Pattycakes Playoff Picks (and game 82 of the regular season)

[Pattycakes0909]

Pacers @ Hawks

1. Hawks +1 1^st half (1.0 Unit)
2. 1^st Qtr. Total Under 46.5 (0.8 Units)
3. Pacers Under 46.5 1^st half (0.75 Units)
4. Hawks +3 (0.75 Units)
5. Hawks +0.5 1^st Qtr. (0.5 Units)
6. Live Pacers ML (+200) (0.25 Units)

Thunder @ Grizzles

1. 1^st Qtr. Total Under 47.5 (0.8 Units)
2. Thunder -0.5 1^st Half (0.9 Units)
3. Live Thunder -1.5 2^nd Qtr. (0.5 Units)
4. Grizzles +3 (0.9 Units)
5. Under 189.5 (0.8 Units)
6. Live Thunder ML (+502) (0.25 Units)
7. Live OKC/Grizz over 179 (0.5 units)

Clippers @ Warriors

1. Under 214 (0.9 Units)
2. GSW +3 (0.9 Units)
3. GSW ML +130 (0.5 Units)

Teasers

1. 3 Team, 8 Point : Hawks +10.5, Grizzles +10, Warriors +10 (0.9 Units)
2. 2 Team, 5 Point : Hawks +8 and Grizzles +8 (0.75 Units)

[Pattycakes0909]

8-6-0 and +1.8 units for the evening so far, with 4 open bets to go....done with live bets for the evening.....checking out for the night pretty quick, but will have some more plays by 7 AM tomorrow morning....gotta get on the lines early before they adjust!

BOL to all!

[akay47]

Patty, listen to this (to prove how rigged the NBA is):

I got OKC-Memphis O/U at 190. It was a lock before Westbrook's 3 & 1, right? Game finished 85-85 (170), so I decided to hedge bet before OT, which makes a lot of sense because the line was 192.5. Courtney Lee misses 1/2 FTs at the end of OT and the score 98-94 (192) on the dot (I know, right?). What happens next? Westbrook desperation 3 and gets "fouled" by Tony Allen (Thank God). Hits 1/3 but score still finishes 98-95 (193). It's almost like the refs were apologizing for calling that 3 and 1, which screwed everyone's lock of an under. Unreal. Just thought I'd share that with you. Keep up the great work playa!

[Pattycakes0909]

Akay, I posted on this yesterday in another dude's thread...Straight up man, the NBA is not rigged....yes the refs fukk up frequently which does have an effect on the outcome of the game sometimes....but to say that it is rigged means that there would have to be predetermined outcomes, and that, to be simply put, is highly improbable in today's world....Think of how many people would be to be on the same page and be organized to pull of something like this....Not happening....Sometimes players play better or worse than their usual selves on any given night, and between that, and the combination of some potentially bad calls, the game is not always going to go EXACTLY how even the smartest people in the world picked it....

To win long term, and be good at something, just like doing anything else in your life, its takes repetition, research, studying, time, energy, hard-work, etc.....Sports betting is no different....I am not going to judge anybody else and their betting styles because that is their business....but this is generally why the public loses long term..... it's because they do not do anything mentioned above (research,consistent eye-test,etc.), and just try and pick the "hot" team or the team they know more about....There is no consistency with the public strategy, and just like anything else in life, with no consistency, you won't get great results long-term...

I am in a fortunate spot....My career allows me some freedom with my schedule, and on certain days (like yesterday), I was able to spend most of the day researching games and trying to find certain things that I felt gave an edge, which the public is obviously not doing (and I understand most cannot do this with a normal 9-5 job....) With that being said, I was able to lay out my next few nights of betting, and now I can resume normal life....NBA and NFL betting is simply a huge hobby of mine....I enjoy doing the research behind it and watching games to get a great feel of how teams play. If I am not working, playing basketball or tennis, spending time with my fiance or friends, it is just what I enjoy doing....I put a lot of time into it each week, and that is why I expect results over time.

With that being said, I will get off my rant here, and update where we are at overall......BOL to all betting moving forward.

Yesterday: 11-7-0 and +3.75 Units....Good to get back to back days in the black

[Pattycakes0909]

Overall, this brings our record to 33-24-2, for a +6.45 Units....

Will have some plays up before noon that I like....

[Pattycakes0909]

1st Play of the day:

Nets/Raptors Over 190.5 (0.8 Units) - I see this game being close, and the last four times these two teams met when the Nets were at home (Brooklyn/New Jersey), the totals have been 207, 219, 207, and 198, going 4-0 against this spread....I am riding this streak tonight....BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Raptors 1st half +2.5 (0.75 Units) - Both meetings in Brooklyn this year, the Raptors ended up leading up 1 after the 1st half, and they ended up leading in 2 out of the 3 games in Toronto as well at the end of the 1st half.... and over the last 3 seasons, the Raptors are 9-5 winning outright at the end of the 1st half with Brooklyn/New Jersey.....I will take the points....BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Even though Houston is reeling right now, I really like this one....

Rockets +1.5 1st Half (0.9 Units) - Over the course of the 2013/2014 season, including playoffs, the Rockets 4-1-1 against the Blazers to win the first half outright....What is really unique is that over the last 3 seasons, the Rockets are 11-1-1 at winning the 1st half outright against the Blazers....I am riding this streak, BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

In most cases I don't post my plays that are out 24 hours +, but I think the lines will be moving the wrong direction in some of these games tomorrow, so I would get them now before they adjust....

Saturday April 26th -

4 Team, 10 Point Teaser - Heat +4.5, Grizzles +12.5, Mavericks +13.5, Hawks +12 (0.9 Units) - BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Raptors/Nets 1st Half Over 95.5 (0.75 Units) - The last four times these teams have met when the Nets are at home, the first halves have finished with totals of 101, 113, 104, 112....I am going to ride this trend and play the over....BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Raptors 1st Qtr +1.5 (0.9 Units) -My research shows me that over the last 3 seasons, when these two teams meet, at either stadium, the Raptors have covered a +1.5 point spread in the 1st quarter, going 13-1-0....I am riding this trend and playing the Raptors 1st Qtr....BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Rockets/Blazers Over 214 (0.5 Units) - Public hammering the under, and the last 4 in Portland between these two have cleared 216...BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Wizards/Bulls Under 182 (0.5 Units) - BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

For organization, all plays tonight include....

Raptors/Nets

1. Raptors 1^st Qtr +1.5 (0.9 Units)
2. 1^st Half over 95.5 (0.75 Units)
3. Raptors +2.5 1^st Half (0.75 Units)
4. Over 190.5 (0.8 Units)


Bulls/Wizards

1. Under 182 (0.5 Units)

Rockets/Blazers

1. Rockets 1^st Half +1.5 (0.9 Units)
2. Over 214 (0.5 Units)

Teasers

1. None tonight…1^st time in awhile…

[Pattycakes0909]

Risking 5.1 Units tonight to win 4.85 Units....BOL....Not as many plays tonight, but did not see quite as many favorable lines

[Pattycakes0909]

Yesterday: 4-3-0 for a +0.9 Units....This brings our overall playoff record to 37-27-2, for a +7.35 Units.....Three days in a row in the black, lets hopefully keep this streak going today....BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

My first play of the day was posted yesterday afternoon.....

4 Team, 10 Point Teaser - Heat +4.5, Grizzles +12.5, Mavericks +13.5, Hawks +12 (0.9 Units)

More plays to come later

[Pattycakes0909]

4 Team, 10 Point Teaser - Bobcats +15, Grizzles +13.5, Mavericks +14, Hawks +12.5 (0.9 Units) - I cannot see any home teams today lose by 12+....The only one that even gives me a hint of worry is the Bobcats, because 3 of the last 5 times the Heat came to Charlotte, they did win by double digits (10,11,16)....The reason I am confident enough to play it is because I do not think the Heat have the killer mentality right now, and the Bobcats will be fired up at home...I see the Heat beating them for the 19th time in a row overall, but not by 15 points......BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Hawks 1st Half +1 (0.8 Units) - Last 9 games at home when the Pacers come to town, the Hawks have won the first half out right 8 of the 9....I look for this to continue today.

Hawks/Pacers 1st Half Under 92 (0.8 Units) - Last 4 games in ATL between these teams, they are yet to eclipse 85 in the first half.

Hawks/Pacers Under 187 (0.8 Units) - Last 7 of 9 match ups between these teams in ATL have gone under a total of 187, and I expect the Pacers to come with a better defensive presence. I am expecting a 90-85 finish in this one, or something close...BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Pacers 1st Half Under 46.5 (0.75 Units) - The last 6 times the Pacers have come to ATL, they have not eclipsed 42 in the first half.....I am riding this streak, and I am expect more of a defensive game tonight.

[Pattycakes0909]

Adding one more teaser for today's game....

3 Team, 8 Point - Grizz +11.5, Mavs +12, Hawks +11 (0.8 Units)

[Pattycakes0909]

Spurs -1 1st Qtr (0.75 Units) - Over the last 2 seasons, the Spurs are 9-1 covering a 1 point spread in the first quarter against the Mavs, and are 4-0 in Mavs home stadium

Spurs/Mavs 1st Qtr Under 50 (0.75 Units) - This year, the under 50 is 5-1 in the first quarter between these two teams....Even in the last 2 seasons, the trend continues...Under 50 is 8-1....BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

Well 3-0 so far today and +2.2 Units.....Lets keep this rolling

[Pattycakes0909]

Another tomorrow bet: Chicago Bulls +2 (0.9) Units - Nene is out....Will be a 2-2 series heading back to Chicago

[Pattycakes0909]

Live: Pacers/ATL Over 181.5 (0.5 Units) - Already have the under 187, but hedging on a smaller amount in case this gets into the free throw contest at the end

[Pattycakes0909]

Mavericks +2 1st Half (0.75 Units) - Mavericks have the covered a +2 point spread the last 4 match-ups with the Spurs, home or away....Looking to ride this....

[Pattycakes0909]

All bets today, for organization....

ATL/Indy

1. Hawks 1st Half +1 (0.8 Units)
2. Hawks/Pacers 1st Half Under 92 (0.8 Units)
3. Pacers 1st Half Under 46.5 (0.75 Units)
4. Hawks/Pacers Under 187 (0.8 Units)
5. Hawks/Pacers Over 181.5 (0.5 Units)

Spurs/Mavs
1. Spurs -1 1st Qtr (0.75 Units)
2. Spurs/Mavs 1st Qtr Under 50 (0.75 Units)
3. Mavericks +2 1^st Half (0.75 Units)

Teasers
1. 4 Team, 10 Point Teaser - Heat +4.5, Grizzles +12.5, Mavericks +13.5, Hawks +12 (0.9 Units)
2. 4 Team, 10 Point Teaser - Bobcats +15, Grizzles +13.5, Mavericks +14, Hawks +12.5 (0.9 Units)
3. 3 Team, 8 Point - Grizz +11.5, Mavs +12, Hawks +11 (0.8 Units)

So far 4-1....Will have more bets on the latter two games in about an hour or so....BOL to all

[leetreaper]

keep it up man

[driveroute66]

Good run today! The Mavs 1st qtr went a little large so that was too bad.

[Pattycakes0909]

Well 2 of the 3 bets hit for the Spurs/Mavs game to, so this brings us today to 6-2-0, for a +3.0 Units so far today......Three teasers still open, so no matter what, we are ending up in the black again, win or lose....But I have a feeling we are ending the day 9-2-0 and ended up with a great day....

I do not see any plays in the latter two games that give a significant edge.... I may have some live plays, but most likely we are just sticking with the teasers the rest of the evening.....BOL

[Pattycakes0909]

One more bet for the evening:

OKC/Grizzles 1st Qtr Under 47.5 (0.75 Units) - 12 of the last 13 meetings between these two teams saw the 1st quarter total stay below 47.5....We have cashed it in games 1, 2, and 3 this 1st round, and we look to cash it in game 4....BOL

[driveroute66]

Good solid research buddy! Way under it definitely was!

[Pattycakes0909]

Thread update: We had another good day yesterday, going 10-2-0 for a +6.9 Units.....This is our fourth day in a row in the black....

This brings the overall Playoff record to 47-29-2, for a +14.25 Units....BOL to all

I already posted one play for today, yesterday....Bulls +2 (0.9 Units)

[Pattycakes0909]

Adding:

4 Team, 10 Point Teaser - Bulls +11.5, Warriors +12, Raptors +14, Blazers +8 (0.9 Units)
4 Team, 10 Point Teaser - Bulls +11.5, Warriors +12, Raptors +14, Rockets +12 (0.9 Units)
3 Team, 8 Point Teaser -Bulls +9.5, Warriors +10, Raptors +12 (0.8 Units)


BOL

[driveroute66]

I don't much get into teasers, but it looks like you have a lot of fun and success with them. BOL