Prop Joe's Bets Thread

proposition joe · 01-17-12, 10:11 PM

Originally posted by gabe

Love the Papazian bet, hate the Kamal bet. He's gonna get submitted quick!

I'll probably triple up on Papazian before fight time. I'm hoping the trend of lines moving oppositely of how I personally think that they should will continue and that I'll hit the last 1000 on him at +300. I can only dream.

gabe · 01-17-12, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by proposition joe

I'll probably triple up on Papazian before fight time. I'm hoping the trend of lines moving oppositely of how I personally think that they should will continue and that I'll hit the last 1000 on him at +300. I can only dream.

He fell from +370 to +265, so I don't know... I wish I can get him anywhere above +300.

proposition joe · 01-17-12, 10:27 PM

Originally posted by gabe

He fell from +370 to +265, so I don't know... I wish I can get him anywhere above +300.

Guess I better just double up now

NunyaBidness · 01-17-12, 10:56 PM

Papazian line will close over +300 most likely.

proposition joe · 01-17-12, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Papazian line will close over +300 most likely.

Why would anyone bet Mike Easton at -300 or more?

What's your opinion of this fight?

NunyaBidness · 01-17-12, 11:05 PM

Couldn't find much tape on Papazian to make an informed decision. Easton is definitely overrated, so I can't argue against fading him outright.

gabe · 01-17-12, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Couldn't find much tape on Papazian to make an informed decision. Easton is definitely overrated, so I can't argue against fading him outright.

I might do a write-up on that fight. (not that you give a shit)

NunyaBidness · 01-17-12, 11:11 PM

Better do it before midnight. . .

gabe · 01-17-12, 11:13 PM

why?

not gona do it tonight.

NunyaBidness · 01-17-12, 11:22 PM

Was a joke, wikipedia goes dark at midnight.

gabe · 01-17-12, 11:35 PM

oh lol but you provided that link for me so i'm good. (lol would be funny if i end up needing to use it... which i probably will. weed isn't great for your memory.)

proposition joe · 01-19-12, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by proposition joe

1/21/12 - UFC on FX 1

Melvin Guillad (+150) to risk 1000

Jared Papazian (+265) to risk 1000

Kamal Shalorus (-130) to win 200

Added:

Christian Morecraft (+140) to risk 300

Daniel Roberts (+255) to risk 500

gabe · 01-19-12, 04:19 PM

Don't **** around, Joe.

proposition joe · 01-19-12, 07:40 PM

Gut feeling gabe. I liked Barry at first.

proposition joe · 01-19-12, 08:58 PM

Added Daniel Roberts

gabe · 01-19-12, 09:01 PM

Wow, we are on opposing ends tomorrow. Big time.

more_betterness · 01-19-12, 09:36 PM

You love you some dogs prop joe!

FightFightFight · 01-19-12, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by gabe

Wow, we are on opposing ends tomorrow. Big time.

Of yo mamma.

gabe · 01-20-12, 02:12 AM

Originally posted by FightFightFight

Of yo mamma.

Funny guy.

proposition joe · 01-20-12, 07:52 PM

Added to win 300 on Shalorus @ -115

proposition joe · 01-20-12, 09:24 PM

Good god this is getting ugly

Vaughany · 01-23-12, 03:12 PM

Woah only just seen how u did the other night. Did u lose 3,300? Hopefully Evans gets u back on the winning track this wknd

gabe · 01-23-12, 03:25 PM

I told him not to f*ck around.

Mr.Kitty · 01-23-12, 03:59 PM

Ouch! Lots of MMA these coming months, just keep focused and you´ll bounce back

proposition joe · 01-23-12, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Woah only just seen how u did the other night. Did u lose 3,300? Hopefully Evans gets u back on the winning track this wknd

Hah yeah I sure did. I will be back to where I was within the next three events. I just recently increased my bet sizes and bank roll so I certainly expected the losses to be bigger than what I'm used to. On the flip side, I know that my winnings will be larger as well and I am very confident that I will win on more occasions than I lose.

proposition joe · 01-23-12, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I told him not to f*ck around.

You definately had a better read on the UFC on FX 1 matchups than I did.

proposition joe · 01-23-12, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by Mr.Kitty

Ouch! Lots of MMA these coming months, just keep focused and you´ll bounce back

Thanks Mr. Kitty. I'm not phased at all. Losing big is the risk you take when betting big and I never do anything without being well prepared for the worst.

proposition joe · 01-23-12, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by proposition joe

1/28/2012 - UFC on Fox 2

Rashad Evans (-145) to win 1000

Demian Maia (+170) to risk 500

ARB: Chris Weidman (-150) to win 700

= (EV) to risk 200

Chael Sonnen (-445) to win 300

Beelzebubzy · 01-23-12, 05:53 PM

Nicely done

War shad

gabe · 01-23-12, 06:20 PM

Can't believe you went so big on Roberts.

But it's funny how he gave Brenneman more trouble than Story did.

proposition joe · 01-23-12, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by gabe

Can't believe you went so big on Roberts.

But it's funny how he gave Brenneman more trouble than Story did.

I'll fade Brenneman being -300 against almost anyone.

bjpenn85 · 01-23-12, 06:56 PM

hmm hate brenneman? personally dont like the maia bet, i mean, bet against a super talented guy in weidman? I think weidman got a little bit of jon jones in him, maybe we see him taking anderson silva down somewhere down the line. love chael, and love the rashad play, good luck!!!

proposition joe · 01-23-12, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

hmm hate brenneman? personally dont like the maia bet, i mean, bet against a super talented guy in weidman? I think weidman got a little bit of jon jones in him, maybe we see him taking anderson silva down somewhere down the line. love chael, and love the rashad play, good luck!!!

I do hate Brenneman.

And I arbed out of Maia so there is no risk.

Thanks man, wish the odds on Chael were in the -350 range so I could justify going huge. Also wish the Rashad line was still at -145. Good luck to you too

gabe · 01-23-12, 07:20 PM

Why hate the Brennster?

If you're simply betting on a guy 'cos you hate/are fading his opponent, you shouldn't bet so big.

When I do that, I don't risk more than $50. (on a big dog)

Educ8d Degener8 · 01-23-12, 07:40 PM

I strongly dislike Brenneman because I'm jealous of that full mane of locks he has... Not quite hatred level, but quite the envy have I.