Zii's NBA Thread 2013

[Zii]

10/03/2013: 4 - 5 - 0
-0.46 Units

Record in March: 25 - 19 - 0
+4.21 Units

YTD: 72 - 65 - 2
-1.94 Units

[Zii]

Early leans (11/03/2013):
San Antonio Spurs (-2) & UNDER 2O9.5
*This seems like a biggest play for me tonight. Spurs got blown out by Portland in their last game and I think they won't forget it for some time, I think they are more than prepared for OKC tonight, who are on a b2b situation after not as easy as the final score implied home win over Celtics. Spurs are slightly better ATS in this particular situation - 16-11-2 as home favourite, 7-3-0 2-3 days off; OKC - 1-1-1 as away dog, 5-5-0 playing b2b. Under seems like a good one with Spurs O/U trends - 2-7-1 2-3 days off, 5-9-0 after a loss, 11-18-0 as home faves; OKC - 4-6-0 on b2b, 1-2-0 as away underdog.

Golden State Warriors / NY Knicks OVER 201
*Expect a high pace and enough baskets made to go over that 201. Warriors are in a bit of a ditch, losing 2 home games in a row, but I think they can step up in this one, that is why they will be forced to score a lot, because they obviously can not defend. Knicks despite all criticisms and scepticism towards them are rolling high even without Melo and Amare, that is what defines a 'good team'. I think they will put up quite a pressure for Warriors and will snatch it by a point or two by the end of the 4th quarter. Either way this is going over in my mind.

Detroit Pistons +10
*I can't imagine Jazz blowing out anyone by double digits at this point, they are pathetic and will give up their playoff spot.

Obviously it would be nice if you could share your opinion and thoughts about today's card. Every input would be appreciated! Might add a play or two later on as well.

[Zii]

Three picks for me tonight.

11/03/2013:

OKC/SAS Under 208.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

BKN/PHI Over 184 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

New York Knicks +3 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

Good luck to all of you tonight!

[Zii]

Ok, what happened in GSW/NYK game was super weird, but still a green night after some time now, and I hit a nice +350 parlay in NHL tonight as well so I'll get over that NYK bullsh*t game pretty well.

11/03/2013: 2 - 1 - 0
+0.70 Units

Record in March: 27 - 20 - 0
+4.91 Units

YTD: 74 - 66 - 2
-1.24 Units

[Zii]

Leaning doggies tonight.

Leans (12/03/2013):
Orlando Magic (+9)
MIN/SAS (Under 196.5)
Dallas Mavericks (+2)

[Zii]

12/03/2013:

Orlando Magic +9.5 (0.5 Units)

Washington Wizards ML (0.5 Units)

MIN/SAS Under 196.5 (0.5 Units)

Don't have much confidence in todays card, that is why laying only 0.5 units per game. Good luck!

[Zii]

12/03/2013: 2 - 1 - 0
+0.32 Units

Record in March: 29 - 21 - 0
+5.23 Units

YTD: 76 - 67 - 2
-0.92 Units

Should have stayed with my original leans and stayed with Dallas instead of Wizards, but oh well. However, super surprised about Bobcats and Timberwolves - I knew that there might be some value in those +DD, but come on STRAIGHT UP?!

[Zii]

13/03/2013:

Atlanta Hawks +2.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

LA Clippers -6 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

Milwaukee Bucks ML (1 Unit) - LOCKED

Toronto Raptors +5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

That's it for me tonight. Have a great night!

[Zii]

Perfect, almost a sweep.

13/02/2013: 1 - 3 - 0
-2.1 Units

Record in March: 30 - 24- 0
+3.13 Units

YTD: 77 - 70 - 2
-3.02 Units

[Unbreakable]

Better luck next time. Keep your head up!

[Zii]

Leans (14/03/2013):

Dallas Mavericks/San Antonio Spurs UNDER 207
*San Antonio will come out big tonight after humiliation in Minnesota. Spurs are always stepping up after a loss and with one day in between. Dallas are on a nice 4 game winning streak, but it will end tonight for sure. Though, I'm not yet sure wether Spurs will be able to blow them out entirely and cover the spread. Real value for this match is in total. Spurs are 'under' machines in situations like this - 5-10-0 (after a loss), 11-19-0 (as home favourites), 16-22-1 (conference games). Dallas on the other hand are pure 'over' team, though I think that Spurs will cut the oxygen for them tonight and will hold them around 90 points. Projection - 92:101 Spurs.

[Zii]

Dallas Mavericks +10
*That spread is sky high right now and I find it a bit too much for Spurs to cover against Mavericks.

[Zii]

14/03/2013:

Dallas Mavericks +10 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

DAL/SAS Under 207.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

Two picks for the first game, two more to follow. Stay tuned!

[Zii]

POR/NYK Over 192.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

[Zii]

LIVE - Dallas Mavericks 1H +7.5 (3 Units) - LOCKED

[Zii]

Terrific, I knew, I just had to bite me in the ass that I didn't take Mavs 1h +10.5 when it was available in first quarter.

[Zii]

2 - 0 - 0 so far with pre-game picks, though that one live pick killed my night, not sure why I even took it, moron. (2 - 1 - 0) overall.

[Zii]

LIVE - Portland Trail Blazers 1H -3.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

LIVE - Portland Trail Blazers 2Q -1.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

[Zii]

LIVE - Portland Trail Blazers 3Q -1.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

[Zii]

LIVE - POR/NYK Under 190.5 (0.5 Units) - LOCKED

[Zii]

14/03/2013: 5 - 3 - 0
-0.49 Units

Record in March: 35 - 27- 0
+2.64 Units

YTD: 82 - 73 - 2
-3.51 Units

Swept all pre-game picks (3-0), messed up with unnecessary live bets though, that is why ended up 'short' unitwise. Red in NBA, but green overall night since I managed to make up some units in NHL. But I quit betting these ridiculous, spontaneous live bets from now on.

[Zii]

15/03/2013:

Memphis Grizzlies +6 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

[Zii]

15/03/2013: 0 - 1 - 0
- 1 Unit

Record in March: 35 - 28- 0
+1.64 Units

YTD: 82 - 74 - 2
-4.51 Units

[Zii]

Early leans (16/03/2013):
Utah Jazz -1.5
*Really like Jazz here. I expect them to finally rev up a bit and take care of travelling b2b Grizzlies. Especially when public is pounding Memphis.

PHO/WAS Over 188 & Phoenix Suns +7.5
*Washington is really tough place to play, but I think Wizards are a bit overrated here.

BOS/CHA Over 187 & Charlotte Bobcats +15.5
*Boston will be spitting fire tonight, but those Cats know how to play Boston and they have proven it this season, that is why in my opinion -15.5 is a bit excessive for Boston to cover.

These are my leans for now, might post some additional plays later. Planning to try out hand in NCAAB tonight as well.

[Zii]

No games for me tonight, made a fortune (+19 Units) in NHL tonight and decided to take the rest of the day off. Will be back on Sunday!