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Damn, big testicle bets in this thread. I'm on most of the same ones though I would worry about Catoney after the weighin, I still think the bet is decent though. The bedford bet is nice, might have to drop some coin on that, Mr Tate is tough to finish. Good luck!Comment -
Thank you bro. Yes goddam Catone looked awful...specially his vibe. I dont feel like riding that play anymore but hedge it for lose-lose with the juice i ALMOST never do it so i guess im riding it. penetrate et!Comment -
Solid play on Hobolaugh! You counting on him being able to take it to the ground, or do you even think he can do enough damage on the feet? I've capped him loosely at evens, got about 1.2% on him..
GL amigo!Comment -
Penetrate it indeed, Im on him as well. Fingers crossed Canny wants to hug all fight!Comment -
here are some dogs to consider
vinny
the lady under dog but no way she will win lol
healy
belcharComment -
I dont think he can stop him on the feet since Siler has a coconut for a head but he does have good uppercut and dirty box IMO he could even outpoint Siler on the feet if hes smart.
I havent watch as much tape on this card as i would like to but i like the play anyway.
GL man.Comment -
Small/moderate. Still feeling the effects of the massive swing from the Gilbert decision.
I try to avoid betting dogs with +EV too heavily if I feel that they need to go to the cards to win and Healy almost certainly will if he beats Jim Miller... the only way I feel comfortable leaving it in the hands of chimpanzee judges is if I can livebet the favourite when they go to +money to hedge out.
If Healy can get an early TD, the lines will swing more quickly in his favour than a similar sized underdog like Gilbert where it's a competitive striking match slightly in the dog's favour in R1/2. Healy could cash pretty early with a livebet hedge... OR he could look awful if he doesn't stick to a strategy of fighting 'all the way in & all the way out'.
At this point I'm betting Magalhaes to win $1K & Healy to win $500 or so. I'd like to add a Healy by decision prop too but I missed the opener - an insanely appealing +564 - which has since been hammered down to +325. If the line improves, I'll hit it.Comment -
You always bet a lot every card and aren't having a great year. How much are you down for '13, you rich Messican fuhk?Comment -
I wouldn't bet against Siler, especially against a guy who is unproven in the UFC. Siler or pass for me. Passing.
Belcher vs Bisping--- Belcher or pass. Neither have wins over anyone worth mentioning (well, Belcher beating Palhares is kinda notworthy) but Belcher is younger and a finisher. Passing on this, too. Or maybe parlay with Roy Nelson.
Catone or pass. Pass for me.
Healy and Vincent Maghalaes for value, and McMann/Gaff under 2.5, maybe Nelson parlayed with Jones and someone elseComment -
+$10,000 a bit more.....i do a weekly account...but not less than thatComment -
already told you, grabster. gonna make you a lot of $ may 18th. hope you tail even though you prolly don't take me seriously like v and mdComment -
wait, did you just say you're UP 10k? can't be what you meant...Comment -
Yo my new job, after a year, gives me 2 weeks vacation at any hyatt for free anywhere in the world.
Might have to come to Mex when the chiles are in season.Comment -
Half price but still +EV.Comment -
Oh i see...the winnerz-shopping.
I wanna learn bro. I keep buying a lot of dogs that dont cash.Comment -
Hey my amigo, here is a Mexican joke for you,
What do you call 5 Mexicans standing in quicksand?
A horrible and precarious situation that could turn tragic and mournful at any moment while the rest of the world hopes and prays for their safety.
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