Grabaka's winnerz and 95% locks

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  • Grabaka
    SBR MVP
    • 02-19-11
    • 3216

    #1
    Grabaka's winnerz and 95% locks
    Si seƱor. Its time. Enough time hijacking Vaugwani's thread. Hes off the hook.

    So far i have these bets

    UFC on FOX 6


    Anthony Pettis $360.00 @ -120

    Anthony Pettis Dec $100.00 @ +202

    Ricardo Lamas Dec $200.00 @ +292

    Not Lamas ITD $432.00 @ -216

    John Dodson $250.00 @ +200
  • Grabaka
    SBR MVP
    • 02-19-11
    • 3216

    #2
    Brent Weedman $230.00 @ -115
    Comment
    • MD
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-31-12
      • 9728

      #3
      Lamas will get KO'd and Dodson will get decisioned, so I hope Pettis wins to give you a profitable weekend.
      Comment
      • Grabaka
        SBR MVP
        • 02-19-11
        • 3216

        #4
        You dont know that. Dont ever defy my 95% locks bruh.

        I plan to freeroll Not Lamas ITD so i guess it could be worse and maybe a straight bet on Koch but dont act like you know what is gonna happen when you are just assuming.
        Comment
        • MD
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-31-12
          • 9728

          #5
          Originally posted by Grabaka
          You dont know that. Dont ever defy my 95% locks bruh.

          I plan to freeroll Not Lamas ITD so i guess it could be worse and maybe a straight bet on Koch but dont act like you know what is gonna happen when you are just assuming.
          I was giving my opinions on the fights; don't get butthurt buddy, we're usually on the same side. <3

          My problem with the Koch fight is just how rangy Koch is. He doesn't have too much of a reach edge, but the range he fights at is absurd. He's so ridiculously sharp and good at keeping range, and his TDD is so stellar. Against someone with a suspect chin like Lamas? Should be lights out, I'd say.
          Comment
          • JSanford
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-27-12
            • 186

            #6
            I'm on Weedman, Pettis and Dodson as well. Not sure if that is a good thing for you lol
            Comment
            • PunisherIND
              SBR MVP
              • 02-24-11
              • 4983

              #7
              Originally posted by Grabaka
              Si seƱor. Its time. Enough time hijacking Vaugwani's thread. Hes off the hook.

              So far i have these bets

              UFC on FOX 6


              Anthony Pettis $360.00 @ -120

              Anthony Pettis Dec $100.00 @ +202

              Ricardo Lamas Dec $200.00 @ +292

              Not Lamas ITD $432.00 @ -216

              John Dodson $250.00 @ +200
              lol @ vaugwani
              Comment
              • Grabaka
                SBR MVP
                • 02-19-11
                • 3216

                #8
                Originally posted by MD
                I was giving my opinions on the fights; don't get butthurt buddy, we're usually on the same side. <3

                My problem with the Koch fight is just how rangy Koch is. He doesn't have too much of a reach edge, but the range he fights at is absurd. He's so ridiculously sharp and good at keeping range, and his TDD is so stellar. Against someone with a suspect chin like Lamas? Should be lights out, I'd say.
                Thank you. No worries <3
                I was just setting the tone of the thread. There will be plenty guys who tell me what to do with my money and how dumb i am. I always say i handicap with my ass and bet with my huevos. I also always say im more lucky than good.
                Im all ears and always open to discussion but i do get a little annoyed when they say theres no way fighter A wins. Remember how people swinged from JDS nuts, they swinged so wildly that were annoyed how we were throwing our money to the trash can by betting cain. We did loled in the end but it could have been some months of "i told you so" "JDS is just too good".
                Comment
                • MD
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-31-12
                  • 9728

                  #9
                  The JDS hype was hilarious. Made absolutely no sense to me. Cashed huge on that fight, and I still don't understand why everyone thought betting JDS at more than -200 was a good, or even passable, idea.

                  Hope we'll be on the same side for many months to come.
                  Comment
                  • Grabaka
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-19-11
                    • 3216

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JSanford
                    I'm on Weedman, Pettis and Dodson as well. Not sure if that is a good thing for you lol
                    Wish you good luck my man
                    Comment
                    • JamesKim
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-03-12
                      • 392

                      #11
                      What makes you so confident on Pettis btw?
                      Comment
                      • GigaOuts
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 527

                        #12
                        Heh. Awesome I hope you keep it going much longer than the '$500 an unit' Tanner. I hope Jesus Christ thread come back too but your for sure is a good replacement. No non-sense bs, just size and odd!

                        Yeah that MD is a douche! I swear MD is a female elitist.
                        Comment
                        • Fragoel2
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-08-12
                          • 107

                          #13
                          Dude, I'm gonna tail the shit out of you
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #14
                            Nice mi amigo!
                            Comment
                            • Beelzebubzy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-06-11
                              • 6995

                              #15
                              If I was a newbie and I had to tail someone on this shit it would be this MexiCain loving bastard
                              And then hedge the Jesus out of it with some butter tooth style plays
                              Comment
                              • Vaughany
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 03-07-10
                                • 45563

                                #16
                                La fuerza es poderosa con esta.
                                Comment
                                • Oblivian
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-27-12
                                  • 163

                                  #17
                                  I'm on all of the same. Good luck!
                                  Comment
                                  • MD
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-31-12
                                    • 9728

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by GigaOuts
                                    Heh. Awesome I hope you keep it going much longer than the '$500 an unit' Tanner. I hope Jesus Christ thread come back too but your for sure is a good replacement. No non-sense bs, just size and odd!

                                    Yeah that MD is a douche! I swear MD is a female elitist.
                                    Is it better to be a douche, or a degenerate lottery player who overbets hyped up fighters and ends up in the hole for large amounts of money?

                                    Sure, nobody will come to my birthday party, but I can afford to shell out for a cake and hookers.
                                    Comment
                                    • GigaOuts
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 527

                                      #19
                                      I got Donald Cerone and on the fence between Koch vs Lamas, so I will tail Lamas since you are solid and plus $$$...lol. I still have Cerone but so many respect poster have Pettis, so I am going small 1 unit or less.

                                      This card looks tough to cap, I don't see any lock bet that is close odd. I like Dodson a lot but in a 5 round fight, he might gas in the championship round. I might play Shawn Jordan 2 or 3 unit but pretty gun shy after losing 8 units already vs Cheick Kongo.

                                      Bellator 85: +8 units
                                      Belfort vs Bisping: -12 units
                                      Bellator 86: +1 unit (so sad to make so little when we are gifted match: Weedman vs Zaromskis)
                                      2013: -3 units.
                                      Comment
                                      • Grabaka
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-19-11
                                        • 3216

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                        If I was a newbie and I had to tail someone on this shit it would be this MexiCain loving bastard
                                        And then hedge the Jesus out of it with some butter tooth style plays
                                        LOL You have a +EV way of thinking. I like it. Might tail you back.
                                        Comment
                                        • thes0vereign
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-13-12
                                          • 712

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by MD
                                          Sure, nobody will come to my birthday party, but I can afford to shell out for a cake and hookers.


                                          I like you, MD. Priorities, man, you've got 'em in order!
                                          Comment
                                          • Grabaka
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-19-11
                                            • 3216

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by MD
                                            Is it better to be a douche, or a degenerate lottery player who overbets hyped up fighters and ends up in the hole for large amounts of money?

                                            Sure, nobody will come to my birthday party, but I can afford to shell out for a cake and hookers.
                                            Hookers?
                                            ill go
                                            Comment
                                            • Grabaka
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-19-11
                                              • 3216

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by GigaOuts
                                              I got Donald Cerone and on the fence between Koch vs Lamas, so I will tail Lamas since you are solid and plus $$$...lol. I still have Cerone but so many respect poster have Pettis, so I am going small 1 unit or less.

                                              This card looks tough to cap, I don't see any lock bet that is close odd. I like Dodson a lot but in a 5 round fight, he might gas in the championship round. I might play Shawn Jordan 2 or 3 unit but pretty gun shy after losing 8 units already vs Cheick Kongo.

                                              Bellator 85: +8 units
                                              Belfort vs Bisping: -12 units
                                              Bellator 86: +1 unit (so sad to make so little when we are gifted match: Weedman vs Zaromskis)
                                              2013: -3 units.
                                              Be careful with Lamas. Im not as confident as my bets sounds but i will be doing some hedges if i can get to hedge Lamas by Dec. Right now i have it like this.

                                              lamas stoppage: lose 632
                                              lamas decision: win 784
                                              koch win in any form: break even

                                              Im in a complicated spot. Im feeling the Koch a tiny bit hype these days. What if Koch wins? All this has been for nothing?
                                              I could arb or freeroll the not Lamas ITD since Lamas ITD is sitting at +387. But i cant with the Lamas decision prop.
                                              I really dont know where to go. Maybe back to my tape watching.
                                              Comment
                                              • PunisherIND
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-24-11
                                                • 4983

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Grabaka
                                                Be careful with Lamas. Im not as confident as my bets sounds but i will be doing some hedges if i can get to hedge Lamas by Dec. Right now i have it like this.

                                                lamas stoppage: lose 632
                                                lamas decision: win 784
                                                koch win in any form: break even

                                                Im in a complicated spot. Im feeling the Koch a tiny bit hype these days. What if Koch wins? All this has been for nothing?
                                                I could arb or freeroll the not Lamas ITD since Lamas ITD is sitting at +387. But i cant with the Lamas decision prop.
                                                I really dont know where to go. Maybe back to my tape watching.
                                                +460 id let that ride though
                                                Comment
                                                • Grabaka
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-19-11
                                                  • 3216

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by PunisherIND
                                                  +460 id let that ride though
                                                  Thanks to you amigo. I love you
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Grabaka
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-19-11
                                                    • 3216

                                                    #26
                                                    TJ Grant $250.00 @ -125
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PunisherIND
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-24-11
                                                      • 4983

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Grabaka
                                                      Thanks to you amigo. I love you
                                                      my man
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Beelzebubzy
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-06-11
                                                        • 6995

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Grabaka
                                                        LOL You have a +EV way of thinking. I like it. Might tail you back.
                                                        All seriousness I think you are the most consistent on this board
                                                        i would let you bang any of my aunts that are in their 90s
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vaughany
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 03-07-10
                                                          • 45563

                                                          #29
                                                          haha
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Grabaka
                                                            Hookers?
                                                            ill go
                                                            Cake?

                                                            I'll go
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Grabaka
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-19-11
                                                              • 3216

                                                              #31
                                                              Thank you for the kind words beelze. And everyone. I agree i have been pretty consistent but im not confident for the future. Maybe thats my secret. I always feel like next week ill ran out of luck.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Grabaka
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-19-11
                                                                • 3216

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                Cake?

                                                                I'll go
                                                                JEJEJE
                                                                You really are this bellaitore predictions guy. I will believe it untill you prove me wrong.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vaughany
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 45563

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Grabaka
                                                                  JEJEJE
                                                                  You really are this bellaitore predictions guy. I will believe it untill you prove me wrong.
                                                                  haha that was classic when he went on a 5 minute rant about the correct pronunciation of "bell-ator" as in "alli-gator"!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vaughany
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                                    • 45563

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Grabaka
                                                                    Thank you for the kind words beelze. And everyone. I agree i have been pretty consistent but im not confident for the future. Maybe thats my secret. I always feel like next week ill ran out of luck.
                                                                    ha sounds like a GSP quote!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MD
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-31-12
                                                                      • 9728

                                                                      #35
                                                                      The trick to successful sports betting is to go all-in exactly twice a month. No more, no less. It's just enough to keep you sharp, but low enough to keep your variance down.

                                                                      No need to thank me.
                                                                      Comment
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