Pags' Plays 9/19

**Skanless1** · 09-13-09, 06:56 PM

lines are out.
i'm personally looking at cal and E Carol right now.

GL paggs buddy . always appreciate your thoughts and picks.. we'll get this ship righted soon!

**pags11** · 09-13-09, 07:22 PM

skanless,

thanks for checking in, I'll check out those games...thank you and GL...

**Smails Kid** · 09-13-09, 07:24 PM

good luck this week ... that BYU opening line at -7 looks enticing and the Cougars finally get to show their home fans something the rest of the nation has seen via the ESPN family of networks the past 2 weeks ... good luck with your plays, and as always, have a great week

**spongerat** · 09-13-09, 07:42 PM

good luck this week, you're set to sweep soon

**onthewhat** · 09-13-09, 08:03 PM

You looking at Kentucky this week pags? I see them blowing out Louisville..

**PacmanJr_00** · 09-13-09, 08:18 PM

I don't think you play big lines, from what I gather the last few weeks. However, the KU line vs. Duke opens at -19. At first glance, looks good.

look forward to your analysis

**MSUSpartan32** · 09-13-09, 09:11 PM

Big weekend....

Getting excited to get into the meat of the season here and a better and better feel not only for these teams, but these coaches.

Not sure about you Pags, but I felt like I put too much money on very questionable/unproven coaches this weekend, and it certainly cost me.

BOL this week, man.

Originally posted by PacmanJr_00

I don't think you play big lines, from what I gather the last few weeks. However, the KU line vs. Duke opens at -19. At first glance, looks good.

look forward to your analysis

**pags11** · 09-13-09, 10:54 PM

Play Number One:

Nebraska +3.5 (+100) for 1.5 units...

**pags11** · 09-13-09, 10:55 PM

Play Number Two:

Boston College +7 (-101) for 1.5 units...

**pags11** · 09-13-09, 11:17 PM

Smails Kid,

I definitely eyed BYU this week but ended up not playing them...they are sure playing some good football right now...thank you and GL to you as well...

spongerat,

thanks for your confidence in me, I really appreciate it...

onthewhat,

I agree that there is a huge talent gap between Kentucky and Louisville, but I'm not interested in laying those types of points in an interstate rivalry game...

PacmanJr_00,

yeah, I typically don't play big favorites...I do think Kansas is a legit team this year but Duke should be tough enough for 3 quarters to make the game close to the spread and thus can't lay or take the points in that game...

MSUSpartan32,

yeah I agree that I did the same thing...Paul Rhoads coached a terrible game for ISU, not that it would have mattered because they played like crap...I also bet on some bad quarterbacks which I don't usually do...am going to try and stick with the six major BCS conferences, which are conferences I did well with last year (as opposed to the 2 WAC and 2 CUSA teams I played on last weekend, not a good move on my part)...like you said, it's about learning (usually we learn more when we lose $ right?) and trying to move forward...GL bud...

**oda11** · 09-13-09, 11:24 PM

Pags, it really made me laugh my ass off when people acted like they were FORCED to tail your picks...

I don't care if you are actually good or not (I know you are), but dang, thanks for STILL sharing your picks after ALL these haters...

Well, as the season goes on, we all have a much better idea of who is good who is not (I meant the teams). (thinking about riding Florida for the rest of the season, thoughts?), so I have confidence that you will bounce back big. Good luck in week three!

**SexyMit** · 09-13-09, 11:25 PM

It will be a better week this week Pags!

**pags11** · 09-13-09, 11:26 PM

Play Number Three:

Tulsa +15.5 (-102) for 1.5 units...

**WSU_Tbone** · 09-14-09, 12:02 AM

GL this week PAGS....Auto fading the Cougs starting this week...

**voiceofreason101** · 09-14-09, 12:03 AM

Units up to 1.5, this is when pags brings the A game. Call you tonight bud

**Hemlock21** · 09-14-09, 12:05 AM

Glad to see you on BC Pags. I've taken some heat for picking BC but I see it as a great value pick since the last 5 meetings have all been decided by 6 points or less and we get 7.5 I love it.......

**pags11** · 09-14-09, 03:06 AM

Play Number Four:

Cincinnati +1.5 (+101) for 1.5 units...

**pags11** · 09-14-09, 03:11 AM

WSU_Tbone,

thank you and GL to you as well...I know you know your team well, can't believe Hawaii beat them that bad, wow...

voiceofreason101,

I'm trying to break out here soon, been a frustrating first couple of weeks but thank you...thanks for your time tonight...

Hemlock21,

we definitely have similiar thoughts on that one, good stuff bro...

**pags11** · 09-14-09, 03:12 AM

Play Number Five:

Navy +7 (-101) for 1.5 units...

**TodaysAction** · 09-14-09, 06:16 AM

Good morning pags11,

Ironically 4 of the first 5 games you're already on have been listed in my winner take all type college football points contest in the SBR Points forum. The lone exception is Tulsa, and that only because I tried to find good games with a spread of eight or less. I know you probably get tired of hearing it, but thank you for all the time and effort you put into each week. Good luck with all your wagers this week.

**Cougar Bait** · 09-14-09, 06:40 AM

Holy...3 of your first 5 were on my leans list...love Tulsa, Cincy, and Navy. Was also considering UConn...do you know what the QB situation is? GL this week Pags, I'll check back soon...

**darkenergy** · 09-14-09, 07:18 AM

Pag....do you normally booked your plays as soon as you release here or you wait until Thursday once you completed your research and write-up???
Thanks

**SoonerBS** · 09-14-09, 08:16 AM

Good luck on Navy this week, Pags . . . . .

**unionfitter** · 09-14-09, 09:00 AM

BOL this wk Pags

Here's hoping we both turn this around this week, brutal last 2 weeks on my end. Tailing BC & Neb with ya, had the other 3 in already. Enjoy your week, looking forward to your other plays.

**PacmanJr_00** · 09-14-09, 09:41 AM

On UCONN, the QB AND TE will be out the next two weeks. Frazer's knee won't require surgery but it does need rest. Same with the TEs back. NCAA is killing me but it's more rookie betting mistakes than anything. Fortunately, I correct them for a great day in the NFL. Threads like this and many others around here have been very informative and, most importantly, very grounding. I'm done trying to make $10k with every bet.

**bypp** · 09-14-09, 10:23 AM

I like the Navy play already. GL this week pags!

**Perfect Haze** · 09-14-09, 10:50 AM

Hey Pags, I hope you're doing well.. Hey you were rigth on the UConn +5, that was great.. I predicted the over on the ND/Michigan game but ND loose

I almost win a huge parlay last saturday I'm almost there.. I'll keep the spirit and hit a BIG 8T parlay this comming weekend... BOL to you my friend...

So far I like:

Oregon -4 (Utah)
California-14 (Minnesota)
Purdue -12 (No Illinois)
Ohio St -20 (Toledo)
BYU -7 (Florida St)
Stanford -18 (San Jose St)
Texas Tech +16.5 (Texas)
Texas Tech/Texas Over Whatever

and from your picks for this week I like:

Boston College +7 (CLemson)
Nebraska +3.5 (VTech)
Tulsa +15.5 (Oklahoma (Jesus Christ!))

There are some other Plays that I like for this week, I like to have some feedback on this ones..

East Carolina + 7 (NC)
Kansas -21 (Duke)
Troy-7 (UAB)
Central Florida -3 (Buffalo)
South Carolina-21 (Florida Atl)

Thank you brother and BOL to you this week

**snapstick** · 09-14-09, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by pags11

Play Number One:

Nebraska +3.5 (+100) for 1.5 units...

Pags just not sure why the side is a better play then the total. Va Tech @ home are very tough. Under is 13-4 in Hokies last 17 home games.

**snapstick** · 09-14-09, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by pags11

Play Number Two:

Boston College +7 (-101) for 1.5 units...

I like this play as its a game i was looking at yesterday.

Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Eagles are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Scores of last 4 meetings between these two teams have all been decided by 6 points or less.

11/01/08 CLEM 27 - BCOLL 21
11/17/07 BCOLL 20 - CLEM 17
09/09/06 CLEM 33 - BCOLL 34
09/24/05 BCOLL 16 - CLEM 13

**SexyMit** · 09-14-09, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by PacmanJr_00

On UCONN, the QB AND TE will be out the next two weeks. Frazer's knee won't require surgery but it does need rest. Same with the TEs back. NCAA is killing me but it's more rookie betting mistakes than anything. Fortunately, I correct them for a great day in the NFL. Threads like this and many others around here have been very informative and, most importantly, very grounding. I'm done trying to make $10k with every bet.

Actually really liking Baylor in that game! Baylor looks much improved from last yr, under their new coach. Things are starting to click, its the 2nd yr under the head coach and things look to be coming together!

**cs11787** · 09-14-09, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by Perfect Haze

Hey Pags, I hope you're doing well.. Hey you were rigth on the UConn +5, that was great.. I predicted the over on the ND/Michigan game but ND loose

I almost win a huge parlay last saturday I'm almost there.. I'll keep the spirit and hit a BIG 8T parlay this comming weekend... BOL to you my friend...

So far I like:

Oregon -4 (Utah)
California-14 (Minnesota)
Purdue -12 (No Illinois)
Ohio St -20 (Toledo)
BYU -7 (Florida St)
Stanford -18 (San Jose St)
Texas Tech +16.5 (Texas)
Texas Tech/Texas Over Whatever

and from your picks for this week I like:

Boston College +7 (CLemson)
Nebraska +3.5 (VTech)
Tulsa +15.5 (Oklahoma (Jesus Christ!))

There are some other Plays that I like for this week, I like to have some feedback on this ones..

East Carolina + 7 (NC)
Kansas -21 (Duke)
Troy-7 (UAB)
Central Florida -3 (Buffalo)
South Carolina-21 (Florida Atl)

Thank you brother and BOL to you this week

Haha. Man I missed two games on a 15 team parlay last Saturday! It was $5 to win a little over $30,000! Well get one dont worry! Lol.

**Perfect Haze** · 09-14-09, 12:29 PM

Rasss man I wish I could do a 15 teams parlay here at Panama the most I can do is an 8 teams Parlay..

**spongerat** · 09-14-09, 12:35 PM

I was already on Navy and fading the sooners ( very sad for me) , looking good. once you get in the black there'll be no stopping you

**IrishTim** · 09-14-09, 12:36 PM

You're due this week Pags. Good luck