Pags' Plays 9/19

[cs11787]

Haha. Well hopefully one of us will hit one!!! Like I said though it should only be done for entertainment. Winning will just be a bonus! Lol. Straight wagers are where the "real" moneys at so good luck to everyone this week. Im off to hit the sac!

[pags11]

you guys are killing me!......lol...

[pags11]

night cs...

[IowaHawkeyes]

Play Number Seven:

Arkansas -1 (-104) for 1.5 units...

Pags, I'll wait in line at the bank with you. This is

[Perfect Haze]

cs11787,

I think we should work together LOL!

BOL to all you guys! lets leave sportsbooks on bankrupsy! Oa Oa Oa....

[Perfect Haze]

Oh! and pags, thanks for your advices bud.. man! I'll play differently this week.. I'll place straight bets and small $20 parlays...

I know I'll eventually hit a big parlay this season but I've to stay calmed BOL this week my friend!

[bypp]

The more I look at the Arkansas game the more I like it. Great find pags!

[CLASSIC ROCK]

Pags like most of your games this week EXCEPT BC. Had this game pegged since opening week that this could be a good spot for a play on Clemson.Think BC could be overrated with the 2 cream puff wins. Think there is a big talent level difference favoring Clemson. Anxious to see the your writeup for this game to see if I'm missing something. Good luck with the other games!

[Ralphie1412]

10 team? 15 team parlays? for 5,000 dollars?

[romanowski]

pags

we line up on a few bro best of luck

[bellhop68]

Parlays

Haha. You know Pags I keep getting so close on these parlays but I cant ever convince myself the next week to play all of the plays in my parlays. If I did every time I would be up pretty good right now. Lol. I just do it for fun and if I hit one then hey thatd be awesome cuz Id be rich, but if I dont, its only $5 I can compensate for with my straight wagers. Its just like buying a $5 lottery ticket every week for fun. If I could bet less than $5 on it I would but thats the min bet at my book.

I'm with you - parlays for fun only - because they are indeed fun.

[regularguy]

Hey Pags.

Good to see you posting on here again this season. You do it the right way. Thanks. I'm not capping much right now (busy working through some kinks in my personal life), but thought I'd poke in here and see what's up. I might just trail a few of your picks this week. I like some of them that I have looked into a bit (Cincinnati, Arkansas, Navy), and I know you have a good week coming up.

Best of everything to you, Buddy!

[tobycsh39]

Pags,

Love the cincy and BC picks. Good luck this week. What do you think about Texas A&M -18 this week. I was at the New Mexico game and I think A&M may fly under the radar in the early weeks on their lines with vegas. They are much improved and can handle these early teams fairly easily. Their rush defense looked 10 times improved from last year and the offense was clicking on all cylinders. It is going to be one of my best bets this week, just wondering what you think. Thanks.

[Superman455]

Good Luck this week PAGS

[taurus]

just checking in Tuesday afternoon, pags, and haven't formed any opinions yet.
I will not bother looking at these 7 . You and I think alike in terms of what games attract us, and your knowledge on these 7 is much greater than mine with possible exception of BC. And my record on picking BC games is brutal. So I'll be on bnoard again with your card as my starter- and wishing you once again the best of luck.

[pags11]

IowaHawkeyes,

glad you agree with the Arkansas pick...I'm sure UGA will put forth a good effort but I agree we have a good shot...GL bud...

Perfect Haze,

good to hear you will be playing some straight games...GL...

bypp,

I follow the SEC pretty closely and do feel this is a good matchup for Arkansas, glad to hear you agree...BOL this week...

CLASSIC ROCK,

I understand your reasoning for wanting to play Clemson and also for doubting B.C., but jus respectfully see things differently as I've followed these two programs for a long time...I'll have more for you in my write-up on Thursday but I am taking the substance of B.C. vs. the sexiness of Clemson...we will see how it turns out...BOL this week...

romanowski,

it's usually a good thing when a quality capper such as yourself is thinking like me...GL this week...

regularguy,

thank you for checking in ol' pal...hope that everything is ok with work and your family, good to know you have handicapping in it's proper priority which comes after those two very important areas of your life...always appreciate your support and wish you luck should you decide to play this week...

tobycsh39,

thanks for checking in and for the well wishes...I definitely think A&M is improved and with Utah State's defense the will score some points this weekend...my concern is that USU has two really good players in QB Borel and RB Turbin and the backdoor could be open late in that game...it's a no play for me...GL this week...

Superman455,

thank you and GL to you this week as well...

taurus,

hello my veteran handicapping friend...thanks for your thoughts and as always I look forward to reading the bull sheet later this week...GL sir...

[spongerat]

lines moving in our favor on most of these

[polson22]

pags, i'm new here. thanks for giving your picks. and i judge people on long-term records and i take responsibility for any bets that i make whether it was originally my idea or not. hope i said that right. i just mean i'm an adult. can't beg people to give picks and then bash them for losing picks (short-term or long-term)

somewhat concerned that BC seemed to lose alot of guys from last season including their stud LB to cancer.... clemson i think though is an avoid team for me too... so probably no play.

i like the north texas vs. alabama this week. florida international hung in for a long time on saturday.

thanks again!!

[VenomLugz]

venom, you are one crazy dude it sounds like...have fun in Vegas...

Yup, I will try do my best to win!

Venom dude I missed a 15 teamer last Saturday by two f*ckin games! I bough
points on alot of games so it wouldve only payed $5 to win like $33,000 but still. Im confident I will hit one this season!

damn!!! it's suck dude! Try next time

i did a 12 teamer but hit 10...man was i pissed!!!

WOW! you hit 10 wins! man, I know it's tough to win on 15 teams. lol

[lb49ers]

Just started coming to this site at the start of the football season. Appreciate all your hard work Pags! Good luck!

[SexyMit]

Play Number Seven:

Arkansas -1 (-104) for 1.5 units...

Well this just makes me more happy, I was looking at this as a BIG game for me and to see you on it as well is just that much better. Arkansas players have some of the fastest 40 times in the nation. And I see them giving Georgia some problems trying to keep up with them. GL and looks to be a good weekend with us on a few of the same plays, with this one being one of my top plays for the week!

[cgars1]

pags11 I had Neb and cinci before looking at your 7. 2 games that jump out at me are Sc-21 and Baylor -10, any thoughts

[shrax4]

Yes I'm a homer, but I love the AZ play. Their defense is for real and with Gronkowski back, their offense is a legit red zone threat.

[pags11]

spongerat,

yeah except this Nebraska game, I'm getting the worst of that number pretty bad...damn...

polson22,

thanks for your thoughts on the B.C. vs. Clemson game...I am taking a risk playing against a very talented Clemson team and do realize B.C. did lose some good defenders off last year's team...B.C. is just a team who seems to find a way to put together a good defensive unit each year despite their losses which says a lot about Spaziani...at any rate, welcome to SBR and good luck with the North Texas pick...

lb49ers,

welcome to SBR bro, thanks for the kind words...GL bud...

SexyMit,

good to hear we feel similiarly on the Georgia vs. Arkansas game bud as I respect your handicapping skills...GL this week...

cgars1,

that's good you like those two games as well...the South Carolina play is a no play for me an I have a small, small lean to Baylor...BOL to you this week...

shrax4,

good to hear because that's how I see the game as well...Iowa should present a tough challenge and it is a tough trip for Arizona, but I think we have two very good RB's, a great TE, a good O-Line and a good defense (and one of the best punters in the country)...we just need Scott to make good decisions and we should be in that ballgame in the fourth quarter...GL this week...

[chubber911]

Good luck this week, pags.

[beaneaters]

Hey Pags,

A quick thanks for posting your plays. I respect the work you put into things and have no doubt you will turn things around with avengence.
I have a question, as I'm still trying to get a handle on the NCAA thing. One game I was looking at is North Illinois at Purdue. Keeping in mind I know nothing of the players, etc., I see Purdue having lost an emotional road game to Oregon by two, coming home to play a non-descript team over which they are significant favorites, and they have Notre Dame on the schedule the following week. This would seem like a let-down, look-ahead scenario. Are these the type of things you consider? Or do you base your work on more technical aspects of the game. I'd appreciate your input.
Thanks,
Bean

[pags11]

chubber911,

thank you...GL to you as well...

beaneaters,

great post brother...thanks for the kind words...as far as the analysis of the NIU vs. Purdue game I completely agree with your logic on the play...I watched NIU play vs. Wisconsin and was impressed with their team and think they catch Purdue in a good spot after their tough loss last week...the thing that kept me off the game is that I was really impressed with this Purdue squad, especially on offense (watched both of their game so far this year)...don't blame you though if you play NIU...GL with what you decide...

[jsmithj88]

im liking the cincy and arkansas picks

[pags11]

jsmithj88,

glad to hear it...appreciate you posting...GL...

[Fogtown]

pags, i'm new here. thanks for giving your picks. and i judge people on long-term records and i take responsibility for any bets that i make whether it was originally my idea or not. hope i said that right. i just mean i'm an adult. can't beg people to give picks and then bash them for losing picks (short-term or long-term)

somewhat concerned that BC seemed to lose alot of guys from last season including their stud LB to cancer.... clemson i think though is an avoid team for me too... so probably no play.

i like the north texas vs. alabama this week. florida international hung in for a long time on saturday.

thanks again!!

Be careful with that North Texas game. Riley Dodge, North Texas QB, is out for the game.

[KingJIM]

Good luck with plays this week. Look forward to write-ups.

[Joe Dogs]

I was informed by my book there will be betting limits put on pags plays for the rest of the season.

[oda11]

Good luck pags! Thanks for sharing again.

[mcmc]

pags-

All over two of your plays:

Arizona +6 1/2 - Iowa St made the Hawkeyes look like the '76 Steelers. Couldn't beliee what I saw during that game. Arizona sure to challange them , I would venture even more the No Iowa did in their first game.


Cinncy + 1 1/2- Although on the road, Bearcats have the superior team speed. I am am depending on the Mike Reilly slow start to the season.

Great thread, keep up the good work, you get a lot of feedback on here.

[mcmc]

Be careful with that North Texas game. Riley Dodge, North Texas QB, is out for the game.

Might be out for two weeks. But, your right, that game is off my book right now.