Pags' Plays 10/33

pags11 · 10-12-09, 05:13 PM

xyzky,

...glad we agree on that!...

ackem19 · 10-12-09, 05:18 PM

hey pags11,

no more questioning your picks haha. this week i'm going to try to place some individual bets on your picks. however, i don't want to just piggy-back your picks, i hope i can gain greater insight into your methods. last week i did a bunch of research, i'm talking hours, almost days, and still no winnings. granted, they were parlays. anyways, i really appreciate all that you do on this forum. especially considering you can be selling these picks. thanks again and best of luck this week.

pags11 · 10-12-09, 05:21 PM

ackem,

thanks for posting your thoughts...good to hear that you do a lot of research and that you want to learn...my advice would be to learn to play strictly straight plays and get away from the parlays...looking forward to sharing more thoughts with you about college football...

xyzky · 10-12-09, 05:27 PM

Of course if you did a 7 game Round Robin with 5's, 6's & 7 you could have made out very nicely...

twentyonekid · 10-12-09, 05:29 PM

nice lineup pags,lets continue the good work buddy.....once you get on a roll theres no stopping you

seaborneq · 10-12-09, 05:30 PM

Pags, is the Kentucky pick taking into consideration the starting QB will miss the game? Or are you anti Auburn on the pick?

pags11 · 10-12-09, 05:37 PM

twentyonekid,

...glad to hear you like the card, just starting to get in my groove...

seaborneq,

I watched every play of the Kentucky vs. South Carolina game so yes I am aware that Hartline won't be playing...he took a big hit and he's knee buckled backwards...two words for you, Randle Cobb...more thoughts on this one to come on Thursday...

porterkid69 · 10-12-09, 06:05 PM

Pags, do you got one more coming?

pags11 · 10-12-09, 06:08 PM

yes porter I do...unfortunately I may not have it posted for a couple of days as the line is right between a couple of key numbers and matchbook doesn't have much trading of this game going on at reasonable juice...

Cougar Bait · 10-12-09, 06:14 PM

GL this week pags...round 2 of the real season begins...

pags11 · 10-12-09, 06:17 PM

GL to you as well cougar bait...

Cougar Bait · 10-12-09, 06:19 PM

I know you don't lay much chalk...any thoughts on Idaho or Ohio this week...Hawaii is in a huge QB mess and traveling...and the differences between QB's in the Ohio game is making me really want to mark it down.

pags11 · 10-12-09, 07:39 PM

I know Idaho has been covering every number lately but I couldn't pull the trigger on them laying that many points...have no opinion on the Ohio game...

ackem19 · 10-12-09, 08:48 PM

pags11,

i posted 10 plays for week 7 after doing some research. this week i paid more attention to turnovers after getting killed by them last week. i also provided short write-ups for each one. if you could check them out and tell me what you think, that would be awesome. also, if you could tell me whether or not i'm focusing on the correct information, that would be great. thanks.

Skanless1 · 10-12-09, 09:09 PM

GL pags, lovin' it. kill them books.

Skanless1 · 10-12-09, 09:09 PM

wait, that was 6 plays... pags, you usually play 7.. is there one more coming, or are there no others you like?

dfinn21 · 10-12-09, 10:57 PM

Hey Pags, do you have any lean on the Texas Tech (+10) at Nebraska game?

braves25 · 10-12-09, 11:27 PM

Thanks Pags..I agree with you on the Idaho game, I was able to pull 3 wins out of them this season, but it appears that the bookmakers have finally caught on. The Cincy game is very intriguing, a very good defense against a very good offense, line is at -4(cincy) . Fresno State really provided the blueprint on how to beat UC this year, and that is control the ball and keep Cincy off the field. Fresno State just does not have the defense that S. Florida has. I really want to play South Florida, but both my parents are UC alum....Will see, if this lines moves up any further I may have to take it.

Would you still take UAB at +21, or should I buy a half point?(someone may have asked this earlier)

REDL1NE · 10-12-09, 11:40 PM

I LOVE that Kentucky pick. GL to you this week. Very nicely done last week.

riggs · 10-12-09, 11:45 PM

Hey Pags!

Any thoughts on Pittsburgh -3 @ Rutgers

What am I missing here, this line is very tempting, seems off? I live in Jersey, have followed Rutgers for years, they are not a good football team.

HoulihansTX · 10-13-09, 12:03 AM

Originally posted by riggs

Hey Pags! Any thoughts on Pittsburgh -3 @ Rutgers What am I missing here, this line is very tempting, seems off? I live in Jersey, have followed Rutgers for years, they are not a good football team.

Check out my write up. forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-handicapping/246307-stack-paper-f-tha-haters-ncaa-week-7-a.html#post2376116

pags11 · 10-13-09, 12:44 AM

Play Number Seven:

Central Florida +15.5 (-102) for 3 units

HoulihansTX · 10-13-09, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by pags11

Play Number Seven: Central Florida +15.5 (-102) for 3 units

That play will cash. We have seen Miami play on the road. Total trash.

pags11 · 10-13-09, 12:59 AM

ackem,

...I'll definitely head over to your thread...
Skanless1,

...just got back from the gym and my seventh play was matched...it is now posted...

dfnn,

yes I do...

braves,

...good thoughts...I would prefer 21.5 with UAB but usually never recommend paying 120 for a play, heck I hate paying 110...

redline,

...so do I man, so do I...and most can grab 14 currently to boot!...

riggs,

I don't trust the Stache on the road, but Rutgers has not QB and their secondary is highly questionable...no play is my recommendation...

houlihans,

...I will for sure check out your thread...glad we see eye to eye on Miami...

aznjeff07 · 10-13-09, 02:09 AM

thoughts on the tex game pags? i know ou almost inside out and i don't see an ou win unless brown can be super productive (murray hasn't done shit yet) and broyles is back, but with even that it's in slight favor of texas

pags11 · 10-13-09, 02:17 AM

aznjeff,

at 5 or more I would have eyed OU but at the current line I think it's a nice sit back and watch game...I try to stay away from the higher profile games as much as possible although I did play Michigan last week and have played Georgia Tech this week...

Shortstop · 10-13-09, 04:46 AM

Pags, congrats again on a very solid last couple of weeks! Keep going strong! Good luck!

pags11 · 10-13-09, 04:48 AM

shortstop,

marabdl86 · 10-13-09, 06:55 AM

Pags, one unit equals how much to you? A lot of people have different units

JimmyJet · 10-13-09, 08:56 AM

Pags...thanks for sharing. Do you believe that it is good strategy to place bets on lesser known teams without the name recognition of the bigger and more popular public teams? Does that play a part in your selections?

SexyMit · 10-13-09, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by pags11

Play Number Seven:

Central Florida +15.5 (-102) for 3 units

I like this one!

birdman779 · 10-13-09, 11:40 AM

thanks for the great week last took all ur picks only change i made was taking ohio state had a 11 game parlay come down to florida state for 15,000 and uggg i blew it but thanks for ur great plays

linesdotcom · 10-13-09, 11:47 AM

i like texas

birdman779 · 10-13-09, 11:48 AM

oh the loss was on fsu -3

spongerat · 10-13-09, 12:20 PM

Originally posted by marabdl86

Pags, one unit equals how much to you? A lot of people have different units

who cares. everyone should have different units since everyone has different bankrolls