Keel's NBA Parlay System

[keel44]

March 6

Parlay 40-A: Thunder OVER 199.5 with Bulls UNDER 188.5 (1.62 to win 1.47)
Parlay 41-A: Jazz -6.5 with Nuggets +11.5 (0.85 to win 2.13)
Parlay 42-A: Kings -1 with ? (0.85 to win 0.77)

I hate losing a parlay by 1 measly point.....c'mon!

[keel44]

March 7

Parlay 40-B: Wizards +4.5 with T-Wolves +4.5 (2.24 to win 5.60)

* bought a half a point on the Wizards

[keel44]

March 7

Parlay 40-B: Wizards +4.5 with T-Wolves +4.5 (2.24 to win 5.60)

Parlay win percentage this run = 14-42 (25%) not terrible


I am starting to get frustrated. I really haven't been red hot all year. I did win a cluster of parlays earlier in January, but I am expecting more variance than what I'm getting. I will keep plugging along.

[fitguy67]

your longsuit is composure, man...patience and persistence...the triple-pop will come when it comes...and make all the waiting worthwhile...

your method isn't just effective...it's also a character builder...not a quick-fix chase, but a slow, gradually-reticulating one...as surely as a python squeezes the life out of its prey...sometimes a large mammal will resist for many many hours, then suddenly just expire...same with this method...sometimes the market resists for weeks and weeks...then suddenly gives up all its taken from us... and the profit target as well...in an unremarkable little run that makes us think "damn...what took you so long"

long term you'll hit about 25% of these parlays...randome sampling variance will determine the sequence of the W's and L's...upon which the "length of the waiting period" depends...the slow rate of escalation after each unsuccessful iteration means the wait can be financially endured until the target hits...

in the meantime, keep putting up your best plays...and enjoy the grind...like heinz ketchup comin' out of the bottle onto french fries... "the waiting is the best part"

[keel44]

March 8

Parlay 43-A: Hornets ml with Nets -1.5 (0.90 to win 2.32)

* bought a half a point on the Nets

[keel44]

March 8

Parlay 43-A: Hornets ml with Nets -1.5 (0.90 to win 2.32)

[FlyinAir]

Have a season to date record?

[keel44]

March 9

Parlay 44-A: Hornets -1.5 with T-Wolves +7.5 (0.93 to win 2.33)


Year to date on parlays: 42-104 (28.77%)
average odds: (+255)
Year to date profit: -7.86 units

[keel44]

March 9

Parlay 44-A: Hornets -1.5 with T-Wolves +7.5 (0.93 to win 2.33)

A team that is playing well of late loses to a team that is playing poorly of late 95-69 at home.

Sometimes I just don't get it.

[keel44]

March 10

Parlay 45-A: Magic +8.5 with Spurs OVER 205 (0.96 to win 2.50)

[keel44]

March 10

Parlay 45-A: Magic +8.5 with Spurs OVER 205 (0.96 to win 2.50)

in a slump right now

[keel44]

March 11

Parlay 46-A: Nuggets ml +260 (0.99 to win 2.57)
Parlay 47-A: Magic +7.5 with Kings OVER 206

[bigtymer56]

Nice hit with Denver.

[keel44]

March 11

Parlay 46-A: Nuggets ml +260 (0.99 to win 2.57)
Parlay 47-A: Magic +7.5 with Kings OVER 206

I am really proud of that Denver play.

[fitguy67]

ok...you just scored two sets of "1 and 1" free-throws...for all 'da marbles

[keel44]

March 12

Parlay 48-A: Bucks ml +260 (0.99 to win 2.57)

[keel44]

March 12

Parlay 48-A: Bucks ml +260 (0.99 to win 2.57)

This is a loss, but I feel like I am in the groove at the moment. Looking forward to tomorrow...

[keel44]

March 13

Parlay 46-B: Hawks -6.5 with Warriors UNDER 216 (2.57 to win 6.68)
Parlay 49-A: Kings -4 with Mavs -2.5 (1.02 to win 2.65)

[keel44]

March 13

Parlay 46-B: Hawks -6.5 with Warriors UNDER 216 (2.57 to win 6.68)
Parlay 49-A: Kings -4 with Mavs -2.5 (1.02 to win 2.65)

[keel44]

March 14

Parlay 47-B: Warriors -19.5 with Jazz -7.5 (2.57 to win 6.68)

[keel44]

March 14

Parlay 47-B: Warriors -19.5 with Jazz -7.5 (2.57 to win 6.68)

-22.52 units for this run which started Jan. 15


I got some more time left, I'll never give up.

[keel44]

March 15

Parlay 50-A: Pelicans -7.5 with Suns OVER 194 (1.06 to win 2.76)

[keel44]

March 15

Parlay 50-A: Pelicans -7.5 with Suns OVER 194 (1.06 to win 2.76)

[keel44]

March 16

Parlay 51-A: Nuggets +9.5 with Wizards -2 (1.09 to win 2.72)

* bought a half a point on the Nuggets

[keel44]

March 16

Parlay 51-A: Nuggets +9.5 with Wizards -2 (1.09 to win 2.72)

Denver covered for most people who waited on the line movement.

[keel44]

March 17

Parlay 52-A: Spurs -14 with Pelicans -6.5 (1.13 to win 2.82)

* bought a half a point on the Pelicans

[keel44]

March 17

Parlay 52-A: Spurs -14 with Pelicans -6.5 (1.13 to win 2.82)

another loss

[keel44]

March 18

Parlay 53-A: Cavs -11 with Wizards +3.5 (1.18 to win 2.95)
Parlay 54-A: Bulls +1 with T-Wolves +11.5 (1.17 to win 3.04)

* bought a half a point on the Wizards

[keel44]

March 18

Parlay 53-A: Cavs -11 with Wizards +3.5 (1.18 to win 2.95)
Parlay 54-A: Bulls +1 with T-Wolves +11.5 (1.17 to win 3.04)

A flash in the pan, or the start of something good?

[keel44]

March 19

Parlay 54-B: Jazz -3.5 with Nuggets +7.5 (3.04 to win 7.60)
Parlay 55-A: Pelicans -1.5 with Knicks OVER 197.5 (1.18 to win 3.07)

* bought a half a point on the Jazz

[keel44]

March 19

Parlay 54-B: Jazz -3.5 with Nuggets +7.5 (3.04 to win 7.60)
Parlay 55-A: Pelicans -1.5 with Knicks OVER 197.5 (1.18 to win 3.07)

[keel44]

March 20

Parlay 53-B: Nuggets +8 with Kings OVER 206 (2.95 to win 7.67)

[keel44]

March 20

Parlay 53-B: Nuggets +8 with Kings OVER 206 (2.95 to win 7.67)

1.21 unit wager going forward

[keel44]

March 21

Parlay 56-A: Bulls -3.5 with Grizzlies -3.5 (1.21 to win 3.15)

[keel44]

March 21

Parlay 56-A: Bulls -3.5 with Grizzlies -3.5 (1.21 to win 3.15)