Rugby and league 2011

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 01:54 AM

Yea that's the one I'm eyeing up, I like them HT/FT too

showtiime · 08-05-11, 01:59 AM

thinking of doing a stupid margin/total multi of nrl/union/afl for tonights games

one in a million chance but what the hey

Wellington 1-12 $2.90
Nth Qld & over 43.5 $3.40
St. George 1-12 $3.15
St. Kilda 1-39 $2.25

combined odds $69.88

thinking of laying a sneaky $20 on this.
throwing money away... probably, but hey it's $20!

Shifty107 · 08-05-11, 02:15 AM

I actually think the tigers get it done tonight. F,uk the dragons. Doggies win as well. (I think)

GL whatever you play tonight fellas

Duff85 · 08-05-11, 02:22 AM

Doggies $2.05 and Dragons-4

RLF · 08-05-11, 02:42 AM

Oh Canterbury wtf you doing..

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 02:44 AM

Hardluck mate, bad beat

Ben Franklin · 08-05-11, 02:53 AM

I also took Canterbury -13.5. Disappointed how they leaked all those tries in the last 15mins.

Time to go a little bigger on Wellington.

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 02:56 AM

Im kinda swaying over to HB now, sure they will be tired from the turn around but wellys is pretty horrible. I'm staying out if this one

SaffaCappa · 08-05-11, 02:57 AM

Im on Wellington! Come on Lions

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 03:05 AM

Fotuali back at halfback

PickApprentice · 08-05-11, 03:10 AM

Originally posted by RLF

Big @ 1.25? Not very smart imo. Rather put it in a multi

I like Canterbury 13+

Tasman gave everything in that game against HB and haven't made that many changes. Canterbury hit some form last week, should have too much fire power.

i can get it @ 1.31 wihch is more respectable. It has worked for me for a long time to go big on little juice. Again, the secret of it is to pick your match carefully.

Anyway, good luck!!!

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 03:18 AM

Originally posted by PickApprentice

i can get it @ 1.31 wihch is more respectable. It has worked for me for a long time to go big on little juice. Again, the secret of it is to pick your match carefully.

Anyway, good luck!!!

Yea, I do it with games like nz - sa 1.30 HT/FT, games where you just know. I think this games going to be tight. You might sweat abit, good luck

RLF · 08-05-11, 03:34 AM

anyone else wanna do an sbr points bet with the Bledisloe? I'm really confident with the Wallabies to cover

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 03:36 AM

Total has moved to 45.5, locked it at 43.5

RLF · 08-05-11, 03:41 AM

Anyone betting on the warm-ups between the UK?

I like Wales to cover, not sure about Scotland/Ireland

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 03:50 AM

Wales 11.5 at your book too?

Ireland 1-12 is tempting me

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 03:53 AM

Bay -11.5 at half time, they are hungry and should be up alot more if the kicks would go over

sweepem · 08-05-11, 04:25 AM

Fuk those Wellington clowns,dumbest team in the competition.

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 04:35 AM

Wellington rugby is in trouble, the amount of stars that have left to go elsewhere is crazy, I'd say if you fade them for the next few years you will make $

RLF · 08-05-11, 04:45 AM

shitty ITM cup week. Oh well. Get it all back on the Wallabies tomorrow

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 05:54 AM

That 10.5 is not budging, still gonna wait out for the public to dump $ on the allblacks, this is a good sign for the wallabies +10.5, ABs line normally moves atleast once before Saturday.

Wallabies over 1.5 tries has moved $

Over 43.5 has moved to 45.5

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 07:16 AM

Dragons manage it again bahaha

What do you guys think about otago taking southland out, last game at the brook I'm sure they will be playing hard for it

kingsr · 08-05-11, 08:18 AM

Originally posted by Shifty107

I actually think the tigers get it done tonight. F,uk the dragons. Doggies win as well. (I think)

GL whatever you play tonight fellas

Very 'shifty' picks there! Welldone Shifty!

Beniphone · 08-05-11, 07:18 PM

My local has just moved the -10.5 from 1.82 to 1.87

RLF · 08-05-11, 07:57 PM

+10 seems to be the even line at most places

Pinny has +9.5 @ 2.07 / -9.5 @ 1.84

I might take 1-12 both sides for Otago/Southland and Taranaki -5

Duff85 · 08-05-11, 08:28 PM

Yeah money coming for the Wallabies it seems. I haven't got an opinion one way or the other at the moment.

I am taking Melbourne-13.5.

Shifty107 · 08-05-11, 09:49 PM

Originally posted by kingsr

Very 'shifty' picks there! Welldone Shifty!

Thanks mate. Nice sweep there. Anyone liking Australia tonight?

IDunno89 · 08-06-11, 12:30 AM

What % of your bankrolls do you guys risk on each game?

RLF · 08-06-11, 12:33 AM

Generally 1-3%

I've got 6u on Wallabies +11 Duff

IDunno89 · 08-06-11, 12:35 AM

So is 5% too much?

RLF · 08-06-11, 01:07 AM

Depends how much you're playing really. I used to do 10-15% when I had a small br but now it's a decent size (~5k)

nzwarrior · 08-06-11, 01:48 AM

Aus half time point start +4.5 @$2.25 could be worth a look

Beniphone · 08-06-11, 01:58 AM

How's the weather up in aucks? Anyone out near Eden?

Duff85 · 08-06-11, 02:15 AM

Originally posted by RLF

Generally 1-3%

I've got 6u on Wallabies +11 Duff

hof value pick.

Originally posted by IDunno89

So is 5% too much?

If tapping your roll means your out of the game for an extended period - in most cases 5% is too much. However there are times when your picks are going to have a good size edge and you'll go up top on them. I've just moved over to using the kelly criterion to size my bets. Before that I was betting 1-2% of my roll on each pick. Using half kelly my average bet size has been 0.8% of my roll and the biggest bet was 8%.

Playing the Sharks-7.5 as well.

Beniphone · 08-06-11, 02:25 AM

Line $ has just moved to 1.80 for oz, yeoww

Let's get it on