John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

[dinnydan]

Can someone refer me to the post number explaining the 1/7/5 and 7/5 systems. I see you guys talking about them but have no idea what they are.

[dinnydan]

and 1/5/3 and all that stuff

[Wallco99]

and 1/5/3 and all that stuff

It's in last year's thread in many posts.

[dlunc3]

Thanx to whoever started the 7/5 system. It just occurred to me to use that on a MLB system I'm backtesting, actually 1/5/3...but that was just numbers I plugged in, but anyway that concept made it STRONG. Now just gotta get the backtests going.

Speaking of thelimit... is he around these days? always enjoyed his input..

[Wallco99]

Speaking of thelimit... is he around these days? always enjoyed his input..

Haven't heard from him in a long while.

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Can someone refer me to the post number explaining the 1/7/5 and 7/5 systems. I see you guys talking about them but have no idea what they are.

Post #149

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1847128-john-morrison-2012-13-nba-thread-p4.html#post16419824

[BuckeyeKaptn]

and 1/5/3 and all that stuff

1/5/3 was the quick check to see if my MLB system pulled in more units. The 5 and 3 were just numbers I pulled out of the air.

[J.M. Disciple]

I will try and post the plays since im posting the hockey plays also. Schedule makes it easy enough. Ill post it via 1-7-5 format.

will post v1-v3 under same record though..we can go back through the schedule later and update during a stretch with no plays.

[jonny2k4]

i was going to nominate you to track this, lol. Great job with Hockey. thanks buddy.

[J.M. Disciple]

jm nba 1-7-5 system
*based on -110 odds
*all games are based on covers closingline
*do not buy points
*spread sheet can be found for downloadpost #78
*bets posted via $100 unit size
*recommended minimum of 100 units as bankroll
*Any questions read first 5 pages of this thread


a) $110 to win $100
b) $891 to win $810
c) $1651 to win $1501


upcoming plays
11/01/2013 10:30pm sas (a) vs lal


system record: 0-0
system profit: 0.00u
A) 0-0
B) 0-0
C) 0-0


*Do not even feel like calling this JM NBA system. Wanna give more credit to wallco and limit for coming up with it. Do not feel like giving him any free marketing. He apparently stole the system anyways.

[J.M. Disciple]

Feel like I need some more important info in my post. Maybe like a system based on a team going on the road and chasing them for 3 consecutive games. Someone wanna provide a link to the rules of the system, like direct link and ill put it in my post for people. Alright good night. Good luck on SAS tomorrow everyone.

[Mrscofield25]

Feel like I need some more important info in my post. Maybe like a system based on a team going on the road and chasing them for 3 consecutive games. Someone wanna provide a link to the rules of the system, like direct link and ill put it in my post for people. Alright good night. Good luck on SAS tomorrow everyone.

Is this what you need? If not, I will delete this post again. http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...l#post16419824

[Wallco99]

Is this what you need? If not, I will delete this post again. http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...l#post16419824

I already pasted a link to the .pdf of all three versions in post #100.

[Mrscofield25]

I already pasted a link to the .pdf of all three versions in post #100.

Sorry Wallco. I must have overlooked it.

[ok15533]

Tim Duncan May not play today. does this count as a filter for todays game ?

[J.M. Disciple]

Tim Duncan May not play today. does this count as a filter for todays game ?

The system was not back tested via filters, so I will not apply the traditional system filters. I will be playing all teams on the road starting their road trip for 3 consecutive games as was back tested.

Besides traditional system would be most efficient player on the team, so probably would be Tony parker if you applied that filter.

[Wallco99]

Sorry Wallco. I must have overlooked it.

No big deal. We could post it every day and someone would still ask for it anyway.

[Wallco99]

The system was not back tested via filters, so I will not apply the traditional system filters. I will be playing all teams on the road starting their road trip for 3 consecutive games as was back tested.

Besides traditional system would be most efficient player on the team, so probably would be Tony parker if you applied that filter.

Actually, the only thing tested was the 7/5, with B and C bets only and using the 3 1/2 point spread filter. I mentioned that I started playing 1/7/5 on ALL series with no filters. This was NOT backtested, but provided great results last season. It definitely does not mean that it will again. Just so it is clear and everyone understands, I will say it again. I PLAY IT THIS WAY BUT IT WAS NOT BACKTESTED. It is cool that you are posting it this way, with the 1/7/5 results, but I just want to be sure that people know that I only have one season of live play with this strategy and no results from seasons before that.

[Bdolan33]

Duncan is out?

[wizcodlifa]

Walco are you posting your plays on here??

[Wallco99]

Walco are you posting your plays on here??

Yes, there hasn't been any yet.

[J.M. Disciple]

SO if 1-7-5 turns out bad everyone blame wallco

[Wallco99]

SO if 1-7-5 turns out bad everyone blame wallco

10/4!

[Kev the Brit]

Hi guys, my new summer time career (offshore yacht instructor) takes me away from the web almost every day during the MLB season so I couldn't play the JM MLB this year. Lucky eh? Anyways, I'm now back onshore and looking forward to the NBA season and contributing to this thread. First point (admin) is that the SBR website is not recognising my hard return key on my notebook, which is a pain in the @rse for you guys. So, until this is resolved I will be sending in a new post for every new paragraph whenever I think it is best to do so. Good luck all, Kev

[Kev the Brit]

I've checked the last few pages of last year's thread and all of the pages of this year's thread and I cannot find the full season data for the 7-5 system for 2012-13. Can anyone help with this? I seem to recall that it was not good reading....

[Kev the Brit]

Re Chase110: last year I did not bet on the worst team ATS. Overall, Wallco lost a unit or so, but I avoided 2 losing series and made approx 40 units profit over the season. I'm not suggesting that my filter is worth anything in the long run, because it was not part of Wallco's back test and I certainly have not back tested it, but I believe that passing on 2 or 3 series per year will at worst deprive the player of only a few units profit, but it will avoid the high chance of losing 40 units per year. Food for thought, I think.....

[Kev the Brit]

Tonight's JM V3 bet (SAS): 1-7-5 system (no point buy) has no back test pedigree. Play it with caution.

[Kev the Brit]

And finally: If you are a JM follower to the letter (ie you apply all his rules), SAS is a ML bet due to the enormous -ve spread. You might get away with a 3 point buy, but the system has been bitten in the past in these circumstances. Also, remember that JM has no back test pedigree for the V3 system.

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Tim Duncan May not play today. does this count as a filter for todays game ?

There isn't a filter when a player is out. A player's injury will most likely benefit the spread.
But as always, if you don't feel good about a wager, don't play it.

Added: I made my wager around 12 my time Eastern (unaware that it was a 1030pm game), and I got SA at -7.5. I just checked and now SA is -8. The casinos already had Duncan out when they made the line.

[Wallco99]

Re Chase110: last year I did not bet on the worst team ATS. Overall, Wallco lost a unit or so, but I avoided 2 losing series and made approx 40 units profit over the season. I'm not suggesting that my filter is worth anything in the long run, because it was not part of Wallco's back test and I certainly have not back tested it, but I believe that passing on 2 or 3 series per year will at worst deprive the player of only a few units profit, but it will avoid the high chance of losing 40 units per year. Food for thought, I think.....

Just because it wasn't part of the original backtest doesn't necessarily mean that it wouldn't be a better way to play it, or on the contrary that it would. That is a very complicated backtest to run, but one in which I would love to know the results.

[J.M. Disciple]

jm nba 1-7-5 system
*based on -110 odds
*all games are based on covers closingline
*do not buy points
*spread sheet can be found for downloadpost #78
*bets posted via $100 unit size
*recommended minimum of 100 units as bankroll
*Any questions read first 5 pages of this thread
*Been told any questions refer to post #100

a) $110 to win $100
b) $891 to win $810
c) $1651 to win $1501


upcoming plays
11/02/2013 9:00pm Hou (A) -6 vs UTA

system record: 0-0
system profit: -$110
A) 0-1
B) 0-0
C) 0-0

Sorry did not let me get rid of the bold print when I copy and paste and was not going to retype it all. Just going to have to deal with it and enjoy a +9.1 unit day tomorrow.


SAS will not be a play via Thelimits recent post of the 3.5 filter. If you already place the bet, than its up to you to bet other side and take small loss on juice or leave it and hope it wins. The series is over.

[ganj3]

upcoming plays
11/02/2013 10:00pm SAS(B) -2.5 vs POR
11/02/2013 9:00pm Hou (A) -6 vs UTA

system record: 0-0
system profit: -$110
A) 0-1
B) 0-0
C) 0-0

This is my first year playing JM system and I thought you were only supposed to bet the SAS M/L against the Lakers since the line was -8? So wouldn't that mean theres no more bets for the SAS road trip?

[ridersonthestorm]

This is my first year playing JM system and I thought you were only supposed to bet the SAS M/L against the Lakers since the line was -8? So wouldn't that mean theres no more bets for the SAS road trip?

Exactly, I am confused, too. I thought it's ML for favs and PS for dogs every time. Therefore my ML bet has won and SA series are over.

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Exactly, I am confused, too. I thought it's ML for favs and PS for dogs every time. Therefore my ML bet has won and SA series are over.

That's Wallcos system. JM Discip is doing the JM system.

[Wallco99]

It really sucks pasting to this site. Something changed two years ago and I've also been having trouble pasting ever since.