Leans for Friday 2/20/09 International Week

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  • ragiche
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-08
    • 3110

    #141
    Hello there guys.It's been awhile.Been very busy at work and staying with my aunt to help her for her daily medication.No computer for me in these past 2 months.I'm glad to hear from you guys here.CK's thread is the best.Hopefully that all of you having a good results lately.Not been following much games lately.I gonna play ck's pick for sure Hou-3.5,plus my play for today Orl-3.5(with the loss they've got the last game,i think they will be fired up for tonight,and they are also playing very good against division rivals).I'll also play a small parlay of Hou-3.5,Orl-3.5,Cle-8,Chi+3,Pho-8 just for $10.
    Comment
    • masr
      SBR MVP
      • 10-20-07
      • 4773

      #142
      Originally posted by Dexter
      dont you just lose the vig on a push in hockey?
      I may be wrong but when i recently put a wager on HT's pick few wks ago, (new to hockey) I thought i pushed a game, I think it came up as a loss...can someone confirm that?
      Comment
      • repski
        SBR MVP
        • 02-01-09
        • 1929

        #143
        Originally posted by Killer Chihuahua
        Adding LA Lakers -8 (.5 hook)

        The Line on this game was set at -8 by LVSC yesterday but this morning at 10:22 am LVSC made a line correction to -8.5.....something they dont usually do. The books quickly followed suit moving the line to -9. It has since come down to -8.5 with vegas happy that the public is on New Orleans at 66%. Im gonna take Koby and the wierd line movement to get some late night money
        Lakers are a solid 9-1 ATS when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 70% this season.
        Comment
        • ragiche
          SBR MVP
          • 12-09-08
          • 3110

          #144
          Forgot to say hi to Ck,Hockeytown,Dexter,Nonsense,Peter,Madd og and all the ck mafia's a good day.Great job to you all for the picks you've been sharing to all of the newcomers who wants help and to learn how to cap games.Good Work.This is for all of you here.Now let's get those bookies,and win those gs'.
          Comment
          • masr
            SBR MVP
            • 10-20-07
            • 4773

            #145
            Originally posted by repski
            Lakers are a solid 9-1 ATS when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 70% this season.
            Like that stat, rep...I think N.O. still thinking of their Magic blowout...
            Lakers are a different story, im jumping on my home team band wagon tonight
            Comment
            • Bezerk15
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-28-09
              • 192

              #146
              masr & Dex,

              Depends on your book - my local pushes on all ties, no juice either, but it depends - anything off shore masr, you just need to read the fine print. If pushes are losses by your book - No Value AT ALL in a 6 play for the DET/ANA game
              Comment
              • showtime2000
                SBR MVP
                • 11-09-08
                • 1054

                #147
                Am i missing something with the Den/Chi game? Look at some of the trends that favor the Over here, and the history between these 2. The last 6 games between each other all went over and all but 1 was at 203 and the rest over 215 and up.
                Comment
                • TheLemonDropKid
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-02-09
                  • 1501

                  #148
                  Originally posted by masr
                  I may be wrong but when i recently put a wager on HT's pick few wks ago, (new to hockey) I thought i pushed a game, I think it came up as a loss...can someone confirm that?

                  Hey Masr.....maybe the game tied but the team you bet on lost in OT or the shootout?? Otherwise if it was a "total", you should have pushed my friend.
                  Comment
                  • ragiche
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-09-08
                    • 3110

                    #149
                    Okay guys,going out first to do something important.Be back later.
                    Comment
                    • showtime2000
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-09-08
                      • 1054

                      #150
                      also Chicago has scored over 100 7 of their last 8 with the one right after the break, and they have given up over 100 5 of the last 8.
                      Comment
                      • wangichu
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-07-08
                        • 946

                        #151
                        Originally posted by CashMoney
                        I took the Knicks on the ML. Only thing I'm a bit nervous about is the return of Bosh.
                        fading a team with the return of their star is actually MUCH smarter than playing them on his return date... looks like a good play
                        Comment
                        • nonsense48
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-15-08
                          • 2927

                          #152
                          anyone have any info on ill. st. lloyd phillips as far as play or no play on him?
                          Comment
                          • nonsense48
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-15-08
                            • 2927

                            #153
                            wang, i also like the fact that bosh may play some minutes for the raps. makes me feel better about my nicks play
                            Comment
                            • masr
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-20-07
                              • 4773

                              #154
                              I was wrong, just read the rules on my book
                              (dont know why i didnt think of that before )
                              says: When you wager on total goals, if the score falls on the number in this case it's 6 it will be "no action"
                              Comment
                              • TheRussianMob
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 02-02-09
                                • 61

                                #155
                                I tried to help you all out last night. The Mavs +3 is the only play you can make in this spot. I will be sorry to see Crispy 0-2 verses me.
                                Comment
                                • wangichu
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-07-08
                                  • 946

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                                  Rubbing off the Lakers due to bad line movement over night
                                  my thoughts on this is that the line movement in this game is benine. I mean in theory, the lakers have to win by 10 whether the spread is 8.5 or 9. Having watched a lot of the lakers games this year, i've noticed that the line movement in their games isn't always acurate, especially against better clubs. I really think that with all the non-cappers playing games the lakers consistently draw plenty of action so the books like to throw in minor line movement to keep the sharps off them. I think the play in this game is lakers at the half. They should come out fired up and looking for revenge after the last match up and have proven that they can get out to early leads against the horny's and this is a perfect spot to catch them up early. i think the lakers lead by dd at half and the horny's either fold, or cp3 makes a game of it like they have in laketown before.
                                  Comment
                                  • showtime2000
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-09-08
                                    • 1054

                                    #157
                                    Andy, i like your Carolina PL play tonight. They have lost 3 straight games at home and were embaressed in all 3 losing 5-1,5-1,5-0. I expect them to come out firing in front of their home crowd amd with Mike McKenna in net for Tampa it should help. I will tail you on that one!
                                    Comment
                                    • wangichu
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-07-08
                                      • 946

                                      #158
                                      anyone know if the bulls new additions are going to be playing tonight? I want to play them, but if there's minute mixing i'm off that game.
                                      Comment
                                      • wangichu
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-07-08
                                        • 946

                                        #159
                                        so far i've posted...

                                        ATL +5/ML
                                        CHAR +2.5/ML
                                        MIL +8/ small ML

                                        debating CHI/MIN

                                        thinking i may drop the rockets...
                                        Comment
                                        • showtime2000
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-09-08
                                          • 1054

                                          #160
                                          Hey wang, 90% on denver and the line has not moved.
                                          Comment
                                          • The_Kid
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-09-08
                                            • 5049

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by wangichu
                                            anyone know if the bulls new additions are going to be playing tonight? I want to play them, but if there's minute mixing i'm off that game.
                                            John Salmons and Brad Miller have 3 p.m. physicals scheduled for Friday in Chicago and are expected to pass without issue. But they still need Drew Gooden and Andres Nocioni to pass theirs if they hope to play tonight against Denver. Gooden's could take a while due to all his health isuses, although it's being reported that Gooden's health has almost no chance at killing the deal - especially since the Kings only wanted him for his expiring contract.

                                            That's from Rotoworld.
                                            Comment
                                            • esz04
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 10-13-08
                                              • 117

                                              #162
                                              Anyone like Toronto +1 1Q tonight? Very strong 1st quarter team getting points from a very poor first quarter team.
                                              Comment
                                              • wangichu
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-07-08
                                                • 946

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by The_Kid
                                                John Salmons and Brad Miller have 3 p.m. physicals scheduled for Friday in Chicago and are expected to pass without issue. But they still need Drew Gooden and Andres Nocioni to pass theirs if they hope to play tonight against Denver. Gooden's could take a while due to all his health isuses, although it's being reported that Gooden's health has almost no chance at killing the deal - especially since the Kings only wanted him for his expiring contract.

                                                That's from Rotoworld.
                                                good lookin' out... i think i may add the bulls... although as hot as the nuggs are, line movement needs to be taken lightly... the books want to trick sharps into fading the nuggs because john q public will play them nightly until the wheels fall off.
                                                Comment
                                                • natelli1
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-01-08
                                                  • 251

                                                  #164
                                                  what do you guys think about the minny/indy game??
                                                  i no jefferson is out of course but i think the loss of danny granger and mike dunleavy(their 2 main scorers) will be too much for the pacers and i can see the t-wolves winning this game .. anyone have thoughts on this one?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • wangichu
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-07-08
                                                    • 946

                                                    #165
                                                    adding chi +2.5 and lakers -4.5 1st half... lakers won't get beat in the first half this time around and the horny's should be a little less fired up after the televised blowout... final card:

                                                    ATL +5/ML
                                                    CHAR +2.5/ML
                                                    MIL +8/ML

                                                    smaller plays
                                                    CHI +2.5
                                                    LAL -4.5 1st half


                                                    good luck mafia
                                                    Comment
                                                    • moneygrip
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 01-27-09
                                                      • 79

                                                      #166
                                                      JOHNNY UNITS ATS FRIDAY - fueled by Jim Beam Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey

                                                      KNICKS -3 & over214

                                                      Hate betting on my boys, but I like them tonight @ the Garden. They've played a tough schedule of late with games vs. the big 3 then on the road to GS and PORT and most recently back home hosting the Spurs. They've hung tough all throughout, and finally broke through with the OT win over San Antonio - Steve Black was PISSED!

                                                      It doesn't get any easier as tonight they host the "new look" Raptors with S.Marion/C.Bosh in the fold in a division rivalry game. Knicks have not fared well against the Atlantic this year, but tonight that should change. Toronto got rid of O'neal to accomodate a faster paced game, they didn't get to showcase it against the grind it out Cavs, but coach D'Antoni's Knicks will certainly oblige... I expect the tempo to be fast and furious as the total sails over 220 - and that is the Knickerbockers preferred style of game. Knicks roll in a shootout. book 'em both!

                                                      SUNS -7 (hook)

                                                      Suns are smoking hot with Porter out of town. I know it was the Clips, but 2 straight 140 spots! unheard of... it's like the Nuggets of the 90's. I said in other posts that I like OKC 2nd half of the season - but only @ home. This is Friday night on the road. Suns are on the outside looking in for the first time in EONS out west. They know every game is a must win. Amare or not, the crowd will be jacked up for this!!! Expect the pace to be pushed hard and the Suns to crush the Thunder - who they own, by the way. I expect a high scoring affair until 4th qtr. when the Suns clamp it down and rock the house.

                                                      T'WOLVES -3

                                                      Pacers have dropped 10 straight on the road. They just added Granger to the walking wounded, and they don't know any other way to play than fast paced. That should play into the t'wolves hands as Foye, Miller, and Love dominate this one in their house EASILY. Bombs away all night gentlemen. I feel they could win this by 20+. book it.

                                                      possible late night addition: HORNETS +9
                                                      Comment
                                                      • nonsense48
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-15-08
                                                        • 2927

                                                        #167
                                                        i like the nicks. good luck tho
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by wangichu
                                                          so far i've posted...

                                                          ATL +5/ML
                                                          CHAR +2.5/ML
                                                          MIL +8/ small ML

                                                          debating CHI/MIN

                                                          thinking i may drop the rockets...
                                                          nice to see u on almost all the same plays.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TheLemonDropKid
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-02-09
                                                            • 1501

                                                            #169
                                                            My brain felt like it was going to explode....but here are my final booked plays. And for the most part I went on my own this time (which spells utter disaster for me). Please gambling gods have mercy on my pathetic picks this time......pretty please.

                                                            Yale +4.5
                                                            Ana/Det Over 5.5
                                                            NY Knicks -3
                                                            NY/TOR Over 214
                                                            NJ Nets -7
                                                            Cle Cavs -7.5
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nonsense48
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-15-08
                                                              • 2927

                                                              #170
                                                              DEX, give me your take on tor/nicks game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheLemonDropKid
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-02-09
                                                                • 1501

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by nonsense48
                                                                DEX, give me your take on tor/nicks game.

                                                                please say "i love the knicks and over"....please say "i love the knicks and over".
                                                                Comment
                                                                • nonsense48
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-15-08
                                                                  • 2927

                                                                  #172
                                                                  well gang, my 3 plays are in for the nite and i'm closing up shop here. time to grab a bite to eat and head for the ranch. type to you later. good luck everyone
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nonsense48
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-15-08
                                                                    • 2927

                                                                    #173
                                                                    booked nicks-3 port-4.5 det/ana over 5.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheLemonDropKid
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-02-09
                                                                      • 1501

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Originally posted by nonsense48
                                                                      booked nicks-3 port-4.5 det/ana over 5.5


                                                                      YES!!!!! I have 2 out of your 3!! Whew.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • moneygrip
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 01-27-09
                                                                        • 79

                                                                        #175
                                                                        gl nonsense, lets'go knicks! add : NUGS -2.5 (a jjzaza special)

                                                                        *den now at -2
                                                                        Comment
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