2012 MMA (The HOFF)

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-15-12, 11:00 AM

Good Luck Hoff

Im with you on all but im on Markes at +142,

**Rubber Guard** · 02-15-12, 12:31 PM

I like each play.

I'm not on the Ellenberger fight, but then again I won't see that kind of line.

Like Herman.

I saw value in Markes, but now that has shifted to value on Simpson. If Simpson can sprawl and brawl he should win. Should be a close fight either way.

Good Luck

**The HOFF** · 02-17-12, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

UFC on FUEL TV 1

Jake Ellenberger -225 (22.5u to win 10u)

Dave Herman -130 (6.5u to win 5u)

Aaron Simpson +100 (3u to win 3u)

UFC on FUEL: 1-2 +0.5u

2012 MMA 5-11 +1.4u

Not exactly what I had in mind for a winning night. I was able to watch these three fights live. Man my a-hole puckered up real tight the last minute of the Ellenberger fight.

**NunyaBidness** · 02-17-12, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Not exactly what I had in mind for a winning night. I was able to watch these three fights live. Man my a-hole puckered up real tight the last minute of the Ellenberger fight.

Sanchez +3000 in live betting eased the squeeze for me.

**The HOFF** · 02-25-12, 02:27 PM

UFC 144

Ben Henderson +110 (10u to win 11u)

Vaughn Lee +280 (5u to win 14u)

Bart Palaszewski +155 (5u to win 7.75u)

Jake Shields -245 (4.9u to win 2u)

I have 12u on Rampage at -240, but currently trying to decide on buying out.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-25-12, 02:41 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

UFC 144

Ben Henderson +110 (10u to win 11u)

Vaughn Lee +280 (5u to win 14u)

Bart Palaszewski +155 (5u to win 7.75u)

Jake Shields -245 (4.9u to win 2u)

I have 12u on Rampage at -240, but currently trying to decide on buying out.

Page didn't look all that out of shape... even compared to his UFC 135 pics... a wee bit softer in the middle, but not all that much. I bet he got lazy when he got to Japan and started focusing on boning old geisha girlfriends instead of dropping water weight, and then made up an "injury" to fend off Dana's wrath.

**The HOFF** · 02-25-12, 02:44 PM

Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8

Page didn't look all that out of shape... even compared to his UFC 135 pics... a wee bit softer in the middle, but not all that much. I bet he got lazy when he got to Japan and started focusing on boning old geisha girlfriends instead of dropping water weight, and then made up an "injury" to fend off Dana's wrath.

Ya, I still think he wins but just not comfortable playing that much with some possible injury. But I bet you're right. The injury was probably a sprained jaw after eating too much sushi.

**The HOFF** · 02-26-12, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

UFC 144

Ben Henderson +110 (10u to win 11u)

Vaughn Lee +280 (5u to win 14u)

Bart Palaszewski +155 (5u to win 7.75u)

Jake Shields -245 (4.9u to win 2u)

I have 12u on Rampage at -240, but currently trying to decide on buying out.

Huge night for me thanks to Bendo and Vaughn Lee coming through! I still lost money on Rampage because I could only get Bader at +150.

UFC 144: 3-1 +22.0u (-4.5u on Rampage) +17.5u

2012 MMA 8-12 +18.9u

**bjpenn85** · 02-26-12, 07:55 PM

Very Nice Hoff!!

**Vaughany** · 02-27-12, 04:06 AM

Great job Hoff

**The HOFF** · 02-28-12, 02:41 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Great job Hoff

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Very Nice Hoff!!

Thanks guys. Here's hoping I don't give it back on Friday.

**The HOFF** · 03-02-12, 03:21 PM

UFC on FX 2

Thiago Alves -110 (5.5u to win 5.u)

Constantinos Phillipou +115 (3u to win 3.45u)

There are quite a few other things I'd like to take a stab at but that's usually how I throw money away. I'll be hitting the live betting instead if they have it for the Fuel fights.

**Vaughany** · 03-02-12, 03:25 PM

Wer did thou get ALves at +110? I thought I got best available at Evens? Or is it from buying back on Kampmann?

**The HOFF** · 03-02-12, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Wer did thou get ALves at +110? I thought I got best available at Evens? Or is it from buying back on Kampmann?

Thanks for catching that. You're right I got -110 opener not +110. Didn't check my pending bets.

**The HOFF** · 03-06-12, 07:26 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

UFC on FX 2

Thiago Alves -110 (5.5u to win 5.u)

Constantinos Phillipou +115 (3u to win 3.45u)

There are quite a few other things I'd like to take a stab at but that's usually how I throw money away. I'll be hitting the live betting instead if they have it for the Fuel fights.

UFC on FX 2: 1-1 -2.05u

2012 MMA 9-13 +16.85u

I actually ended up a few units with the live betting on the undercard, but posted picks lost money. Just finally got around to watching the maincard fights as I had to work when the maincard started. Alves is a moron.

**The HOFF** · 04-12-12, 01:10 AM

I have not bet MMA in over a month.

My thread had been pushed all the way to the second page of the MMA Forum.

Pending now is Gus/Silva does not go the distance -140 (7u to win 5u). Not sure I will have much more for the Fuel card. I should probably ease back into this.

**Vitooch** · 04-12-12, 04:40 AM

I also played Gus/Silva not going the distance. It's reassuring that you also like this play. I mean, can this fight really go to decision?

**Game70681** · 04-12-12, 04:33 PM

Hey Hoff, just read your whole thread. Very nice work. How do you feel about Barnett/Cormier?

**The HOFF** · 04-12-12, 06:30 PM

Originally posted by Game70681

Hey Hoff, just read your whole thread. Very nice work. How do you feel about Barnett/Cormier?

This fight gives me a headache. I think if Cormier wasn't coming off a broken hand he would be the play as an underdog. But he is coming off an injury and it's unknown if he is fully healed, and there is the possibility that he hurts his hand again in the fight. It's also hard to see who has the wrestling advantage. I really don't have a good read on this one. I do have 4u on Barnett to win the Grand Prix at +400 so I'm playing some on Cormier to guarantee a small profit.

**The HOFF** · 04-12-12, 06:33 PM

Originally posted by Vitooch

I also played Gus/Silva not going the distance. It's reassuring that you also like this play. I mean, can this fight really go to decision?

I really just think the combination of Gustafsson's striking and Silva's chin will make it a short fight.

**Game70681** · 04-12-12, 08:48 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

This fight gives me a headache. I think if Cormier wasn't coming off a broken hand he would be the play as an underdog. But he is coming off an injury and it's unknown if he is fully healed, and there is the possibility that he hurts his hand again in the fight. It's also hard to see who has the wrestling advantage. I really don't have a good read on this one. I do have 4u on Barnett to win the Grand Prix at +400 so I'm playing some on Cormier to guarantee a small profit.

Thanks for your input. I think I'm gonna go with Josh.

**The HOFF** · 04-13-12, 04:10 AM

2012 MMA 9-13 +16.85u

BELLATOR 65
Ailton Barbosa +177 (2.5u to win 4.425u)

UFC on FUEL TV 2
Gustafsson/Silva Does Not Go The Distance -140 (7u to win 5u)

**The HOFF** · 04-21-12, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

2012 MMA 9-13 +16.85u

BELLATOR 65
Ailton Barbosa +177 (2.5u to win 4.425u)

UFC on FUEL TV 2
Gustafsson/Silva Does Not Go The Distance -140 (7u to win 5u)

Bellator/UFC 0-2 -9.5u
2012 MMA 9-15 +7.35u

Last weekend was a bad weekend. Lose by SD in Bellator and then when Gustafsson couldn't finish in round 1 I knew it was going the distance. No live betting so I couldn't get out of the bet.

**The HOFF** · 04-21-12, 01:45 AM

2012 MMA 9-15 +7.35u

UFC 145
Jon Jones Inside the Distance -180 (9u to win 5u)

Travis Browne -260 (13u to win 5u)

Mac Danzig -160 (4u to win 2.5u)

**The HOFF** · 04-22-12, 12:46 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

2012 MMA 9-15 +7.35u

UFC 145
Jon Jones Inside the Distance -180 (9u to win 5u)

Travis Browne -260 (13u to win 5u)

Mac Danzig -160 (4u to win 2.5u)

UFC 145 2-1 -1.5u

F@ck you Jon Jones. That is the most passive he has ever fought. He had a few opportunities to jump in and try to finish the fight. Has Greg Jackson ruined another fighter? He just did enough to win and seemed fine with that. Dude sells us that it is a total grudge match and that he has some true disdain for Evans, and then puts on a shit performance like that. Jones must have bet himself by 5 rd decision. Ruined a perfectly good night. F@@@@@@@@@@@@@@CK!!!!!!

Ok. Got that out. I'm done complaining.

2012 MMA 11-16 +5.85u

**GoGoGadget** · 05-05-12, 02:22 PM

Any plays for today?

**The HOFF** · 05-26-12, 06:14 PM

Been MIA again for the last month. I have had a bunch going on and hopefully I can get back into it here this month.

UFC 146
Struve/Johnson Doesn't Start Round 2 -150 (15u to win 10u)

**Libert1ne** · 05-26-12, 06:23 PM

I've been missing you Hoff

GL on your play, I think it'll hit.

**The HOFF** · 05-26-12, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by Libert1ne

I've been missing you Hoff

GL on your play, I think it'll hit.

Thanks man. Good luck tonight.

**The HOFF** · 05-27-12, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

UFC 146
Struve/Johnson Doesn't Start Round 2 -150 (15u to win 10u)

UFC 146 1-0 +10.00u

2012 MMA 12-16 +15.85u

**Vaughany** · 05-29-12, 05:07 PM

Nice one Hoff...simple and effective!

**The HOFF** · 05-30-12, 01:00 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Nice one Hoff...simple and effective!

Thanks. Kind of mad at myself for sticking to my max wager of to win 10u. I knew that line was way off.

**The HOFF** · 06-01-12, 02:00 PM

2012 MMA 12-16 +15.85u

TUF 15 FINALE

Max Holloway -110 (2.75u to win 2.5u)

Erik Perez +185 (2u to win 3.7u)

**The HOFF** · 06-06-12, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

2012 MMA 12-16 +15.85u

TUF 15 FINALE

Max Holloway -110 (2.75u to win 2.5u)

Erik Perez +185 (2u to win 3.7u)

TUF 15 FINALE 2-0 +6.2u

2012 MMA 14-16 +22.05u

**The HOFF** · 06-06-12, 05:15 PM

I have plays on Silva, Papazian, and Rocha for FX 3. Martinez line is a little too high for me right now. Will post my plays after weigh in.