Just Boxing

**Boxscout** · 01-26-13, 08:22 AM

Also threw 10 on the Draw. It's a big time clash of styles, boxer vs. aggressive puncher so you could have conflicting judging preferences. As I kind of hinted at, Dallas is not a bum and has a chance to last. Matthysse no stranger to controversial decisions. Not big on betting draws, but just spotted this at +7000.

**Boxscout** · 01-27-13, 02:05 AM

Right about Dallas trying to jab and tie up. The only thing I was wrong about was him getting KTFO. Minor detail.

Anyway, USA Today's ‏Mike Coppinger has tweeted that Garcia is pulling out of his fight with zab.

**JoshB** · 01-27-13, 11:07 AM

i was suprised too, thought it would go more like lucas' fight with ajose. tough loss for mike.

**Boxscout** · 01-29-13, 10:55 PM

Geale is -320 right now on 5d. That is about as sweet as it gets, in my opinion. If he loses, you guys can do a pool on my method of suicide.

Edit: I should say, I'm slightly concerned that the judges are a bunch of local yokels. Just slightly though.

**onacloud** · 01-30-13, 12:01 AM

**Mercersux** · 01-30-13, 02:07 AM

Yeah they got Geale @ -320 at 5D. I think Geale takes this one but the odds don't justify how tough of a fight this will likely be. Can't make a play where its sittin.

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 02:17 AM

Put a small play on Geale.

Every two weeks or so I make a play on a boxing match, and then I lose, and then I say I will never bet on a boxing match ever again.

And then I do it 2 damn weeks later... Ah well, at least they are always very small plays.

Lets see what happens.

**Grabaka** · 01-30-13, 02:20 AM

My god we are on all the same plays Sacre! Gaele Fitch Edgar Creepey Cupcake

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 03:04 AM

Ahhh shit, I like the sounds of that.

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 03:25 AM

Gaele line is getting better, currently -255 at 5d.

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 03:36 AM

<edited, delete pls>

**Joeey** · 01-30-13, 04:20 AM

the line is out of whack, Geale should be a slight favourite. I like him on points in a tough one, but not at these odds.

There is a whisper of a more serious than known hip injury to Mundine.

**davopnz** · 01-30-13, 04:25 AM

line definitely not out of whack, mundine is a washed up tool

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 05:15 AM

Damn, wish I could actually order this fight up here.

**davopnz** · 01-30-13, 05:52 AM

Loading...

http://www.vipboxsports.me/boxing/129863/1/daniel-geale-vs-anthony-mundine-ppv-free--live-stream-online.html

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 06:02 AM

Thanks man, it just started on the other sites that I use as well, just started late after most of the undercard aired for some reason.

Enjoy the fight!

**Boxscout** · 01-30-13, 06:13 AM

Yeah, put some more on him at -255. Jesus I wish I knew it would get that low.

Geale looked very relaxed in the prefight interview. Perhaps reading too deep, but it sounds like he sees this as the rest of the world does, ie a comparatively minor fight compared to Sturm. Not caught up in the local hype. He looked great at the weigh in as well.

Nice cruiserweight fight on the undercard. Not world beaters, but an entertaining match.

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 06:50 AM

'Atta boy, Kimbo!

**Boxscout** · 01-30-13, 06:55 AM

I'm not a big Kimbo fan, but he seems like a good enough guy and that was some undeniably entertaining shit.

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 07:02 AM

Was just reviewing some of your old posts during the commercial BoxScout, you really know your boxing. Mad props!

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 07:32 AM

Geale looking good after 3.

**Boxscout** · 01-30-13, 07:40 AM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

Was just reviewing some of your old posts during the commercial BoxScout, you really know your boxing. Mad props!

Thanks, much appreciated. Got 4 pretty clearly for Geale, 1 close.

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 07:44 AM

I'm 6-0 for Geale, with 4 of those being very clearly for him. I give this about 3 more rounds before Mundine gasses.

**GunShard** · 01-30-13, 07:50 AM

Nice predictions.

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 08:08 AM

Really enjoyable fight, Gaele looked fantastic, and a bet cashed to go along with it.

Congrats Gaele backers.

**Sacrelicious** · 01-30-13, 08:13 AM

Oh jesus, maybe I spoke to soon, they're taking a goddamn hour to count the score cards....

Edit: Nevermind, we are good.

**Boxscout** · 01-30-13, 08:21 AM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

Oh jesus, maybe I spoke to soon, they're taking a goddamn hour to count the score cards....

Edit: Nevermind, we are good.

Yeah, was on the brink of a heart attack there.

**christianshreve** · 01-31-13, 06:42 PM

Does anyone agree with Mundine that he won?

**Sacrelicious** · 01-31-13, 07:25 PM

Nope.

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 02-01-13, 12:15 AM

Hello Boxscout. Who do got in the Felix Sturm fight Friday in Germany? I like Sturm to win. However, I do not like some of odds I have seen -600 to -750. Sam Soliman is still a descent fighter and has a small chance to win.

**Boxscout** · 02-01-13, 07:48 AM

Hey Ron. I put Sturm in a very small parlay on BOL because Sturm was relatively cheap and the have Broner cheaper than anyone too. Put those two with Frampton at -500, which is a fight I'm very confident in. Mostly did that for entertainment purposes, as Frampton is my only big play going at the moment and I it gives me something to root for in two other fights.

I haven't been able to find any of Soliman's recent fights, but I generally respect him. If I knew the fight was going to be scored fairly, I might think he's worth a shot. However, if Sturm loses this, I think Germany loses him as a good moneymaker. If he wins, he becomes Geale's mandatory, and Geale has indicated he won't take the fight, so it's a nice path to getting a belt back for Sturm and that would lead to several more profitable matches. Soliman has a very low KO rate and, with Sturm's defense, that means that almost for sure, he'll have to get a decision. Note that the over is -700.

Is Sturm going to lose two decisions in a row in Germany? Are they going to flush a bunch of money down the toilet out of fairness to the 39 year old Soliman, who won't generate much money for anybody? I think it's very unlikely, and Sturm is a hard guy to beat convincingly. I'm not sure you want to lay that much with a guy like Soliman, but I have a hard time believing he can win. Don't hate it as a parlay filler.

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 02-01-13, 12:24 PM

Well said Boxscout. It seems you try to include as many variables as possible, especially those outside of the ring. I concur with your analysis. You mentioned Adrian Broner, another fighter that will not be losing anytime soon is Gennady Golovkin. Oh, by the way... There are a couple of gentlemen on youtube that give excellent boxing breakdowns and predictions. dwyer 70905 and Gene G. Take care and GL.

**christianshreve** · 02-01-13, 01:45 PM

Outstanding post.

**christianshreve** · 02-01-13, 01:52 PM

Soliman throws barrages of punches from any and every angle. It is easy to make him look bad for a while, but if one is not in shape and wears down, he can steal rounds. Not a lot of power, but can throw upward of 100 punches a round. He resembles a drunk hummingbird.
Sturm can control the whole fight if he is physically and mentally prepared. It can be a great tune-up, or even a mismatch, as long as he doesn't come in flat.

**Boxscout** · 02-01-13, 04:07 PM

Molina/Spinks Over 8.5. Opened at like -120, now -145 on 5D. Better in other places.

Do linemakers not know about boxrec or am I really missing something here? Molina is a huge favorite. He has six KOs. He has literally never KOed someone on this level. His best KO is a guy who is 12-8 and 36 years old and that was a TKO in 7.

Spinks KOed last time out, but hung tough through 7 rounds after a bad knockdown in the first. Was knocked down twice more before it was stopped. Scrapped, wrestled and nullified and pulled himself up like he had bet the over himself. Is Molina going to flatten him three times like Bundrage did?

Spinks KOing Molina is barely part of the equation at all.

Seriously, I wonder if I'm missing something.