Pags' Plays 10/33

pags11 · 10-14-09, 03:56 PM

rixsaw,

...just the way we like it brother!...

DREEZY · 10-14-09, 03:58 PM

Pags, if you had to choose the STRONGEST play out of your 7 for this week, which would it be???

saltwatercowboy · 10-14-09, 04:06 PM

Very nice card last weeks Pags.

Some intriguing picks this week. I've been a fan of June Jones since his days with the Falcons and have always loved the concept of the run n' shoot offense. June was a perfect fit in Hawaii with that offense and I think he will prove to be an even better fit at SMU once he has a few more recruiting classes and get the right personnel to make his offense excel. The improvement that June has made is already evident with SMU knocking off UAB and East Carolina earlier this year. While Navy is a good football team, I like the ponies in this spot. However, I will be interested to see your right up on the Ga Tech pick. Ga Tech seems to be one of those teams I just can't figure out. Earlier in the season, the team seemed to get so fatigued in the second half of games (see Clemson and Miami). However, recently they have been playing well on the offensive side of the football hitting big play after big play but their defense has been very suspect giving up 31 to Miss St and 44 to FSU. But they manage to win (and cover) both games. Looking forward to your write-ups for the week and Good Luck with all your plays.

pags11 · 10-14-09, 04:10 PM

DREEZY,

I get asked that frequently and my response is always the same...I play all of the games for an equal amount...I've learned in the past that the game you think has the best chance to cover sometimes doesn't and the one you think may be your weakest play has the best chance of covering...

pags11 · 10-14-09, 04:12 PM

saltwatercowboy,

...good thoughts here...will have my write-ups for you and others tomorrow night...

DREEZY · 10-14-09, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by pags11

DREEZY,

I get asked that frequently and my response is always the same...I play all of the games for an equal amount...I've learned in the past that the game you think has the best chance to cover sometimes doesn't and the one you think may be your weakest play has the best chance of covering...

i gotcha, thanks pags

pags11 · 10-14-09, 04:18 PM

DREEZY,

xyzky · 10-14-09, 04:35 PM

Pag's,
You staying busy over at your place?

pags11 · 10-14-09, 05:30 PM

xyzky,

yeah we have been, we've been pretty lucky...thank you...heading to the gym and then over there as we speak..like your card this week...

polson22 · 10-14-09, 05:53 PM

pags, i'm going to try to do a full tail of your picks this week. and as always, i'm a big boy so won't be a problem no matter how the picks turn out.....

pags11 · 10-14-09, 05:56 PM

polson22,

...I like your style...

Cougar Bait · 10-14-09, 06:03 PM

You're gonna have another great week Pags. You own the books in October. I said it 2 weeks ago.

pags11 · 10-14-09, 06:12 PM

cougar bait,

daneblazer · 10-14-09, 06:13 PM

Good luck this week

polson22 · 10-14-09, 06:20 PM

pags, apologize if it's already been asked/posted...... but any opinion on CSU +22 @ TCU. as someone else said somewhere, TCU doesn't seem like a team to cover big Spreads.

babaoriley · 10-14-09, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by polson22

pags, apologize if it's already been asked/posted...... but any opinion on CSU +22 @ TCU. as someone else said somewhere, TCU doesn't seem like a team to cover big Spreads.

I'd be very, very careful here, poison... That line of thinking "team x doesn't seem like a team that covers big Spreads" often leads to disaster/disappointment.

Pags my man, been browsing since week 1. Wanted to congratulate you on a HUGE week last week. Very well played. Best of luck this week as well. Like most of your plays (particularly Utah St at that number) and see another good week for you. cheers bud.

polson22 · 10-14-09, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by babaoriley

I'd be very, very careful here, poison... That line of thinking "team x doesn't seem like a team that covers big Spreads" often leads to disaster/disappointment.

Pags my man, been browsing since week 1. Wanted to congratulate you on a HUGE week last week. Very well played. Best of luck this week as well. Like most of your plays (particularly Utah St at that number) and see another good week for you. cheers bud.

baba, appreciate the advice, but that type of thinking is a good part of my handicapping (obviously i do work to back it up, at least in my own mind)

a good example was the guy's nebraska house bet thread. i gave him 3 ideas purely based on whether the favorite scores enough to cover decent spread. and i went 3-0 although 2 were close covers. of course, i have terrible runs sometimes too, don't get me wrong.

Flaghunter · 10-14-09, 06:33 PM

Pags...Great call last week...See the train getting a head of steam now!!. I like UAB,Kentucky,GaTech,UTAH St...Just not sure how many units I want to play to win. BOL this week to ya...Peace

pags11 · 10-14-09, 06:40 PM

daneblazer,

polson22,

I can't even think about CSU this week after last week's debacle...

baba,

Flaghunter,

...that's what I'm talking about!

ToneLoc88 · 10-14-09, 06:51 PM

Pags,

Any thoughts on Wash +6 1/2 at Arizona State. Az. State is awful and Wash has showed me enough against USC and Notre Dame along with coming back to beat Arizona this past weekend.

ackem19 · 10-14-09, 07:10 PM

pags11,

as always, thanks for the input. looking forward to the write-ups.

icemantbi · 10-14-09, 10:39 PM

Well Pags, I went with my gut and took Tulsa +9.5... Boise St. was just too easy! I only put a unit on it though, oh well... I wish you had cashed on this as well, great start to start the week, already 2-0 and up a couple units (cashed a teaser last night in the shitfest that was ULM/Arkansas St., Had Ark. St and the under teased)...

Can't wait for the writeups and Saturday!

masr · 10-14-09, 11:11 PM

Looking Forward to your writeups...Best of luck this week

pags11 · 10-14-09, 11:23 PM

ToneLoc88,

at the current number I would have a slight lean to Washington, but my good friend gyno has a big play on ASU at 3 and he knows the Pac 10 way better than me...that all being said, I'd recommend a no play...

ackem19,

icemantbi,

congrats on cashing the Tulsa ticket...

masr,

...will have them up for you tomorrow...

clowncar · 10-15-09, 01:11 AM

Any opinion on the boise state at tulsa game pags ?

pags11 · 10-15-09, 01:16 AM

clowncar,

lol...you might be better served asking one of the past posters around here...

...you da man...

myers59 · 10-15-09, 08:05 AM

Thanks for last weekend!

jayc88 · 10-15-09, 01:48 PM

gl this week

oda11 · 10-15-09, 01:54 PM

Hey pags, do you have any leans for tonight's game?

BOL this week.

BadNina · 10-15-09, 02:39 PM

Hi Pags dearest!

I went with three of your picks. Don't let me down, hun.

hugs & kisses,

Nina

pags11 · 10-15-09, 03:19 PM

myers59,

jayc88,

oda11,

I do not sir...GL

nina,

good to hear you actually made a wager...

Kustac · 10-15-09, 04:44 PM

looking forward to those writeups pags .... really appreciate all the plays!

twentyonekid · 10-15-09, 05:18 PM

PAGS i forgot to ask you what you think about minnesota getting 17 from pennst......to me penn st isn't as powerful against decent teams and giving that many points i think would be worth taking....what ya think....thanks pal

pags11 · 10-15-09, 05:26 PM

Kustac,

...hopefully you'll appreciate them more on Saturday evening...
twentyonekid,

I see why people like the Minnesota play but I'm a little concerned that PSU is starting to get things together...no play in my opinion...

DREEZY · 10-15-09, 06:35 PM

Pags, do you have an opinion on OKLAHOMA STATE (-7)? Mizzou overrated???