AdaBarber's Catch 'Em Early Picks Week 8

**AdaBarber** · 10-19-09, 08:34 AM

I will have some picks booked tonight. I am working on them so check back with me later. Happy leaning and picking!

**AdaBarber** · 10-20-09, 08:02 AM

Tulsa by at least 13. Everything I play is always in bold.

Tulsa-7.5

**AdaBarber** · 10-20-09, 08:07 AM

I don't know why N. Carolina is favored. Fl State should win this straight up.

Florida State +2.5

**HoulihansTX** · 10-20-09, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by AdaBarber

I don't know why N. Carolina is favored. Fl State should win this straight up. Florida State +2.5

I'm waiting for the Total. Will be playing the OVER if Total isn't ridiculous.

**AdaBarber** · 10-20-09, 09:11 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

I'm waiting for the Total. Will be playing the OVER if Total isn't ridiculous.

Hey Houlihans, I can't see it being ridiculous because North Carolina is struggling on offense. The o line is beat up. Florida State can score. The books are probably waiting on the weather report.

**AdaBarber** · 10-20-09, 09:14 AM

Here we go gentleman. Here are my early leans, meaning these are the games I've pulled out so far. I do all the games but I haven't gotten through them all yet.

Tulsa -7.5
FSU +2.5
Rutgers -9.5
Central Michigan -7
LA Tech -2
Cincy -17
Akron +10
Oregon -7.5

**AdaBarber** · 10-20-09, 09:17 AM

Booked early:

Tulsa -7.5
FSU +2.5
Rutgers -9.5
Central Michigan -7
Akron +10
Oregon -7.5

Good luck gentleman! And the others are forthcoming if anymore make the grade.

**AdaBarber** · 10-20-09, 10:34 AM

Remember guys. This thread is for comparisons and information. Feel free to throw in your two or three cents.

**Dbldown11** · 10-20-09, 10:41 AM

I see Syracuse winning pretty big at homein this one. But I am with you on Florida St. and Central Michigan

**AdaBarber** · 10-20-09, 02:00 PM

Originally posted by Dbldown11

I see Syracuse winning pretty big at homein this one. But I am with you on Florida St. and Central Michigan

Good luck Dbldown. Yeah Syracuse could win big but they have been turning the ball over a lot. Hopefully they keep turning it over on Saturday. Everyone keeps talking about Florida State mailing it in. I think they scored over forty last week. I don't call that mailing it in.

**Dbldown11** · 10-20-09, 02:06 PM

Yeah I don't see North Carolina keeping up with Florida St. points wise. Syracuse has struggled, but they've played S. Florida, W. Virginia, Minnesota, Northwestern, Penn St., and Maine. That's a pretty tough schedule, so I expect them to take some frustrations out on Akron

**Cougar Bait** · 10-20-09, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by AdaBarber

Here we go gentleman. Here are my early leans, meaning these are the games I've pulled out so far. I do all the games but I haven't gotten through them all yet.

Tulsa -7.5
FSU +2.5
Rutgers -9.5
Central Michigan -7
LA Tech -2
Cincy -17
Akron +10
Oregon -7.5

With you on your weeknight plays (except Rutgers-probably going to sit that one out). You say you "do all the games." Does that mean you are wagering on every game?

**Ralphie1412** · 10-20-09, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

I'm waiting for the Total. Will be playing the OVER if Total isn't ridiculous.

I understand your thought process but I just cant back a UNC over.

**Cubs2240** · 10-20-09, 11:57 PM

The Fade King(Lang) is on UTEP so you should be MONEY!!!!!!!!! GL this week

**LINE-crush-ER** · 10-21-09, 12:33 AM

does anyone have the nerve to bet against uconn

**HoulihansTX** · 10-21-09, 01:09 AM

Originally posted by LINE-crush-ER

does anyone have the nerve to bet against uconn

Way too much bad Karma in that game. People should stay away, as I will. Karma is real, religion is mythical.

**HoulihansTX** · 10-21-09, 01:11 AM

ADABar,

I love the Central Michigan, and Oregon. Both are on the road favs that could roll the teams they are facing.

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 08:36 AM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

With you on your weeknight plays (except Rutgers-probably going to sit that one out). You say you "do all the games." Does that mean you are wagering on every game?

No Cougar. I filter all the games to end up with up with the teams I post. I nearly play all that I post. I average about 10 plays a week. Last week was 11 and so is this week.

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 08:39 AM

Originally posted by Cubs2240

The Fade King(Lang) is on UTEP so you should be MONEY!!!!!!!!! GL this week

Same to you. I capped that game so I am really feeling good. NOW LET'S GET PAID!

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 08:41 AM

Originally posted by LINE-crush-ER

does anyone have the nerve to bet against uconn

I didn't even bother to cap it. I know some will play hard for the kid and some will not have their mind on the game. Way too much emotion and I don't like emotion because sometimes it clouds judgement.

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 08:42 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

ADABar,

I love the Central Michigan, and Oregon. Both are on the road favs that could roll the teams they are facing.

Good luck to you. LET'S GET PAID!

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 08:49 AM

Final Leans For This Week(Bold means Bk'd)

Tulsa -7.5
FSU +2.5
Rutgers -9.5
Central Michigan -7
LA Tech -2
Cincy -17
Troy ?
Akron +10
Oregon -7.5
Washington St +35
FL International +12

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 10:01 AM

Washington State line is moving in favor of California. Somebody else knows what I know.

**HoulihansTX** · 10-21-09, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by AdaBarber

Washington State line is moving in favor of California. Somebody else knows what I know.

GL with that. Cal is an Official Play for me. They will roll. Wash St. is garbage. Cal beat them by 63 on the road last year. Washington St. is no better this year then last. I know they have been covering huge spreads, but I dont expect a letdown from Cal. They will score too easily for Wash St. to keep up.

Didn't Oregon just hang 52 on them, while holding W 'St. to 6. Brutal.

I omit Arizona St., b/c they are a complete fraud team to me. Plus they got real lucky against Washington last week.

**ackem19** · 10-21-09, 10:55 AM

GL this week. Nice picks, some games i couldn't touch. However, I'd be weary of taking La Tech against a pass happy Utah St. Especially considering how close USU came to upsetting UNR last week. Best of luck.

**wal66** · 10-21-09, 10:57 AM

Ada...........What finalized Akron for you. I realize Syracuse was a turnover machine against South Florida si that what did it? I'm just asking because I have Syracuse By a decent marigin in my program. I stayed clear of playing them for other reasons but they did qualify as a play.

**wal66** · 10-21-09, 11:36 AM

Scratch my post Ada. I'm at work and was working off memory. I should never do that, I have a hard enough time remembering to go to the bathroom. I emailed my data from home to here just now and re-checked. I was wrong, must have been thinking of a different game I guess. My program agrees with your on Syracuse game. I chose to not play it because I personally liked Syracuse according to notes.

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by wal66

Ada...........What finalized Akron for you. I realize Syracuse was a turnover machine against South Florida si that what did it? I'm just asking because I have Syracuse By a decent marigin in my program. I stayed clear of playing them for other reasons but they did qualify as a play.

With my programs I use a computer simulation of the game. I also analyze the numbers in conference and out of conference. And use power rankings. If all three fall in line I get the ticket. And last week they covered for me.good luck Wal.

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 12:23 PM

Originally posted by ackem19

GL this week. Nice picks, some games i couldn't touch. However, I'd be weary of taking La Tech against a pass happy Utah St. Especially considering how close USU came to upsetting UNR last week. Best of luck.

I am a little leary of LA Tech myself. I believe in my system though so I never worry. But me playing that will rely on how well I do with the weekday games. Thanks for the input and best of luck to you as well.

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

GL with that. Cal is an Official Play for me. They will roll. Wash St. is garbage. Cal beat them by 63 on the road last year. Washington St. is no better this year then last. I know they have been covering huge spreads, but I dont expect a letdown from Cal. They will score too easily for Wash St. to keep up.

Didn't Oregon just hang 52 on them, while holding W 'St. to 6. Brutal.

I omit Arizona St., b/c they are a complete fraud team to me. Plus they got real lucky against Washington last week.

I was looking at my stats and computations and was like Washington St? But all my filters pointed to St. The closest it came in all the filtering was 30. The rest came in the low 20s. And Cal isn't Oregon either. They do struggle at times. Plus a lot of the known teams haven't been covering the larger spreads this year. I will take the 34.5 if it is still that by the end of the week. I am hoping everyone else is thinking like you and it goes up to 37. But is dropping as of now. Thanks though Houlihans. Good thoughts.

**AdaBarber** · 10-21-09, 03:22 PM

The Tulsa line has been on the move. Looking good for the Tulsa backers.

**AdaBarber** · 10-22-09, 06:51 AM

Tulsa

I really didn't see that one coming. Have you ever been blindsided by a hard right? I have and it wasn't pretty for me or the next guy. Thanks Tulsa. But I am not upset. I started last week with a 1-2 start to the day. The fat lady is still in another country as far as I am concerned. Good luck guys!

**AdaBarber** · 10-22-09, 08:19 AM

Okay a home team generally gets 3 points at home. UNC can't even give up that. If that were the case the spread would be 5.5 or 6. The books can't even give that to FSU. The public would still be all over them. Every time I see a 2 or 2.5 point spread for a home team or a supposed to be superior team I take the dog. And most of the time they win straight up.

**AdaBarber** · 10-22-09, 10:24 AM

?