Keel's NBA Parlay System

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  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363

    #386
    Thank you. I am moving on to baseball starting tomorrow.

    Comment
    • keel44
      SBR MVP
      • 08-01-09
      • 3363

      #387
      Here are some stats about my NBA season of betting.

      My parlays which average about -255 are 53-130 (28.96%) which would give me about a 5 unit profit ... straight betting 1 unit.

      My average wager amount was 1.48 units which is sort of high, but remember, I had 2 extremely long runs.

      My 1st run closed at attempt number 62. The 2nd run ended on attempt number 70.

      I missed 11 parlays in a row twice. I was pretty consistent all year, but unfortunately I wasn't very streaky. That is what is needed to close out runs.

      +22.13 units on the season (1 unit = 2% of total bank)
      Comment
      • keel44
        SBR MVP
        • 08-01-09
        • 3363

        #388
        My money management strategy was started on July 23 for the MLB

        MLB 2014 (July 23) = +34.79 units profit
        I abandoned a "B" bet with profit and an "A" bet with profit and I closed out 2 runs.

        NFL 2014 = +10 units profit
        I abandoned 1 run because I ran out of season. This suffered about a 10 unit loss. I did complete 2 runs

        NBA 2014/15 = +22.13 units profit
        0 abandoned runs .... completed 2 runs

        +66.92 units overall
        Average wager amount = 1.11 units
        Every single play was posted on this website and on my spreadsheet
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        • RavensFan2k3
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-12
          • 17378

          #389
          Awesome job man!!
          Comment
          • fitguy67
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-13-11
            • 5082

            #390
            Originally posted by fitguy67
            your longsuit is composure, man...patience and persistence...the triple-pop will come when it comes...and make all the waiting worthwhile...

            your method isn't just effective...it's also a character builder...not a quick-fix chase, but a slow, gradually-reticulating one...as surely as a python squeezes the life out of its prey...sometimes a large mammal will resist for many many hours, then suddenly just expire...same with this method...sometimes the market resists for weeks and weeks...then suddenly gives up all its taken from us... and the profit target as well...in an unremarkable little run that makes us think "damn...what took you so long"

            long term you'll hit about 25% of these parlays...randome sampling variance will determine the sequence of the W's and L's...upon which the "length of the waiting period" depends...the slow rate of escalation after each unsuccessful iteration means the wait can be financially endured until the target hits...

            in the meantime, keep putting up your best plays...and enjoy the grind...like heinz ketchup comin' out of the bottle onto french fries... "the waiting is the best part"
            congratulations to keel...and to all with the stones to have followed...the triple-tap of parlay-wins always comes like an anti-thief in the night, rewarding "true believers" for persisting

            "weeks and weeks of frustration are converted into the elation that it was all more than worthwhile in just a few hours" seems to be the amazing norm for your cool character-building system...

            looking forward to your MLB thread!
            Comment
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