ElCapitan's 2011-2012 NHL Thread

[xelemental]

just curious to know why a rule of thumb for your system is to take the teams going on the road 3+ games.

also

for the next games
10/21 - San Jose Sharks
10/22 - New Jersey Devils
10/22 - St. Louis Blues

are we doing ML or PL? I guess it depends what the lines are when it comes out later this week.

[ElCapitan]

just curious to know why a rule of thumb for your system is to take the teams going on the road 3+ games.

also

for the next games
10/21 - San Jose Sharks
10/22 - New Jersey Devils
10/22 - St. Louis Blues

are we doing ML or PL? I guess it depends what the lines are when it comes out later this week.

1.) JM System
2.) Depends on what you are following. You can play either one or both.

[ElCapitan]

10/18/11 Plays

If you're going to play this one, you would be well suited to line shop. You can still find DAL at +1.5 at several books. Again, I'm not playing it because it's a V2 series but I'm using a line that would be available to me for tracking purposes. I think I'll start putting a notation in regarding what book I used as well.


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Dallas Stars ML (A) -110 (1.10 to win 1) (DSI)
V2 Dallas Stars PL (A) -300 (3.00 to win 1) (DSI)

[cleonhr]

Why didnt you play NY Rangers (B) ?

[oklahoma]

Why didnt you play NY Rangers (B) ?

good question. if anything theyd have been an A bet against the canucks tonight.

[knugen]

Has anyobe ever backtested a system like JM NFL system in NHL, to chase à team that have lost 3 straight games?

[ElCapitan]

Cleo/oklahoma,

The NYR were not a play tonight as a B game because the A game on 10/15 was their 3rd game of the season. That makes the series a no play.

[ElCapitan]

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Dallas Stars ML (A) -110 (1.10 to win 1) (DSI) *WIN*
V2 Dallas Stars PL (A) -300 (3.00 to win 1) (DSI) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 1(A)-0(B)-0(C) (+1.65)
V1 PL: 1(A)-0(B)-0(C) (+1.0)

V2 ML: 3(A)-0(B)-0(C) (+0.75)
V2 PL: 3(A)-0(B)-0(C) (+0.75)

[ElCapitan]

There are no plays for Wednesday, 10/19.

[jcygts6]

Awesome thanks for
The update waiting for v1 plays on Friday

[JW Cash]

good job Cap !

[chips1031]

good job waiting for Fridays play

[ElCapitan]

10/20/11 Plays

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Nashville Predators ML (B) +160 (1.41 to win 2.25) (5Dimes)
V2 Nashville Predators PL (B) -190 (4.28 to win 2.25) (5Dimes)

V2 Toronto Maple Leafs ML (A) +159 (1 to win 1.59) (5Dimes)
V2 Toronto Maple Leafs PL (A) -192 (1.92 to win 1) (5Dimes)

[jcygts6]

Look like sj going to be v1 play tomarrow.

[mantorras77]

Hey ElCaptain,,,what do you say, are we taking San Jose on the money line twice?

[thelimit0310]

Hey Mantorras77, the JM system does not have you play ML on all the games, this is something ElCapitan added himself. If you are doing that as well, then yes you would take the ML twice with this bet.

[mantorras77]

Hey Mantorras77, the JM system does not have you play ML on all the games, this is something ElCapitan added himself. If you are doing that as well, then yes you would take the ML twice with this bet.

Thx

[bruloc]

I am a bit confused, today's play is Sharks ml?

[jcygts6]

That is correct sharks ml

[play4win]

how many c loses did you have for all your versions?

[allidoiswin89]

so is "el captain" not even going to update the plays in this thread?

[doublej95]

so is "el captain" not even going to update the plays in this thread?

Maybe the Captain was busy today, things happen where life does not revolve around SBR. Captain posted earlier in the week what the next few series of plays would be.

[Thirsty P]

Sharks!

[bink]

Nice win for the Sharks. Came back from being down 2-0 early and then giving up a 3-2 goal late in the 3rd to win the SO.

Next plays are A bets on Devils and Blues tomorrow.

[Pakaa]

Cheers!

[Brundle99]

Why is the juice so damn high on the next plays?....the risk is way too high to even bother playing!

[mantorras77]

Why is the juice so damn high on the next plays?....the risk is way too high to even bother playing!

What do you mean? +1.5 always have high juice but the ml are dog play's. If you just want to play the ml's you can.

[Wallco99]

My new NHL thread set up and running, pretty good back test results. Take a look:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/hockey-betting/1343065-wallco-nhl-gold-453-units-6-years.html

[Brundle99]

What do you mean? +1.5 always have high juice but the ml are dog play's. If you just want to play the ml's you can.

Well I play following JM System, so as they are both dogs according to (5Dimes), I have to play P/L.

The favourite is M/L, and Dogs are always P/L.

At -190 and -230 they are both too high, in NFL and MLB plays I don't remember ever playing at over -170 as that's my limit and there was still plenty of plays.

[ElCapitan]

Gents, I apologize. As doublej said, sometimes life gets in the way and I can't be in front of a computer. It doesn't happen often but it does occasionally. I try to post the plays early enough so everyone knows what they are. I'll update the thread now and we have two plays today so you can get down on them.

St. Louis Blues and the New Jersey Devils today.

[ElCapitan]

10/20 Results

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Nashville Predators ML (B) +160 (1.41 to win 2.25) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Nashville Predators PL (B) -190 (4.28 to win 2.25) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V2 Toronto Maple Leafs ML (A) +159 (1 to win 1.59) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Toronto Maple Leafs PL (A) -192 (1.92 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

Record:
V1 ML: 1(A)-0(B)-0(C) (+1.65)
V1 PL: 1(A)-0(B)-0(C) (+1.0)

V2 ML: 4(A)-1(B)-0(C) (-1.66)
V2 PL: 4(A)-1(B)-0(C) (-5.45)

[ElCapitan]

10/21 Plays and Results (after the fact)

V1 San Jose Sharks ML (A) -125 (1.25 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 San Jose Sharks PL (A) (fav, play ML) (1.25 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 2(A)-0(B)-0(C) (+2.65)
V1 PL: 2(A)-0(B)-0(C) (+2.0)

V2 ML: 4(A)-1(B)-0(C) (-1.66)
V2 PL: 4(A)-1(B)-0(C) (-5.45)

[ElCapitan]

10/22 Plays

V1 New Jersey Devils ML (A) +142 (1 to win 1.42) (5Dimes)
V1 New Jersey Devils PL (A) -210 (2.10 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V1 St. Louis Blues ML (A) +168 (1 to win 1.68) (5Dimes)
V1 St. Louis Blues PL (A) -175 (1.75 to win 1) (5Dimes)


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Nashville Predators ML (C) +125 (2.93 to win 3.66) (5Dimes)
V2 Nashville Predators PL (C) -235 (15.35 to win 6.53) (5Dimes)

V2 Toronto Maple Leafs ML (B) +110 (1.82 to win 2) (5Dimes)
V2 Toronto Maple Leafs PL (B) -260 (7.59 to win 2.92) (5Dimes)

[ElCapitan]

After today's series, the next V1 plays start:

10/29 - Pittsburgh Penguins
10/30 - Toronto Maple Leafs

[doublej95]

Both New Jersey and St. Louis are moneyline dogs today.