Boxing/MMA PLAYS

[kiefynugs]

why evangelista?

[terpkeg]

Damn Illmatik, I really hate when you pick opposite of me. I like Feijao but I just think he is going to fade in the later rounds and Dan is going to wrestle **** him. Also I think billy loses as well.

What do you think of Kennedy at -280? I know I am not getting the best number but I feel very strongly that he wins.

Hendersen's cardio has always been questionable. He is coming off of back injury. If anyone fades, I would expect it to me Hendo.

[illmatick]

Feijao fokin buried me. fought scared after he tasted that first right in the first round. he looked scared shitless every time he was backed into the cage. I should have know better, 9/10 i would have arbed on that type of movement .

pathetic, reminded me of how scared bader looked in his fight with Jon Jones. With that said, henderson is a bad man

adding

Eddie Wineland +325 x1.5

parlay x2.25
Brendan Schaub -245
Miller -215

[xelance]

a bad man that got $250,000 for one fight! Feijao was scared the whole damn time..

[illmatick]

tibau -145 x2
Njok +180 x.35

[illmatick]

adding

Eddie Wineland +325 x1.5

parlay x2.25
Brendan Schaub -245
Miller -215

tibau -145 x2
Njok +180 x.35
Rua +185 x.5

adding

assuncao +135 x2.25

[illmatick]

lost a little over 2 units for ufc 128


added a few parlays for Saturday

parlay x2.15
Mackens Semerzier -225
John Hathaway -340

parlay x1.75
Christian Morecraft -190
Nik Lentz -190
Chan Sung Jung -115

parlay x1.25
Johny Hendricks -345
Madsen -300
Mcdonald-325

parlay x1.25
Mackens Semerzier -225
John Hathaway -340
Jung-115

[Educ8d Degener8]

I'm tailing Semerzier and Hathaway @ 1.00u...

Considering parlaying a Kansas and Phil Davis parlay... square as f*ck, I know...

GL homez

[rocky mattioli]

also using semenzier and hathaway in pars...lentz(cardio),morecraft and mcdonald...

i was just checking through some mma resumes....and if not for some amazingly fortunate judging,garcia could conceivably be 0 for his last 7 fights....actually 8 if you count the brown defeat...

he`s 3-3 and 1(at least 2 of the 3 wins via bogus split decision...the 3rd he also probably lost...and the draw he definitely lost)...

sherdog`s rbr scoring had garcia losing every fight clearly with the exception of massouh...and in that one they had massouh eeking it out....phan and roop were both 3 rds to zip... ...wait a minute...they had jung winning 3-0,also..

he got the benefit of a point deduction vs roop(roop winning every round except the 3rd that ended 10-10 because of the point)....

i realize that sherdog isn`t the final word...and that you could argue several rounds in there,but c`mon...can this crap continue(unfortunately the answer is probably yes,it could ) ...throwing punches in bunches but missing 85% of them by roughly a full foot,getting your faced basically rearranged fight after fight and still copping these crazy decisions?...

i hope one of these mofo`s takes it out of the judges hands this time.......garcia itd is +321 and zombie itd is +439....

i`m torn..i have a small wager on zombie based on this info and my eyewiness account of the previous crimes mentioned above,but deep down inside i was kind of hoping that leonard whacks zombie so we can get a favorable line on the phan rematch...

but,living in the real world,i realize joey isn`t an idiot,so getting the kind of friendly phan odds that opened before the cancellation appear highly unlikely regardless of how this fight plays out..........

foiled again...i guess i`ll be rooting for korean zombie to make it stick this time...

g.l.
__________________

[ddream1]

also using semenzier and hathaway in pars...lentz(cardio),morecraft and mcdonald...

i was just checking through some mma resumes....and if not for some amazingly fortunate judging,garcia could conceivably be 0 for his last 7 fights....actually 8 if you count the brown defeat...

he`s 3-3 and 1(at least 2 of the 3 wins via bogus split decision...the 3rd he also probably lost...and the draw he definitely lost)...

sherdog`s rbr scoring had garcia losing every fight clearly with the exception of massouh...and in that one they had massouh eeking it out....phan and roop were both 3 rds to zip... ...wait a minute...they had jung winning 3-0,also..

he got the benefit of a point deduction vs roop(roop winning every round except the 3rd that ended 10-10 because of the point)....

i realize that sherdog isn`t the final word...and that you could argue several rounds in there,but c`mon...can this crap continue(unfortunately the answer is probably yes,it could ) ...throwing punches in bunches but missing 85% of them by roughly a full foot,getting your faced basically rearranged fight after fight and still copping these crazy decisions?...

i hope one of these mofo`s takes it out of the judges hands this time.......garcia itd is +321 and zombie itd is +439....

i`m torn..i have a small wager on zombie based on this info and my eyewiness account of the previous crimes mentioned above,but deep down inside i was kind of hoping that leonard whacks zombie so we can get a favorable line on the phan rematch...

but,living in the real world,i realize joey isn`t an idiot,so getting the kind of friendly phan odds that opened before the cancellation appear highly unlikely regardless of how this fight plays out..........

foiled again...i guess i`ll be rooting for korean zombie to make it stick this time...

g.l.
__________________

great insight rocky. rocky any thoughts on diaz tonight? i have him winning tonight and put a larger than usually wager on him based on the fact i have him winning in all areas.

[illmatick]

I'm tailing Semerzier and Hathaway @ 1.00u... Considering parlaying a Kansas and Phil Davis parlay... square as f*ck, I know... GL homez

took a little luck to cash our first leg. Semeerzier should close it out.

also using semenzier and hathaway in pars...lentz(cardio),morecraft and mcdonald... i was just checking through some mma resumes....and if not for some amazingly fortunate judging,garcia could conceivably be 0 for his last 7 fights....actually 8 if you count the brown defeat... he`s 3-3 and 1(at least 2 of the 3 wins via bogus split decision...the 3rd he also probably lost...and the draw he definitely lost)... sherdog`s rbr scoring had garcia losing every fight clearly with the exception of massouh...and in that one they had massouh eeking it out....phan and roop were both 3 rds to zip... ...wait a minute...they had jung winning 3-0,also.. he got the benefit of a point deduction vs roop(roop winning every round except the 3rd that ended 10-10 because of the point).... i realize that sherdog isn`t the final word...and that you could argue several rounds in there,but c`mon...can this crap continue(unfortunately the answer is probably yes,it could ) ...throwing punches in bunches but missing 85% of them by roughly a full foot,getting your faced basically rearranged fight after fight and still copping these crazy decisions?... i hope one of these mofo`s takes it out of the judges hands this time.......garcia itd is +321 and zombie itd is +439.... i`m torn..i have a small wager on zombie based on this info and my eyewiness account of the previous crimes mentioned above,but deep down inside i was kind of hoping that leonard whacks zombie so we can get a favorable line on the phan rematch... but,living in the real world,i realize joey isn`t an idiot,so getting the kind of friendly phan odds that opened before the cancellation appear highly unlikely regardless of how this fight plays out.......... foiled again...i guess i`ll be rooting for korean zombie to make it stick this time... g.l. __________________

haha, vividly remember that Jamel Masaoh fight. I played him in that fight at an insane number( around +400). Needless to say, I wasn't happy with the result.

keep your eyes open for a juicy line on Garcia during live betting action.

[illmatick]

adding Garcia by decision +240 x.75
Garcia -105 x1.35

parlay x.35
Johnson wins by 3 round decision +313
Garcia by decision +240

[illmatick]

+6.54 units...nice day for the chalk bettors. Jung made my night.

[illmatick]

Saad Awad +130 x3.5
Gilbert Melendez -220 x2


Parlay x2.5
Askren -535
Heiron -350
Marcos Rene Maidana -850

parlay x1.75
Melendez -230
Awad +125
Nick Diaz -220



Beerbohm wins by 3 round decision +335 x.65
Aoki wins inside distance +118 x1.5

Kawajiri wins by 5 round decision +417 x.35
Daley wins inside distance +241 x.5

[phillybadboy]

gl, i'm liking diaz iside the distance though

[illmatick]

thanks phil. I'll be adding more on Diaz.

parlay x1.75
aoki -230
lima -150



Kawajiri wins by 5 round decision+437 X.4
Beerbohm wins by 3 round decision +335 X.35

[Educ8d Degener8]

I'm loving the Beerbohm decision and Aoki inside distance play... was gonna post that in the SF thread yesterday.

Can't picture that fight playing out any other way.

[illmatick]

parlay x1.75
aoki -230
lima -150

Kawajiri wins by 5 round decision+437 X.4

Beerbohm wins by 3 round decision +335 X.35

Lima wins by first round knockout to cash my first leg.

adding

x1.75
Aoki -230
Melendez -260

Kawajiri wins by 5 round decision +486 x.35

I'm loving the Beerbohm decision and Aoki inside distance play... was gonna post that in the SF thread yesterday. Can't picture that fight playing out any other way.

Another aoki vs. Shaolin scenario is the only thing that worries me. Still think aoki finishes though.

[rocky mattioli]

Saad Awad +130 x3.5
Gilbert Melendez -220 x2


Parlay x2.5
Askren -535
Heiron -350
Marcos Rene Maidana -850

parlay x1.75
Melendez -230
Awad +125
Nick Diaz -220



Beerbohm wins by 3 round decision +335 x.65
Aoki wins inside distance +118 x1.5

Kawajiri wins by 5 round decision +417 x.35
Daley wins inside distance +241 x.5

was looking at video of awad and duarte...neither terribly impressive on the ground(which surprised me given the fact that they both have subs on their resume)......this looks to be a violent stand-up fight.....awad was beating nam phan fairly handily until he appeared to tire late in the first and it went to the ground...and duarte throws punches with bad intentions also...awad a longer guy...duarte more compact......

wish there was an itd prop for this one...should be a solid,fan friendly fight......

g.l....

[ufcmma36]

im takin duarte... should be an exciting fight but that kid comes too bang!!!!

[illmatick]

Awad looked crap

adding

parlay
x2.75
Melendez -265
Gegard -440

Kawajiri wins by 5 round decision +619 x.65
Diaz/Daley Fight won't start round2 +288 x.25
P.Daley wins in round 1 +655 x.65

[phillybadboy]

gl, i'm liking diaz iside the distance though

[illmatick]

nice hit phil.


I think i finished slightly ahead for the night. Aoki and Melendez made up for my awful undercard pick.

[illmatick]

Vlad -120 x.75
Nate Diaz -105 x2.25
GSP -390 x2.75

Parlay x.75
Bocek -105
Jason Mcdonald+100

Parlay x2.5
Ivan Menjivar -185
Claude Patrick -140

Parlay x1.75
Ivan -185
Makdessi -200

Parlay x1.5
Makdessi -200
Ellenberger-200


Parlay x2.65
GSP -390
Aldo -430
Not Diaz by 3 round decision -400


Couture wins by 3 round decision +417 x.25
Pierson wins by 3 round decision +410 x.5
MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +205 x.75
Hominick wins by 5 round decision +761 x.4
Jabouin/Garza award winner +2800 x.15
Charlie Valencia wins KO of the Night+3900 x.05
Yves Jabouin wins KO of the Night +1300 x.15
Jason Brilz wins SUB of the Night +3800 x.15
Daniel Roberts has quickest submission +600 x.35
Kyle Watson has quickest submission +2600 x.15


Parlay x.35
MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +205
Kyle Watson +170
Valencia +160
Yves Jabouin -160
GSP -390
Ben Henderson -115

Parlay x.45
MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +205
Watson +160

[HauntingTheHoly]

@Ilmatick: When you say "vlad at -120" surely you don't mean Klitscho? An mma figher, right?

[illmatick]

haha. Wish I could get Klits at that number.

added

Ryan Jensen has quickest TKO/KO +1500 x.15

[HauntingTheHoly]

Are you gonna bet the Klits/Haye fight? I hear Klit opened at 4/7.

[illmatick]

Menijav cashes my first leg. slight buy-back on Roberts.

Daniel Roberts +105 x.85

Parlay x.45
Roberts +105
Ben Henderson -145
Nate diaz +120

Parlay x.35
Roberts +105
MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +190
Machida under 2.5 -115

[illmatick]

Hominick +700 x.35

[Vaughany]

Hominick +700 x.35

ha did u place tht jus before Aldo dropped him?!

[illmatick]

+4.72 units for the night

Wins
Vlad -120 x.75
GSP -390 x2.75
MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +205 x.75

Parlay x2.5
Ivan Menjivar -185
Claude Patrick -140

Parlay x1.75
Ivan -185
Makdessi -200

Parlay x1.5
Makdessi -200
Ellenberger-200


Parlay x2.65
GSP -390
Aldo -430
Not Diaz by 3 round decision -400




Losses
1.Nate Diaz -105 x2.25
2.Parlay x.75
Bocek -105
Jason Mcdonald+100
Pierson wins by 3 round decision +410 x.5
Couture wins by 3 round decision +417 x.25
Hominick wins by 5 round decision +761 x.4
Jabouin/Garza award winner +2800 x.15
Charlie Valencia wins KO of the Night+3900 x.05
Yves Jabouin wins KO of the Night +1300 x.15
Jason Brilz wins SUB of the Night +3800 x.15
Daniel Roberts has quickest submission +600 x.35
Kyle Watson has quickest submission +2600 x.15
Ryan Jensen has quickest TKO/KO +1500 x.15

Parlay x.35
MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +205
Kyle Watson +170
Valencia +160
Yves Jabouin -160
GSP -390
Ben Henderson -115

Parlay x.45
MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +205
Watson +160

Daniel Roberts +105 x.85

Parlay x.45
Roberts +105
Ben Henderson -145
Nate diaz +120

Parlay x.35
Roberts +105
MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +190
Machida under 2.5 -115

Hominick +700 x.35

[illmatick]

Jose Vega +300 x.65

[illmatick]

Are you gonna bet the Klits/Haye fight? I hear Klit opened at 4/7.

sorry man, I missed this post..

Yeah, I'll be on Klits and possibly the under. Definitely one of the strangest opening lines I've seen in awhile.Wasn't he around -375 when they were originally scheduled to fight? Klits is slowly getting steamed as expected so we'll have to see where the line closes. I'm thinking somewhere around -265.

Currently working on a write-up for the Sylvester vs Geale fight. I should have a play for that one.

[illmatick]

adding...

Frankie Edgar -130 x3
Nelson wins by 3 round decision +450 x.5

parlay x.75
ALves -210
Jorge Santiago +100

[phillybadboy]

hey bro you bettin pac by desicion?