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  • sizzle13
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-25-09
    • 4

    #386
    I like the cats, in a tight one, they got 3 on the road, with the next two against GC and Melbourne. They need wins to hold onto first place and will be looking to get this first one.
    Comment
    • Domestic
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-10-09
      • 6323

      #387
      Tonight's game is on Fox Sports and I like the over.
      Comment
      • GroundnPound
        SBR MVP
        • 11-12-09
        • 4070

        #388
        Guys Perth seems like free money, don't buy it. I don't like to throw around the word trap, but this is a trap. No doubt about it.

        The play here is Cairns +3.5 at Pinny, even though I can only get it at + 3 right now I am hoping for +4 by tip off. I think it could get there.

        If you have to bet the over or under and you want.

        First Half over and second half the tempo will die down.

        I will post my official play soon, If I do not reply again in this thread. Take Cairns + the points.

        One thing I must point out before the line got released I thought it was going to be Cairns at least +5.5, meaning I should be all over Perth with the line, but my gambling instinct tells me otherwise.
        Comment
        • sportscash
          Restricted User
          • 01-16-09
          • 2894

          #389
          I was actually thinking about taking perth.Hmm so we should do the opposite of what looks good you think.
          Comment
          • hels
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-12-09
            • 8767

            #390
            I gotta agree with you GnP that this does seem like a trap... but looking more closely at it I think the line is where it should be.

            Cairns was eliminated before playing TVL last week and they won. Cairns at home is 9-3 and although it was in October they beat Perth at home. Those are the type of figures that makes the average joe think that Cairns is really going to put up a good fight in this game. You know how people love to play the dogs as it seems nicer when they bet $20 to get $50 return instead of $30 return with picking the fav.

            I know what you mean though as I've began playing the opposite when the line appears somewhat funny too. I just don't see this line as being too far off. Another point to consider is how hard Cairns will commit to this game. Are they going to give the reserve players more minutes to develop them? Are they going to dive on the floor for that loose ball? Will they take the charge? etc. etc.

            I'm thinkng the Under is the play tonight. 163 seems really low but with their totals at 160, 143 and 147 so far this year one would expect something similar. The only difference is that Cairns might be playing loose tonight and not having much pressure on their shoulders they might be playing a more run n gun style without much developed play.

            Haven't decided my plays as of yet and am still looking at all the variables.
            Comment
            • hels
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-12-09
              • 8767

              #391
              hmmm just checked out TAB's lines (even though I rarely play it due to the juice) but these lines are interesting

              Perth ML 1.57
              Perth-2.5 1.85
              Perth-5.5 2.05

              I'm thinking that Perth ML at -173 (Pinnacle) is the play tonight.... but you could also say that Cairns-3.5 is the play too. I think the game will finish with Perth winning by 1,2 or 3 points.
              Comment
              • Durrrr
                SBR MVP
                • 11-07-09
                • 1314

                #392
                I've got Cairns 1.62 ML from the NZ TAB. And this game does scream trap, however I've learnt to pull the trigger on game's that seem so much like traps that they're not. If you get what I'm sayin'. (Probably not..)
                Gl with w/e everyone else plays
                Comment
                • GroundnPound
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-12-09
                  • 4070

                  #393
                  Originally posted by sportscash
                  I was actually thinking about taking perth.Hmm so we should do the opposite of what looks good you think.
                  In an ideal world, we would all put our money on the better team Perth and win, and maybe tonight Perth may well win. Though I find it easier to back Cairns + the points then Perth.


                  Originally posted by hels
                  I gotta agree with you GnP that this does seem like a trap... but looking more closely at it I think the line is where it should be.

                  Cairns was eliminated before playing TVL last week and they won. Cairns at home is 9-3 and although it was in October they beat Perth at home. Those are the type of figures that makes the average joe think that Cairns is really going to put up a good fight in this game. You know how people love to play the dogs as it seems nicer when they bet $20 to get $50 return instead of $30 return with picking the fav.

                  I know what you mean though as I've began playing the opposite when the line appears somewhat funny too. I just don't see this line as being too far off. Another point to consider is how hard Cairns will commit to this game. Are they going to give the reserve players more minutes to develop them? Are they going to dive on the floor for that loose ball? Will they take the charge? etc. etc.

                  I'm thinkng the Under is the play tonight. 163 seems really low but with their totals at 160, 143 and 147 so far this year one would expect something similar. The only difference is that Cairns might be playing loose tonight and not having much pressure on their shoulders they might be playing a more run n gun style without much developed play.

                  Haven't decided my plays as of yet and am still looking at all the variables.
                  You bring up a few good points.

                  1) Cairns Have No pressure on them -- This could mean they come out and play great, I just got a foreseigh that just told me the commentator are going to say something like " Where has this basketball from Cairns been this season ". BOOK IT.

                  Also the total is risky because Cairns may play different now they are out, If i had to make a play it would be a no play.




                  All and all I am not making a pick for tonight, BUT I put my units on Cairns + the points, take that for it's worth. Hopefully Cairns can make me some money. Actually I am still waiting for the line to hit +3.5. It hasn't yet on my book.
                  Comment
                  • hedgejob
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-21-09
                    • 2561

                    #394
                    +4 now Pinny
                    Comment
                    • hedgejob
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-21-09
                      • 2561

                      #395
                      Was +4 for about 2 mins
                      Comment
                      • GroundnPound
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-12-09
                        • 4070

                        #396
                        Why the fvck is my book giving +3 still. Maybe someone made a sharp $10 wager on Cairns and keeping the line at +3. I want damn +4.5
                        Comment
                        • hels
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-12-09
                          • 8767

                          #397
                          Originally posted by Durrrr
                          I've got Cairns 1.62 ML from the NZ TAB. And this game does scream trap, however I've learnt to pull the trigger on game's that seem so much like traps that they're not. If you get what I'm sayin'. (Probably not..)
                          Gl with w/e everyone else plays
                          I think you mean Perth 1.62 ML. BOL as I'm most likely the same.... just a few last minute things to look into.
                          Comment
                          • hels
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-12-09
                            • 8767

                            #398
                            booked to win

                            2 units Perth ML -178
                            2 units Under 162
                            Comment
                            • hedgejob
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-21-09
                              • 2561

                              #399
                              Don't like this at all, lines and totals are jumping all over the place. No bet for me.
                              Comment
                              • GroundnPound
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-12-09
                                • 4070

                                #400
                                Whos with me on Cairns ? Lets cash this biytchhh
                                Comment
                                • Bull_Shark
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-28-09
                                  • 237

                                  #401
                                  lol at all this "trap" talk in here. No such thing in Aussie hoops
                                  Comment
                                  • Durrrr
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-07-09
                                    • 1314

                                    #402
                                    cause every game is a trap.
                                    Comment
                                    • GroundnPound
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-12-09
                                      • 4070

                                      #403
                                      Out of curiosity has anyone here ever been to an NBL game?
                                      Comment
                                      • Bull_Shark
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-28-09
                                        • 237

                                        #404
                                        Originally posted by GroundnPound
                                        Out of curiosity has anyone here ever been to an NBL game?
                                        hundreds, part of my former profession was to report on them.
                                        Comment
                                        • twinky99
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 05-23-08
                                          • 180

                                          #405
                                          guys, do u kno how we can watch the NBL games through online streaming? there is the option of watching in B365 but it doesnt allow aussies to watch it.
                                          Comment
                                          • GroundnPound
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-12-09
                                            • 4070

                                            #406
                                            Originally posted by Bull_Shark
                                            hundreds, part of my former profession was to report on them.
                                            Thats cool I am going to go to Wollongong's game vs Gold Coast on Saturday. I think that's the game lol.

                                            I use to go to games when i was like 5-6-7 at the Snakepit at Beaton Park the tin shed they had as Hawks home ground.

                                            Perth has 4 foul in 3:15 mins.


                                            Under is looking good too.

                                            Perth 14-2 Cairns
                                            Comment
                                            • Durrrr
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-07-09
                                              • 1314

                                              #407
                                              I'm liking my bet on Wc right now Of course I remember that NBL game where a team (forget which) came back to win after trailing by 20ish at the half, so anyone's game I suppose.
                                              Comment
                                              • hels
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-12-09
                                                • 8767

                                                #408
                                                Originally posted by GroundnPound
                                                Out of curiosity has anyone here ever been to an NBL game?
                                                never have, and having been to many nba games i doubt i'd find it even close to as entertaining.
                                                Comment
                                                • Durrrr
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                  • 1314

                                                  #409
                                                  I rather watch NCAA then NBL to be honest, at least In NCAA I'll see at least one dunk x.x
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GroundnPound
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-12-09
                                                    • 4070

                                                    #410
                                                    Here come cairns

                                                    Does anyone else love when Shane heal or someone on the commentary state that a player has nba 3 point range at least once a night.

                                                    From being down by 15 only down by 4. If anyone had a live bet account for this could of got Cairns at +13.5

                                                    Ever since I started drinking my can of V it seems that Cairns got there swagger.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Durrrr
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                      • 1314

                                                      #411
                                                      Time to drink my two cans of 500ml Lift + I think.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dr.Gonzo
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-05-09
                                                        • 4660

                                                        #412
                                                        1st half under killed by sub Jones

                                                        Guy can't even play and he can't miss tonight to bury me
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dr.Gonzo
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-05-09
                                                          • 4660

                                                          #413
                                                          Push killed at the last second **** off
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GroundnPound
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-12-09
                                                            • 4070

                                                            #414
                                                            Ye Jones did go off tonight.

                                                            As I don't have live betting on my book. I feel like driving down to the TAB and betting Cairns live ML, I can see them winning from this at half time.

                                                            Durr ill be drinking a can of v in the 4th quarter to get my team home.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hels
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-12-09
                                                              • 8767

                                                              #415
                                                              Perth looking alright at the half up 46-41. The Under bet may not go thru as planned but hopefully WC can hold on.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dr.Gonzo
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-05-09
                                                                • 4660

                                                                #416
                                                                39-46
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Domestic
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-10-09
                                                                  • 6323

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Hoping they keep up this scoring rate.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GroundnPound
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-12-09
                                                                    • 4070

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Cairns are getting all the calls.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Durrrr
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                                      • 1314

                                                                      #419
                                                                      aand cairns take the lead.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • GroundnPound
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-12-09
                                                                        • 4070

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Perth makes a 7-0 run and calls are going in perths favour now
                                                                        Comment
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