UFC 219: Cyborg Vs. Holm | 30.12.2017 (Las Vegas, Nevada)

[JIBBBY]

jibby, i'm chargin' up my youwager acct and letting a couple big parlays rip today....

give me your top four ufc locks for tonight, please....

Donkers not really liking this fight card that much for straight up pure winners.. Prop hedging alot in this one... These are basically the only straight plays I'm going with below.. GL..

I am trying Carla Esparza at +200 straight and by decision.. She's got more fight experience and could pull off the win..

Trying Neil Magny as a straight dog as well and by decision.. I think Magny is a tough match up for the now battle worn and ready to be retiring Carlos Condit.. I just can't bet on a fighter that lost 3 of his last 4 fights and only has 2 wins in his last 7.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Carlos-Condit-6765

2 more straights in a 2 teamer with Vetorri and Nicolau...

Also trying Rountree by KO prop no hedge...

That's all I got for pure winners.. Rest all hedging with props both ways..

[firekillex]

cyborg looks like a mortal kombat final boss

[JIBBBY]

She's gotta be a dude.. Not a fair fight.. ..

[dlowilly]

Awful news

Cyborg out with a ruptured testicle and Khabib out with a missing papakha

[turbozed]

I want to bang cyborg so bad!

I'm balls deep in Cyborg for this event. In a metaphorical sense of course.

Not very often does 'biology' become an important factor in a fight so you gotta hammer those opportunities.

[Shagdogy]

Awful news

Cyborg out with a ruptured testicle and Khabib out with a missing papakha

But for real, is Khabib in the hospital yet?

[Shagdogy]

I'm balls deep in Cyborg for this event. In a metaphorical sense of course.

Not very often does 'biology' become an important factor in a fight so you gotta hammer those opportunities.

I didn't cap this one but I may need to let you and Hugo guide me... I have Cyborg/Nicolau parlayed at -120. How do you think this fight goes? You have the knack for women's fights.

[strictlypaypal]

Just announced that khabibs child was born this morning back in dagestan. Distraction or motivation? I dont have kids but i assume papa bear mode gets turned on

[RussianMike]

Just announced that khabibs child was born this morning back in dagestan. Distraction or motivation? I dont have kids but i assume papa bear mode gets turned on

I believe that what we in America refer to as children, they look at more like "just another nigha around to chop wood."

[JIBBBY]

Russians... ...

[dlowilly]

I believe that what we in America refer to as children, they look at more like "just another nigha around to chop wood."

Ok that's hilarious

[KingHawkins]

I paid over $100 to CASH OUT my Vettori bets (straight, and parlayed with Cyborg). I hope he rolls, but I psyched myself out of my wagers, too much risk at -220 on a fight where I am not feeling confident. Not going to go the other way, but had to buy myself out of this. Still on Barboza, and not feeling extremely confident there, but going to ride those wagers out at +240. He looked great at weigh-ins. Also on Magny and liking my plus $ odds there.

Added Rountree / Jury parlay for a few hundred, thinking about adding an Elliott / Rountree parlay also for a little bit.
Best of luck to everyone, I know a lot of us on this board have to be excited for this night to finally be here. 4 more hours and we will be into it.

[Shagdogy]

I paid over $100 to CASH OUT my Vettori bets (straight, and parlayed with Cyborg). I hope he rolls, but I psyched myself out of my wagers, too much risk at -220 on a fight where I am not feeling confident. Not going to go the other way, but had to buy myself out of this. Still on Barboza, and not feeling extremely confident there, but going to ride those wagers out at +240. He looked great at weigh-ins. Also on Magny and liking my plus $ odds there.

Added Rountree / Jury parlay for a few hundred, thinking about adding an Elliott / Rountree parlay also for a little bit.
Best of luck to everyone, I know a lot of us on this board have to be excited for this night to finally be here. 4 more hours and we will be into it.

Why didn't you just ride out Vettori? It was worth the guaranteed hit?

I've been on him since the opener and I admit I've given myself too much time to think about it, but I'm sticking with him.

Looks like I'll be playing a lot of the same as you otherwise, so good luck.

[Demonata]

Just lost about 5 thousand dollars on Louisville moneyline and memphis moneyline. Had them both parlayed with cyborg and khabib in lots of bets. Feel so sick now. Bith lose at the end feel so sick. penetrate penetrate fucj good luck guys. penetrate took sleeping pills hopefulllly i dont wake up till this days over. Was either this or probably end up in jail. Sleeps better. Good luck on yor bets gu/ys

[KingHawkins]

Why didn't you just ride out Vettori? It was worth the guaranteed hit?

I've been on him since the opener and I admit I've given myself too much time to think about it, but I'm sticking with him.

Looks like I'll be playing a lot of the same as you otherwise, so good luck.

Just not feeling Vettori so much today. My fault for firing too early, I know better, and I got bad lines on most of my wagers.

Still on Vettori/Akh U 2.5 for small, and I am not feeling that anymore either. May cash that one out too at a loss. I hate to do this shit, but I feel like more often than not, when I do, it pays off.
ANyway, yes, best of luck to all.
(Not Proud) PSU alum, they're about to start and probably get beat, and I am snowed in with lots of booze/buds, and the woman at work. Hoping I can stay awake for the 1 AM finale. Have Holm by Dec, 125 go win 450, another stupid bet, but penetrate it. I have a strange feeling Holly fluks her up.

[KingHawkins]

Just lost about 5 thousand dollars on Louisville moneyline and memphis moneyline. Had them both parlayed with cyborg and khabib in lots of bets. Feel so sick now. Bith lose at the end feel so sick. penetrate penetrate fucj good luck guys. penetrate took sleeping pills hopefulllly i dont wake up till this days over. Was either this or probably end up in jail. Sleeps better. Good luck on yor bets gu/ys

Bummer. I also ate it on Memphis ML, but only to the tune of 75. but i've had a -5K day (worse) in 2017, and what a lame ass feeling that was. fluk it though dude, hopefully you're smart and know how to make more $. sleep it off

[JIBBBY]

Just lost about 5 thousand dollars on Louisville moneyline and memphis moneyline. Had them both parlayed with cyborg and khabib in lots of bets. Feel so sick now. Bith lose at the end feel so sick. penetrate penetrate fucj good luck guys. penetrate took sleeping pills hopefulllly i dont wake up till this days over. Was either this or probably end up in jail. Sleeps better. Good luck on yor bets gu/ys

Shit Dem you're a high roller.. Sorry you lost 5 gees that sucks.. What you do for a living?.. Sounds like you are paid or in horrible debt.. ..

Making me look like a cheap skate with my measly $100 bets.. Slow your roll pal... No need to load up like that if you can't afford it and it makes you feel sick after..

[TPowell]

I'm on an Elliot ML/Esparza starts Round 3 parlay at right at even money. I can't see the DLR being THAT good of a grappler. If he was, he would use it during fights I would assume. I watched multiple past fights and the only thing I came away with is that he has quick hands and good movement on the feet.

[Shagdogy]

I'm on an Elliot ML/Esparza starts Round 3 parlay at right at even money. I can't see the DLR being THAT good of a grappler. If he was, he would use it during fights I would assume. I watched multiple past fights and the only thing I came away with is that he has quick hands and good movement on the feet.

What fights did you watch? Only recent fight I could find was vs Oliveira. Did you find others? Link?

He has multiple RNC wins

[Sirius]

No pussy today...

I'm in and on Holm

High probability of Cyborg backers growing frustrated as she continues to fight Holm's fight (fight IQ)
Brazilian prominence in UFC peaked and takes another huge hit if Cyborg goes down...

I went through with taking Holm because I like Clemson...I don't see Hurts beating them.

[TPowell]

What fights did you watch? Only recent fight I could find was vs Oliveira. Did you find others? Link?

He has multiple RNC wins

I watched the Combate fight debut he had a couple fights ago against the 9-0 guy. It was on Youtube I think

[JIBBBY]

Yep I got in on the Holm by KO prop weeks ago at +1225 just like I had her by KO against Rousey for even much better odds. What a pay day that was when it cashed ..

Holly has a knack for fighting well when she is a huge under dog and counted out...

The current odds on the Holly Holm KO prop is down to +650... That's horrible odds if you are trying to jump in just now..

Just saying...

[Shagdogy]

I watched the Combate fight debut he had a couple fights ago against the 9-0 guy. It was on Youtube I think

Tried to find that one... didn't see it. If you have a link that'd be awesome.

[TPowell]

My bad, was on Fight Pass. Here's the link

https://www.ufc.tv/video/mark-delarosaivan-hernandez-flores-combate-americas-10

[TPowell]

Jury is down to -160. I said I would make a Jury play at -150 a little bit ago. Tempted to do it now. I'm not sure what Rick Glenn does better except for throw with more volume. Jury's strike defense is really good and he'll outclass this guy on the mat

[Shagdogy]

My bad, was on Fight Pass. Here's the link

https://www.ufc.tv/video/mark-delaro...te-americas-10

Damn. How did I miss that? I searched DLR on fightpass and it said no videos. FightPass search is off all the time... need to search three ways for a fight to make sure you're not missing it.

[TPowell]

Damn. How did I miss that? I searched DLR on fightpass and it said no videos. FightPass search is off all the time... need to search three ways for a fight to make sure you're not missing it.

Yeah I think I found it through searching for the Combate event

[Shagdogy]

Yeah I think I found it through searching for the Combate event

He showed some decent wrestling/scrambles in that fight but I'm not sure enough to go toe to toe with Elliott in that department. I've seen him drop for guillotines twice now and I HATE that. Once it cost him significant time on his back after he gave up position. Terrible.

But... he hit a very nice sweep and floated nicely from mount to back, mixing GnP with sub attempts. The factor that I think is hard to decipher in this fight is physical strength. Elliott has always been strong in a weight class below, but now he's moving up. DLR doesn't look physically imposing at all, though, so telling who will have the advantage is tough. I think it could play a big role in this fight. Cardio and strength. I think the fresher, stronger guy in the 2nd half of this fight will win. I have .5u on DLR at +195. I'm okay with it.

[TPowell]

He showed some decent wrestling/scrambles in that fight but I'm not sure enough to go toe to toe with Elliott in that department. I've seen him drop for guillotines twice now and I HATE that. Once it cost him significant time on his back after he gave up position. Terrible.

But... he hit a very nice sweep and floated nicely from mount to back, mixing GnP with sub attempts. The factor that I think is hard to decipher in this fight is physical strength. Elliott has always been strong in a weight class below, but now he's moving up. DLR doesn't look physically imposing at all, though, so telling who will have the advantage is tough. I think it could play a big role in this fight. Cardio and strength. I think the fresher, stronger guy in the 2nd half of this fight will win. I have .5u on DLR at +195. I'm okay with it.

Elliott was always really strong at FLY and I agree that DLR isn't very physically imposing with his age yet.

[JIBBBY]

Delayed start time again... Probably starts at 4pm Western time...

[MikeyPicks1]

Saw the interview where Khabib says he needs the fight to go into the later rounds. Says he needs to start feeling comfortable in the octagon again. Over 2.5?

[JIBBBY]

UFC preview show is live on Fox 2 now.. I'm watching..

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm Picks:
Mark De La Rosa Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Matheus Nicolau Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Marvin Vettori Round 3 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Myles Jury Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Khalil Rountree Round 1 KO (Punch)
Neil Magny Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Cynthia Calvillo Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Marc Diakiese Unanimous Decision (30-27. 29-28 x2)
Edson Barboza Round 1 KO (Flying Knee)
Cris Cyborg Round 3 TKO (Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Elliott vs. De La Rosa (DEBUT)
De La Rosa (+175) 1u
De La Rosa Submission (+711) .5u

Hedge:
Elliott Submission (+593) .5u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #2: Nicolau vs. Smolka
Nicolau Submission (+799) .5u

Hedge:
Smolka ITD (+625) .5u

Fight #3: Akhmedov vs. Vettori
Vettori Submission (+712) 1u

Fight #4: Jury vs. Glenn
Jury -3.5 (+150) 1u

Fight #5: Rountree vs. Oleksiejczuk (DEBUT)
Rountree Round 1 (-125) 1.25u to win 1u

Hedge:
Oleksiejczuk Submission (+1325) .25u

Main Card:

Fight #6: Condit vs. Magny
Magny (+140) 1u
Magny Decision (+320) 1u

Hedge:
Condit KO/TKO (+351) .5u

Fight #7: Calvillo vs. Esparza
Calvillo Submission (+300) 1.5u

Hedge(s):
Esparza Decision (+375) 1u
Esparza Submission (+1690) .25u

Fight #8: Diakiese vs. Hooker
Diakiese Decision (+175) 1u
Diakiese Round 1 (+475) .5u

Hedge:
Hooker ITD (+500) .75u

Fight #9: Nurmagomedov vs. Barboza
Barboza Scorecards = No Action (+240) 1u
Barboza (+248) 4u
Nurmagomedov+Barboza Draw (+8000) .1u

Hedge:
Nurmagomedov Submission (+350) 1u

Fight #10: Cyborg (C) vs. Holm
Cyborg KO/TKO (-110) 5.5u to win 5u
Cyborg+Holm Under 2.5 (+240) 1u
Cyborg Decision (+437) .5u
Cyborg Unanimous Decision (+455) 1u
Cyborg Submission (+809) .75u

Hedge(s):
Holm ITD (+940) .5u
Holm KO/TKO (+1300) 1u

Straight Parlays:
Diakiese/Rountree (+100) 3.03u
Nicolau/Jury (+123) 1u

Prop Parlays:
Rivera+Lineker Over 2.5/Cyborg -5.5 (+123) 2.5u
Akhmedov+Vettori Starts R3/Rountree ITD (+138) 1u
Nicolau/Akhmedov+Vettori Starts R3 (+144) 1u
De La Rosa/Nicolau -3.5/Akhmedov+Vettori Starts R3 (+994) .25u
Calvillo/Diakiese/Barboza/Cyborg ITD (+1216) .5u
Jury -3.5/Rountree Round 1/Magny Decision (+1439) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 5.5 Fights Go Distance (+155) 1.25u
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+440) .5u
Cavillo Fastest Sub (+500) .5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+1425) .25u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+7500) .1u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Anders -3.5/Cyborg (+103) 1u
Torres/Cyborg (+119) 5u
Torres/Jingliang/Cyborg (+148) 2u

[JIBBBY]

^^ There is your winning picks.. Get after HUGO!!! GL...