Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[MMAbetMASTA]

halarious u think books troll this 1 forum and it somehow affects lines...LOL...this 1 forum means nothing to books bud

god i cant stop laughing

Hilarious you don't think they do, bud.... You don't think they research the fights before they set the line? Therefore you don't think an intelligent person is going to look at a forum full of great mma cappers to get some more insight to factor into their reasoning??? THis place is a fuckingg gold mine of a source.. I can't stop laughing at how you wouldn't think this is a very real possibility... If you don't think it is, then you sir are an idiot. I guess you and I agree to disagree on this.

[5mike5]

dont flatter urself, but TY....i needed a great laugh

several OPs here do GREAT reserach, but moving lines becuase books come here and read what a few OPs on a online forum think??!!?!!

god im STILL laughing so hard my tummy hurts

[5mike5]

but we arent going to change each others mind, so we will agree to disagree on this topic...

GL on ur picks...

[helpplease]

dont flatter urself, but TY....i needed a great laugh

several OPs here do GREAT reserach, but moving lines becuase books come here and read what a few OPs on a online forum think??!!?!!

god im STILL laughing so hard my tummy hurts

can u do us a favor and laugh urself to death 5mike555dimes !! thanks ur so god damn annoying I wanna shove my wood down ur throat

[5mike5]

ohhhh

like i care what u think

[Vitooch]

5mike5....contributing nothing to the thread since 2011

[Vaughany]

V's thread always gets used and abused.. He's gotta be used to it by now..

Always a party in here!

haha It's all part of the fun!

[Hannibal]

Masta: I get where you're coming from since it probably affects you the most.
If I recall....you get the lines pretty late...after the lines have settled and any discussion has done its work.

Need a better book player!

[Hannibal]

You also gotta weigh the potential benefits you gain from early insight vs the potential tiny percentage change in the opening line.

Usually I'll take the knowledge and be glad to hammer an opening line that I'm already sure of

[ddream1]

Hedging with JDS by TKO/KO is certainly the option I'd recommend...you can even get JDS Inside at -138 currently.

In terms of judging line movement, I dont think JDS line will get better than -150. Perhaps the way the fighters are being promoted in weeks leading up to the fight may sway betting public, such as the countdown show...for instance they might make a big deal of Overeem bringing in Daniel Ghita to train with.

thx V and B. im gonna hang on to end of the primetime or countdwon and weighin and hope for a -150ish, the inside the D is a good option

[Vaughany]

thx V and B. im gonna hang on to end of the primetime or countdwon and weighin and hope for a -150ish, the inside the D is a good option

Looks like u wont have to worry as he's failed a drugs test!

[ghost kid]

Overeem fails drug test w/ a 10:1 T/E ratio. 1:1 is normal. Nevada allows up to 6:1. See how effective random testing is! Can u say VADA?

Apparently he was smothering those horse steaks with barbecue flavored testosterone. Yum.

[Hannibal]

Damn I really loved jds itd at -125

[Vaughany]

Adding:


5 units on Maguire at Evens to win 5 units;


2.5 units on Bahadurzada at +200 to win 5 units.

[the josh]

************ where is siyar in the books? hes not even posted on bfo yet

[Vaughany]

Euro books

[the josh]

got damn it i hate you.

siyar at +200 is a damn good price.

thank god i get paid on the 13th. sadly i probably wont be able to take advantage of many good lines before they move. maybe siyar will be higher into the + tho

[Vaughany]

got damn it i hate you.

siyar at +200 is a damn good price.

thank god i get paid on the 13th. sadly i probably wont be able to take advantage of many good lines before they move. maybe siyar will be higher into the + tho

Very low bet limits tho unfortunately so not all tht great

[MMAbetMASTA]

You also gotta weigh the potential benefits you gain from early insight vs the potential tiny percentage change in the opening line.

Usually I'll take the knowledge and be glad to hammer an opening line that I'm already sure of

Ya I hear you man. Def some potential benefits for discussing it prior and having the knowledge ready before the line is out so that you can jump on it while the line is favorable.

And yes, I'll admit Im probably more concerned than others about this isssue because my lines do come up very late. (Bellator just came up this morning!!!). I do have a 5 dimes, but with my local book its very convenient because I can cash out / in through my friend, and I never have to put up the money before a play so there is no deposit / cash out hassle. Its really easy and nice for me as I constantly have fluctuation in my money flow / income... Howver, I realize I am really missing some great prices and value by not getting on BM / 5 dimes openers. It might just be more valuable to get on these openers than having a convenient cash in / out policy with my current book.

And to everyone I don't mean to be a 'sherriff' or whiney asshole with this issue, I just do believe in what I"ve said about it and I truly think it will benefit everyone in the end if we stay disciplined. I know you guys are gonna do your thing and there is nothing I can do but bitch when people do discuss them, so perhaps I need to just get over it. Cheers and GL tonight man.

[fosho14]

Hmmm, I'm not sure I buy into the whole, "cover your mouths, their listening to our valuable mma insight on here". For starters, it's almost impossible to get a straight answer because for every 10 ppl that have an opinion on something, theres going to be 7 that disagree. And these disagreements cannot be rectified until the fight actually happens and then and only then do we find out who was wrong and who was right. No offense, but I don't think that they give a shit about what you or I, or anyone else on here has to say. In fact this place probably just confuses oddsmakers even more lol. I come here to see how many people agree with my opinions, but a lot of the time find myself going against what everyone says, and sometimes I'm right and sometimes I'm wrong. There are plenty of ways to obtain knowledge besides this sbr forum. This isn't the only resource available on the planet where valuable mma analysis is being discussed and debate is going on questioning whether or not fighters are over valued/undervalued and what price they should be capped at. Please don't ask me to prove it by showing you the sites. I don't know what url's their located at but they obviously exist. I don't know if you've heard of the mma analyst (youtube) but he puts up very very good numbers that have been historically published and documented, and they are the best I have seen so far. He is involved in a subscription based private chat room with other cappers. Thats just one example. How many other private rooms do you think exist? Obviously a lot, not just this sbr forum. I thought ppl were joking at first with the whole, "Dam I shouldn't of said that, the lines just shifted a whole point!" non-sense. Then reading deeper into it I realized ppl were actually serious lmfao.

[fosho14]

that was mainly directed to ppl who constantly say those things after lines have already been released and claim that their comments are shifting the lines every time they speak. Hilarious.

[dww123]

that was mainly directed to ppl who constantly say those things after lines have already been released and claim that their comments are shifting the lines every time they speak. Hilarious.

I always thought people were joking when they said that

[Vaughany]

[getlucky2win]

v u got any plays 2nite? i got sandro -150 what u think

[Vaughany]

v u got any plays 2nite? i got sandro -150 what u think

Just a risk free play on Douglas Lima. Sandro should take it but wouldnt be surprised if Bezerra surprises a few people

[getlucky2win]

i wasnt going 2 bet on this card but put a small wager on sandro with a buddy who was talkin sht. i got nunes next week and will b betting more after weigh-in

[Vaughany]

Primetime Ep 1...Jones vs Evans... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DNtXy...&feature=share

[Poppa Catfish]

"his protege". Lol. Why stop there, let's try and see if the public will buy jones as his son?

[Vaughany]

"his protege". Lol. Why stop there, let's try and see if the public will buy jones as his son?

haha yeah, pretty sure Jones said in an interview that they only actually sparred with each other a few times!

Good to see u back Poppa!

[Poppa Catfish]

Thanks my man. Though I am ignorant to their situation completely, I know the AKA guys do a ton of individual drills. I would bet that shad and jones did a few sparring matches and a handful of shared practices. At best. Im torn to shreds with this Overreem nonsense, was all set to bet my gills on jds. Life really isn't fair

[Vaughany]

Thanks my man. Though I am ignorant to their situation completely, I know the AKA guys do a ton of individual drills. I would bet that shad and jones did a few sparring matches and a handful of shared practices. At best. Im torn to shreds with this Overreem nonsense, was all set to bet my gills on jds. Life really isn't fair

Yeah sucks, had JDS/Overeem not distance in sh*t loads of parlays, and was gonna go reasonably big on JDS TKO/KO as well.

[Vaughany]

Todd Duffee smashes Grove in 1st round as expected...if only you could bet on this shiit!

[Vaughany]

[ghost kid]

Eh. Weak shit. Beating women ain't funny. Nothing to joke about. Pretty ****** up. Thumbs down.

[Vaughany]

Didnt say it was funny...just putting it out there...