BJPENNs thread

**caveira** · 08-30-12, 10:24 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

adding value bet:

3.5 units on shogun Rua @ 2.70 to win - 5,95 units

I don't know what you think, but the only way i can see Shogun winning this fight is by tko/ko, Gustafsson will fight in the same way he did against Silva, just looking for UD, he is faster and has a better cardio. I don't think this fight will go to the ground either.

**AdamB** · 08-30-12, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by caveira

I don't know what you think, but the only way i can see Shogun winning this fight is by tko/ko, Gustafsson will fight in the same way he did against Silva, just looking for UD, he is faster and has a better cardio. I don't think this fight will go to the ground either.

He did get tagged a few times in the Silva fight, but his chin seems really solid. God only knows what's going to happen in this fight, I really don't feel like Shogun is good to bet on or against. The only thing I would say is I think his injuries and proclivity for training at home and getting rid of people in his camp who push him is finally catching up to him. Rather than having one bad fight, one good fight, he seems to look fairly poor every time.

**bjpenn85** · 08-30-12, 12:58 PM

Youre right, i should have gone with shogun tko or inside. i will correct this at a later stage. Its still 5 month to the even, so hope to get the mauler lower than -200. shogun looks horrible even tho he pulls off victories. What a mentality. but its over december 8.

**bjpenn85** · 09-01-12, 10:41 AM

Adding:

14 units on Jose Aldo @ 1.57 to win - 8 units

**gabe** · 09-01-12, 04:23 PM

i've got you going 9-0 with fighter picks for august... nice job.

**bjpenn85** · 09-01-12, 10:41 PM

thanks man! im here just doing my job...

**bjpenn85** · 09-02-12, 10:15 AM

Fan of comedy? ;

http://www.dagbladet.no/2012/08/31/nyheter/endelighelg/dbtv/humor/23200348/

Ingen i byen liker denne karen.

**Vaughany** · 09-02-12, 10:23 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Fan of comedy? ;

http://www.dagbladet.no/2012/08/31/n...umor/23200348/

Some of those were funny and some just outright harsh! Like a more outrageous version of Dom Joly

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtEc14LTbHU

**bjpenn85** · 09-02-12, 10:46 AM

Lol. Yeah some of them are a bit to harsh.evil shit.

**illmatick** · 09-02-12, 01:07 PM

liking the Aldo play, hopefully he stays below -250

**bjpenn85** · 09-02-12, 01:26 PM

Actually i am a bit unsure about this bet. I dont see frankie having any problem with weight cutting either, but something tells me that the speed of aldo will pose a huge threat in combination of frankie edgars habit of getting tagged. When that being said, i dont think edgar wins in any other way than a decision or a split

**Beelzebubzy** · 09-02-12, 02:00 PM

A couple of leg kicks and that foot movement is over. Then his head is easy pickings thereafter

**bjpenn85** · 09-02-12, 02:17 PM

true. its a bad matchup it not like frankie has a really bad left hook. i hope this comment doesnt come back and hunt me, antijinx
.

**bjpenn85** · 09-11-12, 05:13 AM

adding:

8 units on Not Daniel Braaten scores goal against slovenia, Gunnar nelson @ 1.93 to win - 7,4 units

**Vaughany** · 09-11-12, 05:18 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

adding:

8 units on Not Daniel Braaten scores goal against slovenia, Gunnar nelson @ 1.93 to win - 7,4 units

Nice, is this a unibet job?

**bjpenn85** · 09-11-12, 10:45 AM

Yes sir it is. Sometimes i just wonder what the hell the guys over there doing. They have to be wanking a whole lot more than working. They have to work more than jerking off to push me into red numbers. Daniel Braaten never scores, and gunnar nelson seems slighly more than ok in bjj. why didnt i bet more? cause most of my bankroll is stuffed into parlays with benavidez and shit.

**bjpenn85** · 09-11-12, 12:31 PM

adding:

8 units on Not Daniel Braaten scores against slovenia, J.Benavidez @ 1.73 to win - 5,8 units

**Vaughany** · 09-11-12, 03:10 PM

Good work buddy... had Not Braaten to score in this parlay...(just need Italy to hold out winning 1-0 at moment)...

Bosnia & Herzegovina - Latvia Match Regular time Your bet: 1	'	1.20	4-1	'
	Georgia - Spain Match Regular time Your bet: 2	'	1.10	0-1	'
	Italy - Malta Match Regular time Your bet: 1	'	1.02	11/09/12	'
	Romania - Andorra Match Regular time Your bet: 1	'	1.02	4-0	'
	Norway - Slovenia Goal Scorer Not To Score Your bet: Braaten, D (Norway)	'	1.33	Yes	'
	Your bet: fivefold	£ 50.00	1.83	4 / 5	Pending

**bjpenn85** · 09-11-12, 04:56 PM

Congrats to us. What a gift.

**bjpenn85** · 09-11-12, 04:59 PM

adding Benavidez hedge:

6 units on DJ decision @ 5.06 to win back - 24,3 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-12-12, 03:03 AM

adding hedge:

0.35 units on Vitor Belfort to win in round 1. @ 20 to win back - 6,6 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-12-12, 03:42 AM

adding:

6 units on Jake Ellenberger wins inside distance @ 4.22 to win - 19,3 units

It wouldnt surprise me to see this line be approx 1.60 when released at bookmaker. As ellenberger almost always hurt people badly every match, the line is clearly way off.

**bjpenn85** · 09-18-12, 01:17 PM

Adding UFC 152 play:

5 units on Cub Swanson @ 3.05 to win - 10.2 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-19-12, 08:04 PM

adding:

5.8 units on Seth Baz. @ 1.70 to win - 4 units

Every time you get the chance to bet against a norwegian youll do it. So far norwegians have gone 1-4 and i expekt no win this time around either. It should be noted that Simeon is probably the best fighter we have ever sent, so he could give seth a hard time on the ground. But i expekt this fight mostly to play out on the feet.

**bjpenn85** · 09-21-12, 03:44 AM

This bet is terminated. To close matchup after all.

**bjpenn85** · 09-22-12, 02:45 PM

UFC 152 Final Plays:

36 units on Bisping @ 1.60 to win - 22, 08 units
15,1 unit on Lance benoist @ 1.65 to win - 9,9 units
12 units on Shogun, Benavidez @ 2.0 to win - 12 units
12 units on Bolt win 100m, benavidez @1.85 to win - 7.6 units
8 units on Braaten Not scores goal, benavidez @ 1.73 to win - 5,8 units
8,5 units on C.Brenneman, J.Hettes,Jones/belfort not going dist @ 1.88 to win - 7,4 units
6 units on R.Souza, Rousey inside dist, Benavidez @ 2.26 to win - 7.3 units
2,5 units on Sunderland Home/draw, Jan Blazhowich, jones sub @ 5.01 to win - 10 units

Hedges
13 units on Stann inside dist @ 3.8 to win back - 36,4 units
8 units on Demetrious Johnson decision @ 5.15 to win back - 33,2 units
1,8 units Demetruous Johnson split dec @ 16.08 to win back - 27,1 units
1,5 units on Demetrious Johnson TKO @ 20 to win back - 28 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-22-12, 02:46 PM

And:

5 units on Cub swanson @ 3.05 to win - 10,2 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-23-12, 03:24 PM

UFC 152 Restuls: + 26.48 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-23-12, 03:42 PM

Total profit since march 2012: +90,77 units
Average profit per month: +12.96 units

**Grabaka** · 09-23-12, 05:55 PM

Awesome hit on the split decision. I couldnt pull the trigger. I was more confident on Benavidez than himself.

**NunyaBidness** · 09-23-12, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Total profit since march 2012: +90,77 units
Average profit per month: +12.96 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-23-12, 06:07 PM

Thanks buddy! A bit lucky with the one idiot judge that had the whole fight as a victory for benavidez.. Sometimes bad judging actually pays off.

**gabe** · 09-23-12, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Thanks buddy! A bit lucky with the one idiot judge that had the whole fight as a victory for benavidez.. Sometimes bad judging actually pays off.

The whole fight WAS a victory for Benavidez. Online judges got it right, Benavidez took the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

I can't believe the takedown Benavidez got was not counted and they kept saying he has 0 takedowns in the fight... DJ got right back up, but he was for sure taken down! Lotta fishy shit about this fight.

**bjpenn85** · 09-24-12, 04:36 AM

I need to rewatch the fight. But even though i had won quite a bit chunk of money coming in if DJ won, i still put like 40 units on DJ in round 2 or 3. That was because i thought it was value there, and because it looked like DJ was winning. Bookmaker did also underways had it for DJ. I also won on tj grand live and bisping etc...i dont bet Live unless im sure whos winning. DJ was winning, end of story. I think the judges did a good job. They didnt get swayed in dunhams direction just because he got two takedowns in the last rounds. They didnt give the fight to hettes, for stalking brimage, and they rightfully, as i remember, gave the fight to DJ IMO.

**bjpenn85** · 09-27-12, 06:14 PM

UFC ON FUEL TV 5 - STRUVE VS MIOCIC plays so far:

10 units on Nardine Taleb, Dan Hardy @ 3.2 to win - 22 units
5,4 units on Matt Wiman @ 2.37 to win - 7, 3 units
2,25 units on J.Maguire @ 3.2 to win - 5 units