Boxing/MMA PLAYS

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  • kiefynugs
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-20-10
    • 572

    #526
    yeah I've got a little on miller at +112 and will dump a little more if the line gets better. I'm definitely throwing a couple units on the decision if bookmaker whimsically decides to do props for this event.
    Comment
    • illmatick
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-05-09
      • 5456

      #527
      Originally posted by Vaughany
      Just read your preview on the main page for 124...good stuff...I agree that all of the main card fights except McCorkle Struve have big potential of going the distance. Miller/Oliveira has best chance I think of going the distance tho.
      thanks Vaughn. Kind of regret not holding out for the Miller by decision prop.

      few play I added

      MARK BOCEK +115 x2
      TJ GRANT +150 x.5
      RAFAEL NATAL -155 x.75
      Comment
      • Eccocide
        SBR MVP
        • 01-12-09
        • 2126

        #528
        Well we werent too good together on the TUF Finale lol. I hope 124 is better because we are on the same shit again lol. I've already locked in Struve, Miller and Natal. Plus I'm debating a play on Grant as well but I wanna see if the line shifts back up a bit. GL!
        Comment
        • illmatick
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-05-09
          • 5456

          #529
          gl my friend, I'm surprised I'm the only one showing love for Bocek??? Honestly think he should be around a -150 favorite.

          what say you?
          Comment
          • Eccocide
            SBR MVP
            • 01-12-09
            • 2126

            #530
            Originally posted by illmatick
            gl my friend, I'm surprised I'm the only one showing love for Bocek??? Honestly think he should be around a -150 favorite.

            what say you?
            I capped it around evens, so Im gunna stay away from now. The Danzig fight is the one that scares me off a bit from Bocek. He put himself in some vulnerable positions from top control multiple times. Danzig had opportunities for omaplatas, gogoplatas and triangles. Granted, Bocek was able to fight through them but Hazelett is much better at cinching them in compared to Danzig. I honestly dont remember much of his fight vs. Miller so I need to go back and watch that one again to get a better feel.

            What's your thinking on it.
            Comment
            • Vaughany
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 03-07-10
              • 45563

              #531
              Originally posted by illmatick
              gl my friend, I'm surprised I'm the only one showing love for Bocek??? Honestly think he should be around a -150 favorite.

              what say you?
              You're not the only one Ill! Im big on Bocek as well and also think he should be between -120 to -150 favourite. The +140 that he came out at was ridiculous IMO, really need to sign up to bookmaker so that I can get these gifts! U've done well gettin him at +115 tho, I'll still put a unit or 2 on him at Evens but odds not out yet on Pinny, Paddy or skybet. Preferably I'd of liked to take him by decision but wont be getting prop bets for this one as its undercard
              Comment
              • illmatick
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-05-09
                • 5456

                #532
                Originally posted by Eccocide
                I capped it around evens, so Im gunna stay away from now. The Danzig fight is the one that scares me off a bit from Bocek. He put himself in some vulnerable positions from top control multiple times. Danzig had opportunities for omaplatas, gogoplatas and triangles. Granted, Bocek was able to fight through them but Hazelett is much better at cinching them in compared to Danzig. I honestly dont remember much of his fight vs. Miller so I need to go back and watch that one again to get a better feel.

                What's your thinking on it.
                I would definitely suggest re-watching the miller fight, I base most of my reasoning behind how many dominant grappling positions Bocek had against miller...also think his striking has come a long way since the Mac Danzig fight, but like you say....Hazelettt has some nasty stuff from his guard...chances are I will have some type of insurance play on Hazelett winning the submission of the night bonus.

                Originally posted by Vaughany
                You're not the only one Ill! Im big on Bocek as well and also think he should be between -120 to -150 favourite. The +140 that he came out at was ridiculous IMO, really need to sign up to bookmaker so that I can get these gifts! U've done well gettin him at +115 tho, I'll still put a unit or 2 on him at Evens but odds not out yet on Pinny, Paddy or skybet. Preferably I'd of liked to take him by decision but wont be getting prop bets for this one as its undercard
                Line is settling right where I thought it would..up to -140 at 5dimes.
                Last edited by illmatick; 12-09-10, 12:51 AM.
                Comment
                • Vaughany
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 03-07-10
                  • 45563

                  #533
                  Originally posted by illmatick
                  I would definitely suggest re-watching the miller fight, I base most of my reasoning behind how many dominant grappling positions Bocek had against miller...also think his striking has come a long way since the Mac Danzig fight, but like you say....Hazelettt has some nasty stuff from his guard...chances are I will have some type of insurance play on Hazelett winning the submission of the night bonus.


                  Line is settling right where I thought it would..up to -140 at 5dimes.
                  Yee, I had to take him at Evens (had to sign up to yet another UK booky just to get it tho)! He was particularly impressive for me against Miller, I had Miller by decision and was worried just after the first round as Bocek's wrestling and striking was a lot better than I anticipated. I might also take Hazelett Sub of the NIght as a hedge just because I think the only way he wins this is by some spectacular sub out of nowhere.
                  Comment
                  • The HOFF
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-02-08
                    • 4847

                    #534
                    Originally posted by illmatick
                    gl my friend, I'm surprised I'm the only one showing love for Bocek??? Honestly think he should be around a -150 favorite.

                    what say you?

                    Love Bocek. Got it at +110. I think Bocek actually beat Jim Miller and got screwed on the judge's dec. Also this is Hazelett's first fght at 155. He was pretty skinny at 170 so he is going to be rail thin at this weight. So I want to see him at the weigh-in and then I might put more on Bocek.
                    Comment
                    • JediMind87
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 10-04-10
                      • 45

                      #535
                      Originally posted by illmatick
                      I would definitely suggest re-watching the miller fight, I base most of my reasoning behind how many dominant grappling positions Bocek had against miller...also think his striking has come a long way since the Mac Danzig fight, but like you say....Hazelettt has some nasty stuff from his guard...chances are I will have some type of insurance play on Hazelett winning the submission of the night bonus.
                      In the fight against Miller he was on the verge of tapping.Miller had a kimura from the bottom.Problem with Bocek is he goes for a lot of guard passes which leaves him vulnerable to submissions.The fight is either going to end with Bocek by decision or Hazelett by submission.
                      Comment
                      • brooks85
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 44709

                        #536
                        im liking bocek but im also waiting for the weighins. There is no good articles/videos out there for either fighter in this matchup and Bocek has been out of the cage for awhile now so leaves me with some questions.
                        Last edited by brooks85; 12-09-10, 12:14 PM.
                        Comment
                        • Eccocide
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-12-09
                          • 2126

                          #537
                          I watched the miller fight yesterday and I think it pretty much reaffirmed my position on the fight. I think bocek is the better grappler and wrestler but he still puts himself in some bad positions with his top game. I'd be nervous the whole fight worrying about the sub lol. As well, Im interested to see what hazeletts strength is like at 155. It should be a great fight, one I'm more interested In watching then betting lol.

                          And yes hazeletts fought at 155lb before I believe. I'm pretty sure he fought saraiva In the ufc a couple years back. I'd have to check the tape when I get home.
                          Comment
                          • urge2kill
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-27-09
                            • 1722

                            #538
                            Originally posted by Eccocide
                            And yes hazeletts fought at 155lb before I believe. I'm pretty sure he fought saraiva In the ufc a couple years back. I'd have to check the tape when I get home.
                            Yes, that fight was at 155.
                            Comment
                            • illmatick
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 5456

                              #539
                              recap
                              MARK BOCEK +115 x2
                              Struve -160 x1, -145 x.75
                              TJ GRANT +150 x.5,+155 x.5
                              RAFAEL NATAL -155 x.75
                              Jim Miller -110 x.75
                              John Howard +255 x.5

                              Dustin Hazelett has quickest submission +550 x.25
                              S.McCorkle wins by submission +450 x.25

                              parlay x.5
                              Danzig+225
                              John Makdessi+120

                              should be it, might not have a chance to post until sunday..gl to all!
                              Comment
                              • Eccocide
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-12-09
                                • 2126

                                #540
                                GL this weekend Ill!
                                Comment
                                • Vaughany
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 03-07-10
                                  • 45563

                                  #541
                                  I second Ecco...BOL! Hoping for a Bocek decision win!
                                  Comment
                                  • Educ8d Degener8
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-12-10
                                    • 3177

                                    #542
                                    Been meaning to review tape on Howard, 'cos my gut is leaning heavy on Alves... what you got on Howard -- you just like value in that line?
                                    Comment
                                    • illmatick
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-05-09
                                      • 5456

                                      #543
                                      ^^^ looks like you figured it out, looking to possibly add another unit on Howard.

                                      Originally posted by illmatick
                                      recap
                                      MARK BOCEK +115 x2
                                      Struve -160 x1, -145 x.75
                                      TJ GRANT +150 x.5,+155 x.5
                                      RAFAEL NATAL -155 x.75
                                      Jim Miller -110 x.75
                                      John Howard +255 x.5

                                      Dustin Hazelett has quickest submission +550 x.25
                                      S.McCorkle wins by submission +450 x.25

                                      parlay x.5
                                      Danzig+225
                                      John Makdessi+120

                                      should be it, might not have a chance to post until sunday..gl to all!
                                      Bocek with the quick tap

                                      adding ...

                                      J.Stevenson wins by submission +320 x.25
                                      Stevenson wins by 3 round decision +142 x.75

                                      C.Oliveira wins in round 1 +500 x.25
                                      Comment
                                      • illmatick
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-05-09
                                        • 5456

                                        #544
                                        whoops, Howard took a beating.

                                        had a solid night thanks to Danzig and Bocek...+3.9 units for the night

                                        added a a small action play for the main event....St-Pierre wins inside distance -116 x.5
                                        Comment
                                        • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-18-10
                                          • 13389

                                          #545
                                          NICE CASHON MILLER
                                          Comment
                                          • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-18-10
                                            • 13389

                                            #546
                                            Gsp in front of his peeps =win gl
                                            Comment
                                            • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-18-10
                                              • 13389

                                              #547
                                              I got gspand josh going over 4rounds and gsp inside and dec
                                              Comment
                                              • Hanger
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-25-09
                                                • 2115

                                                #548
                                                Originally posted by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                I got gspand josh going over 4rounds and gsp inside and dec

                                                I liked the Over before that 1R. Begging for a KO of Kos here with the way that 1R started off. SHould be good if GSP goes back to normal strategy or KOS gets a takedown and can mount a top offense
                                                Comment
                                                • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-18-10
                                                  • 13389

                                                  #549
                                                  He's done josh had not a good look in his eyes look like he lost all ready
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-18-10
                                                    • 13389

                                                    #550
                                                    His eye his screwed up ouch
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hanger
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-25-09
                                                      • 2115

                                                      #551
                                                      Agreed- hesitant on his feet, and moving backwards a lot. Only way Kos gets this is now is with a wild flurry that lands
                                                      Comment
                                                      • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-18-10
                                                        • 13389

                                                        #552
                                                        Matter of time now if josh brings it ot the ground it goes thedistance if not soon
                                                        Comment
                                                        • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-18-10
                                                          • 13389

                                                          #553
                                                          Gsp is toying with him now!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hanger
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-25-09
                                                            • 2115

                                                            #554
                                                            Great odds on that will 5rd start tho Wiz- hope it cashes ya...might be close with the way Kos looks.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-18-10
                                                              • 13389

                                                              #555
                                                              Ouch that shit hurts EYE
                                                              Comment
                                                              • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-18-10
                                                                • 13389

                                                                #556
                                                                Cash round 4 starting 4x i think
                                                                Comment
                                                                • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-18-10
                                                                  • 13389

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Mick cut my eye . Josh looks like rocky!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-18-10
                                                                    • 13389

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Cash it both
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • illmatick
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                                      • 5456

                                                                      #559
                                                                      nice calls wizard

                                                                      Originally posted by illmatick
                                                                      recap
                                                                      MARK BOCEK +115 x2
                                                                      Struve -160 x1, -145 x.75
                                                                      TJ GRANT +150 x.5,+155 x.5
                                                                      RAFAEL NATAL -155 x.75
                                                                      Jim Miller -110 x.75
                                                                      John Howard +255 x.5

                                                                      Dustin Hazelett has quickest submission +550 x.25
                                                                      S.McCorkle wins by submission +450 x.25

                                                                      parlay x.5
                                                                      Danzig+225
                                                                      John Makdessi+120

                                                                      should be it, might not have a chance to post until sunday..gl to all!
                                                                      Originally posted by illmatick

                                                                      added a a small action play for the main event....St-Pierre wins inside distance -116 x.5
                                                                      ending result for the night is +3.4 units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • lasker
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-27-10
                                                                        • 1683

                                                                        #560
                                                                        great job as usual Ill
                                                                        Comment
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