Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[PunisherIND]

lol gotcha...

hannibal - i dont think it was an obvious matchup (ignoring the fact that stephens mentioned it on twitter). there are plenty of guys who love to stand and bang that they could match him up with: guillard, pettis, dunham, stout, barboza, sherk...

[Vaughany]

Cage Warriors 43 play:


0.934 units on Brad Wheeler at +140 to win 1.308 units.


Tonights match-up between Brad Wheeler and Ian Entwistle is one of the most hyped fights in UK MMA history! These two fought back in April and Entwistle won controversially due to Wheeler being DQ'd by Marc Goddard for illegal strikes to back of head. What actually happened was Wheeler nailed Entwistle with a couple of knees in the clinch which dropped Entwistle and then took his back and tried to finish with strikes whilst Entwistle protected his neck from the rear-naked. Goddard deemed it that Wheeler was hitting the back of Ent's ears which he classified as back of the head under Mohawk rules so halted the action and took a point away from Wheeler, clearly thinking tht Entwistle would take a couple minutes to get up and continue. However, Entwistle used this to his advantage and stayed down (clearly still concussed from the knees to the jaw that he'd taken) and as a result Wheeler was DQ'd. With this in mind, I don't think Entwistle should be a -170 favourite and Wheeler a +140 underdog, should be closer to 50/50. I imagine the lines-maker has just looked at Entwistle's record which is 4-0 compared to Wheeler's 5 wins 5 losses and the fact that Entwistle technically beat Wheeler and thus think's Entwistle has the advantage. Although Wheeler's record might not be as impressive, he clearly has a lot more experience against better level guys than Entwistle. Wheeler has been 3 rounds with 6-0 Mark Adams who is a decent prospect out of Etim, Taylor and Kelly's team Kaoben. Also been 3 rounds with Paul Reed (17-9). One of Wheeler's most impressive performances was his comeback against Djo Lema where he got absolutely battered in the first round and came back and won by triangle in the second (fight video is below).

Entwistle is one of the most hated fighters in UK, only have to look at the Cagewarriors forum to see how much heat he gets. Many Cage Warrior followers claim that he juices, and clearly taking the easy way out of the fight with Wheeler and then claiming that he got hurt from with the punches to back of the head and not the knees to the jaw has not done himself any favours!

I would go bigger on this but I know that Wheeler has had a very tough weight-cut (used the wrong salts) and he is very emotionally charged going in to the fight so may not be fully composed. Furthermore Entwistle does have some talent even if he is a dick - he's finished every opponent he' faced in the first round both at amateur and pro-level and had Wheeler in some bad spots in the first couple minutes of their fight (dropped Wheeler with a leg kick and latched on a heel-hook and armbar that were quite tight) however blue-belt Wheeler showed great resilience. The fact that Entwistle has never been out of the first round raises questions about his cardio (especially if the claims of juicing are true!). Wheeler is also a pretty big LW. He's 6 foot tall and was weighing 171lbs this morning after a difficult weight-cut yesterday, by fight time he should be around 175 lbs.

Djo Lema fight...


The fight between Entwistle and Wheeler that caused all the controversy can be seen here...

http://www.thefightlounge.co.uk/2011/04/ian-entwistle-vs-brad-wheeler-2-cage-warriors-43/

[rocky mattioli]

o.k...wheeler made some mistakes on the ground....but he has "bottle"....

guy called him a oyster(why does oyster come up when i write c-nt?)..lol?......classy....

i`m in for a small play...

g.l.,pardner...

[scofflaw]

Top notch breakdown again V, I had never heard of either fighter before. Wheeler's grappling and sub defense was solid. IMO Entwistle looked like he was lost way before the knee TKO'd him. Based on what we saw in the first fight I think the most likely outcome is Wheeler by decision, maybe sub when Entwistle gasses in the 2nd/3rd.

I'm at this line.. Wheeler clearly looked like the better fighter. This is an good play IMO, I'm in.

[Vaughany]

o.k...wheeler made some mistakes on the ground....but he has "bottle"....

guy called him a oyster(why does oyster come up when i write c-nt?)..lol?......classy....

i`m in for a small play...

g.l.,pardner...

oyster

[Vaughany]

oyster

ha just wanted to try it!

[Vaughany]

Top notch breakdown again V, I had never heard of either fighter before. Wheeler's grappling and sub defense was solid. IMO Entwistle looked like he was lost way before the knee TKO'd him. Based on what we saw in the first fight I think the most likely outcome is Wheeler by decision, maybe sub when Entwistle gasses in the 2nd/3rd.

I'm at this line.. Wheeler clearly looked like the better fighter. This is an good play IMO, I'm in.

Cheers bro, and I agree with your predicted outcomes entirely.

BTW the event is being streamed on the cagewarriors site and on mmajunkie I think

[bjpenn85]

fair asessment, im in for a small play as well. It seems like wheeler never gives up. I think entwistle will have to shut this guy down in round 1 or go home.

[Vaughany]

fair asessment, im in for a small play as well. It seems like wheeler never gives up. I think entwistle will have to shut this guy down in round 1 or go home.

[Wrecked]

Wheeler did very well sweeping that triangle over.

[reformed]

vaughny I am tailing you, it better win

[rocky mattioli]

are you kidding?...they have the same biased,idiot f-cking ref doing the second fight......

we`ll need a finish....

[rocky mattioli]

and finish he did.....

thank you,my brother....

[Vaughany]

Wheeler makes Enty tap in first! Need to have more faith in my picks!

[reformed]

thanks

[reformed]

it was so easy, I wish I played it for more

[rocky mattioli]

ref almost got jack mason killed......mama lucien....

[bjpenn85]

thanks vaugh.

[Vaughany]

Maiquel Falcao's latest fight..

[v1y]

and people are bitching about the kim couture stoppage being late, that's the worst i've seen in a while.

[Wrecked]

and people are bitching about the kim couture stoppage being late, that's the worst i've seen in a while.

Yeah that was RIDICULOUS.

[v1y]

i'm referring to falcao's fight being far worse than the couture fight.

[Vaughany]

Think those wer bad, check out this one...

[v1y]

I want to say that that's merely incompetence and not malice, but i'd be wrong.

When you agree to referee a show, you are telling the promoter/AC/whatever that you are qualified to do the job. He was not qualified. He lied somewhere along the line to get this gig, and that kind of negligence is malicious.

[The HOFF]

Maiquel Falcao's latest fight..

Just a shame that he got cut from the UFC.

[Vaughany]

Ben Askren vs Max Askren wrestling match...

[Vaughany]

Palhares training for Dan Miller...

[Vaughany]

Cheick Kongo on Eddie Bravo's Mastering the System - Motherfuckin Renato saga!..

[Vaughany]

Adding:

4 units on Miesha Tate at +120 to win 4.8 units.

[rafa martin]

what event is that vaughnany?? i can't find it. all the best for you.

[Kaladarus]

what event is that vaughnany?? i can't find it. all the best for you.

Strikeforce: Fedor Vs. Henderson

[reformed]

Adding:

4 units on Miesha Tate at +120 to win 4.8 units.

ok ill give it a try but if this bitch dont win its gonna be your ass on the line.

[v1y]

ok ill give it a try but if this bitch dont win its gonna be your ass on the line.

Basically, coenen is an overrated kickboxer with a great armbar from guard. Everyone expects tate to pound coenen out the same way carmouche did in her fight with coenen. (minus the miraculous comeback)

however, i'm pretty sure tate is a little bit worried about coenen's guard, and thinks her striking is way overrated. i expect tate to keep this fight standing, and only if she's losing will she go for takedowns.

[koscheckbaby]

Basically, coenen is an overrated kickboxer with a great armbar from guard. Everyone expects tate to pound coenen out the same way carmouche did in her fight with coenen. (minus the miraculous comeback)

however, i'm pretty sure tate is a little bit worried about coenen's guard, and thinks her striking is way overrated. i expect tate to keep this fight standing, and only if she's losing will she go for takedowns.

I thought Tate trains with Josh Barnett? I think she loves the grappling game. She looked great subbing Zoila Frausto.

[MMAbetMASTA]

Adding:

4 units on Miesha Tate at +120 to win 4.8 units.

no lines yet on my book for this, I'm pissed. I'm all over tate as well, and unfortunately she'll probably be in the -120/140 range by the time they're up Glad to see you're on this pick as well, V! GL!