Your pretty big on over 6.5 wht?
-
Comment -
Harry, sorry just saw this and puck about to drop.
Just one unit play straight, and the one unit parlay.
Not huge play but I do like this Over.Comment -
well that sucked, only the home team Toronto "showed up" for this game, 5-0 score goes under. NY Islanders looked really bad, they were on a back-to-back, but Toronto was playing some rookie call-ups on defense, so NY should have taken advantage but they're just spiraling out of control it appears.
Meantime it looks like Washington in a good position to win their game.Comment -
1/31 results:
-1.00 PARLAY 2-TEAMS:
.........WASHINGTON -150 ----> score 5-3 home win vs PHI
.........OVER 6.5 -115 NYI@TOR ----> score 5-0 TOR home win vs NYI
-1.15 OVER 6.5 -115 NYI@TOR
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1/31 = -2.15 units (W/L = 0-2)
Thread: +15.57 units (W/L = 70-69-4 overall = .503 pct)
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yep I still fail with totals. Have to be real selective if picking anymore totals.Comment -
Thursday Feb.1
weird schedule tonight, many backup goalies playing. And still transition games after All-Star break.
PHILADELPHIA +102 // 1 unit to win 1.02
NY RANGERS -123 // 1.23 units to win 1Comment -
Thursday Feb.1 - adding::
sorry forgot a later game-
EDMONTON ML -130 // 1.30 units to win 1
Comment -
Thursday Feb.1 - final addition - 4th pick of the night x4 units::
CALGARY -104 // 4.16 units to win 4
if looking for a reason, Calgary beat Tampa 5-1 on Jan.11 in Tampa....Calgary as a team tends to repeat these type of wins against teams with a better record when the rematch game occurs in their home building.Both goalies will be the same starters in tonight's rematch, Andrei Vasilevskiy at Mike Smith.
Tampa goal-scorer Nikita Kucherov has been cold without a goal in the previous 9 games (All-Star game not included).
Matthew Tkachuck has been hot for Calgary, with 7 goals in the previous 8 games.Comment -
2/1 results:
-1.00 PHILADELPHIA +102---> score 4-3 road loss at NJ
-1.23 NY RANGERS -123 ----> score 4-0 home loss vs TOR
-1.30 EDMONTON -130 ---> score 4-3 home overtime loss vs COL
-4.16 CALGARY -104 ---> score 7-4 home loss vs TB
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2/1 = -7.69 units (W/L = 0-4)
Thread: +7.88 units (W/L = 70-73-4 overall = .489 pct)
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0 for the past 6 picks. Won't bother describing a couple of these games, but the teams crumbled, and so does the bankroll.Comment -
let's start with one of the early games and go from there
Saturday Feb.3
OVER 5.5 -105 ANA@MTL // 1.05 units to win 1Comment -
won that Over in the early game.
Saturday Feb.3 - continued
WINNIPEG -175 // 3.50 units to win 2
MINNESOTA +129 // 1 unit to win 1.29
CALGARY -143 // 1 unit to win 1.43Comment -
sorry that Calgary -143 is 1.43 to win 1 obviouslyComment -
2/3 results:
+1.00 OVER 5.5 -1.05 ANA@MTL ---> score 5-2 MTL home win
+2.00 WINNIPEG -175 ----> score 3-0 home win vs COL
-1.00 MINNESOTA +129 ---> score 6-1 road loss at DAL
+1.00 CALGARY -143 ---> score 4-3 home overtime win vs CHI
------------------
2/3 = +3.00 units (W/L = 3-1)
Thread: +10.88 units (W/L = 73-74-4 overall = .496 pct)
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need to get back to less volume, 1 or 2 games max per dayComment -
Tuesday Feb.6
PARLAY 2-TEAMS
......WINNIPEG -229
......ST. LOUIS -133
risk 1 unit to win 1.51Comment -
Tuesday Feb.6 - adding ::
UNDER 5.5 -105 NJ@OTT // 4.20 units to win 4
High confidence pick, even tho its a totalComment -
2/6 results:
-1.00 PARLAY 2-TEAMS:
.........WINNIPEG -229 ----> score 4-3 home win vs ARIZ
.........ST. LOUIS -133 ----> score 6-2 home loss vs MINN
-4.20 UNDER 5.5 -105 NJ@OTT ----> score 5-3 OTT home win
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2/6 = -5.20 units (W/L = 0-2)
Thread: +5.68 units (W/L = 73-76-4 overall = .489 pct)
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losing streak again. Matter of fact, looking at most SBR members who post picks, we've all gone cold for the past 1-2 weeks, with a few exceptions.Comment -
Wednesday Feb.7
UNDER 5.5 +110 NSH@TOR // 4 units to win 4.40
Measuring stick game for Toronto on defenseComment -
2/7 results:
+4.40 UNDER 5.5 +110 NSH@TOR ---> score 3-2 TOR shootout home win
Thread: +10.08 units (W/L = 74-76-4 overall = .493 pct)
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An explanation of the unit sizes, for anybody following who might be thinking what is going on betting 4 units,
well,
I like to vary the bet size based on my confidence in the pick and sometimes other factors.
Supposed to win the bigger bets more frequently, looks bad when they lose like the day before.
My range is 1-5 units.
I manage my bankroll how I see fit. Sometimes it might look like chasing but I'd disagree....a lot of times I press higher after a winning streak, and lately that hasn't worked. So here tonight it was 4 units which won, after 4 units yesterday which lost...so part of the decision tonight was to see if I could even out the loss with a win, and that was accomplished.
Also I think it is better for my betting style to vary my unit size to make a profit thru the season.Comment -
Thursday Feb.8
NEW JERSEY +100 // 2 units to win 2
After much deliberation on tonight's schedule, settling on this home dog. The line has moved against them, with the visitor Calgary now a thin favorite. Both teams playing their backup goalie. I just say New Jersey needs to play a disciplined game here because in desperate need of the win.
I might be back with a pick for a later game tonight.Comment -
Thursday Feb.8 - adding ::
SAN JOSE -110 // 2.20 units to win 2Comment -
2/8 results:
-2.00 NEW JERSEY +100 ----> score 3-2 home loss vs CGY
-2.20 SAN JOSE -110 ----> score 5-3 home loss vs VGS (Jonathan Marchessault empty net)
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2/8 = -4.20 units (W/L = 0-2)
Thread: +5.88 units (W/L = 74-78-4 overall = .486 pct)
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**OK, have to cry a bit about the late game, Vegas @ San Jose. First of all, I'll admit to being completely wrong about the main factor I thought Fleury would not play well tonight in goal....Fleury was in fact the best player on the ice by far and it was obvious if you watched the game. Gave up 3 goals, but made 35 saves and many very good saves.
However, the referees were totally bs in this game. Did not call several obvious penalties against Vegas. No I mean really. This is the first time in this thread I've complained about referees, this one really stunk. 2 of 3 goals by San Jose were on Power Play and that is a strength of their game, so perhaps they would have overcome Fleury's great play by getting more of the Power Plays they deserved.Comment -
Friday Feb.9
PITTSBURGH +102 // 5 units to win 5.10
one pick tonight, this is not a chase, its a max confidence pickComment -
2/9 results:
-5.00 PITTSBURGH +102 ---> score 4-3 road shootout loss at DAL
Thread: +0.88 units (W/L = 74-79-4 overall = .483 pct)
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2-0 early lead then got stiff. Dallas and goalie Lehtonen played well, he's surprised me all year.
Will figure this out. I run too streaky.Comment -
Sunday Feb.11
UNDER 5.5 -120 COL@BUF // 1.20 to win 1Comment -
lost yesterday
Monday Feb.12
ARIZONA +122 // 2 units to win 2.44Comment -
Feb.11&12 results:
-1.20 UNDER 5.5 -120 COL@BUF ----> score 5-4 COL road win at BUF
+2.44 ARIZONA +122 ----> score 6-1 home win vs CHI
------------------
Feb.11&12 = +1.24 units (W/L = 1-1)
OVERALL THREAD: +2.12 units (W/L = 75-80-4 overall = .483 pct)
LAST 10 PICKS: -8.76 units (W/L = 3-7 Last ten = .300 pct)
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**adding the LAST 10 PICKS record into the thread to give a quick view of recent trend "hot or cold"Comment -
Tuesday Feb.13 - four picks
COLUMBUS -120 // 1.20 units to win 1
NEW JERSEY +135 // 1.50 units to win 2.02
BOSTON -1 includes OT -110 // 1.10 units to win 1
VEGAS -1 includes OT -122 // 1.22 units to win 1Comment -
Tuesday Feb.13 - adding ::
UNDER 5.5 -135 LAK@CAR // 2.70 units to win 2
OVERTIME +290 LAK@CAR // 1 unit to win 2.90Comment -
Best of luck todayComment -
thanks man. Got too greedy on a possible 4-0 perfect night with a terrible take on the added game.
But I took a shot on info for the Carolina game and it didn't play out my way. Regardless, I'm tracking all my plays.....
FFFFFFUUUUUKKKKK!
OK feel better nowComment -
Feb.13 results:
+1.00 COLUMBUS -120 ----> score 4-1 road win at NYI
+2.02 NEW JERSEY +135 ----> score 5-4 shootout road win at PHI
+1.00 BOSTON -1 -110 ----> score 5-2 home win vs CGY
+1.00 VEGAS -1 -122 ----> score 5-2 home win vs CHI
-2.70 UNDER 5.5 -135 LAK@CAR ----> score 7-3 CAR home win
-1.00 OVERTIME +290 LAK@CAR
------------------
Feb.13 = +1.32 units (W/L = 4-2)
OVERALL THREAD: +3.44 units (W/L = 79-82-4 overall = .490 pct)
LAST 10 PICKS: -4.64 units (W/L = 5-5 Last ten = .500 pct)
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**added the LAST 10 PICKS record into the thread to give a quick view of recent trend "hot or cold"Comment -
Wednesday Feb.14
COLUMBUS regulation only moneyline +162 // 1 unit to win 1.62
*push if game goes to OvertimeComment -
Feb.14 results:
-1.00 COLUMBUS regulation ML ----> score 6-3 road loss at TOR
OVERALL THREAD: +2.44 units (W/L = 79-83-4 overall = .487 pct)
LAST 10 PICKS: -3.44 units (W/L = 5-5 Last ten = .500 pct)
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**added the LAST 10 PICKS record into the thread to give a quick view of recent trend "hot or cold"Comment -
Friday Feb.16
CAROLINA -1 includes OT -116 // 2.32 units to win 2Comment -
Friday Feb.16 - adding::
ST. LOUIS first period only moneyline +112 // 5 units to win 5.60
game starts in about 20 minutesComment -
Feb.16 results:
-2.32 CAROLINA -1 -116 ----> score 3-0 CAR home loss vs NYI
+0 push ST. LOUIS first period ML ----> score 0-0 end first period at DAL
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Feb.16 = -2.32 units (W/L = 0-1-1)
OVERALL THREAD: +0.12 units (W/L = 79-84-5 overall = .484 pct)
LAST 10 PICKS: -3.00 units (W/L = 4-5-1 Last ten = .444 pct)
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**added the LAST 10 PICKS record into the thread to give a quick view of recent trend "hot or cold"Comment