UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort

[Bdolan33]

my two sportsbooks still have jon jones at -920 wtf?

[Mercersux]

my two sportsbooks still have jon jones at -920 wtf?

Jones was sitting at -800 for awhile @ 5D then shot up to -1000 now he's hovering at -900. Threw him in some parlays at -800. Line will probably drop closer to the fight card. All the casual fans throwing money on Vitor because of the odds. I do love Magalhaes @ plus money. Think the guy will do much better his second time around in the ufc.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

some closer fights on this card, only 3 fighters are better than -300 favs right now

[DirtyX]

My UFC 152 plays:

Lance Benoist over Pierson / - 165 / $200.00 to win $121.00

Joseph Benavidez over D. Johnson / -280 / $560.00 to win $200.00

Charles Olivera over Cub Swanson / -240 / $240.00 to win $100.00

Total Risk - $965.00

Max payout - $421.00

[PunisherIND]

Hammil/hollet goes distance +180
Hettes/brimmage itd +160

Havent had much time to research as I'm vacationing in new Orleans, but these look off to me.

Also, not mighy mouse itd is currently -907. Way off.

Joey Benz by sub +695, worth a flyer.

[NunyaBidness]

Hammil/hollet goes distance +180
Hettes/brimmage itd +160

Nice find, Hettes line flipped. Way to BTCL.

[Thor4140]

if any of you guys are thinking of watching the 152 press conference save yourself the time. By far the worst one i ever saw. Absolutely brutal.

[sideloaded]

if any of you guys are thinking of watching the 152 press conference save yourself the time. By far the worst one i ever saw. Absolutely brutal.

you could say that about anything UFC related now. UFC is played out and boring now.

[Pinocchio]

I like Jones vs Belfort over 1.5 rounds at roughly 2:1 odds.

[Vaughany]

if any of you guys are thinking of watching the 152 press conference save yourself the time. By far the worst one i ever saw. Absolutely brutal.

This bit is worth watching for randomness value!... (58mins in)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hbs0bv1Mt58&feature=player_detailpage#t=3480s

[Vaughany]

Link Not Working - Removed-)

[GunShard]

Jones could defeat Belfort by front kick to the face.

[Imsmarterthanu]

Vitor is fast knows how to use range really well but gets really careless when he rushes in. I can't see him knocking jones out the reach will just neutralize vitor's speed. Jon Jones by submission

[BIGDAY]

Took some on Jones/Belfort starts Rd 2

Jones has yet to show me that he can pull the trigger early as of late. In my eyes, not a bad gameplan for him either.. His advantage only increases as the fight goes longer IMO.

[Rubber Guard]

It is tough to call Jones by sub or TKO/KO.

I expect him not to mess around much on the feet. I expect him to slam Vitor and nail him with elbows or sub him. Belfort is a blackbelt, very legit blackbelt. Not that Jones can't sub blackbelts, but I don't see any standing guillotine here.

I will say Jones will pound him until the ref stops it. TKO.

[BIGDAY]

I what recent fight has Jones shown any urgency to end a fight quickly??

He's a snake that waits in the weeds.

[Vaughany]

yeah Jones likes to figure his opponent out in first round or 2 and figure out range. Only way he finishes earlier is if Belfort rushes forward early and Jones either counters or gets it to the ground and unleashes elbows and GnP

[DirtyX]

Added these two:

I already have a line play on Benavidez at -280. I am waiting to bet Olivera, hoping the line drops a little bit from -240. I also bet $200.00 on Benoist at -165. GL everyone.

Ticket#:74534889 Sep 22 07:25 PM	INTERNET / -1	Sep 20 10:55 PM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [24183] S THORESEN +115 (S THORESEN vrs S BACZYNSKI)	100 / 115
Ticket#:74535006 Sep 22 10:35 PM	INTERNET / -1	Sep 20 11:05 PM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [24159] R HOLLETT +285 (R HOLLETT vrs M HAMILL)	35 / 100

[zoo youk]

man EVERYBODY in on Benavidez and I mean everybody....across every forum I have not seen one pick for might mouse. hope he doesn't bury everyone.

[BIGDAY]

yeah Jones likes to figure his opponent out in first round or 2 and figure out range. Only way he finishes earlier is if Belfort rushes forward early and Jones either counters or gets it to the ground and unleashes elbows and GnP

100% exactly how i see it. If Vitor comes in charging and instinctively Jones counters and catches Vitor and swarms. Actually this is how i see the stopage in the 3rd round or so after Vitor gets frustrated...

[BIGDAY]

man EVERYBODY in on Benavidez and I mean everybody....across every forum I have not seen one pick for might mouse. hope he doesn't bury everyone.

Line is staying steady too.

[sideloaded]

man EVERYBODY in on Benavidez and I mean everybody....across every forum I have not seen one pick for might mouse. hope he doesn't bury everyone.

what other forums?

[Crassus]

man EVERYBODY in on Benavidez and I mean everybody....across every forum I have not seen one pick for might mouse. hope he doesn't bury everyone.

I've got a U on the mouse.

[ShotgunRua]

I've got quite a bit on Jones ITD but I'm thinking of making a play on Jones KO/TKO. Better than evens and I just see Jones elbowing Vitor into a stoppage rather than messing about with Vitor's Jiu Jitsu, just seems like much better value to me. Any experts here think a sub victory is equally likely?

[Dillonious Monk]

I've got quite a bit on Jones ITD but I'm thinking of making a play on Jones KO/TKO. Better than evens and I just see Jones elbowing Vitor into a stoppage rather than messing about with Vitor's Jiu Jitsu, just seems like much better value to me. Any experts here think a sub victory is equally likely?

Definitely not...unless Jones tries to prove a point or something. Jones's best sub is a guillotine and I really don't see him getting in a position to get that..because I think he will try and take Vitor down early. He is easier to takedown than Machida...based on the fact that he is going to come forward more and because his clinch game isn't as strong...so I Just see Vitor getting put on his back early and getting the shit elbowed out of him...but you know, if Jones really outmatches him he may just try and pass and do something slick just for the hell of it...but unlikely imo.

[Vaughany]

Walel gonna have crazy reach on Gagnon

[Vaughany]

Looks like Seth's had a tough weight-cut

[v1y]

noke looked huge next to brenneman, had to take a small shot.

[Mercersux]

Looks like Seth's had a tough weight-cut

Yeah i was about to say that as well. Guy was literally prying his sweatsuit off himself as he hit the scale. Looked to be in a lot of discomfort too. Don't know what the lines for that fight look like but could be worth a play.

[v1y]

thoresen is +125.

[Mercersux]

thoresen is +125.

[hels]

Jones without any cheers and a handful of boos. Vitor chant begins.

[Mercersux]

How good does it feel to be The parents of all these Jones kids. One is the ufc champion and then you got two in the nfl. Talk about a damn good retirement plan.

[Vaughany]

Baczynski may of had a bad cut but apparently he's in better condition than his previous few fights...
Clearly pumped about heading to Toronto to fight again Seth also pointed to being physically in top shape as well. “I am really excited to finally go and put all my skills and the hard work to the test. My last three fights I have been basically fighting with a hernia, and injured. So it is nice to feel strong and be able to lift weights again and be fully prepared.”

[gabe]

Simeon is a tough dude, but Seth B is money... he had a tough cut, but looked completely fine and focused.