Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014

[mitch51]

Hey guys no problem im just glad we have some good people in here. And Rumple I am in total agreement i have learned its very hard to actually make good money on gambling. I use this as a hobby and only play for entertainment, yes when i win of course i get excited then get greedy and up losing it. but i only bet what im ok with loosing so i never really stress out or anything.

As long as you understand no system or game is a lock or money maker and realize things dont always go to plan then its fun, frustrating, but fun all the same. Good luck to all and lets go Pens!!!! dont fn blow this lead now that i have posted it.

Awesome...

[Rumplebeanskin]

Penguins -1.5/REG
Fade the Ducks

They always hit when you don't back em lol

[calmeat]

Consensus
NYI
MTL
DET
TBL
OTT
CBJ

[skiny]

hi boss, i'm sorry i'm new here so......all the team you pick are ML or with odd? thanks sir

[mitch51]

Hi all Cloudy here...

Numbers crunched these stand out:
NYI
WPG
NYR
NYR Under 5.5
CO
CO Over 5.5
MTL
MTL Under 5
DET
TB Over 5.5
OTT
BOS
MIN
LAK

Some have lines a bit high etc these more so:
WPG
NYR Under 5.5
CO
CO Over 5.5
MTL Under 5
DET
TB Over 5.5
MIN

Now to decide and don't have much time!

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Betting 1u each
LAK -145
NYR Under 5.5 -125
DET -120
MIN -145

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[Rumplebeanskin]

hi boss, i'm sorry i'm new here so......all the team you pick are ML or with odd? thanks sir

Welcome! I don't have the answer to your question, but I just wanted to say hello! New faces are always good

I've got NYR REG £3 to win £5.18
And NYR -1.5 £2 to win £4.90

I figure if REG hits that gives me £2 of profit to load up into the 2nd bet. I like the pair to give me a chance to double my money.

Now to watch the Rangers lose or fail to win in 60 lol

[Rumplebeanskin]

Awesome start

[Rumplebeanskin]

Just ridiculous. Every time I have a chance at a decent payout on a high percentage look I get absolutely nothing.

Complete joke

[calmeat]

Just ridiculous. Every time I have a chance at a decent payout on a high percentage look I get absolutely nothing.

Complete joke

Yeah i know it kinda gets funny after a while. I made the mistake of placing the bet on NYR before i ran the consensus system and of course EDM was the winner in that system so f me.

Sorry to see your loss there Rumple i would say if you play any more before olympics go small wait till a couple days after the break and we will start going.

[mitch51]

When you have several good games you like you hope you bet the right ones.

With my hockey and Mitch's basketball we went 7-0

Hope another good day tomorrow and for all.

Ali & Mitch

[jontebond]

Just ridiculous. Every time I have a chance at a decent payout on a high percentage look I get absolutely nothing.

Complete joke

Just wondering how much are you betting, £3 is is 3000 or is it actually 3 pounds?

[Rumplebeanskin]

Just wondering how much are you betting, £3 is is 3000 or is it actually 3 pounds?

Ha! It's definitely £3 still pisses me off to lose even a penny of it tho!

And no choice but to go small now Calmeat, only got about £4 left. Hence the annoyance that a game like last night couldn't get me £10 back. In percentage terms, that is a pretty large chunk.

Never mind, just wasn't to be. I'd still take it tonight if it came up, and be just as annoyed when it lost. Had 2 or 3 bets this week that could have paid really well and I would say were better than 50-50. None came off

[mitch51]

Ha! It's definitely £3 still pisses me off to lose even a penny of it tho!

And no choice but to go small now Calmeat, only got about £4 left. Hence the annoyance that a game like last night couldn't get me £10 back. In percentage terms, that is a pretty large chunk.

Never mind, just wasn't to be. I'd still take it tonight if it came up, and be just as annoyed when it lost. Had 2 or 3 bets this week that could have paid really well and I would say were better than 50-50. None came off

Mitch says it's got to be 60/40 or better unless it's a dog. It's called expected value. IMO

Ali & Mitch

[Rumplebeanskin]

I guess I used 50/50 just as a term rather than the actual chance. I think both bets stood a "good" chance of hitting. I expected both to come off. Neither did though, so maybe I'm just wrong lol

[mitch51]

I guess I used 50/50 just as a term rather than the actual chance. I think both bets stood a "good" chance of hitting. I expected both to come off. Neither did though, so maybe I'm just wrong lol

I had the Rgrs too but the line a bit high and with all the choices I got it down to 4 in that 2nd group yesterday. Actually was hard otherwise I would have bet them all in the 2nd group. GL today Rumplebeanskin.

Ali


Yesterday's - Numbers crunched these stand out:
NYI
WPG
NYR
NYR Under 5.5
CO
CO Over 5.5
MTL
MTL Under 5
DET
TB Over 5.5
OTT
BOS
MIN
LAK

Some have lines a bit high etc these more so:
WPG
NYR Under 5.5
CO
CO Over 5.5
MTL Under 5
DET
TB Over 5.5
MIN

[mitch51]

Howdy

Numbers crunched and these are the games that stand out:

NJD
CAR
PIT
CHI
SJS
Leaning on Under 5.5 CAR and Over 5.5 CHI

Due to lines a bit high on four games these stand out:

Under 5.5 CAR
CHI
Over 5.5 CHI

Now to decide with chart, goalies etc.

Be back later.

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

Consensus
NJD
CAR
PIT
CHI
CBJ

[mitch51]

Betting 1un each on:

CAR Under 5.5 -130
CHI -120
CHI Over 5.5 +100

GLTA


Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

I ended up taking the devils.. that was a close one. Well since i said i was going small and taking it easy because of the olympic break im up 7.2units. I think i may just play small for the rest of the season if it goes like this.

[mitch51]

We shouldn't have bet today since it was a good day yesterday.



Will try again tomorrow morning.


@ Calmeat good going.


Ali & Mitch

[Rumplebeanskin]

Bit annoyed the REG and -1.5 the day before the Rangers (Pittsburgh) and the day after (Carolina), would both have hit for me. But I picked the Rangers game to go with lol

Did take Carolina REG last night though, that was my only bet.

Probably have a chase again today as a last hurrah before the Olympic break, we will see.

[calmeat]

Consensus
PHI
STL
BOS
TOR
COL
DAL
ANA

[mitch51]

Morning all

3 early games crunched, these stand out but lines bit too high to bet for us, we don't bet online just at local bookie and they don't have reg.

PHI
STL
BOS

GLTA

Be back later with afternoon games.

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Calmeat

I see a different goalie for STL - Elliott?
PHI ? Emery not Mason ??
CO-Giguere?

Thanks
Ali

P.S. What's with all the goalie changes? I see another WIN Montoya?

If Elliott and Montoya being goalies I would tend to bet the under in that game WIN/STL.

[Rumplebeanskin]

I'm gonna go out in a blaze of glory before the Olympics!

My BR was nearly zero anyway, got about £2 left. All in on bets tonight! My lovely wife is imminently pregnant with our first, so I should probably concentrate on other things for the near future

I'll still check in of course, just probably be a while til I reinvest and have another crack with you fine people. Clear the decks before I go

First up, 2 team parlay, ML, Blues and Flyers. Lets go!!!

[mitch51]

I'm gonna go out in a blaze of glory before the Olympics!

My BR was nearly zero anyway, got about £2 left. All in on bets tonight! My lovely wife is imminently pregnant with our first, so I should probably concentrate on other things for the near future

I'll still check in of course, just probably be a while til I reinvest and have another crack with you fine people. Clear the decks before I go

First up, 2 team parlay, ML, Blues and Flyers. Lets go!!!

Congrats!!!! from Mitch and BTW...to his friends he actually goes by the name Clark. My youngest just had her first baby girl 2 months ago.

Ali

BTW Clark says up on your games.

[Rumplebeanskin]

It's pretty exciting! No doubt have my hands full and as much as I enjoy it, don't need to be tempted to sift through hockey stats or stay up and take in a game for a while! I'm not very good at betting anyway, so probably be good to save some cash for a bit haha

[mitch51]

late morning game going to go bet Under 5.5 WIN/STL for 1un.

back later for afternoon games.

Ali

[calmeat]

Yeah sorry just no time to really do all the goalie changes they wont make huge differences. Elliot actually usually increases STL a little.

When my wife was pregnant i found myself doing this more. She would be in bet by like 8:30 or 9 so i would just stay up and gamble haha i dont have a problem

[Rumplebeanskin]

Maybe I'll be topping up the BR asap after the Olympics then lol

[mitch51]

Yeah sorry just no time to really do all the goalie changes they wont make huge differences. Elliot actually usually increases STL a little.

When my wife was pregnant i found myself doing this more. She would be in bet by like 8:30 or 9 so i would just stay up and gamble haha i dont have a problem

No problem I was just wondering if it was a common occurence with changes when a goalie confirmed then gets changed.

Also, sitting on pins/needles for the Under 5.5 on WIN/STL

Thanks Calmeat

Ali

[Rumplebeanskin]

Bah, UL

[mitch51]

Ugggh

Ali

[Rumplebeanskin]

Bloody typical! Spend all my time trying to make money, the time I'm not bothered if I lose it and I win