Welcome back to another season of football. Time really does fly. Here's hoping everyone has a very profitable betting season.
That said, I'll use this thread to track my picks. If I'm hot we'll keep rolling in the dough, if I suck monkey nuts, it'll be time to stop betting. My first rule of gambling... "If it doesn't make you money - STOP DOING IT"
Like I do every year. I post my early leans for the week, then lock them in as the week goes by. I just post plays and track wins/losses/ties. I don't spend time calculating units. I'll have regular plays and bold plays (that I think have a higher probability of hitting). I almost never use ML faves as plays but will use ML dogs when I feel good about them. Most of my lines are from Heritage, at the time I lock them in.
That said,
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Let me start off by saying that I'm here in Houston, I know a few players, plus my lil cuz is a starter at TAM and they have playmakers on both sides of the ball. The offensive line will be very strong, receivers can go up and get the ball and RB play that will punish teams. Sumlin knows how to dial up an offense. Most people question his defense but this is the year the defense will be much improved, especially at DL and LB's. Special teams should be solid from punting to place kicking to kick returner. The big question mark for everyone is Kenny Hill at QB. I think he's solid and much more prepared for the big stage than Dylan Thompson at USC.
USC has a solid offense, great RB in Davis, excellent receivers (watch out for Pharoh) and I love Shaq Roland. Their offensive line will be very good. But I am not real high on the QB. The defense should be good again this year but could drop off on the DL. I didn't like their LB play last year but should be better this year along with the secondary. Very good place kicker, exciting kick returner but very poor punter.
This game should be decided by the QB that makes the least mistakes. I don't trust Thompson. USC has been very good at home, which concerns me but TAM is known to start off strong/fast with trick plays on offense to start the season. I think TAM jumps on them early but USC finds their groove in the 2nd half. This game seems closer than the 10.5. I also don't see both QBs lighting it up which screams the under 61. Close game that USC might pull away in the 4th.
1 Texas A&M 8/28/2014 3:00PM - (PST) Spread +6 -105 for 1st Half
2 Texas A&M 8/28/2014 3:00PM - (PST) Spread +10½ -108 for Game
3 Texas A&M/South Carolina 8/28/2014 3:00PM - (PST) Total Points UNDER 61 -108 for Game
I'll sprinkle a bit on the +345 ML as well.
3 plays, 1 bolded.
That said, I'll use this thread to track my picks. If I'm hot we'll keep rolling in the dough, if I suck monkey nuts, it'll be time to stop betting. My first rule of gambling... "If it doesn't make you money - STOP DOING IT"
Like I do every year. I post my early leans for the week, then lock them in as the week goes by. I just post plays and track wins/losses/ties. I don't spend time calculating units. I'll have regular plays and bold plays (that I think have a higher probability of hitting). I almost never use ML faves as plays but will use ML dogs when I feel good about them. Most of my lines are from Heritage, at the time I lock them in.
That said,
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Let me start off by saying that I'm here in Houston, I know a few players, plus my lil cuz is a starter at TAM and they have playmakers on both sides of the ball. The offensive line will be very strong, receivers can go up and get the ball and RB play that will punish teams. Sumlin knows how to dial up an offense. Most people question his defense but this is the year the defense will be much improved, especially at DL and LB's. Special teams should be solid from punting to place kicking to kick returner. The big question mark for everyone is Kenny Hill at QB. I think he's solid and much more prepared for the big stage than Dylan Thompson at USC.
USC has a solid offense, great RB in Davis, excellent receivers (watch out for Pharoh) and I love Shaq Roland. Their offensive line will be very good. But I am not real high on the QB. The defense should be good again this year but could drop off on the DL. I didn't like their LB play last year but should be better this year along with the secondary. Very good place kicker, exciting kick returner but very poor punter.
This game should be decided by the QB that makes the least mistakes. I don't trust Thompson. USC has been very good at home, which concerns me but TAM is known to start off strong/fast with trick plays on offense to start the season. I think TAM jumps on them early but USC finds their groove in the 2nd half. This game seems closer than the 10.5. I also don't see both QBs lighting it up which screams the under 61. Close game that USC might pull away in the 4th.
1 Texas A&M 8/28/2014 3:00PM - (PST) Spread +6 -105 for 1st Half
2 Texas A&M 8/28/2014 3:00PM - (PST) Spread +10½ -108 for Game
3 Texas A&M/South Carolina 8/28/2014 3:00PM - (PST) Total Points UNDER 61 -108 for Game
I'll sprinkle a bit on the +345 ML as well.
3 plays, 1 bolded.
