ha I would assume so!
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The best part was when he said, "You wanna look like you've never done this before." LOLOLComment -
Enhanced this with another arb, Omigawa at -240 and Young at +275. Will now make 9.628 units profit if Young wins, 0.138 units profit if Omigawa wins.Originally posted by VaughanyGot a nice arb on Jason Young which I'm pretty happy with. Young at +300 and Omigawa at -245 and -265... 5.528 units profit if Young wins, overall stake back if Omigawa wins.
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Not tht it's anything knew but this blog really shows how difficult a time Leben has with the weight-cut...he's between 205-210 just a couple days before weigh-in.
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Vaughany what do you think of Pickett/Barao?
I've watched some fights from both guys and I'm really impressed by both.
Barao really impressed me with his strong grappling and top control.
Pickett is incredibly tough and well-rounded, and he's beaten higher level competition than Barao.
After giving it some thought I'm leaning toward the dog Pickett but I may stay away from this fightComment -
yeah too close to call, if anything i'd play Picket just because he's the dog but Im going to stay away from it except maybe playing fight to go the distance.Originally posted by VitoochComment -
I agree that fight going the distance seems like a likely outcome considering how tough and well-rounded both guys are.Originally posted by Vaughany
O and by the way is there a specific website you use to watch old fights?Comment -
Use to rely on mma-core.com but seems most fights get removed now, so just rely on a lot of google searching and youtube!Originally posted by VitoochComment -
i`m seeing lots of leben love on the net...and i have to admit that i`d feel more comfy with munoz in a 3 round fight......
my question is,"how dumb is munoz"?....i honestly don`t believe that he`ll win the stand-up battle with leben...i really think that turns into a battle of attrition and that means leben for me...
that is,if it stays standing....
v,do you trust munoz to take this to the ground consistently?...do you think he`ll have difficulty getting it there?...doesn`t seem to me that munoz`wrestling has translated to the mma game as well as some other wrestlers...i was initially unequivocally on munoz...now i`m wavering...
thanks in advance..Comment -
I sprinkled a little on Munoz by dec as it got up to +302. Even though it's a 5 rounder, I believe if it goes 3 rounds, they will have fallen into a grove in eachothers ground game. If the fight ends before the dist, I think it ends in round 1 or 2.
GLComment -
I think Munoz will be smart, I'm about 80% confident he'll only stand for a bit to try and set-up his takedowns - tho I expect he'll try and get his takedowns from pressing Leben against the cage then dragging him down and work in GnP. Too much riding on this, potential no1 contenders bout, and he has said he expects to finish it with GnP. Not like he's saying he is looking for the KO standing - of course he's going to say he's confident everywhere - he's not gonna say "Im just gonna run at Leben and duck under for a double-leg from the start"! WIth Leben's weight-cut and being overseas I think the 5 rounds is actually better for Munoz. I expect Leben to be gassed by the mid-third if it gets that far.Originally posted by rocky mattioliComment -
Yeah would have to agreeOriginally posted by BIGDAYComment -
Also think Munoz will look to pound Leben's body with punches and knees when pressing against the cage and when/if he's got him to the ground. The Stann fight showed that he doesnt like body shots and when you got a chin as good as Leben's it makes sense to work on the body a bit more!Comment -
My primary bet is Leben by TKO/KO......the odds are decent there but I want to hedge it with something....
What props do you suggest Vaughany? I'm having a tough time seeing this fight end in decision...Comment -
Leben all the way, dont start to doubtOriginally posted by VitoochComment -
I'm big on Munoz to win this fight... but you can't count Leben out in the first couple rounds when he's strongest.
I agree that he will most likely fade after that and Munoz can pour it on.
I like Munoz straight up hedged with Leben by (T)KO in rd1 and rd2.Comment -
Nice hedge. Might do the same.Originally posted by sirchadwick1Comment -
Originally posted by Vaughany
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Yup --Originally posted by Vitooch
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I knew someone had bet Alves by sub, but I couldn't remember where I saw it. Nice Vaughany.Comment -
Great pick V
Whats teh play for 139
Shogun/ Hendo KO of the nightComment -
UFC 138 Review:
Originally posted by VaughanyOriginally posted by Vaughany
Total stake: 43.235 units
Return: 100.927 units
Profit: +57.692 units
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Record Review:
Since Bellator 26 (August 26th 2010):
Bellator 26: +0.45 units
UFC 118: +6.11 units
MFC Retribution: -1.6 units
UFC Fight Night 22: +5.55 units
UFC 119: +1.5 units
WEC 51: +1.07 units
Cage Warriors 38: +11 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons 2: +2.417 units
UFC 120: -0.589 units
UFC 121: +9.011 units
WEC 52: -1.274 units
UFC 122: +17.355 units
Strikeforce Challengers 12: +0.865 units
UFC 123: +1.609 units
TUF 12 Finale: +9.556 units
K1 Grand Prix 2010 Review: +1.1 units
UFC 124: +5.135 units
WEC 53: +0.059 units
Sengoku Soul of Fight & Dream Dynamite: +1.354 units
UFC 125: +3.095 units
UFC Fight for the Troops 2: +3.961 units
UFC 126: +24.577 units
Strikeforce: Fedor vs Silva: +0.941 units
MFC 28 Supremacy: +8.594 units
BAMMA 5: +0.84 units
UFC 127: +10.945 units
UFC Live on Versus 3: +11.622 units
Strikeforce Columbus: -1.4 units
UFC 128: +22.131 units
Bellator 38: +4.875 units
UFC Fight Night 24: +44.283 units
Bellator 40: +2.325 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley: -5.527 units
Bellator 41: -0.7 units
UFC 129: +77.484 units
(Not including risk-free arbs on record from UFC 130 onwards):
UFC 130: +45.077 units
TUF 13 Finale: -16.766 units
UFC 131: +17.688 units
Strikeforce: Overeem vs Werdum: +11.474 units
UFC Versus 4: +25.288 units
UFC 132: +1.783 units
Cage Warriors 43: +1.308 units
Strikeforce: Henderson vs Fedor: +3.274 units
UFC 133: -12.302 units
UFC Versus 5: -5.073 units
UFC 134: -10.214 units
UFC Battle on the Bayou: +20.466
Titan Fighting Championships 19: -1.863 units
UFC 135: +53.938 units
UFC Versus 6: +4.021 units
UFC 136: -33.134 units
Bellator 55: -5.731 units
UFC 137: +4.337 units
UFC 138: +57.692 units
Total profit: +439.986 unitsComment -
Apologies but didn't get a chance to post anything all weekend. Was at Duncan Trussell and Joe Rogan show on Friday night...both killed it, one of the best stand-up shows I've ever been to, and they hung out backstage after for ages. Some excellent fights as well and made one of my best decisions ever in not hedging the parlays that had Munoz as last leg with Leben by TKO/KO or Leben Ko of the Night. After seeing the blogs and weigh-in I had a feeling Leben was having a tough weight cut and just felt more comfortable as long as Munoz made it out of second round. Have to admit I was worried for a second there tho when Leben got a take-down on Munoz! But Munoz stuck to his gameplan, he punished Leben's body as I thought he would do and feel that significantly contributed to him gassing out in the second round.
Vaughan Lee fight went as I expected - he came out strong using his size advantage to get take-downs and won first round but ultimately Cariaso's experience and a possible adrenaline dump from Vaughan led to Cariaso taking over. Really should of played Etim Sub of Night and Pickett/Barao FOTN as I called them but just wanted to concentrate on the Munoz play. Alves by Sub helped offset the Vaughan Lee loss though. Me and my buddies had some bottles thrown at us when Goodard called off the fight as we were the only ones celebrating Munoz winning!Comment -
Leben left this for Munoz at the hotel reception, says "Thank you! I think we put on a grate show, congratulations"! Gotta love Leben!
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Keep rocking
That's strong bro! Keep it up!
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Originally posted by VitoochOriginally posted by TheCalculatorYup --Originally posted by The HOFFCheers fellasOriginally posted by Beelzebubzy
Not thought about 139 much to be honest - I think that the majority of fights on this card are quite evenly-matched and tough to call... especially the main card fights..Shogun/Hendo, Cung Le/Wanderlei, Story/Kampmann, Bonnar/Kingsbu and Faber. I guess Hendo/Shogun will be 5 rounds so increases the chances of there being a finish in that one so Hendo KO of the Night might be a play. Either one of Wanderlei and Cung Le also have a strong chance of KO of the Night. I'm more interested in the Bendo/Guida fight this wknd and the TUF Finale card and the UFC 140 to be honest.Comment -
Hendo Shogun a 5er??Comment -
Assume it will be as Munoz/Leben was 1st one and supposedly every main event will be same from now on (at least for PPVs I guest)Comment -
5Dimes has it as a 3 rounder. I'm scared to bet on it in their system cause if they change the rounds -- those "inside distance" wagers are void.Originally posted by VaughanyComment -
Its definitely a 5 rounder so should probably make them aware of it before placing any betsComment -
Hendo/Rua not going to decision with Hendo by decision hedge?Comment -
I dont think the profit margin would be worth such a hedge. Questions as to whether Hendo will use his wrestling or not? Really dont know where to lean with this one, would have to take Hendo at +118 dog currently though if I did betOriginally posted by VitoochComment -
Pending plays going in to UFC on Fox:
Originally posted by VaughanyOriginally posted by VaughanyComment -
Something as simple as watching his blog made me aware of this before the fight, one of the key reasons why I didn't hedge my Munoz bets, and it was the icing on the cake when they showed Leben entering the arena looking like a zombie!...Originally posted by Vaughany
LEBEN ALMOST PULLED FROM UFC 138 BY MEDICAL STAFF...
According to a report coming out of the UK based, Fighters Only Magazine, sources within the Leben camp disclosed that the Hawaiian based fighter suffered through a terrible weight cut to which he had to lose 21 pounds in 24 hours.
Observers could see a fatigued Leben in the cage this past Saturday, and this leak of information could give us a solid explanation as to why he gassed so easily. However, this is just a “non-disclosed” source and we have been unable to validate its authenticity through sources of our own.
The Fighters Only Report reads as follows:
A source close to Leben told Fighters Only on Friday that Leben had been left “shattered” by the amount of weight he had to cut on weigh-in day.
He was in the hotel sauna from Friday morning hooded up and wearing layers of clothing as he sweated water out of his body.
His dehydration and general condition was such that one of the medical team backstage said Leben would be pulled from the fight if thing deteriorated any further.
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