Rugby and league 2011

SaffaCappa · 08-15-11, 01:29 AM

Are Auckland fielding their Under 13 side for the trip to Tasman, the odds look a joke?

IDunno89 · 08-15-11, 01:42 AM

Dogs to get it done... But unsure what I'm playing

Beniphone · 08-15-11, 01:57 AM

Otago ML at 1.70 looks good also, playing manawatu who are overdue a series of loses. Otago are snowed out of Dunedin at the moment, they are playing at there brand new stadium for the first time also, surely they can't loose this game

sportscash · 08-15-11, 02:14 AM

Yeah agree with the dogs 3 units -2.5

hawley · 08-15-11, 02:34 AM

Im on the doggies already, I just cant help thinking its a trap, although the Dogs have only looked half decent the last few weeks

Beniphone · 08-15-11, 02:45 AM

Does have the trap feeling, same with about 4 games I'm eyeing up at the moment

hawley · 08-15-11, 02:52 AM

The fact it is monday night footy makes it worse

If we get the pokie curse before game

haha

Gee · 08-15-11, 03:13 AM

It smells like a trap.

I have yet to see anyone on the Sharks and yet the line has gone from 3.5 to 2.

I'm going to play the market and go with the SHarks!

Beniphone · 08-15-11, 03:15 AM

Ha good on ya gee, usually when all the sbr locals jump on one side they loose

Duff85 · 08-15-11, 03:45 AM

Dogs-1.5 is a good play. I'd avoid the -2 though.

benrama · 08-15-11, 03:50 AM

I was going to say same thing - when it seems SBR and every man, dog and seagull is on one side it seems about 90% of the time it goes the other way. Sharks beat Bulldogs in their other clash this season and have Gallen fit and ready to play. Home advantage has been huge for MNF too - wouldn't surprise me at all to see a Cronulla win. And as for motivation, well Roosters are out of the playoffs but that didn't stop them showing up against St George.

Game is a pass for me, which means I'll still have a small action play on it

IDunno89 · 08-15-11, 04:03 AM

Ended up playing dogs -2.5

TwoWays · 08-15-11, 04:48 AM

Wow all momentum swinging Sharks way, then that play on and pass to Barba to end the half.

benrama · 08-15-11, 05:02 AM

Bulldogs are playing like sh.it. Sharks are the better team tonight, and are getting dangerous offloads consistently, while Bulldogs keep making hero plays - Idris in particular is having a shocker.

I ended up playing Bulldogs (against my own gut read on the game), but not feeling really comfortable.

TwoWays · 08-15-11, 05:06 AM

OMG! What a hit.

Meyhem · 08-15-11, 05:09 AM

booya

TwoWays · 08-15-11, 05:12 AM

How the Dogs still have the lead I don't know.

Meyhem · 08-15-11, 05:12 AM

calling golden point early here....

Duff85 · 08-15-11, 05:35 AM

With the possible exception of Jonathan Thurston... I struggle to think of a player more valuable to their club than Paul Gallen at the moment.

SaffaCappa · 08-15-11, 05:41 AM

Nice call Boys!

Meyhem · 08-15-11, 05:42 AM

no doubt, hes worth every cent, without him the sharks would be down 40. His commitment to the sharks is outstanding also, i remember a article talking about all the money offers he has gotten to change club but has turned them down with his dream of getting the sharks a grand finale

TwoWays · 08-15-11, 05:45 AM

Wow! Anyone who backed the Doggies have to be counting their luck after the Dogs just got out-hustled in this game and still won.

RLF · 08-15-11, 05:48 AM

Originally posted by Duff85

With the possible exception of Jonathan Thurston... I struggle to think of a player more valuable to their club than Paul Gallen at the moment.

There was an article recently that he is now the biggest line mover in the NRL, overtook Thurston. As in a line would move 4-6 points if he was ruled out.

Beniphone · 08-15-11, 05:51 AM

Cash it

benrama · 08-15-11, 06:58 AM

Twoways - couldn't agree more, we won the bet, but it was more luck than anything. Sharks looked more dangerous, had much better runs up the middle, more offloads, but just couldn't finish (thankfully).

Bulldogs are over-rated, no way they are up to finals football. Was impressed with Kasiano though.

MrXYZ · 08-15-11, 07:52 AM

Bulldogs are good fade material against Manly this week. We'll see what line the books come up with.

hawley · 08-15-11, 02:48 PM

Gallen is hands down my favourite player

The motor he has on him is just ridiculous. His effort throughout SOO but in SOO 2 in particular was amazing.

That being said I wouldnt be surprised to see the Sharks shut hm down for the season soon. His body must be screaming for a break.

Beniphone · 08-15-11, 03:22 PM

Will be interesting to see how they go for the final game of the season vs the tigers, gallens 200th, I'm sure the team will lift for it, especially if tigers are gauranteed top 8 at that time

Beniphone · 08-15-11, 04:40 PM

Aucklands team is not that bad... Probably the squarest play of the season, even playing the ML, 1.65 is not that bad, I'll go with it. Love to see Auckland loose so won't suck as bad once this play fails

s2230011 · 08-15-11, 05:58 PM

Lucky to get away with the Doggies win, I was even luckier I decided to play them at half time, so that ben baraba try on HT saved me, I played the under for alot more, I really liked it.

After the game, i thought I will have a look at the Man City game and TAB decided that the odds of Man City winning the first half was $1.55, but then Man City/ Man City for HT/FT, was $1.50 ?! figure that out ??? it pi$$ed me off so I took Draw/** for $4, and I got up this morning for a lucky surprise, it was a small bet, but still made me feel good.

Anyway, the point of the story how the hell do these odds make any sense at all ??? anyone ?

Meyhem · 08-15-11, 07:02 PM

Auckland dropped to 1.55, you will nearly beable to hedge out with profit before the kickoff i think

IDunno89 · 08-15-11, 07:49 PM

Any of you guys on twitter/Facebook?

Duff85 · 08-15-11, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by s2230011

After the game, i thought I will have a look at the Man City game and TAB decided that the odds of Man City winning the first half was $1.55, but then Man City/ Man City for HT/FT, was $1.50 ?! figure that out ??? it pi$$ed me off so I took Draw/** for $4, and I got up this morning for a lucky surprise, it was a small bet, but still made me feel good.

Anyway, the point of the story how the hell do these odds make any sense at all ??? anyone ?

These markets often adjust independently of each other despite their obvious relation. For instance some sportsbooks will on occasion put up both a two way and three way handicap on Rugby games. I have often seen situations like this:

Team A-6.5 (1.85)
Team B+6.5 (1.95)

Team A -6 (1.91)
Draw (6) (22)
Team B +6 (1.91)

Obviously your example is more extreme, but still in the same mould. Some sportsbettors make cash purely betting derivative markets (halves, qtrs, totals, alternative spreads, etc) that are off.

Originally posted by IDunno89

Any of you guys on twitter/Facebook?

Facebook

RLF · 08-15-11, 10:37 PM

Still can't find a team list for the Tasman/Auckland game, anyone got one?

Beniphone · 08-15-11, 10:39 PM

No twitter face

Has something changed in the SA/NZL match? Lines arrived at 1.87 a peice now at SA- 2.10 NZL 1.67

I know the AB's got a heros welcome in SA and Smith/Steyn are out