Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014

[twestacott]

Any words on consensus before the games?

[mitch51]

Number crunching done:

WPG
CLB
MTL
CO
PIT
LAK
SJ

Some of the lines high, these stand out more:

WPG
CO
PIT
LAK

Waiting on confirmed goalies, chart etc.

Be Back later

Ali & Mitch

[twestacott]

Up 7.34 units on the afternoon games!!!!!

http://forum.sbrforum.com/hockey-betting/2784776-twestacotts-nhl-picks.html

Looking forward to tonights games. Hope everyones elses day is off to such a great start. BOL

[calmeat]

Updated
Consensus
STL
WPG
CBJ
MTL
ANA
SJS

[mitch51]

WPG - Pavelec -130 1u
PIT - Fleury -140 1u

GLTA


Ali & Mitch

[twestacott]

I chose to play some totals and some sides:

Toronto / Winnipeg - OVER 5.5 (-110) for 1U
Pittsburgh / Dallas - OVER 5.5 (-115) for 1U
Anaheim / LA - UNDER 5 (-115) for 1U
Columbus - SPREAD -1 (-122) for 1U
Columbus - REG (-130) for 1U
Pittsburgh - SPREAD -1 (126) for 2U
Pittsburgh - REG (114) for 1.5U
San Jose - SPREAD -1 (-129) for 1U
San Jose - REG (-130) for 1U
Pittsburgh - ML (-132) for 2U

[Rumplebeanskin]

See if I can follow up backing Colorado last night with another couple of W's tonight!

CBJ -1.5
WPG REG

Good luck peeps!

[ddude]

GL tonight

[twestacott]

Wow.... Bobrovski might just get chased by Buffalo tonight. 10 shots and 3 goals conceded. Someone pull his head out of his ass please.

[twestacott]

Wow.... Bobrovski might just get chased by Buffalo tonight. 10 shots and 3 goals conceded. Someone pull his head out of his ass please.

Nevermind...... hopefully McElhinney can help Columbus climb back into this one. Hope you like the bench Bob because you were horrible tonight

[calmeat]

Guys i just realized i messed the chart up. As you can see on the chart i have the wrong date and that F's up the chart. Im really sorry about this and wish i would have seen the mistake earlier before i put in bets and such. Really sorry once i have the chart done ill post it to see what the difference was.

[calmeat]

here is what it should have been

[mitch51]

Early game: 1235pm Eastern

NJD - Brodeur...looks tempting will check further in the morning.

Night

Ali & Mitch

[Rumplebeanskin]

Guys i just realized i messed the chart up. As you can see on the chart i have the wrong date and that F's up the chart. Im really sorry about this and wish i would have seen the mistake earlier before i put in bets and such. Really sorry once i have the chart done ill post it to see what the difference was.

If it makes you feel any better bud, I would still have taken on both bets I placed last night, and they both have still lost. But not because of the chart

Keep up the good work dude!

[twestacott]

Same here. Don't think the chart would have changed much for me either. I just wish I would have listened to my gut and stayed away from Pit/Dal or at least went small on Dallas.

[mitch51]

Mornin'

Total agreement I use the chart as a backup to verify goalies etc but already have my choices made. I use it to see if I might have missed something. Thanks Calmeat you are doing good!


Be back later

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

I'm back after crunching numbers, these stand out right now:

NJD-Brodeur
DET-Gustavsson
CHI-Crawford
NASH-? but I see SCRIVENS-EDM in not sure now
VAN-?

Right now these are standing out more:
NJD
NASH?

GL


Back later

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

i will update later
Consensus
NJD
CHI
VAN

[twestacott]

Going with the following on the early game:

NJD - ML for 1.5U
NJD - Reg for 1U
NJD - (-1) for 1U
NJD/NYR - UNDER for 1U

Very rarely do these outdoor games go over because of less than desirable conditions

[TankHankerous]

Game delay favors the Rangers. Brodeur has a very regimented pregame routine that if interrupted, could spell disaster for the Devils. Here is an excerpt from Brodeur: Behind The Crease:

http://sports.espn.go.com/nhl/news/story?id=2640051

[mitch51]

Yeah, just back from local sportsbook betting NJD +100 1u

BAck later on other games

Ali & Mitch

[twestacott]

Game delay favors the Rangers. Brodeur has a very regimented pregame routine that if interrupted, could spell disaster for the Devils. Here is an excerpt from Brodeur: Behind The Crease:

http://sports.espn.go.com/nhl/news/story?id=2640051

Not buying it....... No disrespect meant but that article is from 2006 and Martin Brodeur is not only a seasoned veteran but is also easily the best goaltender of his generation. I think it is going to take a little more than a delayed start to knock him off his game.

[twestacott]

Also..... watching the pre-game coverage they are actually saying the opposite. On Sportsnet Glenn Healy was talking about how superstitious Lundqvist is and how particular he is with his equipment. He also mentioned that Lundqvist is testing out new pads which traditionally means larger rebounds because they have more bounce to them, especially in the cold where they will be more solid.

[TankHankerous]

Well penetrate me sideways

[Rumplebeanskin]

I went NYR and Under 6 goals. Can still happen but looks awfully unlikely after this start lol

[Rumplebeanskin]

Aaaaaaand it's gone

[TankHankerous]

Both goalies look uncomfortable

[twestacott]

Yeah a very weird game. Not typical of the other outdoor games at all.

[mitch51]

Even though the other games look good, some have lines too high I'm staying away from NASH/EDM game.
So no further bets here today.

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[Rumplebeanskin]

Can't bring myself to throw anything on any of the other games tonight. 0 for my last 3 and they all looked like solid picks. CBJ, WPG and now Rangers having a glut of goals.

Blargh, go again tomorrow, under £20 BR now

[chabooky386]

Going with the following on the early game:

NJD - ML for 1.5U
NJD - Reg for 1U
NJD - (-1) for 1U
NJD/NYR - UNDER for 1U

Very rarely do these outdoor games go over because of less than desirable conditions

Both of us got BURNED!!!

[calmeat]

updated

[mitch51]

Mornin' all

After crunching the numbers these stand out:

CAR - Khudobin
BOS - Rask? Likely Johnson
PIT - Fleury
CO - Varlamov
SJS - Stalock
VAN - Luongo

With some having high lines these more:

BOS
CO
SJS

Waiting on confirmation of goalies, chart, etc.

Be back later

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

man what a shitshow lately

1/27/14
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 39-38 +$32
Silver($5.00) = 83-83 -$60
Bronze($2.50) = 80-65 +$17.16

Game Win %
ML= 414-302 57.82%
ML(Regulation)= 324-89 78.45%
O/U= 91-70 56.52%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 84-87 48.12%
55-59%= 112-74 60.22%
60-64= 102-73 58.29%
65-69%= 71-56 55.91%
70+%= 46-11 80.70%

Consensus 224-148 60.22%
BOS
PIT
DAL
SJS
VAN

[Rumplebeanskin]

Dallas and San Jose for me tonight. I agree though, recent form has been rubbish. Gotta turn around soon, right?