UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva (May 10, 2014)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

FOX Sports 1, 10 p.m. ET
Matt Brown vs. Erick Silva
Lorenz Larkin vs. Constantinos Philippou
Daron Cruickshank vs. Erik Koch
Neil Magny vs. Tim Means
Soa Palelei vs. Ruan Potts
Chris Cariaso vs. Louis Smolka

FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
Ed Herman vs. Rafael Natal
Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Darrell Montague
Yan Cabral vs. Zak Cummings
Johnny Eduardo vs. Eddie Wineland

UFC Fight Pass, 6:30 p.m. ET
Manny Gamburyan vs. Nik Lentz
Justin Salas vs. Ben Wall
Anthony Lapsley vs. Albert Tumenov

[brooks85]

They did a great job putting this card together.

[Skel]

They did a great job putting this card together.

Yes.

[Skel]

Some more lines up. Missed the opening but caught Tim Means at -210. That guy should never have been cut from the UFC.

[snufflyjoe]

Who the heck is betting Silva up to -250?? really surprised by that

[Beelzebubzy]

played the over on larkin/phil

[marzwoody]

played the over on larkin/phil

What if costa knocks him out brah?

[Beelzebubzy]

What if costa knocks him out brah?

I think there is less than 35% chance that a knock out occurs in teh first two rounds.

Costa has not shown proven 1 punch KO power in the UFC.

It is a possibility that either get KOed.

[marzwoody]

I think there is less than 35% chance that a knock out occurs in teh first two rounds.

Costa has not shown proven 1 punch KO power in the UFC.

It is a possibility that either get KOed.

I'm leaning towards costa, never been impressed by larkin aka weak defense, and costa does have those boxing skillz, but hes getting older now, might retire if he loses. either way i'm not invested in the fight,

[Beelzebubzy]

I'm leaning towards costa, never been impressed by larkin aka weak defense, and costa does have those boxing skillz, but hes getting older now, might retire if he loses. either way i'm not invested in the fight,

he said he would retire if he lost?

[marzwoody]

he said he would retire if he lost?

No, its just logical that he might be cut or choose to retire, if he loses it would be third straight, and hes not getting any younger.

[Beelzebubzy]

No, its just logical that he might be cut or choose to retire, if he loses it would be third straight, and hes not getting any younger.

i think he would get a 4th chance ala dan hardy style and steve cantwell.

[marzwoody]

i think he would get a 4th chance ala dan hardy style and steve cantwell.

k im going all in on costa wish me luck bro

[Skel]

Who the heck is betting Silva up to -250?? really surprised by that

I think it's mainly due to Silva's submission game. Brown has shown to been weak on the ground, though his last submission loss was a while ago.

[Lick496]

I think it's mainly due to Silva's submission game. Brown has shown to been weak on the ground, though his last submission loss was a while ago.

ya, almost all of Brown's losses are by sub, and most of Silvas wins are by Sub

[Rubber Guard]

I think I missed Koch's last fight, but Rafaello Oliveria is a tin can.

My question is: why in the world is Koch such a big favorite here?

[Skel]

I think I missed Koch's last fight, but Rafaello Oliveria is a tin can.

My question is: why in the world is Koch such a big favorite here?

Knockout of Assuncao, Roufusport hype and the idea that he underperformed at 145 due to the weight cut. Cruickshank has had some bad losses, too.

[UFC_FAN]

Pounding Larkin for sure! This will be Costa's last fight in the UFC.

[Unwritten Law]

Liking Matt Brown in this one.

[Kermit]

Pounding Larkin for sure! This will be Costa's last fight in the UFC.

[PaperTrail07]

Cant wait for this card SO GOOD

[PaperTrail07]

Tough call in the Main event IMO...huge Matt Brown fan but this will be tough

[UFC_FAN]

Brown vs Silva is going to be a bad@ss fight. I'm not betting it just going to enjoy it. But as previously stated I will be on Larkin Large!

[mirinquads]

Pounding Larkin for sure! This will be Costa's last fight in the UFC.

Youre actually betting larkin after his last fight?

[TheCalculator]

Don't get the Larkin love. Looked bad in his last fight.

Looked bad against Carmont (I do think he won, but it was still a so-so performance).

I could easily see Costa outboxing him and avoiding takedowns.

[Tommy Blingshyne]

larkin love prob stems from his win over robbie lawler, looked great in that fight, has potential but really crapped the bed last fight...was robbed vs carmont

[Wilbo86]

I just don't get Brown at +180, even given the Silva's submission game/Brown´s sub defense. Worst case scenario should be even money, and thats absolute worst case scenario IMO. Am i crazy here?

Also like Magney and Cruickshank for small dog plays.

[Wilbo86]

Don't get the Larkin love. Looked bad in his last fight.

Looked bad against Carmont (I do think he won, but it was still a so-so performance).

I could easily see Costa outboxing him and avoiding takedowns.

Agree but you have to acknowledge that Carmont does that to every body, best spoiler in MMA IMO. I also think Larkin won.

He was a better technicl striker against Tavares, but got out volumed. I could see Costa doing the same if he fights the right way.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Matt Brown in a 5 round fight after a long layoff from injury

[Skel]

I like Brown here, outright. Worth a play at +180.

[Skel]

Who keeps betting Silva? I just put some more on Brown ITD at +275.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Who keeps betting Silva? I just put some more on Brown ITD at +275.

the people who know Brown is injured an isn't pulling out of the main event in Ohio

[TheCalculator]

the people who know Brown is injured an isn't pulling out of the main event in Ohio

You got intel on this Lock?

[Wilbo86]

the people who know Brown is injured an isn't pulling out of the main event in Ohio

Looking at the line movements after openingsounds like it checks out. Sauce por favor?

[GR33D]

saw soa eating nandos last week, hes definatly gonna have a hard time cutting weight
love the guy though, top bloke and big heart. hope he pulls off a win in the first round, his cardio aint great.