                                                                    no plays

                                                                                                                                    I would go with the Spurs with the Bucks under, but the lines are just to ridiculous. I hope that parlay loses.
                                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                                      • keel44
                                                                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                                        • 3363
                                                                                                                                        #209
                                                                                                                                        January 23

                                                                                                                                        Parlay 06-B: Hawks -3.5 with 76ers UNDER 194.5 (0.90 to win 2.25)
                                                                                                                                        Parlay 09-A: Hornets +10.5 with Magic OVER 207 (0.36 to win 0.90)

                                                                                                                                        * bought a half a point on the Hornets and Hawks
                                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                                          • keel44
                                                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                                            • 3363
                                                                                                                                            #210
                                                                                                                                            Hopefully these trends will continue.....
                                                                                                                                              Comment
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