Pags' Plays 9/19

**Cougar Bait** · 09-19-09, 09:25 PM

I can't wait for the new lines. I don't know about you Pags, but taking even small losses makes me hungry to bounce back, even more than winning...sign of a true gambler I guess...luckily we have months to right the ship bro

**dyosh808** · 09-19-09, 10:49 PM

Tough week. Let's rebound.

**sarms** · 09-19-09, 10:50 PM

thanx for all the hard work, we'll get it back it next week.

**jholl** · 09-19-09, 11:09 PM

Originally posted by dyosh808

Tough week. Let's rebound.

rebound ?? 3 weeks ??? he will have to rebound 3 in a row to get even

thats THREE tough weeks i gave him 3 weeks, im sorry i know its hard but this guy doesnt have it .

good luck , im rootin for ya, but its not was was hyped

**pirate** · 09-20-09, 12:00 AM

**Nickelicious** · 09-20-09, 01:03 AM

Originally posted by pirate

Nicely put, pirate, without too much vicious intent.

I'll bet 100 points against anyone who thinks Pags will have two wins or less next week! (as long as he makes at least 7 picks.)

**HarrytheHat** · 09-20-09, 05:18 AM

Really going out on a limb there Nickel. Ever hear of tossing a coin?

**pokernut9999** · 09-20-09, 06:48 AM

Originally posted by HarrytheHat

Really going out on a limb there Nickel. Ever hear of tossing a coin?

What is your record this year sir ?

How about posting your picks from now on so we can see your capping abilities.

**RayzHELL** · 09-20-09, 07:05 AM

Tough Week--I lost a Lot.

It was a tough week. I lost a lot.

It could have been worse. Harry N. Lloyd, also on SBR, was 12-2 in the first two weeks. But, this week he went 1-7!

Keep posting pags11!!

**crackerjack** · 09-20-09, 08:07 AM

Probably time to start fading Pags until he can turn it around (which he'll eventually do)

**BeatTheJerk** · 09-20-09, 08:48 AM

Tough day for everybody .................

**bkny2cnc** · 09-20-09, 08:59 AM

Pags doesn't make anyone take his picks

GUYS EVERY GOOD CAPPER HAS A BAD RUN,BUT I DON'T RECALL PAGS EVER TELLING ANYONE TO PLAY HIS PLAYS.HE IS THE ONE BREAKING DOWN INFO TO SHARE WITH THE PUBLIC ON HIS TIME.WHEN ARE WE GOING TO TAKE THE BLAME FOR OUR OWN ACTIONS(PICKS).THIS IS WHY SOME GOOD CAPPERS HATE TO POST,ALL OF THE NEGATIVE STUFF SHOULD BE DEALT WITH IN A DIFFERENT FORUM.

PAGS CONTINUE YOUR CAPPING IT IS GREATLY APPRECIATED BY SOME

**Club** · 09-20-09, 09:15 AM

Still early in the season and there's a lot of time to make money. Pags is as good a handicapper as he's always been. Three tough weeks in football is like three bad days in baseball, it just stretches out longer. It happens to everyone. Nothing to worry about.

**porterkid69** · 09-20-09, 09:34 AM

This guy always bounces back. Good Luck

**nevadaside** · 09-20-09, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by jholl

rebound ?? 3 weeks ??? he will have to rebound 3 in a row to get even

You are not only WRONG, but you also do NOT know what you're talking about..........because you obviously have no knowledge of pags' tiered money management system that he uses year after year to win. Once he is running his 3 unit plays & hitting on all cylinders, it would only take one Saturday to get himself back in the black.

So NOT only.......but ALSO!

**Machine Choice** · 09-20-09, 10:59 AM

I'm 6-11 so far in NCAAF this year. That's bad, but here is what would be worse: If I went on to a forum and bitched and cried to everyone and pointed fingers at another capper and blamed him for my misfortunes.

All you guys who are knocking Pags need to go look in the mirror and realize that the person staring back at you is the one who places your wagers, not Pags.

**KingJIM** · 09-20-09, 11:17 AM

Looking forward to next week's selections. Thanks for the time and hard work you put into your picks.

**King Parlay** · 09-20-09, 11:47 AM

Don't sweat it Pags. Thanks to good money management 1 good week can turn around the season, I just wish you'd quit going against my Hawkeyes.

**pantala** · 09-20-09, 01:34 PM

sarms - the guy in your profile pic went to my high school. two years older than me. nice guy, and he does look like peter griffin

**pags11** · 09-20-09, 02:30 PM

2-5 w/l, -6.00 units on the week...

8-14 w/l, -7.75 units on the season...

**efcbomber** · 09-20-09, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by pags11

2-5 w/l, -6.00 units on the week...
8-14 w/l, -7.75 units on the season...

Pags - this was a 1.5 unit week so you're down 4.50 units this week, not 6.00...Hard enough start to the year without cheating yourself

It's a marathon, not a sprint.

Some posters here need to go out and pay for some "GUARANTEED LOCKS OF THE WEEK"

Thanks for posting despite all these idiots. I know how much you put into this week and appreciate it. Looking forward ot next week and the start of the turnaround.

**HarrytheHat** · 09-20-09, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

What is your record this year sir ?

How about posting your picks from now on so we can see your capping abilities.

I think you may have misinterpreted my post. It was not a knock on Pags, who I respect and whose longterm record speaks for itself. I was merely referring to Nickelicious' rather lame "bet" since it was so ridiculous (well, maybe some people on here would take it. Personally I have a passing acquaintance with the laws of probability and so would just laugh in his face).

My picks? I just flip a coin ten times each week and go with that. I usually end the year down 4 to 5%, due to the vig. I'm so consistent I just pay my bookmaker the 5% up front. If I do better than that I'm thrilled

BOL Pags. I think you're a cool, upfront kind of guy and I hope to learn a thing or two over the course of the season. HtH

**sarms** · 09-20-09, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by pantala;226****

sarms - the guy in your profile pic went to my high school. two years older than me. nice guy, and he does look like peter griffin

no way, that's awesome!

**MartinBlank** · 09-20-09, 06:36 PM

What I don't understand is the need to post in someone's thread and remind them of their record.

If Pags does go 7-0, the tools that are here bitching will disappear. You people are misery whores. And here is a novel concept. Create your own threads and post all your selections. Put it out there for everyone to see.

SBR provides a free spreadsheet. Try it out.

**seaborneq** · 09-20-09, 07:40 PM

Capping football games is very hard everyone. Remember that when you are sleeping, the lines/oddsmakers are awake. No matter how much work you put in they are ahead of the game. If capping were so easy, the Vegas Strip would look like Beirut.

**taurus** · 09-20-09, 07:46 PM

i see a lot of support here, pags, so don't get discouraged.
i'm not discouraged. keep trucking, buddy.

**MexicanStallion** · 09-20-09, 07:50 PM

Sorry to see a down week Pags. Best of luck this week. Brand new slate

**Joe Dogs** · 09-20-09, 08:52 PM

Big rebound this week Pags.

**spongerat** · 09-20-09, 10:14 PM

its ok Good luck next week

**pags11** · 09-20-09, 11:03 PM

efcbomber,

thanks for noticing that error in my units down for the week...appreciate it..

Correction:

2-5 w/l, -4.5 units on the week...

8-14 w/l, -6.25 units on the season...

**BGboothA** · 09-21-09, 09:33 PM

Its all good, we gonna get this.

**Dexter** · 09-21-09, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by pags11

2-5 w/l, -6.00 units on the week...

8-14 w/l, -7.75 units on the season...

lol....8-14 on the year and down 8 units? i had the feeling you were like 5-20 from the way these tools are ripping you.

you're one good week away from near 500. dont chase, hang tough and cap as you always do.

you're reasoning behind plays is excellent.

**hoopster42** · 09-21-09, 11:46 PM

there are people who bet mostly faves and mostly dogs, and both of these are bad because over the course of a year, 50% dogs and 50% faves will cover, so you are screwing yourself off of half the board when you predominantly bet only one vs the other. the strongest cappers will be the ones who mix in a nice combo of faves and dogs, both

**solidsteel408** · 09-22-09, 12:38 AM

Originally posted by seaborneq

Capping football games is very hard everyone. Remember that when you are sleeping, the lines/oddsmakers are awake. No matter how much work you put in they are ahead of the game. If capping were so easy, the Vegas Strip would look like Beirut.

Agreed.

**solidsteel408** · 09-22-09, 12:55 AM

A lot of cappers usually don't do well in early of the sport season.. Here is my thought. Data are biased in the beginning of the season. However, data become unbiased after many games are played. The more games are played the data are more accurate. Cappers tend to have more control in handicapping and able to precisely predict the outcome as the season goes deep. Pags11 is a great capper. Sure he'll bounce back. Good luck, Pags11.