Post best bet or follow ups of the day

[harthebar]

Captain Gaughen 3rd at 16-1 7.30 show thanks mike for the 2-3-6 i used him with them to hit tri....140.00 for 1.00.i dont no why the 7 let himself drop back..like that ,at that spot,then come on again..

Gigglin' Gal is entered to run on May 31, 2014, at CHURCHILL DOWNS.7th
nameron par race -7

Captain Gaughen is entered on May 31, 2014 at BELMONT PARK.6th

Lollibon is entered to run on May 31, 2014, at LOUISIANA DOWNS.2nd
Fury Kapcori is entered to run on May 31, 2014, at SANTA ANITA PARK
.Tom Kitten is entered to run on May 31, 2014, at MONMOUTH PARK.7
She's Got Swag is entered on May 31, 2014 at CHURCHILL DOWNS.7th

[Magnolia Slim]

by the way...what is +1

It means i agree with your post.

[harthebar]

Delaware Park nice one mike.
Race 7
9-Crown Thy Good 10-1(BEST
)mike i thought he was home...went a bit wide, looked really strong ..thought he was home with ease.
i covered some doubles with a 60 place bet..thanks...he got killed at window 10-1 to 7/2

[harthebar]

ok , im not up to date ..with some of this stuff..lol

It means i agree with your post.

[harthebar]

mike


Laddie Boy is scheduled to run on 5/31/2014 in Race 4 at Penn National
i see you did some penn nat. what do you think of this horse

Saturday 5/31 Big Apple Showcase Day

Belmont
Race 1
Not much of an opinion on the opener.10-Dr Disco 5-1 is my pick among the lower prices and 4-Run Run Forest 12-1 is the long shot.
Race 2
NY Bred turf races have been dominated by Kharafa and Lubash for a long time and they figure here but 8-Notacatbutallama 7-2
may be the new blood on the scene.Can jump forward enough 2nd off the bench.
Race 3
5-Henry's Gal 3-1 looks tough and isn't the favorite.3-Isabelle 5-1 freaked last race and if it wasn't just the muddy track would crush these with a repeat performance.1-Elmra 15-1 has been winning easily so isn't respected on the ML but may be a lot better when all out.
Race 4
There are a few very short priced favorites on the card but 5-Effie Trinket 2-5 may be the hardest to beat.Roses For Romney seems to be the main threat but would be the one to try and beat .Castellano has won both times aboard 3-Frosty Bay 15-1, 4-Lady's Lunar Luck 15-1 fits if ready off the bench , and 9-Stock Fund 30-1 always comes running late.
Race 5
Uncle Sigh shows up here at odds of 4-5.I'll be trying to beat him.IMO it's a common misconception that a real good 2 turn speed horse will just be that much better when they cut back to a sprint.Cutting back from a 1 turn mile to 7f is a big difference then cutting back from 2 turn 9f/10f races.Some horses can do it but I'm trying 7-Swell 10-1 who is coming into his own after 3 starts.Rallied very well against a speed favoring track last out.5-Deceived 15-1 would be my next option should the 7 scratch and 3-Eye Luv Lulu 20-1 could be thrown in .
Race 6
Would be surprised if the winner isn't among 2-Sneaky Kitten 7-2 , 3-Powerful Instinct 4-1 , and 6-So Lonesome 3-1 but 5-Rocky F 30-1 is very interesting underneath at the least.Has competitive races and has run well from long layoffs.Think he is more likely than 30-1 and worth a stab.
Race 7
The final cinch horse according to the ML is 5-La Verdad at even money.Is a 6f beast , tried 7f once and lost , now tries to stretch it out to a mile.She is much better than the field on figs so maybe she hits the wall in the stretch and still crawls home to win.I'll be trying 3-Miss Da Point 12-1 who will be overlooked because of slowish speed figs but has won under wraps last couple.The other one is 8-Tahoe Tigress 12-1.Those 3 look like the exacta bx but if shooting for a home run tossing the 5 then 4-Macha 6-1 is the alternate.
Race 8
This is a tough race to be confident about a winner.I landed on 6-Waterway 12-1 who could trip out on an easy lead.8-Sanctify 8-1 is the wild card trying turf because Mott is only so so with the move.Is getting Lasix for the first time though.A Solis has been 1st or 2nd every time he has ridden 2-Sun Worshipper 6-1.9-Hooked Forever 5-1 is scary , was progressing nicely before the layoff.
Race 9
5-Zivo 2-1 is the obvious pick having dominated many of these.Combined with 7-Readtheprospectus 8-1 and 9-Weekend Hideaway 10-1 make up the main contenders .The outsider I give a big shot is 3-Big Business 12-1 making 2nd start after 274 day layoff.Hope for a scratch or two or will have to drop someone but stabbing at the 3 regardless.
Race 10
Have some weird hunches this race.My play will be 9-Keen Katana 15-1 who started by being off the pace on a severe speed favoring track then tried to press a hot pace on a dull track then was eased.Now tries turf for the first time after almost 6 months off and bred well for it.Also will probably leave 5-Lavender Road 20-1 alone but something tells me this one is better than appears.










Other places

Arlington Park
Race 9
3-Fighter Squadron 10-1
Race 10
2-Mulata 8-1

Churchill Downs
Race 10
5-All Stormy 20-1

Delaware Park
Race 7
9-Crown Thy Good 10-1(BEST)

Santa Anita
Race 6
8-Lethal Story 10-1

Penn National(If you haven't looked at Penn's card it's pretty good)
Race 3
1-Valid 10-1

[JBEX]

SA

R6 #9 broadway bella (12-1)
R9 #4 obsess (8-1)

[harthebar]

mike great call in the 9th i boxed them...thought i was going to a big cash...that 5....well did what the 5 was supposed to do...great call..great odds

mike


Laddie Boy is scheduled to run on 5/31/2014 in Race 4 at Penn National
i see you did some penn nat. what do you think of this horse

[trytrytry]

your #3 in race 9 ran just a monster of a race excellent find there.. only to get caught late right at the wire by the overbet 6/5 favorite who came from way back..argh..

[harthebar]

meadowland s

Trixton 3rd
I'm Banksy and tell us more 10th



Sir Melo's Z Tam and Jetty Race 8


:Sir Cary's Z Tam Mighty Young Joe 9th

[harthebar]

Kimberley R is scheduled to run on 5/31/2014 in Race 6 at Balmoral Park

[harthebar]

CC RACY is entered on 05/31/14 at Meadowlands race 3
Ten Tequilas is scheduled to run on 5/31/2014 in Race 5 at Mountaineer.

[Slimpickens]

your #3 in race 9 ran just a monster of a race excellent find there.. only to get caught late right at the wire by the overbet 6/5 favorite who came from way back..argh..

Overbet perhaps but Zivo ran an amazing race. Ran the final eighth in 11.66 seconds!!

[mikemca]

Disappointing day for me ,felt pretty confident about Miss Da Point , Swell , and Crown Thy Good so was surprised none came through.Going to take it out on the Belmont card next Saturday.




Thx try 3x for the points but really not necessary in the future

[mikemca]

your #3 in race 9 ran just a monster of a race excellent find there.. only to get caught late right at the wire by the overbet 6/5 favorite who came from way back..argh..

thx thought he would get bet harder ...that was the one race that went my way today

[TonyP]

Disappointing day for me ,felt pretty confident about Miss Da Point , Swell , and Crown Thy Good so was surprised none came through.Going to take it out on the Belmont card next Saturday.




Thx try 3x for the points but really not necessary in the future

Hope you post your selections

[Magnolia Slim]

Disappointing day for me ,felt pretty confident about Miss Da Point , Swell , and Crown Thy Good so was surprised none came through.Going to take it out on the Belmont card next Saturday.




Thx try 3x for the points but really not necessary in the future

Good luck next week and i know you dont care about points but ive tried to send you all mine but they only allow me to send 2 max at all times then i have to wait thirty min before i can send 2 more.

[JBEX]

Bel

R1 #6 big trouble (3-5)
R2 #8 best play (4-1)and #5 hot sand (10-1)
R3 #2 thirteen arrows (2-1)

[harthebar]

Smokey Brown is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 2 at Belmont.



Imperial Crown is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 3 at Presque Isle Downs
Stealth Fighter is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 9 at Santa Anita
Tasha's Courage is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 9 at Santa Anita.

[Seastriper]

Bel

R1 #6 big trouble (3-5)
R2 #8 best play (4-1)and #5 hot sand (10-1)
R3 #2 thirteen arrows (2-1)

Very NICE!!!

[Heppy10]

Sunday Plays

Woodbine
Race 7
#3 Sweet Little Man 15-1

Race 8
#9 Hampstead Heath


Churchill
Race 6
#8 Paroled // First $6.80 $4.40

Race 9
#6 Shift Colors // Second $4.20


Belmont
Race 8
#3 Play It Loud
#10 Adirondack Dancer // Second $8.10
#11 Deep Speed // First $17.40 $9.80 // Exacta $151.50

Race 9
#5 Gotham Rising


Santa Anita
Race 7
#7 Storm the Channel // Second $5.20

[harthebar]

john how did you do yesterday...get that one..Gambler's Tale is scheduled to run on 5/31/2014 inRace 10 at Yonkers Raceway
???

Gigglin' Gal is entered to run on May 31, 2014, at CHURCHILL DOWNS.7th
nameron par race -7

Captain Gaughen is entered on May 31, 2014 at BELMONT PARK.6th

Lollibon is entered to run on May 31, 2014, at LOUISIANA DOWNS.2nd
Fury Kapcori is entered to run on May 31, 2014, at SANTA ANITA PARK
.Tom Kitten is entered to run on May 31, 2014, at MONMOUTH PARK.7
She's Got Swag is entered on May 31, 2014 at CHURCHILL DOWNS.7th

sunday
Smokey Brown is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 2 at Belmont.



Imperial Crown is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 3 at Presque Isle Downs
Stealth Fighter is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 9 at Santa Anita
Tasha's Courage is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 9 at Santa Anita.

[JBEX]

Very NICE!!!

Thanks.. P3 was actually double the parlay price

[mikemca]

Belmont

Cali Chrome 3-5
Tonalist 8-1
Wicked Strong 8-1
Ride On Curlin 10-1
Social Inclusion 10-1
Samraat 10-1
Commissioner 15-1
Commanding Curve 15-1
Medal Count 15-1
General A Rod 15-1
Kid Cruz 30-1
Matterhorn 30-1
Matuszak 30-1

[mikemca]

My line

Cali Chrome 2-1
Tonalist 15-1
Wicked Strong 5-1
Ride On Curlin 6-1
Social Inclusion 12-1
Samraat 15-1
Commissioner 20-1
Commanding Curve 10-1
Medal Count 10-1
General A Rod 12-1
Kid Cruz 20-1
Matterhorn 30-1
Matuszak 50-1


I didn't do the math so probably off on %

[harthebar]

is that official line mike

Belmont

Cali Chrome 3-5
Tonalist 8-1
Wicked Strong 8-1
Ride On Curlin 10-1
Social Inclusion 10-1
Samraat 10-1
Commissioner 15-1
Commanding Curve 15-1
Medal Count 15-1
General A Rod 15-1
Kid Cruz 30-1
Matterhorn 30-1
Matuszak 30-1

[harthebar]

that was the lines we made up 2 days ago

i just put them next to you in red

[harthebar]

i just put them next to you in red

Originally Posted by Slimpickens
My top 5 Morning Line for the Belmont. You guys post yours. See who is closest on Wednesday. Dont think these offshore sites have it quite right.
harthebar is red
California Chrome 6/5 4/5
Tonalist 7/2 6-1
Wicked Strong 9/2 8-1
Ride On Curlin 6-1 5-1
Commanding Curve 8-1 8-1

All other 12-1 and up.

[Slimpickens]

The morning line is predicting what you think bettors will do, not who you personally like as I assume you guys know. Pretty sure the official line wont be out until Wednesday.

[harthebar]

now this is what you think they should be...........now if you were making the line for the program...would you still have cc at 2-1 now i believe he should be 2-1 also. but if i was making it for the program...4-5 no way 3/5 that is a joke....i will tell you this.....tonalist will take much money...way more than he deserves..........cc will not be in the money...call it hunch.....i hope i'm wrong in a way...i'm going to belmont...would like to see some history.........last time i saw some historical event was ...thank you bill bunkner...anyway....but the betting side of me ,,,hope he flops......out of the moneyyy....ha ha....

My line

Cali Chrome 2-1
Tonalist 15-1
Wicked Strong 5-1
Ride On Curlin 6-1
Social Inclusion 12-1
Samraat 15-1
Commissioner 20-1
Commanding Curve 10-1
Medal Count 10-1
General A Rod 12-1
Kid Cruz 20-1
Matterhorn 30-1
Matuszak 50-1


I didn't do the math so probably off on %

[harthebar]

i thiough that...but ....mike had it down as morning line..

The morning line is predicting what you think bettors will do, not who you personally like as I assume you guys know. Pretty sure the official line wont be out until Wednesday.

[mikemca]

i thiough that...but ....mike had it down as morning line..

I think the first one is an early line.The 2nd one you could call my value line , not what I think they will be.


I like the derby trouble trip horses Wicked Strong and Medal Count.

Don't like Tonalist.

[mikemca]

Also if Social Inclusion could just chill out pre race he looks like he could get a good trip.

Connections aren't too bright though.Keep drilling the horse 3f for a classic.

If this horse was with Baffert and had M Smith up he would be a lot better.

[JBEX]

SA R9 #4 tasha's courage (6-1)

[harthebar]

mike ,am i wrong...but cant social inc. pretty much get the lead to himself......cant he try to bottom out the field with his speed..........last time ..when wicked strong beat him,,,he held pretty well....and they were fast that day..right.

Also if Social Inclusion could just chill out pre race he looks like he could get a good trip.

Connections aren't too bright though.Keep drilling the horse 3f for a classic.

If this horse was with Baffert and had M Smith up he would be a lot better.

[harthebar]

like him also jbex

Smokey Brown is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 2 at Belmont.



Imperial Crown is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 3 at Presque Isle Downs
Stealth Fighter is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 9 at Santa Anita
Tasha's Courage is scheduled to run on 6/1/2014 in Race 9 at Santa Anita.