Purdue @ Indiana Over 56

I'm an IU grad and this Indiana defense is the WORST I'VE EVER SEEN in over 25 years of studying football. Slow, small, and young (7 freshman?) is not a good combination! They've given up 48.8 ppg in their last 6 B10 games...all over by a mile. The total points average 67.5 in those 6 games. Purdue isn't great offensively but it doesn't matter here. They're also not that hot on defense which is big because Indiana can score on mediocre to bad defenses. IU sucked vs Michigan State but they're very good defensively. They did put up 27 ppg on Iowa, Northwestern and Ohio State in the 3 previous games. I may play Purdue in a small parlay but Over 56 is the play. I don't see the total doing much and I want to see how the weather looks closer to Saturday so I'm holding off until Thursday or Friday.

Purdue 40
Indiana 27