Leans for Friday 2/20/09 International Week

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  • solobass
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-09
    • 1277

    #36
    CK I am agreeing with you on the Rockets for today, but I anticipate they will be fading material later into the season. This looks like about a 7 pt win for the Rockets

    Rockets -3.5
    Comment
    • solobass
      SBR MVP
      • 01-15-09
      • 1277

      #37
      Originally posted by ANDYW15
      I might play the over in all 3 nhl games tonight. So far no value in the ML for my liking.


      i was thinking of the over for the whole day myself. only lines on 2 games on my book right now though.
      Comment
      • OperatorX
        SBR MVP
        • 01-21-09
        • 1516

        #38
        I hope the bar isnt set too high for the knicks toronto game.. im really thinking over in this one.
        Comment
        • pho3nix32
          SBR MVP
          • 01-09-09
          • 1465

          #39
          Originally posted by Dexter
          now i really hope this suns game goes over...
          this is actually what happened, before i checked the trends, i was thinking of putting money on the suns over, then i saw those glaring under trends. but i'm new to this thing, i still got a lot to learn from guys like you and CK. i was really down 2 months ago and then i stumbled upon this forum. thank God for you guys!
          Comment
          • BCaldwell32
            SBR MVP
            • 12-13-08
            • 1027

            #40
            Originally posted by Dexter
            now i really hope this suns game goes over...
            Yeah me too, especially if the Lakers game stays under.
            Comment
            • solobass
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-09
              • 1277

              #41
              Also Dex I like Orlando -2.5 they have their own revenge angle after that abomination masked as a basketball game against the Hornets.

              Orlando-2.5
              Comment
              • solobass
                SBR MVP
                • 01-15-09
                • 1277

                #42
                My NBA card for the day

                Houston -3.5
                Orlando -2.5
                New Orleans +9
                Suns/Thunder Over 233
                Knicks ML whenever it comes out
                Comment
                • hockeytown11
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 1102

                  #43
                  they know something we dont,someones sick or something,im staying away,i dont need to bet the game just for the hell of it
                  Comment
                  • ANDYW15
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-28-08
                    • 1254

                    #44
                    Friday's in the NBA usually throws up some very random results and a few good dogs can be found barking. The trick is finding them lol
                    Comment
                    • BCaldwell32
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-13-08
                      • 1027

                      #45
                      Originally posted by solobass
                      Also Dex I like Orlando -2.5 they have their own revenge angle after that abomination masked as a basketball game against the Hornets.

                      Orlando-2.5
                      I think I'm staying away from Orlando for awhile, they are not the same team without Jameer Nelson and it shows.
                      Comment
                      • ANDYW15
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-28-08
                        • 1254

                        #46
                        Originally posted by hockeytown11
                        they know something we dont,someones sick or something,im staying away,i dont need to bet the game just for the hell of it
                        It is up now over 6 -125
                        Comment
                        • showtime2000
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-09-08
                          • 1054

                          #47
                          Good morning boys. Congrats Andy and hockey on a strong hockey day.

                          Here's what's on tap so far for today. I'm liking 1 play so far NBA.

                          New York (strong trend in their favor tonight)
                          Det/Nashville Over (hockeytown)
                          Comment
                          • Bezerk15
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-28-09
                            • 192

                            #48
                            From the news room here in DC on Ovie...no word on if he's playing or not...he did not practice yesterday.
                            I am playing this as an UNDER - Theodore is really fired up to play his former squad and the Caps are banged up. My cousin was at the practice yesterday and said they looked extremely sluggish.
                            McPhee: Ovechkin will be 'fine'

                            Alex Ovechkin was limping around after last night's game, the result of taking a slap shot off his left foot in the third period of the Caps' 4-3 shootout win over Montreal. His foot was also seriously swollen, and he's not taking part in this morning's optional practice.
                            But I caught up with GM George McPhee moments ago and he said that Ovechkin will be "fine." He also said he has no doubt that Ovechkin will be ready to play tomorrow against the Avs.
                            "Everybody out there has some swelling right now," McPhee said.
                            Also, Viktor Kozlov is skating for the first time in a few days. But the session is very, very light, so it's hard to tell where he is in his recovery from a groin muscle pull.
                            Comment
                            • ANDYW15
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-28-08
                              • 1254

                              #49
                              Originally posted by showtime2000
                              Good morning boys. Congrats Andy and hockey on a strong hockey day.

                              Here's what's on tap so far for today. I'm liking 1 play so far NBA.

                              New York (strong trend in their favor tonight)
                              Det/Nashville Over (hockeytown)
                              Not just Hockey and I but you and Non as well

                              Berzerk - Excellent info. I don't like the over 6 myself especially at -125.
                              Comment
                              • hockeytown11
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 1102

                                #50
                                Originally posted by ANDYW15
                                Not just Hockey and I but you and Non as well

                                Berzerk - Excellent info. I don't like the over 6 myself especially at -125.
                                OVIE IS the Washington Caps if he isnt 100 percent run away far and fast as u can
                                Comment
                                • BCaldwell32
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-13-08
                                  • 1027

                                  #51
                                  I love the reverse line movement on knicks game to support my Knicks pick. 77% betting on Raptors and line went from 3 to 3.5.
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by solobass
                                    Also Dex I like Orlando -2.5 they have their own revenge angle after that abomination masked as a basketball game against the Hornets.

                                    Orlando-2.5
                                    yeah, i hear that angle off a su loss - but i just love the way brown has this team playing defense - plus wallace back is a huge + for this covering machine. 2.5 is low - i kinda think vegas is giving us a hint here.
                                    Comment
                                    • BCaldwell32
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-13-08
                                      • 1027

                                      #53
                                      I agree with that Dex.
                                      Comment
                                      • Bezerk15
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-28-09
                                        • 192

                                        #54
                                        Andy - even though they covered the 6 last outing, they pushed the 6 the prior outing with a 5-1 win over Tampa. My local book isn't posting any lines on this until this Ovie stuff shakes out - really shady right now.

                                        Keep in mind the Caps have Pens on Sunday and Flyers on Tuesday - classic look ahead scenario and based on how they looked at practice...this could go anyway.

                                        Caps are 7-9-0 vs. West (5-3-0 @ home)

                                        Best advice - follow hockeytown and stay away - must bet, UNDER..maybe if you are up this week take COL PL for a value play?

                                        Just my 2 cents

                                        BOL tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • CashMoney
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-07-08
                                          • 1982

                                          #55
                                          I took the Knicks on the ML. Only thing I'm a bit nervous about is the return of Bosh.
                                          Comment
                                          • BCaldwell32
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-13-08
                                            • 1027

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by CashMoney
                                            I took the Knicks on the ML. Only thing I'm a bit nervous about is the return of Bosh.
                                            I am a little worried about Bosh myself, but the reverse line movement is a great sign.
                                            Comment
                                            • Dexter
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-24-08
                                              • 25829

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by BCaldwell32
                                              I love the reverse line movement on knicks game to support my Knicks pick. 77% betting on Raptors and line went from 3 to 3.5.
                                              knicks down to 2.5 now...

                                              i dont like looking at movement when star players are on the injury report. cant clearly tell whats moving the line imo (adjustments, sharps etc)
                                              Comment
                                              • Dexter
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-24-08
                                                • 25829

                                                #58
                                                booked plays-

                                                bobcats +2.5
                                                mavs +3.5
                                                bulls +2.5
                                                hawks +4.5
                                                Comment
                                                • handimann
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-04-09
                                                  • 102

                                                  #59
                                                  OKC at PHO over 233

                                                  as a lifelong suns fan, the over 233 okc/pho line is a great pick. suns are loving the new system and the freedom they have to go back to their old ways. they're riding high from their consecutive 140 pt showings and will go against a slightly better thunder squad at home who also have one of the best scorers in the league in durant. the young kids of okc will be ready to take on the run and gun style of the new suns because they know they can't use their D to contain them like the spurs can. may also put some on suns -8.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ceelo22
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                    • 69

                                                    #60
                                                    Hockeytown, my book has Det/Ana at 6, is over still a good play?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • peetlui
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-12-09
                                                      • 469

                                                      #61
                                                      Cavs/Bucks, I'm leaning towards the Bucks. They are 5-1 ATS their last 6 against the Cavs winning 3 of those SU as a dog. They lost their last one at home to the Cavs so I'm liking the revenge factor here. The initial RLM also supports this play as 80% of the public is on the Cavs yet the line dropped .5 point. The over also looks good as 5 of the last 6 between these two teams have supported this.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • peterpan19
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-02-08
                                                        • 3377

                                                        #62
                                                        hey dex did you book your plays already ? edit:nevermind, thx, big like 3x or 5x big ?

                                                        right now I just have too many games I like: Char (ck whats styles playing today ?), Hou, NY, Chi, Mil, Okc, ATl and NOH, just too many games right now,
                                                        I also think the char line is way too low, but I have to agree with you dex, it might me a hint here, its almost like tha NOH/orl game early this week, just too good to be true

                                                        Hou game everything points to Dal here, every trend, but you gotta ask yourself why is it the same line like always ? I mean Tmac is out and Hou didnt play too well at all as of late ?? Friday Night I have to go with the home team here, especially after one of their star players is out for the year, and also take a look at how both of them played against the Nets, Hou did a better job in my eye

                                                        NY is a pure stats play, 10-4 ATS at home plus that thing with the 100 pts + dating back to whenver, add in revenge factor, NY it is

                                                        CHI, a home dog on a Friday night, plus denver after a long road trip, give me the points here, plus Chi is 3-1 SU at home against Denver

                                                        MIL, 2-1 ATS at home vs Cleveland, lets just say I have the feeling that Mil will keep it close

                                                        OKC, ok Pho played great against the Clips, but it is still the Clips, and OKC is playing better right now plus they are 9-2 ATS in Pho, and the line is even lower than in previous years, so the bookies didnt throw out a huge line like they should have after the Clips games, I mean OKC got 10 pts at home early in the year, so why only 9.5 today ?? makes you think

                                                        ATL, always close games between this two teams plus ATL is 5-1 ATS in Por

                                                        NOH, I mean 9 pts ?? I think NOH is 4-1 ATS in LA, only thing that worries me is the revenge factor and why is the line so high ? Man I just beat myself, smart play is to take the Lakers here, as the bookies probably expect a blowout today and they just want some money on NOH bc they know this will get ugly, Lakers it is
                                                        Comment
                                                        • handimann
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-04-09
                                                          • 102

                                                          #63
                                                          Stoudemire out 8 weeks with eye injury

                                                          Posted: Feb. 20, 2009 Phoenix Suns forward Amar’e Stoudemire underwent successful surgery today to repair a partially detached retina in his right ...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bumppinee
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 07-22-08
                                                            • 361

                                                            #64
                                                            Im liking minnesota -3, against the pacers without Danny grange.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • peterpan19
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-02-08
                                                              • 3377

                                                              #65
                                                              is that true with amare ?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BCaldwell32
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-13-08
                                                                • 1027

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by handimann
                                                                Stoudemire out 8 weeks with eye injury

                                                                http://www.nba.com/suns/news/stoudem...ry_090220.html
                                                                What the hell, never heard anything about this, that sucks I already put in my over bet.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • peterpan19
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-02-08
                                                                  • 3377

                                                                  #67
                                                                  I mean that would explain why OKC was only +9 to start with, I think it will go down even more now if its true
                                                                  edit. pinny just took the game off
                                                                  thegreek dropped it to +8 now
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • johnnymapalo
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-14-08
                                                                    • 2999

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                                    Here's what I'm smokin' on for today

                                                                    Rockets-3.5
                                                                    Lakers-9

                                                                    Be back in the morning to update everything

                                                                    Oh boy, I don't really like what your smoking today guy. Must be them cheap cigarettes. Good luck though!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • repski
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-01-09
                                                                      • 1929

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by handimann
                                                                      Stoudemire out 8 weeks with eye injury

                                                                      http://www.nba.com/suns/news/stoudem...ry_090220.html
                                                                      Whoa...how's that affect your play Dex??
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BCaldwell32
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-13-08
                                                                        • 1027

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by peterpan19
                                                                        I mean that would explain why OKC was only +9 to start with, I think it will go down even more now if its true
                                                                        edit. pinny just took the game off
                                                                        thegreek dropped it to +8 now
                                                                        What do you mean only +9, Thunder were 12 point dogs at Lakers last week. What did you think the line should be with how well they have been playing?
                                                                        Comment
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