2014-15 John Morrison NBA Thread

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  • BuckeyeKaptn
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-16-12
    • 271

    #71
    Originally posted by Kev the Brit
    I will be able to do so from mid Nov. Currently spending a lot time away from home.
    Here are today's games...before some start asking. If you downloaded Wallco's PDF (Post #40) or cmdyrds' excel file (Post #42), you know this already.

    #....Play.........................Date.. ....Against
    3 Memphis v3 11/5 Phoenix
    4 Minnesota v1 11/5 Brooklyn
    5 New York v3 11/5 Detroit
    Currently, system is 1-0, with play #2 being voided by Cleveland's SU win on play #1
    Play #1 won on the A game.

    Just doing this until Kev can do it. I really don't have time to do it. I get up, drink a cup of coffee, check late night scores, see if any games are in the afternoon, go to work. Today just happens to be my day off. I can for a quick moment post the plays until, again, Kev can do it. Cool? If not, I have my spreadsheet.

    Edit: I will also be using Cover's closing line to determine Wins/Losses. I don't know how Kev does it. If you pick up a win using a different line than what I post, which happens to make the play a loss, you don't need to continue on....YOU won.
    Last edited by BuckeyeKaptn; 11-05-14, 09:47 AM.
    Comment
    • analyzer
      SBR MVP
      • 02-03-11
      • 2049

      #72
      I'm having a serious brain lapse this morning. Just to confirm...

      In the past when playing 1-7-5 on JM we done that across all versions of JM, correct? My gut tells me yes but a having trouble finding concrete evidence of this.
      Comment
      • BuckeyeKaptn
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-16-12
        • 271

        #73
        ***
        Last edited by BuckeyeKaptn; 11-05-14, 02:57 PM.
        Comment
        • TrojanMan8
          SBR High Roller
          • 10-17-14
          • 158

          #74
          Originally posted by analyzer
          I'm having a serious brain lapse this morning. Just to confirm...

          In the past when playing 1-7-5 on JM we done that across all versions of JM, correct? My gut tells me yes but a having trouble finding concrete evidence of this.
          Yes, 1-7-5 is done across all versions of JM. Proposal of 1-7-5 in post #1562:


          Backtest of 1-7-5 in posts #622 and #623:
          NBA betting and handicapping forum: discuss basketball picks, NBA odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results.
          Comment
          • sportscreep1
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-02-10
            • 292

            #75
            So do you guys buy points on the 1-7-5 method, or play it straight up?
            Comment
            • analyzer
              SBR MVP
              • 02-03-11
              • 2049

              #76
              Thank you guys for the follow-up! Sportscreep1 - no buying with 1-7-5. See the second link TrojanMan8 posted above and go to post 624 by Wallco and item #4 states no buying.
              Comment
              • TrojanMan8
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-17-14
                • 158

                #77
                Wallco, if you don't mind me asking, how are you playing the Philly game today? The game was a push for per the system rules, but I know it was a loss for you personally. For those who lost, do you suggest playing it as a B game or as an A game (and taking the loss on the previous game)?
                Comment
                • Wallco99
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-01-11
                  • 7261

                  #78
                  Originally posted by analyzer
                  I'm having a serious brain lapse this morning. Just to confirm...

                  In the past when playing 1-7-5 on JM we done that across all versions of JM, correct? My gut tells me yes but a having trouble finding concrete evidence of this.
                  Yes.
                  Comment
                  • Wallco99
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-01-11
                    • 7261

                    #79
                    Originally posted by BuckeyeKaptn
                    This is The Limit's post from Feb 2012. I do not know if there has been any changes since.



                    Post #1894


                    JM 7/5 Results


                    Thanks for reading and points are appreciated!

                    PS I am starting work on a version of the 7/5 method for On3's MLB homestand system. I ran a quick test through last years results and the initial impressions look good. More info on this as the MLB season approaches.
                    I killed all filters for 1-7-5. All series get played. You copy and pasted the 7/5 rules, my 1-7-5 system is in post#1562 of last year's thread.
                    Last edited by Wallco99; 11-05-14, 02:25 PM.
                    Comment
                    • Wallco99
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-01-11
                      • 7261

                      #80
                      Originally posted by TrojanMan8
                      Wallco, if you don't mind me asking, how are you playing the Philly game today? The game was a push for per the system rules, but I know it was a loss for you personally. For those who lost, do you suggest playing it as a B game or as an A game (and taking the loss on the previous game)?
                      I am playing as (B) because I am already out (A) money.
                      Comment
                      • BuckeyeKaptn
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-16-12
                        • 271

                        #81
                        Originally posted by Wallco99
                        I killed all filters for 1-7-5. All series get played. You copy and pasted the 7/5 rules, my 1-7-5 system is in post#1562 of last year's thread.
                        Cool, that's what I thought. I'll edit. Don't need anymore confusion.
                        Comment
                        • BuckeyeKaptn
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-16-12
                          • 271

                          #82


                          #....Play.........................Date.. ....Against

                          3 WIN Memphis +1.5 v3 11/5 Phoenix
                          4 WIN Minnesota +5 v1 11/5 Brooklyn
                          5 WIN New York +4 v3 11/5 Detroit


                          System is 4-0

                          Just doing this until Kev can do it. I will also be using Cover's closing line to determine Wins/Losses. I don't know how Kev does it. If you pick up a win using a different line than what I post, which happens to make the play a loss, you don't need to continue on....YOU won.

                          No plays for tomorrow, 11/6.
                          Last edited by BuckeyeKaptn; 11-06-14, 06:34 AM.
                          Comment
                          • Wallco99
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-01-11
                            • 7261

                            #83
                            Wallco NBA Chase 110
                            2014-15 System to Date: 3-0 (fin. series)
                            System profit/loss: +3.00 units (fin. series)
                            Current open series: 0

                            (11/5/14):
                            #1 Philadelphia (+2½) (A-Replay) - Win
                            #3 Detroit (M/L) (A) - Win

                            v1 Plays
                            (A) 3-0
                            (B) 0-0

                            (C) 0-0
                            (D) 0-0
                            Losses: None



                            There are no system plays for (11/6/14)


                            We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                            Comment
                            • Kev the Brit
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-25-09
                              • 2027

                              #84
                              Hi Guys,
                              I should be back home on Friday (11/7). I will then post the plays on Sat (11/8) until late Feb 2015
                              Comment
                              • Wallco99
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-01-11
                                • 7261

                                #85
                                Originally posted by kev the brit
                                hi guys,
                                i should be back home on friday (11/7). I will then post the plays on sat (11/8) until late feb 2015
                                We love you!!!!
                                Comment
                                • BuckeyeKaptn
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-16-12
                                  • 271

                                  #86
                                  Plays for 11/7


                                  6 Sacramento v3 11/7 Phoenix

                                  System is 4-0

                                  Play#2 was canceled.

                                  KevtheBrit will be taking over tomorrow, look for his posts. Welcome Home, sir!
                                  Comment
                                  • Wallco99
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-01-11
                                    • 7261

                                    #87
                                    Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                    2014-15 System to Date: 3-0 (fin. series)
                                    System profit/loss: +3.00 units (fin. series)
                                    Current open series: 0

                                    v1 Plays
                                    (A) 3-0
                                    (B) 0-0

                                    (C) 0-0
                                    (D) 0-0
                                    Losses: None


                                    Games for (11/7/14):
                                    #4 Cleveland @ Denver (+4½) (A) (10:35 pm EST)


                                    Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses, or line changes later in the day. Get proper line if different than the one I have posted, based on the criteria that I have listed below.


                                    We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                    Comment
                                    • jcygts6
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-05-09
                                      • 3316

                                      #88
                                      Welcome home Kev!
                                      DO WORK + KROW OD
                                      do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                      Comment
                                      • Kev the Brit
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-25-09
                                        • 2027

                                        #89
                                        Morrison 11/7 Results & 11/8 Plays

                                        11/7 Results
                                        (Covers.com)
                                        Legend: Series won Bet lost Series lost

                                        Currently Published Morrison System
                                        #5. V3. Sacramento: Won 1 unit (ATS)

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                        #5. Sacramento: Won 1 unit

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                        #5. Sacramento: Won 1 unit
                                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                        11/8 Plays

                                        Currently Published Morrison System
                                        (3 point buy all bets)
                                        No plays

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                        (ATS all bets)
                                        No plays

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                        (ATS all bets)
                                        No plays
                                        -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                        Upcoming Plays (11/9)

                                        Currently Published Morrison System:
                                        #6. V1. UTA: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                                        #6. UTA: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System:
                                        #6. UTA: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                        -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                        Results to Date (11/1 - 11/7)
                                        Completed Series

                                        Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far: +4.00 units

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far: +4.00 units

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System total P/L so far: +4.00 units


                                        Please refer to my post tomorrow for detailed stats for the period 11/1 - 11/7. Detailed stats for the season so far will be posted weekly on Sundays.
                                        Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-08-14, 04:14 PM. Reason: Presentational
                                        Comment
                                        • Wallco99
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-01-11
                                          • 7261

                                          #90
                                          Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                          2014-15 System to Date: 3-0 (fin. series)
                                          System profit/loss: +3.00 units (fin. series)
                                          Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

                                          (11/7/14):
                                          #4 Denver (+6½) (A) - Loss

                                          v1 Plays
                                          (A) 3-1
                                          (B) 0-0

                                          (C) 0-0
                                          (D) 0-0
                                          Losses: None


                                          There are no system plays for (11/8/14):
                                          #4 Resumes (B) on 11/9/14



                                          We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                          Comment
                                          • Wallco99
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-01-11
                                            • 7261

                                            #91
                                            Great to see you back Kevin. Thanks for posting.
                                            Comment
                                            • Andy3568
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-17-10
                                              • 615

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                              Hi Guys,
                                              I should be back home on Friday (11/7). I will then post the plays on Sat (11/8) until late Feb 2015
                                              Thanks, Kev. Given all the ways the system can be played, I know it's a lot of work tracking all of them. We really appreciate it.
                                              Comment
                                              • Kev the Brit
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-25-09
                                                • 2027

                                                #93
                                                Hi Guys,
                                                I've reset the Morrison spreadsheet #s that I will be using to reflect that the #1 Cleveland game on 10/31 was unofficial (played before Nov 1). I accept that the actual game on 10/31 was on the road within their conference and that it needed monitoring for the possible official V1 on 11/4, but it was never an official V2 play. If you bet and won on 10/31, then good for you, but it will not be on my records.

                                                Resetting the #s at this early stage was simple. PM me if you want to know how.

                                                Kev
                                                Comment
                                                • Kev the Brit
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-25-09
                                                  • 2027

                                                  #94
                                                  Morrison 1-7-5 System Rules

                                                  Extracted from a Wallco99 post last year:

                                                  1.We will play all JM series, with no 3 ½ point (A) bet filter, until we win series or take a loss on (C) bet, with the exception of the following cases: We will play no series that begin in October, or if our (A) bet pushes ATS, the series is over at that point and we will not continue on to (B). Any other situation, we play all series out.
                                                  2.If our (B) or (C) bet pushes, we will play the next game in rotation as our (B) or (C) bet that pushed then finish out the series on the following bet if necessary. At times, this may require the (C) bet to be played during a home game after the road trip, but no negative results have become of this strategy in the 10 year test.
                                                  3.We will include ALL the JM v1 bonus plays which become official in any series that starts in-conference and finishes with at least three consecutive out of conference games, provided ALL the in-conference games were lost by more than 3 points ATS, as per JM rules in his .pdf.
                                                  4.WE WILL PLAY ALL GAMES ATS AND NEVER BUY POINTS OR PLAY THE M/L.
                                                  5.We are playing to WIN 1 unit profit on (A) bets, 7 units profit on (B) bets, and 5 units profit on (C) bets. So the (A) bet wager will be RISK 1.10 units to WIN 1 unit. The (B) bet wager will be RISK 8.91 units to WIN 8.10 units (which is the amount we lost in (A), -1.10 units plus the 7 units profit for a (B) bet wager). The (C) bet wager will be Risk 16.51 units to WIN 15.01 units (which is the amount we lost in (A), -1.10 units plus the amount we lost in (B), 8.91 units plus the 5 units profit for a (C) bet wager. A loss in this strategy will cost -26.52 unit
                                                  6.Covers.com was used for all backtest results and will be the official lines for this bet strategy.
                                                  Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-08-14, 04:01 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kev the Brit
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-25-09
                                                    • 2027

                                                    #95
                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) Rules

                                                    Extracted from a thelimit0310 post last year:

                                                    The 1-7/5 plays all versions of the JM System. Originally the 7/5 method skipped the A bet, but this is no longer the case in the 1-7/5 (Filtered) method. We now play all A bets in the JM system, but we still *DO NOT* buy any points. Now when an A bet is available, we place a wager to win 1 unit, again not buying any points. If this A bet wins, of course the series is over. If the A bet loses however, it *MUST* lose by more than 3.5 points to the given spread to move on to the B/C level. If the A bet loses but by less than 3.5 points to the spread, you take your A bet loss and the series is over. Think of the A bet as essentially a flat bet, but also a qualifier game for the 7/5 system. If the A bet loses by more than 3.5 points to the spread, it qualifies the B bet. PUSHES DO NOT MEAN LOSSES. On the B bet, place your wager to win net 7 units (A bet loss + 7 units), again we are not buying points. If this bet wins, the series is over. If this bet loses we move to the C bet, on the C bet we place a wager to win net 5 units (A bet loss + B bet loss + 5 units). If this bet wins, the series is over. If this bet loses, the series is over and a loss for the system is taken. One loss in 1-7/5 is roughly -26 units, so plan your unit size accordingly.

                                                    Just remember if our initial A bet loses, it *MUST* lose by more than 3.5 points to the spread for the series to continue to B and C. If it does not lose by more than 3.5 points, you take your loss and move on! Again, this is because the A bet is still being used as the qualifier bet for the 7/5. Just so everyone is clear on this: If New Orleans has an A bet and the spread is +6, New Orleans would have to lose the game by 9.5 points at least for this series to move on to B and C. If they lose by less than 9.5 points, the series stops. PUSHES DO NOT MEAN LOSSES.

                                                    It is also important to note that no series can even qualify for this system before Nov 1.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wallco99
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-01-11
                                                      • 7261

                                                      #96
                                                      JM NBA bet strategy 10 year backtest

                                                      1-3-5 7/5 1-7-5 (Filters) 1-7-5 (No Filters)
                                                      Current Seas. +25.44 u -1.04 u +1.46 u +42.96 u
                                                      2012-13 +44.80 u -10.71 u +0.64 u +55.20 u
                                                      2011-12 +40.92 u +138.32 u +166.12 u +71.28 u
                                                      2010-11 +171.48 u +172.64 u +192.14 u +288.32 u
                                                      2009-10 +68.36 u +78.30 u +90.90 u +136.24 u
                                                      2008-09 +175.04 u +246.32 u +287.42 u +302.36 u
                                                      2007-08 +71.36 u +48.97 u +57.12 u +91.24 u
                                                      2006-07 +13.80 u +46.30 u +57.00 u +27.20 u
                                                      2005-06 -63.16 u -8.72 u -33.12 u -94.44 u
                                                      2004-05 +24.52 u +7.30 u +9.30 u +0.68 u
                                                      2003-04 +7.52 u +63.63 u +53.48 u +27.68 u
                                                      TOTALS +554.64 u +781.31 u +882.46 u +948.72 u

                                                      Here is the backtest I posted in last years thread for my 1-7-5 (No Filters) bet strategy. I will post 2013-14 results when I get a chance. The "Current Season" is what I was up at the time of my post last year.
                                                      Last edited by Wallco99; 11-09-14, 02:35 AM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Wallco99
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-01-11
                                                        • 7261

                                                        #97
                                                        Wallco 1-7-5 Bet Strategy For JM NBA (With NO (A) Bet Filters)

                                                        I have created the 1-7-5 strategy that I believe to be the most effective method at this time. As you can see, both 1-7-5 methods have outperformed the standard 7/5 and the 1-3-5 method. However, even though each 1-7-5 method has outperformed the other one 5 times each, the 1-7-5 with no filters appears to be stronger over the long haul, and highly more successful in recent history, including this current season to date as well. If you take away the current season, the two were pretty close, however the majority of the seasons that the filtered version did better was 8, 9 and 10 years ago. What really matters to me is recent performance, as well as longevity, and because 1-7-5 with no filters shows better results on both, I will be playing it this way all year.

                                                        My plays were based on the following criteria:

                                                        1. We will play all JM series, with no 3 ½ point (A) bet filter, until we win series or take a loss on (C) bet, with the exception of the following cases: We will play no series that begin in October, or if our (A) bet pushes ATS, the series is over at that point and we will not continue on to (B). Any other situation, we play all series out.
                                                        2. If our (B) or (C) bet pushes, we will play the next game in rotation as our (B) or (C) bet that pushed then finish out the series on the following bet if necessary. At times, this may require the (C) bet to be played during a home game after the road trip, but no negative results have become of this strategy in the 10 year test.
                                                        3. We will include ALL the JM v1 bonus plays which become official in any series that starts in-conference and finishes with at least three consecutive out of conference games, provided ALL the in-conference games were lost by more than 3 points ATS, as per JM rules in his .pdf.
                                                        4. WE WILL PLAY ALL GAMES ATS AND NEVER BUY POINTS OR PLAY THE M/L.
                                                        5. We are playing to WIN 1 unit profit on (A) bets, 7 units profit on (B) bets, and 5 units profit on (C) bets. So the (A) bet wager will be RISK 1.10 units to WIN 1 unit. The (B) bet wager will be RISK 8.91 units to WIN 8.10 units (which is the amount we lost in (A), -1.10 units plus the 7 units profit for a (B) bet wager). The (C) bet wager will be Risk 16.51 units to WIN 15.01 units (which is the amount we lost in (A), -1.10 units plus the amount we lost in (B), 8.91 units plus the 5 units profit for a (C) bet wager. A loss in this strategy will cost -26.52 unit
                                                        6. Covers.com was used for all backtest results and will be the official lines for this bet strategy.



                                                        *** Previous backtested results in NO WAY gaurantee the same future successful results.***

                                                        These are just past track records of how different bet strategies would have performed in previous NBA seasons. Any given strategy in any given year can outperform the others, so it is the individual bettor's responsibility to use the provided information as he/she sees fit to guide them when placing any/all wagers. I am not saying that everyone should play it this way, but I personally feel the 1-7-5 no filter strategy is the most lucrative method and I will be playing it myself.

                                                        Here is the FULL POST from last year's thread that Kevin extracted from. Once again, I will get 2013-14 final results posted as soon as I can. Good luck.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wallco99
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-01-11
                                                          • 7261

                                                          #98
                                                          Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                          2014-15 System to Date: 3-0 (fin. series)
                                                          System profit/loss: +3.00 units (fin. series)
                                                          Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

                                                          v1 Plays
                                                          (A) 3-1
                                                          (B) 0-0

                                                          (C) 0-0
                                                          (D) 0-0
                                                          Losses: None


                                                          Games for (11/9/14):
                                                          #4 Denver (**) @ Portland (B) (9:05 pm EST)
                                                          #5 Golden State @ Phoenix (M/L) (A) (8:05 pm EST)

                                                          ** Denotes line not available at time of post.


                                                          Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses, or line changes later in the day. Get proper line if different than the one I have posted, based on the criteria that I have listed below.


                                                          We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kev the Brit
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-25-09
                                                            • 2027

                                                            #99
                                                            Morrison 11/8 Results & 11/9 Plays

                                                            11/8 Results
                                                            (Covers.com)
                                                            Legend: Series won Bet lost Series lost

                                                            Currently Published Morrison System
                                                            No plays

                                                            Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                                            No plays

                                                            Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                                            No plays
                                                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                            11/9 Plays
                                                            (All times EST)

                                                            Currently Published Morrison System
                                                            (3 point buy all bets @ odds -185/1.54*)
                                                            #7 V3 3.35 pm Orlando: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #6 V1 6.05 pm Utah: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #9 V2 7.05 pm Philadelphia: Filtered out - worst road team
                                                            #8 V1 9.35 pm Charlotte: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                                            Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                                            (ATS all bets)
                                                            #7 V3 3.35 pm Orlando: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #6 V1 6.05 pm Utah: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #9 V2 7.05 pm Philadelphia: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #8 V1 9.35 pm Charlotte: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                                            Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                                            (ATS all bets)
                                                            #7 V3 3.35 pm Orlando: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #6 V1 6.05 pm Utah: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #9 V2 7.05 pm Philadelphia: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #8 V1 9.35 pm Charlotte: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                            Upcoming Plays (11/10)

                                                            Currently Published Morrison System:
                                                            Scheduled:
                                                            #11 V3 8.05 pm Detroit: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #10 V3 10.35 pm San Antonio: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            Possible:
                                                            #6 V1 7.05 pm Utah: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount

                                                            Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                                                            Scheduled:
                                                            #10 San Antonio: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #11 Detroit: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            Possible:
                                                            #6 7.05 pm Utah: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount

                                                            Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System:
                                                            Scheduled:
                                                            #10 San Antonio: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            #11 Detroit: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                            Possible:
                                                            #6 7.05 pm Utah: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount
                                                            -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                            Results to Date (11/1 - 11/7)
                                                            Completed Series

                                                            Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far (3 point buy all bets @ odds -185/1.54*): +4.00 units

                                                            Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +4.00 units

                                                            Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +4.00 units

                                                            Please refer to post #100 for detailed stats for the period 11/1 - 11/8. Detailed stats for the season so far will continue to be posted weekly on Sundays.

                                                            * Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.
                                                            Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-09-14, 05:48 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Kev the Brit
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-25-09
                                                              • 2027

                                                              #100
                                                              Morrison Results & Profit/Loss Statement to Date: 11/1 - 11/8

                                                              Currently Published Morrison System:
                                                              3 point buy all bets @ odds -185/1.54

                                                              V1
                                                              Series scheduled: 2
                                                              Series filtered out: 1 (#1: won preceding road game in conference)
                                                              Series complete: 1
                                                              Series stopped: 0
                                                              Completed series results:
                                                              A Bets: 1-0
                                                              B Bets: 0-0
                                                              C Bets: 0-0
                                                              Unit P/L:
                                                              1 win = +1.00
                                                              0 stop = 00.00
                                                              0 series loss = -00.00
                                                              V1 Total P/L = +1.00 unit

                                                              V2
                                                              Series scheduled: 0
                                                              Series filtered out: 0
                                                              Series complete: 0
                                                              Series stopped: 0
                                                              Completed series results:
                                                              A Bets: 0-0
                                                              B Bets: 0-0
                                                              C Bets: 0-0
                                                              Unit P/L:
                                                              0 wins = 00.00
                                                              0 stops = 00.00
                                                              0 series loss = -00.00
                                                              V2 Total P/L = 00.00 units

                                                              V3
                                                              Series scheduled: 3
                                                              Series filtered out: 0
                                                              Series complete: 3
                                                              Series stopped: 0
                                                              Completed series results:
                                                              A Bets: 3-0
                                                              B Bets: 0-0
                                                              C Bets: 0-0
                                                              Unit P/L:
                                                              3 wins = +3.00
                                                              0 stop = 00.00
                                                              series loss = -00.00
                                                              V3 Total P/L = +3.00 units

                                                              All Versions Summary
                                                              Series scheduled: 5
                                                              Series filtered out: 1 (see above)
                                                              Series complete: 4
                                                              Series stopped: 0
                                                              Completed series results:
                                                              A Bets: 4-0
                                                              B Bets: 0-0
                                                              C Bets: 0-0
                                                              Unit P/L:
                                                              4 wins = +4.00
                                                              0 stops = 00.00
                                                              0 series lost = -00.00

                                                              Currently Published Morrison System Total P/L so far, for the period 11/1 to 11/8: +4.00 units
                                                              -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                              Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                                              All bets ATS @ odds -110/1.91

                                                              Series scheduled: 5
                                                              Series filtered out: 1 (#1: won preceding road game in conference)
                                                              Series complete: 4
                                                              Completed series results:
                                                              A: 4-0. 4 series wins @ 1 unit = +4.00 units
                                                              B: 0-0. 0 series wins @ 7 units = 00.00 units
                                                              C: 0-0. 0 series win @ 5 units = 00.00 units; 0 series lost @ 26.52 units = 00.00 units. C Bet sub total = 00.00 units
                                                              Unit P/L:
                                                              A Bets: +4.00
                                                              B Bets: 00.00
                                                              C Bets: 00.00
                                                              Morrison 1-7-5 System Total P/L so far, for the period 11/1 to 11/8: +4.00 units
                                                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                              Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                                              All bets ATS @ odds -110/1.91

                                                              Series scheduled: 5
                                                              Series filtered out: 1 (#1: won preceding road game in conference)
                                                              Series complete: 4
                                                              Series stopped: 0 (after A Bet narrowly lost or pushed ATS)
                                                              Completed series results:
                                                              A: 4-0-0 (0 series stopped after A Bet, incl 0 series pushed out). 4 series wins @ 1 unit = +4.00 units; 0 series lost @ 1.10 units = -00.00 units; 0 series pushed @ 00.00 units. A Bet sub total: +4.00 units
                                                              B: 0-0. 0 series wins @ 7 units = 00.00 units
                                                              C: 0-0. 0 series win @ 5 units = 00.00 units; 0 series lost @ 26.52 units = 00.00 units. C Bet sub total = 00.00 units
                                                              Unit P/L:
                                                              A Bets: +4.00
                                                              B Bets: 00.00
                                                              C Bets: 00.00
                                                              Morrison 1-7-5 System (Filtered) Total P/L so far, for the period 11/1 to 11/8: +4.00 units

                                                              The next comprehensive Morrison statement for the season so far will be posted on Sun 11/16
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Kev the Brit
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-25-09
                                                                • 2027

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                                JM NBA bet strategy 10 year backtest
                                                                Here is the backtest I posted in last years thread for my 1-7-5 (No Filters) bet strategy. I will post 2013-14 results when I get a chance. The "Current Season" is what I was up at the time of my post last year.
                                                                I recorded -180.48 units for the 1-7-5 System
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Wallco99
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-01-11
                                                                  • 7261

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                                  I recorded -180.48 units for the 1-7-5 System
                                                                  That's right, I forgot how bad the systems did until I just rechecked. I forgot, I started fading it from Jan 9 til the end and recouped most of that loss. So I don't know what the actual number would have been if I played it out properly, I guess I will go with the figure that you arrived at, so as to not have to do a backtest of last season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Kev the Brit
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-25-09
                                                                    • 2027

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Morrison 11/9 Results & 11/10 Plays

                                                                    11/9 Results
                                                                    (Covers.com)
                                                                    Legend: Series won Bet lost Series lost

                                                                    Currently Published Morrison System
                                                                    #6 V1 6.05 pm Utah: A Bet Won 1 unit (ATS)
                                                                    #7 V3 3.35 pm Orlando: A Bet Won 1 unit (ATS)
                                                                    #8 V1 9.35 pm Charlotte: A Bet lost. B Bet on 11/11
                                                                    #9 V2 7.05 pm Philadelphia: Filtered out - worst road team (Lost SU in conference, so qualifies for V1 on 11/13)

                                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                                                    #6 V1 6.05 pm Utah: A Bet Won 1 unit
                                                                    #7 V3 3.35 pm Orlando: A Bet Won 1 unit
                                                                    #8 V1 9.35 pm Charlotte: A Bet lost. B Bet on 11/11
                                                                    #9 V2 7.05 pm Philadelphia: A Bet lost. B Bet on 11/13

                                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                                                    #6 V1 6.05 pm Utah: A Bet Won 1 unit
                                                                    #7 V3 3.35 pm Orlando: A Bet Won 1 unit
                                                                    #8 V1 9.35 pm Charlotte: A Bet lost heavily. B Bet on 11/11
                                                                    #9 V2 7.05 pm Philadelphia: A Bet lost heavily. B Bet on 11/13
                                                                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                                    11/10 Plays
                                                                    (All times EST)

                                                                    Currently Published Morrison System
                                                                    (3 point buy all bets @ odds -185/1.54*)
                                                                    #11 V3 8.05 pm Detroit: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                                    #10 V3 10.35 pm San Antonio: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                                                    (ATS all bets)
                                                                    #11 8.05 pm Detroit: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                                    #10 10.35 pm San Antonio: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                                                    (ATS all bets)
                                                                    #11 8.05 pm Detroit: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                                    #10 10.35 pm San Antonio: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                                    Upcoming Plays (11/11)

                                                                    Currently Published Morrison System:
                                                                    Scheduled:
                                                                    #8 V1 10.05 pm Charlotte: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount
                                                                    Possible:
                                                                    #10 V3 San Antonio: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount

                                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                                                                    Scheduled:
                                                                    #8 10.05 pm Charlotte: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount
                                                                    Possible:
                                                                    #10 San Antonio: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount

                                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System:
                                                                    Scheduled:
                                                                    #8 10.05 pm Charlotte: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount
                                                                    Possible:
                                                                    #10 San Antonio: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount
                                                                    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                                    Results to Date (11/1 - 11/9)
                                                                    Completed Series

                                                                    Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far (3 point buy all bets @ odds -185/1.54*): +6.00 units

                                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +6.00 units

                                                                    Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +6.00 units

                                                                    Please refer to post #100 for detailed stats for the period 11/1 - 11/8. Detailed stats for the season so far will continue to be posted weekly on Sundays.

                                                                    * Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.
                                                                    Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-10-14, 11:19 AM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Wallco99
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-01-11
                                                                      • 7261

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                                      2014-15 System to Date: 4-0 (fin. series)
                                                                      System profit/loss: +4.00 units (fin. series)
                                                                      Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)

                                                                      (11/9/14):
                                                                      #4 Denver (+9) (B) - Loss
                                                                      #5 Phoenix (M/L) (A) - Win

                                                                      v1 Plays
                                                                      (A) 4-1
                                                                      (B) 0-1

                                                                      (C) 0-0
                                                                      (D) 0-0
                                                                      Losses: None


                                                                      There are no system plays for (11/10/14):
                                                                      #4 Resumes (C) on 11/12/14


                                                                      We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Kev the Brit
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-25-09
                                                                        • 2027

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Morrison 11/10 Results & 11/11 Plays

                                                                        11/10 Results
                                                                        (Covers.com)
                                                                        Legend: won - Series won 1/7/5 unit(s). lost - Bet lost but series continues. lost - Series lost or stopped

                                                                        Currently Published Morrison System
                                                                        #10 V3 10.35 pm San Antonio: A Bet won 1 unit (ATS)
                                                                        #11 V3 8.05 pm Detroit: A Bet lost. B Bet on 11/12

                                                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                                                        #10 10.35 pm San Antonio: A Bet: won 1 unit
                                                                        #11 8.05 pm Detroit: A Bet lost. B Bet on 11/12

                                                                        Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                                                        #10 10.35 pm San Antonio: A Bet: won 1 unit
                                                                        #11 8.05 pm Detroit: A Bet: lost narrowly. Series stopped
                                                                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                                        11/11 Plays
                                                                        (All times EST)

                                                                        Currently Published Morrison System
                                                                        (3 point buy all bets @ odds -185/1.54*)
                                                                        #8 V1 10.05 pm Charlotte: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount

                                                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                                                        (ATS all bets)
                                                                        #8 10.05 pm Charlotte: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount

                                                                        Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System
                                                                        (ATS all bets)
                                                                        #8 10.05 pm Charlotte: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount
                                                                        -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                                        Upcoming Plays (11/12)

                                                                        Currently Published Morrison System:
                                                                        Scheduled:
                                                                        #11 V3 7.05 pm Detroit: B Bet to win 1 unit
                                                                        #12 V1 9.05 pm Brooklyn: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                                        Possible:
                                                                        None

                                                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                                                                        Scheduled:
                                                                        #11 7.05 pm Detroit: B Bet to win 7 units
                                                                        #12 9.05 pm Brooklyn: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                                        Possible:
                                                                        None

                                                                        Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System:
                                                                        Scheduled:
                                                                        #12 9.05 pm Brooklyn: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                                        Possible:
                                                                        None
                                                                        -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                                        Results to Date (11/1 - 11/10)
                                                                        Completed Series

                                                                        Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far (3 point buy all bets @ odds -185/1.54*): +7.00 units

                                                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +7.00 units

                                                                        Morrison 1-7-5 (Filtered) System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +4.90 units

                                                                        Please refer to post #100 for detailed stats for the period 11/1 - 11/8. Detailed stats for the season so far will continue to be posted weekly on Sundays.

                                                                        * Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.
                                                                        Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-11-14, 06:04 AM.
                                                                        Comment
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