Rugby and league 2011

nzwarrior · 08-10-11, 01:47 AM

With u duff taken 13+ only weapon for northland is monroes kicking

hawley · 08-10-11, 02:03 AM

Originally posted by Duff85

NZ tab just moved to 10.5 on the Wellys game. I've gone decent size Wellys-9.5

Hard to ignore the line movement, although Wellington has been nothing short of terrible lately

Guess Gear and Jane are going to have a big say

nzwarrior · 08-10-11, 02:09 AM

Yeah if they can get off to a good start could run up a score. If not northland could win

Beniphone · 08-10-11, 02:15 AM

Waikato cash e z

Staying clear of wellys/northland, waiting for counties now

SaffaCappa · 08-10-11, 06:32 AM

Counties +13.5 ... whats the verdict there? Tough one, Auckland have been rampant lately but 13.5 seems high

RLF · 08-10-11, 08:19 AM

Tough one, Auckland seem to have some form. I think Counties can cover

Beniphone · 08-10-11, 04:21 PM

I jumped out counties as soon as it came out, Just waiting for the team lists to see if I made the right deciscion

RLF · 08-11-11, 12:10 AM

Auckland have been beating better opponents 13+ lately, not sure about this one

s2230011 · 08-11-11, 12:18 AM

I dont follow ITM that much, mainly during the week when not much else is on, but can someone get figures of how many home favourites cover ?? From the games I have seen I feel its been over 70%, not sure where I can get these numbers though

showtiime · 08-11-11, 12:45 AM

hmmm tell me why i shouldn't play auckland 1-12..

Alt75 · 08-11-11, 01:04 AM

I'm thinking the same showtiime

Beniphone · 08-11-11, 01:19 AM

Hoping nani williams lights it up tonight

SaffaCappa · 08-11-11, 02:01 AM

Im going Counties +13.5

RLF · 08-11-11, 02:02 AM

Auckland 1-12 for a bit more value for me, only small though

Beniphone · 08-11-11, 02:09 AM

Got the early play right atleast, counties has dropped to 1.82

Beniphone · 08-11-11, 02:12 AM

Strange... Auckland 13 and over drops value along with counties +13.5 spread...?

showtiime · 08-11-11, 02:12 AM

last 2 times I've gone with auckland 1-12, they've burnt me with last minute tries to win by 13 and 16, hope third times a charm

hawley · 08-11-11, 02:14 AM

Originally posted by Beniphone

Strange... Auckland 13 and over drops value along with counties +13.5 spread...?

13 and over got hit pretty hard

Beniphone · 08-11-11, 02:16 AM

Originally posted by hawley

13 and over got hit pretty hard

10 cents is it?

hawley · 08-11-11, 02:19 AM

Originally posted by Beniphone

10 cents is it?

yea but now the +13.5 is getting juiced as well

Strange stuff

RLF · 08-11-11, 02:21 AM

Originally posted by showtiime

last 2 times I've gone with auckland 1-12, they've burnt me with last minute tries to win by 13 and 16, hope third times a charm

I can see it already, they'll be up by 10 after the siren and go for a penalty.

showtiime · 08-11-11, 03:04 AM

penaltyfest

Beniphone · 08-11-11, 03:25 AM

Counties could take this straight up

SaffaCappa · 08-11-11, 04:19 AM

Counties +13 BOOOMS

hawley · 08-11-11, 04:21 AM

Good call Counties backers

I went Auckland 1-12 so cash all round

Beniphone · 08-11-11, 04:22 AM

Cash counties ha

Bet the 1-12 boys were sweating lol

RLF · 08-11-11, 04:25 AM

What the hell did Nanai-Williams do to his hair?

Alt75 · 08-11-11, 04:44 AM

I saw the 2nd half on the stream, yes Ben I thought my luck was up for the day in the dying moments haha.

Actually quite enjoyed that. I'm familiar with Union but as a Melbournian it's not something I watch regularly unless it's Australia in the World Cup/TN or something. Might have to delve into ITM and Super Rugby a bit more.

Beniphone · 08-11-11, 05:22 AM

My local has taken down the oz-sa spread for now, the ML has pointed towards oz also, will be interesting to see what it comes back up as

RLF · 08-11-11, 05:28 AM

Aus being hit at Pinny as well. I really hope Aus win, because if they do they'll just about be in the box seat to win the TNs. I can't see the ABs beating them the next weekend, especially if they rest a few stars.

Beniphone · 08-11-11, 05:41 AM

I'm going to jump on Aus once it comes back up at my book I think, 4.5 is def playable. I'm predicting oz to win this week, NZ next week with Aus just beating NZ in oz

PickApprentice · 08-11-11, 02:31 PM

Guys, be careful about the SA game! Stormer's defensive coach has been working with the boks since Monday, expect a much tighter game with SA winning it by 5 points.

SaffaCappa · 08-11-11, 03:46 PM

Naki -12.5 v Tasman. Tough one ... Game of the weekend is the Battle of the Bay! BOP v HB and a choice game, I fancy BOP to edge this one and will have a meaty sized punt!

Meyhem · 08-11-11, 09:58 PM

isreal dagg and zac guildford are flying out late to play against BOP, be careful

Meyhem · 08-11-11, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by Beniphone

I'm going to jump on Aus once it comes back up at my book I think, 4.5 is def playable. I'm predicting oz to win this week, NZ next week with Aus just beating NZ in oz

called them today about it, they said the page needed to be refreshed

back up now and has dropped to -3.5 @ 1.87

Naki have selected a 2nd grade team for the Tasman battle, I'm not sure if they can cover the 12.5, I'm swaying over to the Tasman +12.5 or Naki 1-12 margin, i was set on playing Naki no matter what until i saw the team, Waldrom is a huge loss. Its so hard to back Tasman, even tho they nearly beat Canterbury last week (I know Canterbury let off in the 2nd)

What do you guys think about this match?